Selection
21 May 2017 2797 comments
James H James H
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With this afternoon’s Fantasy Premier League deadline edging ever closer, it’s now time to reveal our final differential selections of the season.

There are no second chances after today – our options simply must produce in a one-week scenario, so we’ve turned to three forwards with potentially prosperous home fixtures in the hope they can deliver big hauls to provide a final push.

Daniel Sturridge

For those Fantasy bosses really prepared to roll the dice, Liverpool’s Daniel Sturridge looks the perfect route on offer.

The Reds forward is sat in just 1.6% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, and crucially, Jurgen Klopp’s side go into the final day with plenty of motivation, with a victory at home to Middlesbrough guaranteeing them a top four finish.

Liverpool should also be full of confidence after dispatching West Ham United 4-0 last weekend, with Sturridge a key figure on his return to the starting XI.

The England international opened the scoring at the London Stadium and produced four goal attempts in total, with three arriving from inside the box, while also creating two chances in an effervescent display.

Sunday’s showing reminded us that, on his day, Sturridge is an explosive Fantasy asset, with all the tools to hit the double-figure mark.

Sturridge could also hardly ask for a more favourable match-up to end the season.

No side have conceded more goals than Boro (11) over the last four Gameweeks, while they also rank first for the most shots conceded inside the box (52) and big chances allowed (12) over the same period.

Steve Agnew’s men also have nothing to play for, with relegation back to the Championship already confirmed.

Available at 9.7 in FPL, Sturridge looks to tick all the differential boxes. And placing the captain’s armband on the Liverpool forward could certainly pay off handsomely should he get the opportunity to build on his display against the Hammers.

The potential return to fitness of Roberto Firmino presents a caveat and makes the move something of a gamble. However, after such an impressive performance with a front two last Sunday, Klopp will surely be tempted to preserve Sturridge and strike partner Divock Origi for Boro’s visit, regardless of the Brazilian’s availability.

Sam Vokes

At the other end of the price spectrum is Burnley’s Sam Vokes, who sets us back just 5.7.

The Wales international has been in convincing form of late, scoring four goals in his last four Gameweek starts, and enjoys his own favourable match-up at home to Liverpool’s victims last weekend – West Ham.

As mentioned, Slaven Bilic’s men really struggled in their 4-0 home defeat last time out and will travel to Turf Moor without the significant influence of centre-back Winston Reid.

The New Zealand international is one of several key absentees for a Hammers side that has managed just two clean sheets on their travels all season, so Vokes looks to have the ideal platform on which to maintain his late-season momentum.

The Clarets forward has registered an impressive 30 penalty box touches and 11 shots from inside the box over his last three appearances, and with his confidence levels sky-high, is primed for another strong showing.

Over 34,000 FPL bosses have already drafted in the target man prior to today’s deadline, but he’s still only owned by 3.0%.

Vokes looks unrivalled as a final-day acquisition for those seeking goals on a budget.

Charlie Austin

While Sturridge and Vokes have form heading into Gameweek 38, it’s reputation and a promising home fixture against Stoke City that sees Southampton’s Charlie Austin get the nod as our final selection.

The Saints forward returned from a shoulder injury as a late substitute in the 2-1 win over Middlesbrough last weekend, and following another disappointing outing from Manolo Gabbiadini in the goalless draw against Manchester United, Austin should see some minutes this afternoon.

Taking a chance on the English striker clearly comes packaged with plenty of risk given that he hasn’t started a match since Gameweek 14. But his pedigree, along with the fact he’s only sat in 1.8% of FPL squads, does make him an intriguing option.

Despite a lengthy absence, Austin is still Southampton’s second leading scorer this season with six goals.

His appeal is also boosted by Stoke’s disappointing form heading into the final day.

The Potters have won just one of their last 10 matches and have conceded eight goals in their last four encounters.

With Austin’s outstanding predatory instincts on offer and Southampton’s dire need for a final day cutting edge, it may be worth taking a gamble on the 6.3-priced forward as the ultimate Gameweek 38 punt.

