Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. LeicesterA
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    You can have any midfielder today up to £9.8m - who do you go for? Ozil? Tadic? Other...?

    1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Ozil definitely

      1. LeicesterA
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks. Would you still say him alongside Sanchez?

        1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Yeah, I reckon so.

    2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Özil

  2. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet > mane or
    Defoe > long?

    Such a tough call.

    1. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Wait one hour and get confirmation on Payet. And hope FPL hasn't crashed.

  3. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Aguero and iwobi or kdb and giroud/martial or any other striker?

    1. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  4. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Why people saying PVA won't play? Just the u-21 comments from Sam?

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I believe so. My thinking is that a few of them will come in i.e. Watmore, Pickford. But I could just be hopeful

      1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Pickford
        Yedlin, Kone, O'Shea, Robson,
        Larsson, Rodwell
        Watmore Lens Greenwood
        N'Doye

        1. Backup Dancer
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Ah that leaked is it?

    2. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yeah, nothing confirmed so play him and worst case, he gets autosubbed, don't think he would make a cameo

    3. Steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes and some guy reckons he has a leaked line up

  5. Beans on Toast
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Should I take -4 hit? 18 points behind leader who is on a wildcard. Was going to do Clyne to Gabriel as not sure if I have 3 defenders, but also not sure about Defoe/Payet

    Darlow (Robles)
    Smalling Clyne PVA (Evans Simpson)
    Sanchez Payet Hazard Townsend (Lanzini)
    Aguero(C) Defoe Kane

  6. Mark-O
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    The watchlist is as good as dead

  7. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Pick To to Get This Round

    A- Mane

    B- Tadic

    C- Arnautovic

    1. DameCorp
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

  8. Van Klinkert Delarosa
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Different timeline here. How many minute till deadline?

    Thanks!

    1. 1314
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      1 hour before kick-off

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      just over 2 hrs 15 mins

    3. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      2 hrs and 17 mins

    4. 1314
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      about 2 hours and 15 minutes

    5. Van Klinkert Delarosa
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers guys!

  9. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play one:

    A) PVA
    B) Cress
    C) Fuchs

    Currently on PVA, worst case he gets autosubbed.

    1. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      C because of bonus

    2. DameCorp
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cress imo

    3. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I am currently A playing with bench C then B.

  10. Sverdet
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So whats the news about payet and rojo?

    1. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Rojo not in match squad, Payet might not be - still awaiting confirmation.

      1. Sverdet
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        How do you know Rojo is not in match squad?

        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Man U evening news

    2. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Doos on M40 chasing behind the bus atm

  11. Laalman
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Should i take a -4 IF i own Defoe, PVA and Payet? And who should i bring in?

    1. Steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Long, tadic, mane

  12. Tsssst
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    mahrez to ozil for a hit?

  13. FrankieTheGent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I have payet with Antonio first sub.
    Defending a ML lead of 13 pts.
    Rival has payet with gosling only bench option.
    Would you advise me to:
    A) hold tight, trust Antonio
    B) take a hit for Mané

    1. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A - too close to take a hit I think.

      1. FrankieTheGent
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers.

  14. FAITHNOMORENO
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    are we overlooking vardy?

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      yeah. He is going to have one last party for this season

    2. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Your grav explains it all shhhhh

      1. FAITHNOMORENO
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        sturridge / firmino / defoe -> kane / vardy / mane IN for -8.. done!

        at least it will interesting being hypothetically involved in golden boot race.

    3. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      People have other issues to deal with in the midfield.

  15. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Good to go?

    Darlow (Robles)
    Bellerin PvA Smalling
    Payet Sanchez(c) Hazard Tadic Iwobi
    Aguero Defoe
    (Carroll Fuchs Cresswell)
    1.8m 0FT

  16. ymx
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    KDB Vs Coutinho Vs Tadic Vs Mane!?!

    1. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      KDB every day of the week, twice on Sunday.

    2. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      kdb-tadic-mane-coutino

  17. DameCorp
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    One hit and here I am for the last time this season, GTG?

