Paddy Says
4 February 2017 1233 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Just like a London bus, you wait an age for one Gameweek to turn up and then another arrives three days later.

Or is that a Southern Rail service?

However tempting it might be to have a thoroughly good natter about the country’s transport infrastructure, there wouldn’t be time to detail Paddy’s latest Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds, nor the Enchanced Offers for new customers opening an account today.

Before we look at the former, the latter demand our attention, particularly when you can get 10-1 on Chelsea beating Arsenal at the Bridge.

And if those odds aren’t sufficiently monster for you, how’s about Arsenal at 18-1 to beat Chelsea?

Back on only slightly less dramatic ground, you can get 8-1 on Manchester United winning away at Leicester, while Liverpool are 7-1 to win at Hull.

We thought United beating Hull City was a midweek home banker. We were wrong. But Spurs really should be too much for Middlesbrough at White Hart Lane. If you agree, you can get 6-1 on a Tottenham win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 24

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.53
KaneTOT1.80
JesusMCI1.90
LukakuEVE2.00
BentekeCRY2.10
CostaCHE2.20
IbrahimovicMUN2.25
ManeLIV2.29
SonTOT2.37
Be BruyneMCI2.40
SterlingMCI2.40
FirminoLIV2.50
OrigiLIV2.50
AlliTOT2.50
LongSOT2.62
RashfordMUN2.70


Harry Kane (1.80) and Romelu Lukaku (2.00) are the captaincy choices of most Fantasy managers this Gameweek, but Paddy’s digging in his heels and going for Sergio Aguero (1.53) as the most likely scorer of the weekend.

Has he got Pep’s ear? Not literally, like in a box or something, but does he know something we don’t, like Gabriel Jesus definitely going back to the bench? The Brazilian is 1.90 to score, by the way, so Paddy’s bet-hedging can’t disguise one near-certainty – City will surely score at home to Swansea.

Previous captaincy daddy Zlatan Ibrahimovic (2.25) has now blanked two weeks running in the league – a barren spell he’s not experienced since his six-match drought from Gameweek 5. A trip to Leicester City offers promise, though. The Foxes have kept just the four home clean sheets, and three of those came in the first seven matches of the season.

Another sure-fire skipper of old is Alexis Sanchez. He’s scored six times in his last five away matches, but doing it at Chelsea is about as hard as it gets, which is why Paddy is offering a generous 3.50 on the FPL’s biggest points scorer to keep doing his thing.

Liverpool and clean sheets go together like Abel Hernandez and penalties, but the Uruguayan striker is 3.60 to score against the Reds. Just don’t bank on it coming from the spot.

Do you hear that unholy mix of righteous fury and hollow, ironic laughter? That’s the sound of The Hawthorns when Saido Berahino scores for Stoke at West Brom. Tony Pulis told us all that Berahino is ‘not my problem anymore’. You can get 4.00 on the striker begging to differ.

 

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 24

TeamOdds
Tottenham1.61
Man City2.00
Man United2.10
Crystal Palace2.10
Liverpool2.20
Watford2.29
Everton2.40
Southampton2.40
West Brom2.50
Chelsea2.50



Spurs might have blown the chance to claw back a bit of ground on Chelsea when they could only draw at Sunderland in midweek, but at least they kept a clean sheet.

Fantasy interest in Tottenham defenders remains high as a result – Kyle Walker is the third most popular transfer pick of the Gameweek – and it’s no surprise to see Spurs (1.61) with the lowest price for the visit of Middlesbrough.

Man City being next up at 2.00 is a surprise – they’ve managed just two shut-outs at home all season. Paddy clearly has little time for Swansea’s chances at the Etihad on Sunday, but the Swans put three past Liverpool at Anfield and have five in all from their last two away days.

Everton, with two straight home clean sheets and three from their last four in the league, look well-priced at 2.40 to continue the good work when Bournemouth come to Goodison Park. Fantasy managers agree – Seamus Coleman is second only to Gabriel Jesus for transfers-in this Gameweek, with Leighton Baines and Ashley Williams also in the top 30.

Liverpool have only blanked twice on the road all season, and the last time it happened was in Gameweek 12. That goes a long way to explaining the 6.50 you can get on a Hull clean sheet at the KCOM Stadium. As does the zero – count them, zero – home shut-outs they’ve managed this season.

But things are changing under Marco Silva, and they kept United out at Old Trafford on Wednesday…

  1. nic_b27
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Morning...
    G2G?

