Opinion
22 August 2017 3973 comments
MyPrettyPony MyPrettyPony
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The Fantasy Gods once again take delight in punishing our jerking knees, budget midfielders vie for our attention and early baths are run all at stadiums all over the country.

Here’s the current Hall of Fame #1 Peter Kouwenberg’s take on another frown-inducing Gameweek.

We need Statto back and fast

Like Socrates, the one thing we know is that we know nothing. Without the reassuring illumination of several weeks’ form and statistics, many FPL managers feel like Thucydides’ account of two ancient armies fighting in the darkness and causing more harm than good through their aimless actions.

Gameweek Two was a prime example.

Based on nothing more than their first 90 minutes of the season being pointless, there were high profile casualties amongst some popular Fantasy Football Scout choices.

Marcos Alonso suffered a net ownership drop of over 65,000 managers, while Javier Hernández (73,000) and Manolo Gabbiadini (34,000) also fell victim to the impatience of the FPL beast, only for the trio to hit back with 16 points, 13 points and seven points respectively in Gameweek 2.

At the time of writing, Hernández is now the most transferred-in player of the week, with almost three hundred thousand new owners. He has four very alluring fixtures in the next five Gameweeks – what a difference a goal or two can make.

By contrast, the hugely popular Ben Davies, Granit Xhaka and Steve Mounie mustered a grand total of five points to suggest that, while some bandwagons undoubtedly do pay off, it takes a particular blend of luck, skill and daring to identify successful diamonds when our statistics tables are so bereft of detailed information.

It is, therefore, difficult to know whether to remain patient or leap aboard the nearest or loudest bandwagon.

Harry Kane represents the acid test for his 1.4 million owners.

An ‘easy game hosting Burnley’ dredges up a horrible sense of déjà vu from last season, while Everton at Goodison Park is unlikely to herald a glut of goals for a striker famously yet to get off the mark in this or any other August.

But can we really overlook his table-topping 14 attempts on goal, 11 in the box and four on target?

More than 86,000 FPL managers can, having already transferred him out this week, whereas Fantasy Football Scout users have him as the stand-out captaincy choice with over 40% of this week’s vote.

So, for the moment at least…

Variety is the spice of life

Although summer is generally my least fruitful part of the season, it is (objectively) the most fascinating period, with an incredible array of options starting well and the notion of a template team banished firmly to the shadowy gloom of winter.

Who, for example, would have expected to see four Watford players in double figures for FPL after two matches?

Despite having just called for caution in overusing truncated statistics, I can’t fail to be impressed Richarlison’s Premier League baptism.

Only the misfiring Harry Kane has had more shots in the box (11) than Andrade’s eight attempts, despite the Brazilian playing an hour less than most of his peers.

Abdoulaye Doucouré (5.1) is another one who may benefit from new manager Marco Silva’s fresh style – only four teams have had more efforts than Watford in the first two matches, whereas last season the Hornets were in the bottom half of the table for this statistic.

At 6.0, though, and with tough fixtures ahead after hosting Brighton this week, Richarlison suddenly finds himself in a hugely competitive price bracket.

Jesé Rodriguez (also 6.0) wasted no time after swapping Paris for the Potteries to produce a match winning performance against Arsenal. He fired in a shot every 23 minutes and sparkled in a wide attacking role.

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (£5.5m) also managed three shots in the box and is another to monitor once Stoke City’s fixtures hit a purple patch, starting with a visit from Bournemouth in Gameweek 9.

Much was expected of Huddersfield Town’s record signing, Aaron Mooy (5.6), among the community and only three midfielders lead the ex-Manchester City midfielder on points at this stage.

Tucked away – both in his midfield position on the pitch and in most of the key statistics tables – Mooy has nonetheless matched Richarlison’s goal and assist from two games.

He certainly ‘passes the eye test’ and could become a great enabler with some appealing fixtures in the short term, before a visit to Wembley to face Spurs in Gameweek 7 signals a more challenging run of opponents.

We need to watch men in black too

When it comes to referees, I could moan for a living about poor decisions, but would barely qualify for your Sunday pub league when it comes to actually picking up a whistle.

