Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.33
Sturridge LIV 1.80
Ibrahimovic MUN 1.83
Benteke CRY 1.83
Walcott ARS 2.00
Sanchez ARS 2.00
Giroud ARS 2.00
Costa CHE 2.10
Nolito MCI 2.10
De Bruyne MCI 2.10
Firmino LIV 2.10
Origi LIV 2.10
Mane LIV 2.10
Lukaku EVE 2.20
Kane TOT 2.29
Toure MCI 2.29
Rondon WBA 2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

Team Odds
Manchester City 1.72
Liverpool 1.90
Manchester United 2.20
Stoke City 2.25
West Bromwich Albion 2.29
Crystal Palace 2.40
Everton 2.62
Middlesbrough 2.62
Arsenal 2.75
Leicester City 2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Shrimpy
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Can I get some help lads? Couple of outs/injuries. 2FT 0.9 ITB.

    Foster, Pickford
    Alonso, Lovren, Evans, Pieters, Amat
    Alexis, Mane, Alli, Siggy, Capoue
    Ibra, Defoe, Carroll

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      mane, defoe -> kun, phillips ?

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        This

      2. danishdynamite
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        I like

  2. That Fantasy Guy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Still mixed responses... first to 3 votes win!
    Do i...
    A. Keep Kane
    B. Kane -> Aguero

    Thanks

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      A

      1. v12w12
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        A

    2. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Keep Kane he's red hot right now,Aguero hasn't hit his yet.

    3. Exeter Gently
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Keep K

    4. NestorC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      A

    5. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B, captain him and enjoy the goal fest

    6. danishdynamite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Assuming it's for a FT then do it

    7. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      B

    8. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers all

    9. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      The first three votes were to keep Kane. Come 11.30 I reckon you'll have Aguero!

      1. That Fantasy Guy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Its so tempting!

    10. MTPockets
      9 years, 7 months ago

      a

    11. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Find a way to have both

      1. That Fantasy Guy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Would seriously disjoint my team :/

    12. Legomane
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I did B, but I have Eriksen and am planning to bring in Alli for Mané later.

  3. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Bonkers to transfer Benteke to Aguero for free this week?

    Or is it bonkers to even be questioning it? Watching MOTD yesterday, Benteke does seem starved of quality service, some of those long balls were all over the shop. I know it's Swansea, but can we really compare Benteke to Aguero whoever the opponent!

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      They're incomparable.

      Aguero

    2. A.T
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not bonkers

      1. Gideons Rolling Another One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Which bonkers? Bonkers to do the transfer or bonkers to be questioning the transfer! Confused myself now!

    3. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Well no, obviously if money's no object you get Aguero. However, if you've already got a couple of big hitters up front, or one and a couple in midfield, then you're going to need someone like Benteke. He does have a cracking run of fixtures. I actually just got him in last night.

  4. Syd.
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Rondon (C)

    1. Exeter Gently
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Bold

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Good chance against Hull

    3. LotusNZ
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Makes 2 of us

      1. WVA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        3!

    4. A.T
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      🙁

    5. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Thinking about it, but currently on Sanchez

  5. kalk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Good morning guys!

    Got 1 free transfers and 0.4 in the bank. Given this team :

    Foster, Pickford

    Walker, Alonso, Jones, Holebas, Amat

    Sanchez, Lallana, Walcott, Redmond, Fletcher

    Ibra, Costa, Defoe

    0.4 ITB, 1 FT

    Cheers mates!

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'd be going Redmond to Phillips.

  6. Exeter Gently
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Who you captaining and why?

    Finding it hard to place this wk between Sanchez, ibra, lallana and hazard.... no city cover

      1. Exeter Gently
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Touché

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Think it has to be Sanchez and then Ibra v/c

    2. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Sanchez.

      Away form. High points ceiling. Bournemouth leak big when they do.

      Any of those guys could get you similar points though.

      1. v12w12
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        This. Sanchez stats outstanding away from home against 'lesser' teams

    3. v12w12
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Sanchez for me

  7. NestorC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Anyone making Brunt (C)?
    I have Sanch and Ibra.

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Go for it. He is due a big one

    2. v12w12
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Not a bad shout against Hull. VC for me.

  8. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    I'm Agueroless. Would you play Heaton over Grant and hope that he can repeat the famous performance against United? Or is this just unnecessary asking for troubles?

    1. Exeter Gently
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      He'll still get save points and united only just won against borough, I'd say he's a good bet

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        What has United only just winning vs Boro got to do with Heaton playing City?

        1. Exeter Gently
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          It means that united aren't convincing and the score line faltered their performance

          1. Exeter Gently
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 7 months ago

            Flattered

          2. Team Cruel
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 7 months ago

            But what has United got to do with this post? Heaton is playing Burnley, Grant is playing Watford.

            1. Team Cruel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 7 months ago

              Heaton playing City*

    2. RubberDucky
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Heaton possible lots of sav points

    3. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Play Grant, Watford are shocking

    4. rdamjan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Trouble.

    5. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Agueroless too - going with Grant. If Aguero hauls he hauls. Not like Kane, Ibra, Costa, Sanchez haven't hauled before.All good players and you can't have them all.

    6. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Cheers guys! Grant stays.

  9. Kun Tozser
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Arnie - wat, sun worth a punt?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Don't trust Stoke attackers - lots of talent, but little output

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Allen

  10. PC ALLSTARS
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Hey guys would you AOA & play De Roon, or hope Holgate plays?
    Cheers!

    Foster
    Baines Ake Holgate
    Mane Sanchez Phillips Siggy
    Luk Costa Kun C

    Subs, Jak De Roon M Wilson Amat

  11. :
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    LOL...Aguero only on 29% in the captains poll. It would have been 69% a few weeks back!

