Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.57
Sanchez ARS 1.61
Giroud ARS 1.61
Lukaku EVE 1.72
Long SOT 1.83
Pelle SOT 1.83
Rooney MUN 1.83
Walcott ARS 1.90
Iwobi ARS 1.90
Kane TOT 1.90
Deeney WAT 2.00
Rashford MUN 2.00
Martial MUN 2.00
Ighalo WAT 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Benteke LIV 2.10
De Bruyne MCI 2.20
Mane SOT 2.20
Iheanacho MCI 2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

Team Odds
Arsenal 1.61
Southampton 1.90
Manchester United 2.00
Manchester City 2.62
Watford 2.75
Tottenham 2.80
Everton 3.00
Chelsea 3.50
West Ham 3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

1,849 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    How likely will the following players start today?

    a) Mannone

    b) Cedric

    c) Wolscheid

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      a) 0%
      b) 55%
      c) no idea what the Stoke situation is

      1. TeamSteam
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        0% on Mannone? Lol. thats pretty bold. Nobody has confirmed he wont play.

        1. Chenku╰☆╮
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Mannone wont play. pickford will.. Sam hinted it in press conf?

          1. Chenku╰☆╮
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            He has said pickford is a great player on their best finds this season. he wants to test 21s and see if he can find more talent.. and they get nothing by winning this game.. 4 pts off 16..

          2. TeamSteam
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Hints are still not 100% now are they. I agree that theres a high chance for rotation.

          3. Jazz!
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 1 month ago

            Sam literally said on Goals on Sunday Pickford WILL play

            1. TeamSteam
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Thats another story then.

    2. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      a) 0
      b) 70
      c) 100

      Based on gut feeling and what I've read on Team News.

    3. united07
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Mannone won't play .. Confirmed

  2. Sideways Backwards
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Is Fabulous going to play today or should I -4 him out?

    1. Sideways Backwards
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Oops, *Fabregas!

    2. Burger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      He should so change his name to that officially 😎

      1. Sideways Backwards
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        It's a great name

    3. NotReadyForPrimeTime
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Better still, I think, is Absolutely Fabulous.

  3. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Play Carroll or Lanzini?

    1. Woy of the Wovers
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Carroll

  4. Loonie1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Re. So I have Hennessey, Mignolet, Rojo, Milner and Payet reportedly not playing. Who should I get out?

    Other players are Cresswell, Bellerin, Morgan, Ake, Sanchez, Mahrez, Lennon, Aguero, Lukaku, Carroll. 1FT, 1,8 in bank.

    1. HNI
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Payet may play..get out Milner for Tadic

  5. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I have a very funny feeling me swapping Ozil to Sanchez may have been a stupid thing to do. Had Ozil since Gameweek 1.

    1. HNI
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      It is...Having them both instead would be the right decision...

      1. Obi Wan Elokobi
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Yep. Kept Hazard instead.

  6. fusen
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Defoe isn't starting but will be on the bench.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Ok

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Source ?

      1. fusen
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Sunderland forum ITK who has got the team right with 100% accuracy multiple times

    3. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      🙄

    4. QPR Webby
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Please confirm if true? Lol

  7. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Getting kdb and Deeney instead of Iwobi and kun crazy?

    1. JÆKS ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      No, but I wouldn't.

    3. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Still yes

  8. JÆKS ⭐
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    One of the last times I owned Mane, he arrived late so he was on the bench, if he does that again today, I'm going to freak out

    1. HNI
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I am avoiding as will be happy with top 20k finish this time thanx to crazy season

  9. zencro 42
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Repost

    Damn Payet!

    A) Payet to Mane, Mahrez to Tadic for -8
    B) Payet to Mane
    C) Payet to Tadic

    If B or C, play Mahrez or Carroll?

    Cheers!

  10. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Deeney or Long, this week?

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Long

  11. KingPulis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Play Defoe or Cresswell? Obvious risk of 1 pointer if play Defoe but seems the more logical choice

    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Why is there a 1 point risk. He's going to do everything to get in the England squad.

      1. Chenku╰☆╮
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        no chance of defoe starting but thats me.

  12. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Is Willian out of today's game?

    1. Sideways Backwards
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I think someone on here mentioned he was looking tired so would more than likely be rested.

  13. Kiwivillan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    VVD worth FT if have Fosu-Mensah and PVA?

    1. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  14. Christina.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Most important GW of the year and FPL towers have not switched on Payet and Rojo's lights.