Listening to last night’s post-match radio confirmed that I’m not alone in this role, as a succession of Manchester City fans came on to defend Kyle Walker and vilify Ronald Koeman’s touchline antics, while the Evertonion callers inevitably rallied around the ill-treated Morgan Schneiderin (blindly overlooking Calvert-Lewin’s dubious reaction leading to the Walker red card).

Nonetheless, those dismissals brought the crimson count up to seven already, and we may need to take note of card magnets as much as bonus magnets.

Last season saw a record number of bookings in the Premier League (3.7 per match), and the early figures suggest that we should expect a similar number of yellow cards to be flourished by the men in the middle.

However, there were only 1.2 red cards per Gameweek in the Premier League last season (46 in total) and this year seven unfortunates have already enjoyed an early season rest, which makes for a whopping 3.5 dismissals per Gameweek average.

This may, of course, be partly due to match officials across the country unwrapping their shiny new decks and deciding that they need to catch up on June and July’s wasted opportunities, but perhaps the apparent move towards football as a non-contact sport should have a far greater credence in our team selection.

Gary Cahill, Marko Arnautović, Cesc Fàbregas and Jonjo Shelvey all have past form for disciplinary issues, with previous seasons littered with yellow, and even a few red, cards.

While it may seem unlikely that the current rate of dismissals will be maintained (133 red cards in a season would surely leave some teams struggling to get a side out), I will certainly be paying greater heed to my potential targets’ behaviour on the pitch.

Last night, only four points separated Nicolás Otamendi and Kyle Walker, but the greater penalty for Walker’s one million owners is that they now have to bench a 6.5 asset next week, or waste a precious transfer getting rid.

At this stage of the season, that’s the last issue we need to be dealing with.

Posted by pfk

3,973 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jimjam
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    De Gea (Elliot)
    Monreal - Danilo - Davies - Cedric (Hunemeier)
    Alli - Salah - Pogba (Carroll - RLC)
    Lukaku - Jesus - Hernandez

    0FT, 0.0 in bank

    Is it worth doing De Gea & Monreal --> Foster & Jones for a -8?

    Wary about the hit, but catching them before price rises would leave 2.0 in the bank which would subsequently enable Cedric --> Alonso, RLC --> Jese, or Jesus --> Kane..

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Not for me mate! I'd say DDG is a season keeper! No pun intended

      1. Espen8
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Intended or not, 1+

  2. Kevtheotter
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Quick one

    A) Save and No WC next week
    B) KDB to Eriksen WC next week

    Foster
    Kompany Bertrand Bavies
    Atsu Willian KDB Tadic
    Firmino Lukaku Kane

    Elliot Carroll Suttner Long 1 FT 0.5 ITB

    Cheers!

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      A if you are WC next week. I'd want Chicha in my WC so I'd possibly use your FT to get him in! He has a great record against Newcastle too

  3. Tornado
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Worth taking a punt on eriksen alli and kane vs burnley or stick to the template wc of eriksen mane kane?

    1. AYLD28
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Eriksen mane Kane for me

      Arsenal Liverpool could be 4-4

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Prefer Mane to Alli with Erik and Kane!

    3. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      personally, I think its worth the punt. Aside from Everton, their fixtures are delicious. You know those 3 will be involved in every Spurs goal, and they will score plenty. Plus they should all still be nailed for 90 mins around CL time (especially Alli)

  4. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Thoughts on

    KDB + Willian + Ake > Eriksen + Antonio + Dawson

    2 FT, mini wildcard

    1. js007
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      No

      1. AYLD28
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        What don't you like?

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Just do KDB > Erik?

  5. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Looking solid? 🙂 On a -4. Let me know if you need any advice and I'll try my best 🙂

    Foster
    Trippier • Yoshida • Suttner 
    Eriksen • Mkhi • Mané • Atsu
    Kane(C) • Lukaku • Gabbiadini
    (Elliot, Carroll, Daniels, Long)

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Is trippier ok? I thought he had a knock vs Chelsea. Maybe wait for news from Poch.