    Grant
    Cedric, Azpilicueta, Holgate (Amat, Chambers)
    Lallama, Sanchez, Phillips, Eriksen (de Roon)
    Rondon, Ibrahimovic, Kane

    2 free transfers
    A) Save
    B) Lallama & Rondon - Zaha & Lukaku?

    Thanks

  2. My Name Is Prince
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Why are so many capping Lukaku all of a sudden? Has he looked threatening in the last two? I'm going for Ibra because of Leicester aren't interested anymore...

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Top post

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        :p

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Probably because Bournemouth are in a slump.

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Leicester are in a slump too though...

        1. Chris_White
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Yup.

    3. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      just fixture

    4. A.T
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Leicester are interested in it getting relegated

      1. A.T
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Not*

    5. Squashed
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      With lei at home? Naaah

    6. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Lukaku gets points so he is a contender. As is Kane, Aguero, Costa and Ibra.

      With Leicester there is a gamble as to which Leicester turns up. Will it be the one that drew with Arsenal and beat Man City?

      1. JurgenRocks
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        I'm going with Ibra, because although Everton are at home, Lukaku hasn't been doing too well.

        Also, Leicester have been doing really badly.

    7. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      oh dear, have you seen united and ibra last two?

      1. Somalion
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        He's looked better than Lukaku tbf

      2. FCSB
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Did he score in the 0-0 against Hull??

      3. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        I'm putting the C on him. Leicester are horrible.

      4. My Name Is Prince
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Have you seen Everton last two?

    8. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I don't see the obsession with the last two games, with Ibra or Lukaku. Go back to the last 5 or 6 games and they score loads

    9. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      He's hyped up again, this time because of the blank. Same every season, he's hyped-sold-hyped-sold etc.

      1. Ruth_NZ
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Only because FFS is knee-jerk central.

        Lukaku is a reliable 20-goal a season striker. Not many of those about.

        1. Darklord_bg
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          He's yet to score 20 goals in one season.

          More like 15 goals/season, but I agree he is consistent.

          1. Ruth_NZ
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Incorrect. He scored 20 in 2014/15 and 25 in 2015/16. He is again on track for 20+ this season.

            The two seasons before he scored 16 & 17 when on loan as a younger player.

            My description is therefore accurate, both in sense and in substance.

            1. Darklord_bg
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              I was talking only about the premier league, which is what matters for FPL.

              1. Ruth_NZ
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Incorrect again. To ignore a player's performances outside the PL is a form of tunnel vision.

      2. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        He's pretty consistent over a season, but like most strikers he will have runs of form and blanks. Like other strikers if you've brought him in when he's having a lean spell then that will impact your view on the player.

    10. kUwe Inc.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Because sanchez and costa are in the same game.
      Spurs vs tight Boro.
      Not many own aguero.
      Ibra has been blank for the last 2 gw.
      So, Lukaku is less risky choice i think.

      1. Darklord_bg
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Boro haven't been that tight lately. If I had Kane he would be my first choice.

        Between Kaku and Ibra it's pretty much a coin toss.

        1. kUwe Inc.
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          I own Alli, Erikson and Ibra. Spurs not convincing me. Thus i go for Ibra. You think there will be goal galore in spurs vs boro?

          1. Darklord_bg
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            I also own alli and eriksen but I think Kane is their most dangerous player now. I could see him scoring 2-3 tonight.

          2. Darklord_bg
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            I forgot to mention my two biggest ML rivals have him and will captain him, which is the biggest reason I believe it will happen 🙂

  3. nikornla
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Simplified take two, who to (C):

    A) Walker
    B) Eriksen
    C) Alli
    D) Lukaku

    1. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      C

    2. MTPockets
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Alli

      • Cheester
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Walker

      • JurgenRocks
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        C

      • Darklord_bg
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        A

    3. Danstoke82
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Anything need doing or GTG?

      Heaton
      Alonso Coleman Pieters
      Sanchez Alli Antonio Phillips
      Ibra Costa Kane (c)

      Subs; Robinson A.Smith Clayton Chambers

      £0.4ITB 0FT

      1. MTPockets
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Looks gd

      2. Annie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Play Stan or McAuley?

        1. Sim Simma
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Stan for sure, has a good record against Everton

        2. A.T
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Stan has a great record v Everton. Great fixture for McAuley. I'd probably go Stan

        3. MTPockets
            8 years, 10 months ago

            McAuley

          • Annie
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            thanks for pointing out record 🙂

        4. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          At the moment I think Conte's Chelsea are better than Mourinho's Chelsea. Mainly because the 3 at the back are more defensively solid, but Pedro, Willian and Hazard have a lot of individual flair and creativity allowing the midfield to defend.

