Paddy Says
14 January 2017 1888 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Fancy a year in China with a few – and by few we mean 30 – million quid to cover some of the basic costs while you’re there?

You don’t have to answer straight away. Have a think about it.

And while you’re doing that, you might as well check out the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds Paddy has lined up for the weekend. Just in case, you know, things don’t quite…work out with the…with the China…thing.

Before that, here’s the latest Enhanced Offers for new customers opening an account this weekend.

And some of them are seriously enhanced,  like the monstrous 16-1 you can get on Liverpool beating Man United in Sunday’s match of the weekend.

If you’re a United fan or just think the Red Devils will win, or both, (what with it being at Old Trafford and everything), then there’s 10-1 available on exactly that outcome.

Sunday’s other offering, Man City v Everton, also gets some odds – 8-1 on Pep’s boys winning at Goodison.

Chelsea’s trip to Leicester was always going to be tricky. The Foxes are vaguely remembering how defending champions are meant to act, while the Blues have now completely forgotten how teams on a long unbeaten run should behave.

And now, you know, Diego and the…the China thing. Still, you can get 8-1 on Antonio Conte to prove that nobody is bigger than the team.

Arsenal beating Swansea looks considerably more predictable, unless Alexis Sanchez gets a pre-match offer to play up front in a 3-5-2 far, far away with Diego, and Paddy are offering 7-1 on the Gunners winning.

The Wenger boys also feature in this week’s Acca, with 20-1 available on Arsenal, West Ham and Chelsea all winning.

The Hammers, who have their own issues with the talent at the moment, are at home to Palace. And at least their unhappy bunny only wants to go back to France.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.80
Sanchez ARS 1.83
Giroud ARS 1.83
Kane TOT 2.00
Perez ARS 2.10
Ibrahimovic MUN 2.25
Wilson BOU 2.29
Son TOT 2.40
Defoe SUN 2.50
Benteke CRY 2.50
Iheanacho MCI 2.60
Hazard CHE 2.62
Alli TOT 2.70
Lukaku EVE 2.70
Batshuayi CHE 2.70
Hernandez HUL 2.80

 

Alexis Sanchez is the overwhelming captaincy favourite of Gameweek 21, but not the scorer of choice for Paddy.

Fantasy bosses look at the Arsenal man’s away goalscoring record (10 on the road, three at the Emirates) and factor in Swansea’s home form (seven goals coughed up in their last two matches) and that’s good enough for them.

Paddy, however, has gone for Sergio Aguero (1.80), compared to Alexis on 1.83. The Argentinian has been drafted in by nearly 76,000 managers ahead of City’s trip to Everton, but he still lags well behind Sanchez’s 36.7% ownership figures.

Spurs entertain West Brom in today’s lunchtime match, with the Baggies conceding, on average, just a goal per away trip.

Harry Kane (2.00) hasn’t scored at White Hart Lane since Gameweek 15 and is owned by just 15.5% of Fantasy managers, so you can see why it is the Arsenal man proving a more popular armband choice there as well.

This week’s bandwagon boy, Dele Alli, has been bought in by a staggering half a million-plus managers on the back of his seven goals in four Gameweeks. He’s at 2.70 to continue that streak.

Coincidentally, Chelsea’s Michy Batshuayi is also at 2.70 to score at Leicester, with Eden Hazard – another contender to take over up top in the absence of Diego Costa – at 2.62.

Of the outliers, the 3.40 you can get on Robert Snodgrass making it three league goals on the spin when Bournemouth visit looks tidy.

Stoke’s Peter Crouch is priced at 3.60 to ‘do a Snodgrass’ at Sunderland, and you can get 6.00 on the third most popular transfer-in of the Gameweek, Albion’s Matt Phillips, to score against Spurs.

* As sharper eyes quickly noticed, we originally stated that Kane was at Evens with Paddy, which was correct when we checked first thing this morning. The odds have since been updated to a decimal value so we’ve changed the article accordingly. Apologies for the confusion, most of which resided with the author.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 21

Team Odds
Tottenham 1.72
Chelsea 2.29
Arsenal 2.40
Watford 2.40
Southampton 2.50
Man United 2.75
Man City 2.75
Middlesbrough 3.00
Bournemouth 3.10
West Ham 3.20

Paddy has really got the hots for Spurs this weekend, making them the clear favourites, at 1.72, to keep a clean sheet.

The news that Nathan Ake has been recalled to Chelsea from his Bournemouth loan has made him the second most transferred-in defender of the Gameweek, with managers presumably taking a punt on him being an immediate, and cut-price, starter in the Blues’ back line.