  1. zizoo10
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    capoue or stephens first bench

    1. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Steph

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Stephens

    3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Ste

    4. unlethal
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Capoue bringing back the worst memories from the first half of the season... 🙁

      Stephens though

  2. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do

    Alli and Kosc
    to
    Cout and Azpi

    Thanks

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Not really.

    2. Duffy Dunk
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. jimmy.floyd
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      No

    4. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      No

  3. Tomlette Greggs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    start which Southampton defender?

    A) Yoshida
    B) Stephens

    Stephens more of a BPS magnet?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Stephens

    3. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      B yes

    4. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      B, because yes

  4. 1NVINCIBLES
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Still undecided, please help:

    Cech
    Alonso Alderweireld
    Sanchez Sane King Hazard DeRoon
    Kane Jesus Gabbiadini
    Bench: Jakupovic Stephens Yoshida Chambers

    1 FT

    A. Hazard + DeRoon > Fabregas + Sigurdsson
    B. Hazard + Gabbiadini > Fabregas + Sturridge

    1. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers Fring

    2. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers NestorC

    3. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      B, defo

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks! Very unanimous. 🙂

  5. CERVELO
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Think I'm g2g?

    Pickford
    Alonso Yosheda Davies
    Haz Sanchez Coutinho Silva King
    Kane Jesus(TC)

    Jaku Vokes Cedric Amat

    Thoughts on King vs Vokes for bench?

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Vokes first sub looks good to me.

  6. Legomane
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    A. Hazard Holgate > Coutinho Azpilicueta (-4)
    B. Holgate > Terry
    C. Sané > Coutinho
    D. Save...

    Cech
    Alonso(v) Kompany Stephens
    Sanchez Hazard Eriksen Sané King
    Kane(c) Jesus

    (Pickford Yoshida Holgate Anichebe)

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A

  7. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    I have a 25 point lead on my nearest rival with two others up to 5 points further back. They all have King and I don't. Should I...

    a) Hedge with Sterling > King and bench Gabbi but ignore Liverpool
    b) Don't hedge and just do Ozil > Coutinho
    c) Ozil + Gabbi > King and Sturridge -4

    Cheers and GL for the last GW (unless you are one of said rivals)

    1. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Duffy Dunk
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      b

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers. This is my preferred option in many ways but I then have to,rely on Gabbi or a Sterling.

    3. Man Chest Hair United
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A gotta go for the win

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, I am already in the lead though if you misunderstood my initial post.

    4. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I think the three different answers illustrates my quandary. 😆

      1. 8ball
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        I think C is the easy choice. Have to block Liverpool and King

        1. Art Vandelay
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers.

  8. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Is it safe to start DDG knowing I have Foster on the bench?

    Or just start Foster?

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      DDG.

    2. Man Chest Hair United
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Start ddg

    3. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Just start Foster.

  9. DantheManinaPan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Coutinho or Sturridge?

    1. Man Chest Hair United
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Coutinho

    2. CERVELO
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      If chasing Sturridge, consolidating then Coutinho

  10. Man Chest Hair United
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Best option

    A KDB
    B Sane
    C Hazard
    D Aguero-4

    1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A

  11. Hit Warning: Average Points Per Game
    Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Average Points per Game

    7.1 - Kane
    6.9 - Sanchez
    6.2 - Jesus
    6.1 Hazard
    6.0 - Eriksen
    5.9 - Alli & Lukaku
    5.8 - Zlatan & Mane & Alonso
    5.6 - Costa
    5.4 - KDB & Coutinho
    5.3 - Aguero
    5.1 - Ozil & Firmino & Son & Coleman

    This is why hits are only usually worth it when you have injuries, or for special players, like Kane. The new player needs 6pts or more for you to break-even if the other players starts for 2pts.

    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Great post.

    2. CERVELO
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Spot on fella

    3. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      You dont necesarilly look to break even in the first game.

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        True, if it's a long term move early on it can be worth it. But as it's the last day of the season, I thought this would be relevant 🙂

        1. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Oh, 100% agree on that.

    4. thewhitepele
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Mehh just had decided on a hit and now you post this... Cheers for helping!