          I think Arsenal should play a 4-3-3 / 4-5-1 today to cope with the Chelsea midfield.

          Cech
          Bellerin Mustafi Koscielny Monreal
          Ox Coquelin Iwobi
          Walcott Sanchez Ozil

        5. fijuhmon
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          For a hit:

          a) Evans -> Brunt/Walker/FunesMori and play Stanislas
          or
          b) DeRoon -> Siggy and play A Smith

        6. Ninja Fury
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Capatain confusion

          Kun vs Ibra vs Kaku

          Am I crazy to do kun?

          1. The Man Pastore
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            That's what i would do

          2. Cheester
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Exact same strikeforce. Exact same decision. Kun

          3. MTPockets
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Possibly but also my captain.

            • kUwe Inc.
              • 14 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              If you still own Aguero, just go for him. I think he's due to explode.

          4. FPL Footy Show Pod
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Anyone planning hits for GW28 squad?

            I've 2 hits planned in 27 and 28.

            Also does it mean you pretty much have to WC as soon as GW28 is done?

            1. Team Cruel
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Don't see the point taking hits for that GW. 6-7 players from those teams should be enough (3 EVE, 1-2 WBA, 2-3 BOU/SWA/HUL/WHU)

            2. diesel001
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Not planning hits - can get 8/9 players playing with no hits

            3. GreenArrows
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Can get 11 players using all FTs between now and then with no hits. Then wildcard after

            4. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Avoid them if possible. One is ok .any more is 8 points you may not get back.not worth it.

              Too much emphasis on this imo. Don't pull your team apart for it. Kaku coleman/baines siggy maybe antonio and Carrol brunt and phillips is enough for me

              1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                I have most of these anyway to be fair

                1. GreenArrows
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Same lol

          5. Sim Simma
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Yay or Nay
            Cholebas --> Coleman
            Ibra --> Costa

            1. HellasLEAF
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              for a hit?

              1. Sim Simma
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                No hit plus Ibra is going to blank in GW 26

            2. Cheester
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Nah. Do it next week

            3. acidicleo
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Yay

          6. MoSalah Dosa
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            This does not happen often that I have 2 FTs yet could not find a right transfer

            Heaton Pickford
            Alonso Baines MCauley Holebas Jones
            Coutinho Sanchez Philips Alli Fletcher
            Lukaku Ibra Defoe

            1. Thought of Pickford >> Jaku to cover for GW 28 blank
            2. Or Coutinho + Jones >> Snody + Walker
            3. or simply Jones >> Mori and save one FT

            Thoughts ?

            1. Squashed
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              3

            2. Pegboy
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Probably 3), though it's a toughie.

              I'm in much the same boat with 2FTs and no idea what to do with them.

            3. MTPockets
                8 years, 10 months ago

                1 or 3

              • Ruth_NZ
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                A housekeeping move to prepare GW28 would make sense, I prefer the GK one as Burnley have harder fixtures upcoming.

                Defoe to Deeney also worth a look.

                1. MoSalah Dosa
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Thanks all.

                  Went ahead with Jones >> Mori

                  Its even tougher now to select a starting 11 🙁

                  This is what I am going with.

                  Heaton
                  Baines Mori Holebas Mcauley
                  Alli Sanchez Lallana Philips
                  Lukaku Ibra

            4. HellasLEAF
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Can't decide on best Giroud downgrade.

              Leaning Carroll but not that confident in him. Llorente? Defoe?

              Crouch?

              1. HonestBlatter
                • 14 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Andy

              2. The Man Pastore
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                I would think about blanks and go Llorente. Do you already have Lukaku?

                1. HellasLEAF
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  I do yes

            5. SlackerD
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Really lost what to do - perhaps nothing and waste a ft?

              2 ft - 0.1 ITB

              Heaton - (Foster
              Alonso - Baines - Brunt - (Friend - Friend)
              Sanchez - Eriksen - Sterling - Lallana - Phillips
              Ibra - Kane - (Barnes)

              Thanks!

              1. The Man Pastore
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Get rid of one of the Friend twins

              2. diesel001
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Who is your 5th defender?

                1. SlackerD
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Lol, Amat is 5th

                  1. diesel001
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Would consider Amat to Yoshida.

              3. adam28193
                • 12 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                I would waste it on Amat for holgate if funds allow it or getting a replacement a friend both need to go so no need to waste a transfer.