      Atsu is the only concern, but that's understandable seeing as you have Kane and Lukaku upfront. I think there will be a lot of nervy Kane owners this GW but I fancy him to score.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Poch hinted he was OK yeah! Although I heard he was a little unimpressive! Hopefully he is back to his best for the weekend

        1. Turbolag
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          The real problem with Trippier is that it sounds like the Spurs have a deal in place for Aurier.

  6. jurgenklopp.8
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    would you guys do...

    A) KDB + JWP > Mkhi + Tadic

    or

    B) KDB + JWP > Pogba + antonio?

    thanks!

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I like A!

      1. AYLD28
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        I prefer b

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      A

      1. AYLD28
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Tadic is never a good pick imo, been burned too often

        1. jurgenklopp.8
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          ahaha same! the fixtures are very tempting though...

        2. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 17 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          True. I went for Redmond over him, but Tadic on pens offers good value at 6.5m.

          1. AYLD28
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            Are you keeping Redmond out of interest

    3. Disco Pat
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Can you go mhki and Antonio?

      1. jurgenklopp.8
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        0.1 off so would have to take a -4 in defence

        1. Disco Pat
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          If short .1 then mhki richarilson this weekend. And look to Antonio the week after. Unless taking the 4pts hit for defense this weekend. I think they're both worth it I brought them both in last weekend and made 14pts more post hit than if I didn't so glad it worked for me.

          1. jurgenklopp.8
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 18 days ago

            thanks, i may try that

  7. js007
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    A) Willian--> Pogba(Already have Mkhi)
    B) Kolasinac--> Alonso
    C) Willian and Kol --> Pogba and David Luiz

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Don't think any of those moves are that great! A out of those

  8. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Good to go?

    Begovic (Elliott)
    Cedric - Mbemba - PvA (Mee / Moreno)
    Salah - Alli - Eriksen(v) - Mkhi
    Firmino - Lukaku(c) - Chicarito

    0.5m ITB

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      G2G 🙂 think I'm all set above?

  9. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    I can absolutely see a goalfest coming City's way against Bournemouth, but:

    - Jesus has been hauled off twice
    - This second time at half time, after having played poorly
    - Subbed for Sterling, who came on and scored

    So - does he even start? I'm looking for a reason to keep, but it is getting hard

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I think he's at risk. I would shift if he was in my team

    2. More Tragic
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      just dump him

    3. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I think Kane is a miles better pick this week....

    4. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I'm keeping... But if he fails this weekend he's going for, probably, Firmino.

    5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      you will be saying the same thing every week with city

      Pep is too unpredictable, for me I can't trust him

  10. SADIO SANÉ
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Chance of Pep going with this on Saturday?
    GK
    RB CB CB LB
    Fernandinho
    Sterling KDB Silva Sane
    Aguero

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I think there's a good chance he'll go 433.

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      more chance of 4-3-3. Having said that, with the players Pep has got at his disposal, any formation with any players is basically possible

    3. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      With Pep he might as well play with a 3-2-2-3 for all we know

    4. 1zverGGadeM
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      If he changes formation now then he is actually spiting at his work untill

    5. SADIO SANÉ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      yeah, who knows - one thing I do know is that what I thought about Jesus pre-GW1 isn't what I think now (blaming Pep obviously 😉 )

  11. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Anything need changing? Foster Elliott
    Davies Jones Cedric Mee Mbemba
    Eriksen Mane Antonio Tadic RLC
    Lukaku Aguero Chicharito

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      captain?

      1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Aguero Lukaku or Eriksen, currently on Aguero

        1. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 17 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Yep, I think I'd do the same. Nice squad.

          1. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 19 days ago

            Thank you, best of luck

  12. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Play Tom Carroll or Atsu? Carroll has shoddy Palace away (Palace rubbish at home). Atsu has West ham at home...

    1. 1zverGGadeM
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Atsu imo

      1. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Have you watched the first two games? I think he's really poor... But maybe I'm being harsh.

        1. 1zverGGadeM
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          Yep I did and yes he was not nothing special but based on lower ownership and home factor I think he is the better option than Carroll

  13. Gríma Wormtongue
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Pick one

    A) Jones

    B) B.Davies

    1. 1zverGGadeM
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      BDavies

    2. Ben Mee Over A Table
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Jones

    3. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Jones.