    5. Brap.
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Are those averages only for this season?

      Adjusted for opponents?

      Adjusted for home/away?

      What's the methodology for predicting point returns for a single game from average points over a season?

      What's the margin of error?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        This is silly.

      2. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Yes
        No
        No
        Jane Fonda
        Zero, these stats are 100% accurate.

    6. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Agree, but when taking a hit you should really look over the next two or three games. That's why hits for the last gameweek don't seem worth it.

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Agreed!

    7. AA33
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Great post! 🙂

      • 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Definitely made me think of upgrading DeRoon to Stanislas instead of Hazard + Gabbiadini to Fabregas + Sturridge. Hmm..

      • Bubz
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        While I agree with what you're saying, the PPG obviously averages up points in both difficult and easy matches. A hit will be more worthwhile if the player is in form vs an out of form defence for example

        1. Piggs Boson
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah, I agree. RMT in the member's section does these adjustments.

      • Dave Boozle
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers GB.

        the last two games ive seen have been leicester 1 spurs 6 and chievo 3 roma 5 so i think there are goals and points to be had for the adventurous.

      • Klopp For The Kopps 😆
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Got me thinking Now
        I'm doing it mostly for getting Kane and gonna Captain him
        So worth it?

      • Qubit
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        But players rarely score the average. The average is made up of lower and higher points scores - obviously you'd be looking to find those with a higher likelihood of a higher score for that one week.

        However, due to it being the last game, theres one game only to make it back and a good chance of a 2pt rather than a 10pt return for example.

      • XabiAlonso
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        What if you have gabbiadini tho 🙂

        1. Ginola14
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          the only argument against is if you want to risk getting a player that can have a mega haul like kane/cout last week or kakus 4 goals or sanchez hatty vs wham, it can be a calculated risk if you are chasing and goes balls out in the last gw

      • Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Last game fun trying to catch the big haul - inevitably one or two players will surprise us ... my guess ... Vokes, Gylfi, Llorente, Giroud, Sane, Daniels, Milner, Olsson, Zaha & ... umm ... Gabbiadini... all to be in the double digit points 🙂

      • FP El Wonky
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        love me a bit of a good post. Nice one giggs boson.
        This clarifies the hit thing, its mostly daft taking a hit at this stage of the competition.

        1. alexmj
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Turns out most of the top players would've been worth the hit this week .....

    8. thewhitepele
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Ok final question, 2FT:
      Haz, Eriksen, Gabbi to:
      A) Coutinho, KDB, Llorente
      B) Coutinho, Siggy, Sturridge

      Caballero Picford
      Yoshi Monreal Azpi Davies Stephens
      Haz Eriksen King Sanchez Capoue
      Kane Jesus Gabbi

      1. Hotdog
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Which defenders are you starting?

        1. thewhitepele
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Monreal, Azpi and either Yoshi or Davies, can't decide...

      2. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        B

        1. thewhitepele
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          cheers

    9. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      BREAKING: It is believed that Firmino didn't train yesterday, but Origi did.

      Ben Dinnery just now on Twitter.

      1. Ógie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        The question is did Ben Dinnery train this morning?

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Just a light session in isolation, I am told.

    10. scootadee
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Play Cech or cabellero?
      Playing Monreal

      1. Duffy Dunk
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Cab couldn't keep a clean sheet in home matches.
        Watford scored 3 at Chelsea.
        Play Cech

    11. Hotdog
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Which defender should I play out of Stephens holding and Yoshida

    12. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I really need to know if fabregas will start and hazard won't

      1. Kun Tozser
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Call Conte

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Scout picks think Fab will start

    13. Dutte
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Take a -4 to get Fabregas in for Silva?

      1. Rash
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        no

      2. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Noooo. Silva could be in the points.

        1. Dutte
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          All right, ta, lads.

      3. Dutte
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Have Jesus but no Chelsea FWDs.

    14. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Firmino anyone?