    Darlow
    Smalling Bellerin Gabriel
    Sanchez (c) Tadic Mane Payet
    Kane Aguero Defoe

    Robles Lanzini Cresswell PVA

    Obviously with the concerns surrounding Defoe and Payet's game time, the bench might come into play. Though I think Lanzini and Cresswell are solid enough back up options.

    1. Zareos
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I agree

  18. DLL18
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    As it looks like Payet is out today and someone will be subbing in, who would you put first on the bench Lanzini or Fuchs?

    1. KUNingas
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lanzini

    2. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Lanzini. Play him if you can.

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      definitely Lanz

    4. DLL18
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks, RMT agrees with you, Lanzini it is.

  19. KUNingas
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any change TFM will play?

    Gabriel, PVA, Cresswell (TFM, Simpson)
    Right benching order?

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No he's reported as also out in that Manchester evening post article too

  20. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will CBJ play?

    1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Most likely

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Probably... possibly

    3. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes. No one else.

    4. KUNingas
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      columbus blue jackets season ended up about month ago.

  21. zencro 42
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Damn Payet!

    A) Payet to Mane, Mahrez to Tadic for -8
    B) Payet to Mane
    C) Payet to Tadic

    If B or C, play Mahrez of Carroll?

    Cheers!

    1. zencro 42
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      *Play Mahrez or Carroll

      1. Woy of the Wovers
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        You could play both.

      2. DameCorp
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        C and play Mahrez.

    2. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I brought in Tadic over Manè, if that helps you. Its a pretty close call between both of them. Tadic more consistent yet still explosive, but Manè could be more explosive yet less consistent. Tadic involved on set pieces tho, which was the deciding factor for me. Id also play Carroll. Stoke defensively are shameful.

    3. zencro 42
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers for the replies

  22. Super-Hans
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any news on Evans? Desperately need him to feature....

  23. TeamSteam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So with Payet and Defoe likely out (?) - take -4 for Manè or just play Barkley?

    1. Judas
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Probably get mane

    2. Birdman77
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Play Barkley

  24. Zareos
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Darlow (Robles)
    Gabriel, Smalling, PVA (Fuchs, Sahko)
    Sanchez (c), Payet, Firmino, KDB (Antonio)
    Aguero, Carroll, Defoe

    So the Sunderland players, Payet and Firmino are all risks this week.

    A. Sahko to Bellerin
    B. Payet to Tadic
    C. Sahko and Payet to Bellerin and Tadic (-4)
    D. Defoe to Giroud
    E. Save for GW1 😉

    I'm over 50 ahead in my MLs so I think I'm a safe winner this season.

    1. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You're safe. No need to take a hit - I'd just drop Firmino. But you can drop both him and Payet and still be worry-free.

  25. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    @Champ I think the rumours are coming from this fans forum http://www.readytogo.net/smb/threads/team-tomorrow.1230916/ . I have no idea how reliable it is . Team and Team tomorrow ? are the ones to read

      1. Big Sum
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        nice, thank you

  26. Judas
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Rival is 17pts behind, has taken a hit, but before the Payet news so will be starting him.

    Ive Already done Coutinho ---> Tadic for free. Do I take a hit for any of these?

    A: Defoe ---> Long (-4)
    B: Lanzini ---> Mane (-4, bench Defoe)
    C: No hit. Start Payet

    My current bench is Lanzini, Simpson, Lovren.

  27. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts on this trio @ 4/1:

    Arsenal to bt Villa
    Leicester to bt Chelsea
    Saints to bt Palace

    ?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      good

  28. Yxz
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Will we know teams for 2pm?

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No

  29. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Chance of Soton CS %

    1. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      50 considering they always concede. Could have been a 0% 😆

  30. Mark-O
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Questions on GW38
    1. Any penalty missed?
    2. Any penalty saved?
    3. How many matches will see a CS?
    4. Golden boot winner(s)?
    5. Golden glove winner(s)?

    1. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      1/2 who knows and who cares. Few games will have cs i think, Kane will win golden boot and anyone can win the golden glove, probably DDG