      Utd look solid and are fixture proof as with shut up shop for big games.

  14. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Need to pick up 0.5 to do Willian > Antonio

    Do I do.. KDB > Eriksen or Redmond > Richarlison

    Feel they are both great options

    1. Disco Pat
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I think I'd keep willian and go with the other two transfers this week since you were planning two.

  15. Ben Mee Over A Table
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Play Cedric (HUD (A)) or RLC (SWA (H)) this week?

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      RLC

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Cedric

  16. EL_FENOMENO
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Kdb to Eriksen and Francis to Jones or Danilo to Kolasinac for a -4 ? Worth it?

  17. @FPLMason
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Anybody else considering KdB to Eriksen for a hit?

    1. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      A lot are considering this move.

      1. Flynny
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Have considered...but don't think worth it with city at bourn

    2. The Velvet Neutral Ground
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I just pulled the trigger. Eriksen to rise tonight as well. In the long run I think it's totally worth the -4.

      1. @FPLMason
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        What's daunting for me is the probability of Eriksen doing well and him rising over the IB while having to bring him in early and using that FT on that without thinking about all the probable injuries...

  18. ACCOUNTING ON CHRIS
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Kane Jesus Lukaku front three...

    Thought this would pay off. Now my team structure is all over the place. Another failure from Kane and jesus this weekend and I'm wildcarding

    1. FPL Emu
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      In the same boat

    2. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Kane has the stats to back him tbh... Hoping for a haul from him as well...

    3. Silva’s Left Nut
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Same

  19. ol3andre
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    GTG?

    Foster
    Yoshida - Ake - Danilo
    Mkhi - Alli - Willian - RLC
    Kane (c) - Firmino - Lukaku

    Subs: Myhill, JWP, Mee, Gámez

  20. osullg26
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Matt Philips for his fixtures as a sneaky differential? Pretty much plays up front and is guaranteed gametime... as oppose to Richarilson?

  21. Pirlø's Pen
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    KDB -> Eriksen for free?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Yes

  22. Your Mum's Athletic
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Who do we think is on pens for City?

    1. dark91
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Aguero

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Kun

  23. tafrère
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Who do you think will get more points for the next 5 GWs :

    A) Kane | Cédric

    B) Gabbiadini | Eriksen

    A) Already have Yoshida so Cédric means doubling up on Saints defence.
    B) Already have Alli so Eriksen means doubling up on Spurs midfield.

    1. ol3andre
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      A

  24. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    So looks like I am ditching Jesus for a hit this week (frees up cash, at least)

    Thing is - is Firmino at risk of a benching (rest) himself?

  25. Gruu
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Any advice for gw3 please?

    a. KdB >> Eriksen
    b. KdB Monreal >> Eriksen Baily/Kompany
    c. Mounie Monreal >> Chicharito 4m
    d. Mounie KdB >> Chicharito DSilva

    Foster
    Stephens | Bavies | Monreal
    KdB | Mkhi | Salah | Atsu
    Kane | Lukaku | Mounie

    (Elliot | Daniels | Carrol | Long)
    1 FT, 0m ITB

    1. js007
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B for me

  26. Tornado
    • 17 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Any 4.4m def worth having?

  27. Whazza
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    RLC/Carroll rotation is actually quite nice

    1. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      No returns though.

    2. Royal5
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Jepp. Guaranteed 2 points every week.

  28. Espen8
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Do you think that Eriksen will rise 0.2m this week? Or just the 0.1m tonight?

    1. js007
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Just 0.1 overall this week I guess

      1. Espen8
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Most of the transfers gets done like thursday/friday, I think he maybe can rise by 0.2m

  29. js007
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    would you guys do...

    A) Willian + Salah > Pogba + Sterling

    or

    B) Kolasinac + Salah) > Pogba + Alonso ?

    And I Already have Firmino
    thanks!

  30. RVP20
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Will Phil Jones rise tonight, he is on 96.5% at the minute?