That’s a proper gamble. Take him out of the equation, however, and Tottenham’s Danny Rose is one of the defenders of choice for Fantasy bosses, with just over 58,000 drafting him in this week.

Middlesbrough’s Calum Chambers just edges Rose for transfers-in and Boro are at 3.00 to keep a cleanie at Vicarage Road, while Watford are at 2.40 to do the same, so Paddy’s getting a 0-0 feeling about that one.

Burnley have just about given up travelling this season. When you’ve managed one whole point from away matches, you might as well save a lot of time, effort and money and just send an email congratulating the opposition on the three points.

But at Turf Moor, they are strangely awesome. And they’re also 3.40 to blank visitors Southampton today. The Saints are priced even lower to keep their sheets clean – 2.50 – so that could be another potential 0-0 worth investigating.

1,888 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Red or Dead
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Barry > Stanislas worth -4, or just start Jones? Want to wait and see for more Costa news

    1. IWR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      100%

    2. nkhoughton
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      from what I have seen costa is dropped for fitness reasons so I would imagine he will be back for the hull game

    3. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      i'd start jones

  2. Tom1912
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC team:
    Foster (Jaku)
    Alonso - Walker - Holebas (Chambers - Amat)
    Sanchez - Ali - Haz - Capoue (Carroll)
    Kun - Ibra - Crouch

    I know it's a weak bench, and had to bring in a £4.2m mid to balance the books...

    1. InSaneMan-e
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      You have a few big hitters, which compromise the rest of the team
      But dont think you can drop Haz for now, so you're ok for this week
      Crouch will lose form for sure at some point, you'll have to downgrade one of the big hitters and upgrade him.

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      No too many weak spots. Capoue 4th mid disaster

  3. nkhoughton
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Is Nyom gonna start this week?

    1. Teddy Brewski
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Doesn't sound too likely imo reading Pulis's comments

    2. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Don't think he got international clearance

  4. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    My squad for GW 21 GTG folks?

    Grant
    Alonso Holebas Love Smith
    Ali Hazard Phillips Sanchez (C)
    Origi Ibra (VC)

    Bench:Pickford,Costa,Mc Auley & De Roon

  5. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Costa to giroud-4? Was considering wildcard.

    Valdes Foster
    Alonso Baines Jones Ake (Amat)
    Sanchez Hazard Puncheon (Morison 4.2)
    Aguero Costa Ibra

    Problem areas: Ake to Brunt, Costa to Giroud upgrade Morison to Philips

  6. Teddy Brewski
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Can I scrape 3 starters today in my defence?

    Bellerin Brunt Cedric A.Smith Amat

    Already made my FT so any change would be for a hit. Have 0.9 itb if i do

    1. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Doesn't look like that.

    2. MagnetBPS
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Bellerin Brunt A.Smith will play

      1. Individual
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        AW said Bellerin is sidelined - Brunt, Cedric, Smith are your 3

        1. Teddy Brewski
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Cedric has been nothing but trouble for me since bringing him in. He owes me 90 mins!

    3. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Middle 3....but I'd consider bellerin > rose

      1. Teddy Brewski
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Hmmm even though it looks like Bellerin will be back next week? There fixtures are so nice and he so attacking. I do like Rose, not sure about a -4 though

  7. seanysheep
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Who to start?

    Ake or mcauley( currently on ake)

    Foster or jakupovic ( currently on foster)

    Cheers.

  8. Swanny18
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Is there any particularly advantageous time to play AOA or is this week as good as any with Ake unlikely to play and my only other alternative being Kingsley?

    1. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Use it when you do not have 3 playing defenders. Do not worry if it goes to 'waste'. Getting 0 points is a win-win for AoA. 😀

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Depends if your lol have a decent front 8 for this gameweek

    3. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I booked myself for using it next week. 🙂

    4. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I wasn't going to use it, but weather seems okay? So I am lol

  9. JÆKS ⭐
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone else planning to wildcard for next week? Fixtures turn around for Everton, WBA, Spurs. Those who haven't sold Costa, will probably also want to get rid. Coutinho back from injury...

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Did my wildcard with that in mind, lukaku will score a lot. Have Phillips and brunt, and got alli and rose in too. Did mean losing the Chelsea lads bar hazard but even he might go for coutinho soon

      1. JÆKS ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Would keep Hazard now he might play as a false 9 though. I just bought Alli as well but for a hit, might ship him or Eriksen on my wc for Coutinho though.