    Amateurs.

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Still in FFS team news sheets 😮

      1. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Heads need to roll.

    2. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Rojo is doubtful too?

      1. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        no.

        he is out.

        lol

        1. Hybrid.power
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Seriously? Christ

  15. adam28193
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Best midfielder up to 6.1 is....?

    1. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Probably Redmond at that price

    2. Bob.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      S.Davis ?

  16. Red-United
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I've just changed my captain from Sanchez to Aguero...it's such a hard decision though.

    I am chasing my ML by 20 points and he also has Sanchez and Aguero in his team. However, he is an Arsenal fan, so he'll probably captain Sanchez.

    To make up ground I need to captain Aguero I think...

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Unless he captains Kun.

      1. Red-United
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Haha I guess, but like I said, he is an Arsenal fan, and just looking through his recent gameweek history, hasn't captained Aguero that much.

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Agree am gonna do same

  17. Shirokov(c)
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Triple captain Long, Tadic or Hazard?

    Have Sanchez but that's boring

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      If you're punting on not going with Sanchez because it's "boring" then why not punt on choosing your captain yourself?

    2. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez

  18. BadgersBoys
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    When we will get confirmation about Payet?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      2pm

      1. BadgersBoys
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Hi I haven't seen you in a while 🙂 nice to have you back . http://www.claretandhugh.info/weve-not-got-payet/ Doosra trusts this guy

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Ah that confirms it

    3. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      when it's to late

      1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        This . Your best chance of getting it before the deadline just stay logged on here

  19. Q
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    -4 taken already.

    A) payet to tadic (-8)
    B) play lanzini (-4 but no saints cover)

  20. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Pick Two to get them this round

    A- Arnautovic

    B- Mane

    C- Tadic

  21. nevins84
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Ivanovic Payet Sturridge OUT
    Bellerin Tadic Giroud IN

    It's to field 11 @ -8 , should I do it or leave ivanovic in and hope he starts... chasing 6pt gap..

    1. Obi Wan Elokobi
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Just do it. Break or make week. Go out with a bang.

  22. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Breaking News.

    Surprisingly it was West Ham's team bus attacked this week, prior to a critical European spot deciding fixture with Stoke. Despite the team arriving early, they were not safe from a group of angry FPL playing online warriors, many carrying i phones and tablets locked into the FFS site.

    A bystander said he heard one violent loon push past the coach driver, jump over a card school involving West Ham stars Winston Reid and Angelo Ogbonna, before accosting Slaven Bilic for news of Dmitri Payet's fitness.

    In conclusion, a -4 hit to bring in a Southampton midfielder looks a solid option without further news.

  23. Ole Gunnar Kush
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Start
    A)Cresswell
    or
    B)Van Aanholt
    ??

    1. Steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Cresswell

  24. Ultraman
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    My team at the moment:

    Schmeichel

    Bellerin - Azpi - Walker (Cresswell, Fosu-Mensah)
    Hazard - Sanchez - Mahrez - Antonio (Firmino)
    Kane - Giroud - Carroll

    Is it worth doing any of the following or should I stick (I lead a few ml and chasing in a couple of other and can't decide if I should play it safe or not).

    1) -4 hit Firmino -> a)Kdb b)Tadic c) Mane
    2 -8 hit Firmino ->Tadic/Mane & Antonio ->Eriksen

    I really can't decide and would love your help. Thanks.

    1. Ultraman
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Oh - And I have triple cap left. Want to use it on a punt - who?

  25. Honeybadger United
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    A. Mane, Long, Kane (-8)
    or
    B. Tadic, Defoe, Aguero (-4)

    1. Steve
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      B but Defoe might be a gamble

      1. Honeybadger United
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        thanks, if Defoe doesn't play I have autosub to save me.

  26. Teddy Brewski
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Arnie or Martial?

    1. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Martial

  27. Steve
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    With all the rumours I might only be fielding 9. Is it worth a -4 for a def, or do I just suck it up?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      It's only a 2 point hit for each transfer in theory. As long as the player you take out actually doesn't play.

  28. Siggy in the Middle
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Chances of 1. Wollscheid and 2. Fosu-Mensah playing?

  29. Vatroslav
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Any final news on Payet? If he doesn't play, who do I bring in for him? Money not an issue

  30. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Play Payet and keep Mahrez first sub or just play Mahrez?