      1. Funkyav
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        certainly wouldnt be bringing him in

      2. Zlatan The Magician
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        FPLVirgin has a post above saying that Dinnery Tweeted that Firminio didn't train, but Origi did

    15. Bruno Bruno!!
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Alonso TC worth a shout ??

      1. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        A bit of a punt for TC

      2. Pariße
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Hmm interesting, but I'd consider Kane first if you have him.

      3. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        No

    16. jackhammer1
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Play Yoshida or Zaha?

      Already playing stephens.

      Cheers

      1. Dbz91
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Zaha

      2. MrZ
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Zaha

    17. Lazerball
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Who will get more points today? Alli or Coutinho

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Coutinho IMO

    18. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Fab or KDB to score more this week?

    19. johnnymorrocco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Who do we think is gonna get the biggest humping today??

      1. Mark-O
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Watford

      2. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Sunderland. 8-0 to Chelsea.

        1. Funkyav
          • 17 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          AAAAAGH and I am about to transfer out Hazard!

          1. Duffy Dunk
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 1 month ago

            😀
            get that button away from your finger!

      3. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Sunderland will get a pasting today

      4. Hooky
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Stoke. Gabbiadini hat-trick

        1. johnnymorrocco
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          aaaah don't say that! I feel like i should move him out after last week but there is a risk! But surely he's just rubbish..... but he might score against stoke ............aaaaah

      5. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Hull

      6. Spab
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Hazard captainers

    20. kumast
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Chasing 30 points. Please help.

      My team. *= my differentials. Rival has made 3 transfers for -8.
      Pick, Caballero
      Yosh, Stephens*, Alonso, Monreal, Davies
      Haz*, Alexis, King*, Sane*, Albrighton
      Jesus, Kane, Costa*

      1. Klip Klopp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        How can you tell he has made transfers?

        1. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          I'd like to know this too

        2. kumast
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          You can see this by looking at your rivals page on FPL.

          1. Klip Klopp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 1 month ago

            As in like the comments he has left?

        3. Zlatan The Magician
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          If you go onto his team page on FPL, scroll down to level with the substitutes and on the right it tells you Gameweek Transfers

      2. Funkyav
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        dont go more than -4 then you are already catching them

      3. Vinyl78LP
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        ...is your rival likely making 3 changes to block your differentials?

        1. kumast
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          He´s leading in 4 ML´s so he´s not only thinking about me. But I feel maybe he got King in.

      4. Zlatan The Magician
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        I'd guess that those asterixed midfield players aren't your differentials anymore.

    21. Klip Klopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Play Gabbiadini or Stephens?

      1. Funkyav
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        I think I am playing both

        dont like it one bit

        1. Spab
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Me too, playing both and hoping Stoke crumble

    22. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Hi folks,
      1) Start Luiz
      2) Play AOA to give me this:

      Vert, Clichy (Stephens, Luiz, Manquillo)
      Pedro, Cout, Sanchez(C), JWP, Xhaka
      Kane, Gabbi, Jesus
      1.8mil in bank
      0FT
      Thanks!

    23. MrZ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Is willian a punt? Will he play today?
      Or should i go with tekkers instead?

      1. Klip Klopp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Tekkers

        1. MrZ
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Thanks mate

      2. Dbz91
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Pedro or Cesc?

        1. MrZ
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 1 month ago

          Have cesc.
          1 FT, Money left only 7.8 if goes for midfield (redmond) or 8.3 (gabbi)
          wanna transfer out gabbi with redmond 1st sub... So either tekkers, giroud or vokes in

    24. JasonG123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Play one:
      (A) Monreal (EVE)
      (B) Yoshida (STK)
      (C) Davies (hul)

    25. Michelle Davin
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Ake a good punt to save funds to get kane?

      1. Funkyav
        • 17 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        if you have to

      2. Duffy Dunk
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Get Kane in no matter what

    26. Dbz91
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A little help with a sensible change (or not)... Leading ML by 18 points... he has BB!

      de Gea (Willy)
      Alonso, Yoshida, B. Davies
      Fabregas, Sanchez, De Bruyne, King
      Costa, Kane, Vokes

      De Bruyne to Coutinho?