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      WC is for DGW if you serious

      1. JÆKS ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        It wasn't really helpful last year and I still finished just outside the top 1k so

  10. MagnetBPS
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Lallana->Eriksen (-4) Worth it?

  11. Syd.
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Costa spotted getting into a London Cab and asking the driver to take him to Leicester

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Haha - doubt this would happen. He would take a private hire car that had been paid for by Chelsea.

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I thought he was sent to Coventry?

      1. Syd.
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Apparently it was Leicester Square

      2. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I got the joke

    3. Scholes Balls
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      probably leicester square

    4. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Haha Captain Costa

  12. Ed
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Foster
    Pieters Friend Alonso Jones
    Hazard Phillips Sanchez Eriksen
    Ibra Carroll

    If Costa is a no show, that's what I've got.

    So is Costa > Giroud worth a FT?

    1. nkhoughton
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      ill be lucky to get 11 without going -4 this week which is a worry its almost like teams arent playing because of cups

  13. Davy_B
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    what do you reckon guys who would you captain?

    Sanchez
    vs
    Giroud

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Sanchez, play it safe

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Giroud, also on pens and shouldn't be benched with gis form and Wally out

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Difficult. Need to watch the previous matches. Swansea do not concede many goals from outside the box or just inside the box - so you need the player who is consistently getting into those positions. Walcott punished Swansea last time and he is the type of player who gets into those positions.

      I am not sure which of the front 4 for Arsenal will do it today. Hoping Sanchez, but could easily be Giroud or Perez / Iwobi.

  14. Lawrø
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone else feel like Sanchez is more likely to take a pen than Giroud today?

    (Own both so no bias)

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Nope

    2. GE
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Don't think so

    3. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Not at all. He's a terrible pen taker.

    4. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Never

    5. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Wenger was clearly pissed off last time he took and missed

  15. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Any other Giroud captainer here. Its a risk captain him over Sanchez but....

  16. Scholes Balls
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    So, I bought Costa at 9.7 and selling him would mean that I will not be able to fit him anymore. Do I keep him and risk losing the cup match or sell ?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Depends how much you value the Cup...

    2. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I sold for a hit but had no value tied up. I would probably wait and see how the story develops.

      Don't do any moves for the cup!

      1. Scholes Balls
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I would sell if I did not have nearly a mil in him. I will not base my decision on the cup game

    3. S.Agueroooooo
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      This is tough... ive done a fair bit of reading and theres not anymore info out there. His head has been turned, could never play for chelsea again or he could have a change of heart and be back in for hull next week! Some reports doubting giroud starts to add to the mix

      1. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Can you link me up to these Giroud reports

      2. Scholes Balls
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I will not be swapping for giroud as there is too much uncertainty there

  17. lcfc123
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Baines
    Brunt
    Chambers
    Phillips

    Pick three to play this week. Struggling with who to drop

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Toughie, between Phillips and brunt. I'd say brunt

    2. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Phillips

  18. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Team locked

    Heaton
    Azpi-rose-holebas
    Sanchez(C)-philips-firmino-stan
    Ibra-defoe(VC)-costa

    Bench - jaku,bellarin,capoue,pieters

    Good luck everyone

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Not a wirried about Costa?

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Or spelling!

      2. The Overthinker
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        No. What if he starts by travelling on his own?
        If he doesn't I got capoue coming in. That's 2 point in pocket

  19. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Gtg???

    Grant
    Alonso Holebas Rose
    Sanchez(c) Hazard Snodgrass Eriksen Alli(vc)
    Wilson Ibrahimovic

    Pickford Rondon ASmith McAuley

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'd say so, yeah.

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Yes. Nice to see Wilson.

    3. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

  20. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Little stuck on whether I should keep Bellerin for the next two fixtures when I can field this defense for the gameweek:

    Baines (MCY), Holebas (MID), Smith (hul)

    Opinions?

    1. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      No Chelsea defender?

  21. JAC THE CAT
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    When a manager is on a WC does it show 0 GW transfers made.

    Just snooping on a rival.

    1. Jönny
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I believe so, yes.

    2. umerlfc
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Yes it does as soon as he activates the wildcard

    3. I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      yes

    4. JAC THE CAT
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers all

  22. umerlfc
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Isn't Coutinho supposed to be price protected?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Went from red to yellow on the 6th, so no lock. I'll buy tonight I think, 8.2 will be gone soon.

  23. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Play 1:

    A) Holebas (MID)
    B) Friend (wat)

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Tough. How sure are you that Friend will start?

  24. Jönny
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    So, no pre-amble to read, and I'm trying to find ways to delay going to the gym.... here is my attempt at writing my own.....