                1. The Man Pastore
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  this

            6. CelticBhoy1
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Hi guys, is anything urgent needed? I've 1FT and 0.2 ITB

              Foster
              Baines Pieters walker
              Antonio Sanchez Phillips Eriksen
              Ibra(c) Defoe Costa(vc)

              Subs: Pickford Capoue Amat Evans

              1. karvs155
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Good to go!

            7. 404_FC
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              who will get more point for this week ?

              grant (wba)

              or

              jaku (LIV)

              1. karvs155
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Grant imo

                1. 404_FC
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  u sure?

            8. karvs155
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              G2G?
              Forster
              Holebas (BUR) Alonso Brunt Coleman
              Sanchez Alli lallana Phillips
              Kane (c) Ibra

              Jaku, stanislas, Pieters, Anichebe

              1. CelticBhoy1
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                GTG

              2. Squashed
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Gtg

            9. Earn your Spurs
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Hi - I can't see the YMA captaincy article - is it out?

              thanks 🙂

            10. Pegboy
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Hennessey (Jaku)
              Alonso Walker Funes Mori (Jones Amat)
              Sanchez Hazard Alli Eriksen Phillips
              Ibra Lukaku (Diomande)

              2FT £0m ITB

              Obviousy trying to plan for the blanks and thinking Jones downgrade to someone, but who's the best option?

              Nyom?

              1. karvs155
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Nyom looks a Great bet

                1. Pegboy
                  • 15 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Cheers

            11. Jazz!
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Romeluuu Lukakuuuuuuuu

            12. Den
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Head says Kane, Heart says Sanchez for the armband - magic or madness?

              1. My name is an echo
                • 14 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                surely Kane

              2. Squashed
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Considering sanchez has a knack for scoring away. But go kane as better fixture

            13. My name is an echo
              • 14 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              Is Davies a good option considering I have no Spurs defense? Other option is Funes Mori which will be a double up on Eve defense. Van Anholt would also be an option I guess

              1. Pegboy
                • 15 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                Funes Mori for me. Rose could be back in 3 weeks and transfers are vital at this time of year.

                PVA not a bad shout.

            14. Weilong7
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              cech or jaku?
              or cech to lloris for FT?

            15. Herju
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              KDB or Firminho for this week?

            16. nic_b27
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 months ago

              2 free transfers:

              A. Lallana & Rondon out for Zaha & Lukaku
              B. Lallana to Sterling
              C. Save

              1. MTPockets
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  c but if you don't use a transfer you lose it.

                • Squashed
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  A but only kaku

                • nic_b27
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Can't seem to get Lukaku without taking a midfielder out!

                  My team...

                  Grant
                  Cedric, Azpilicueta, Holgate (Amat, Chambers)
                  Lallama, Sanchez, Phillips, Eriksen (de Roon)
                  Rondon, Ibrahimovic, Kane

                  Thanks

              2. Viper
                • 15 Years
                8 years, 10 months ago

                A. Ibra - > Lukaku

                B. Lallana - > Barkley

                C. Save ft

                Thoughts?

                1. MTPockets
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    c

                2. jernej93
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 10 months ago

                  Which 1 to play?

                  1.) Crouch
                  2.) Stanislas
                  3.) Alonso
                  4.) Pieters

                  1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
                    • 15 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    crouch

                  2. Viper
                    • 15 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    2.

                    1. Viper
                      • 15 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Actually Crouch

                  3. MTPockets
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      1

                    • Squashed
                      • 9 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      1 or 2

                  4. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Who to captain?
                    A). Alli
                    B). Eriksen
                    C). Lukaku

                    1. jernej93
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Lukaku

                  5. notidaho
                    • 16 Years
                    8 years, 10 months ago

                    Play foster (STO) or heaton (wat)
                    (playing mcaully & crouch)

                    1. MTPockets
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Foster

                        1. notidaho
                          • 16 Years
                          8 years, 10 months ago

                          Think I agree

                    2. Loðbrók
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Bench 1:
                      A) Holebas (BUR)
                      B) Stanislas (eve)
                      C) Alonso (ars)

                      1. Loðbrók
                        • 11 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        Alonso (ARS)

                      2. Viper
                        • 15 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        A or B

                      3. Tomlette Greggs
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 14 Years
                        8 years, 10 months ago

                        B

                    3. JurgenRocks
                      • 10 Years
                      8 years, 10 months ago

                      Heaton,
                      Alonso, Lovren, Brunt,
                      Eriksen, Sanchez, Siggy, Antonio, Phillips
                      Lukaku (vc), Ibra (c)

                      Grant, Barnes, Smith, Amat

                      G2G?