    A lot of people hoping against hope out there.

  12. Bullet Tooth Toney
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Sorry lost on the bottom of the page...

    Anichebe > Rondon worth a -4?

    At the moment I only have 11 fit players including Stones...

  13. wachu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    any ramours if Origi will start in first XI ?

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      No rumours. I suspect he will.

  14. Fernando Torres
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Heaton Pickford
    Amat Chambers Holebas McCauley Pieters
    Lallana Eriksen Hazard Sanchez Phillips

    Kane Ibra Barnes
    0FT 2.5M ITB... would you take a hit for any defenders considering rotation? Was thinking Amat > Bellerin.

  15. matiakez
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Worth doing llorente and firmino
    to rondon and Lallana or just play pieters?

    Have to take a hit for llorente since no money in bank...

    1. v12w12
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I'd do it.

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Would be hilarious

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Scenes here around 2 o'clock

    3. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Imagine the secenes if this happened... Particularly if they then went on to hammer burnley & Pep kept Kun wrapped in cotton wool on the bench until last 10 mins...

  16. Clifford☯
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Who to give the armband to out of

    Ibrahimovic, Sanchez and Rondon

    Any ideas would be welcomed 🙂

    1. v12w12
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Sanchez. Great away form against 'lesser' teams

  17. Sebbo29
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    which of these 3 DEF is most urgent to get rid of?
    Holebas, Cedric, A. Smith

    Watford is awful but Holebas is at least nailed whereas the others aren't

    1. Exeter Gently
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Cedric

  18. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    You think Ibra will start today? He played the full christmas fixtures, might be time for a little rest. Also, Liverpool is their next fixture, could be a tough game.

    I'm trying to justify a Ibra > Kun here 🙂

    1. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      nonetheless, if Ibra blanks today and Kun gets a goal, it will be a Ibra firesale for sure and Kun will be 13.1 by the next fixture surely

    2. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Ibra is a 90 minute freak. He will rest for the FA cup

  19. Kitman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Which one of Holebas, Ake or Cedric should I play?

    Cheers all!

    1. danishdynamite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Cedric

    2. Urchin
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      tough call, Holebas has easier game and on set pieces, just tilts it in his favour.

  20. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Which best defender for 4.5?
    A) Evans
    B) Ake (already have Francis)
    C) Kelly

  21. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    chances of adam smith starting?

  22. danishdynamite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    This might be rather boring, given all the "shall i get Kun" drama, but;

    Play 3 from Alonso / Clyne / Jones / J.Evans

    Currently have Alonso on the bench, which kinda seems nuts. Also have Foster in goal so I'm a bit worried about having too much WBA

    1. Urchin
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      I am also tempted to bench Alonso but his assist or even scoring potential is great - high risk high reward. United arent watertight defence and Jones doesnt score so many goals, i would say bench jones.

      Play Alonso, Evans and Clyne

  23. Caleb's Kitties
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    With alonso a possible doubt, amat banned, smith no longer nailed on..is smith to brunt (or anyone 5.0 or lesser) worth -4?

    Defence: Amat alonso smith mcauley daniels

    1. danishdynamite
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Whoooooooah, Alonso a doubt ???

      1. danishdynamite
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        *Google's it, finds out that Alonso posted a snapchat pic t'other day with some bandaged emojis plastered upon it*

  24. 404_FC
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    who is the best 3rd striker for this week (7.7m) and why ?

    a. defoe
    b. rondon (hav phillips as 4th mid)
    c. benteke
    d. negredo
    e. origi
    f. carroll
    g. crouch
    h. other

    1. Sanchit
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Benteke. Plays Swansea at home

      1. Urchin
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        This

        1. 404_FC
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          thx i go for it

          i hav read a lot of comments no love for benteke, dont know why

  25. Pauntley
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Decided to dump Beneteke after watching Palace yesterday - they are less attacking now, they lack the ability to put in quality balls, Zaha is off to Afcon and Benteke just looks lost up front. Switching to a 3-5-2 - how does this look?

    Heaton
    Alonso, Jones, Brunt
    Sanchez, Hazzard, Pogba, Llalana, Phillips
    Ibra, Costa

    Bench: Ake, Barnes, 3.9 def

    Still have a bit of cash in bank to upgrade Jones or 3.9 eg def to Friend

    1. Gideons Rolling Another One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      Looks good. I'm contemplating dropping him too. For exact same reasons.

      1. Pauntley
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks - I just don't fancy a cheaper third striker and Pogba looks like he is starting to justify his price tag

        1. Gideons Rolling Another One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 7 months ago

          Agree. He's on the watch list too.

  26. bodgejob
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Any Liverpool lineup rumours?

  27. Sanchit
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Start one :

    1. Jones
    2. Friend

    Captain :

    A. Ibra
    B. Sanchez
    C. Zaha
    D. Phillips

    1. bodgejob
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 7 months ago

      1 and B

  28. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Foster
    Alonso Jones McAuley
    Sanchez Hazard Lala Philips
    Ibra Costa Origi

    Bench - Pick* Amat* Holebas Whelan
    3.4itb 0ft

    Options - I'm okay with hits if needs be.

    A. Holebas to Bellerin
    B. Origi to Benteke
    C. Both
    D. Save
    E. Other

  29. -SB-
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 7 months ago

    Foster (Jakupovic)

    Friend | Alonso | Baines

    Sanchez | Eriksen | Alli | Zaha | Fletcher

    Ibra | Costa

    Subs: Jones | Walker | Barnes

    2.4 in bank.

    * Thinking of removing Eriksen for maybe Stering, Lallana, Pogba? I don't know yet.