    THE PREAMBLE

    You might not think there are a lot of similarities between Donald Trump and Antonio Conte. Whereas Conte is a shining example of follicular rehabilitation, Trump looks like he has a dead animal on his head. When Conte sets out to build a defensive wall he just gets on with it, without pretending the opposition are going to pay for it. And the closest Conte has come to an embarrassing ‘watersports’ video is this: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pg6Haz319E0

    However one thing the two men do have in common is this: they both have China on the mind. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RDrfE9I8_hs

    The last thing Chelsea needed this weekend was for their top scorer to go missing. Having had their 13 match unbeaten run ended by Spurs last time out, Conte will have been keen to get back to winning ways this weekend, with a visit to a Leicester team seemingly determined to offer up an even worse title defence than their guests’ the previous year. With the hosts missing a number of their star players do to the African Cup of Nations, the omens were good. But with Costa reportedly having had his head turned by the Special Yuans, and disagreements afoot about his fitness, all the indications are that he will not feature this weekend.

    From a fantasy perspective, your take on this will invariably depend on whether or not you are one of the 38.3% of managers who own the fiery striker. For those who do it will be a source of frustration, and the situation throws up a dilemma. For his part, Costa’s latest Instagram post (https://www.instagram.com/p/BPOKvO4g0sV/?taken-by=diego.costa&hl=en) appears aimed at reassuring his fans that he is still very much a Chelsea man. But there’s no way of knowing at this stage just how long he will be frozen out of the team. With Aguero back, Ibra seemingly fit, Kane in form, and the likes of Defoe and Giroud offering plum fixtures this week, the temptation to transfer him out will be strong.

    Equally, the question of who starts up top in Costa’s place will be a key one. Last time he was missing, due to suspension, Eden Hazard lead the line. With rumours swirling that Conte is keen on Fernando Llorente as a back-up striker, perhaps with Michy Batshuayi heading on loan in the other direction, the suggestion would be that we’ll be looking at the same again. Those holding the Belgian midfielder will be happy with that.
    With the news coming so late in the week, many will have already used their free transfers, and so any move may well include a points hit. Personally, I am in the fortunate position of being a non-owner, having shipped him out for his suspension, and opted for Aguero instead upon his return. It was a move I was having second thoughts on, before the news hit, so I am feeling somewhat jammy today. However the prospect of others being forced into taking hits has got my risky side itching… Having already spent 4 points this week on moving Mane & Sigurdsson out for Alli and Stanislas, I have 3m burning a hole in my pocket. Now, with the possible safety blanket of others taking 4-point-hits, I have a trio of Pogba, Mata and Mkhitaryan all winking at me, encouraging a further splurge to replace Jay Rodriguez. Funny how you can always make a situation that shouldn’t affect your thinking do exactly that.

    More generally, though, I always think that anything that shakes up the landscape of the Premier League is a positive thing for the active FPL manager. Whenever the balance of power shifts, that’s when we earn our spurs. It’s early days yet, but it seems like this news has the potential to herald one of those moments. We may look back at it as a turning point in the season.

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      That opening sentence 😆

    2. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Very good, well done!

    3. SuperDunny - Used to be goo…
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Nice work Jonny

    4. Lawrø
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Bravo

    5. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Nice!

    6. Moves like Dejagah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      This is an excellent article, unfortunately I do own Costa and really don't want to take a hit but chasing in my mini league.

    7. Jönny
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks chaps. Good luck this week!

    8. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Fair play. 🙂

  25. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Done a pick and stick with Kane as captain over Sanchez.
    Hope I don't regret it....

    1. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I brought Kane in for Costa but don't feel inclined to captain him. He could easily get a big score but he just doesn't seem at the races at the moment. Happy to be proved wrong, as a Spurs fan.

      1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Looks like it's paid off mate!! Woo hoo!!

  26. joersherman
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Would appreciate some thoughts on my WC team guys:

    Grant / Valdes
    Rose / Baines / Dann / Brunt / 4.0
    Sanchez / Eriksen / Phillips / Stanislas / 4.3
    Kun / Ibra / Kaku

    0 itb. Cheers lads

  27. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Good luck y'all!

  28. Jimmy Boy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    A) Coutinho + Barnes + Giroud
    B) Fraser + Defoe + Giroud
    C) Pedro + Barnes + Lukaku

    1. Jimmy Boy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      D) Stanislas + Gray + Lukaku

  29. ShaunGoater123
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Will pedro definitely play? And what if Costa back next week?

    Thinking AOA with pedro as 5th mid this week

  30. Sonic Huth
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Better option?
    A. Ake/Alonso- Baines
    B. Ake/Alonso- Rose

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B