Opinion
22 August 2017 3973 comments
MyPrettyPony MyPrettyPony
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The Fantasy Gods once again take delight in punishing our jerking knees, budget midfielders vie for our attention and early baths are run all at stadiums all over the country.

Here’s the current Hall of Fame #1 Peter Kouwenberg’s take on another frown-inducing Gameweek.

We need Statto back and fast

Like Socrates, the one thing we know is that we know nothing. Without the reassuring illumination of several weeks’ form and statistics, many FPL managers feel like Thucydides’ account of two ancient armies fighting in the darkness and causing more harm than good through their aimless actions.

Gameweek Two was a prime example.

Based on nothing more than their first 90 minutes of the season being pointless, there were high profile casualties amongst some popular Fantasy Football Scout choices.

Marcos Alonso suffered a net ownership drop of over 65,000 managers, while Javier Hernández (73,000) and Manolo Gabbiadini (34,000) also fell victim to the impatience of the FPL beast, only for the trio to hit back with 16 points, 13 points and seven points respectively in Gameweek 2.

At the time of writing, Hernández is now the most transferred-in player of the week, with almost three hundred thousand new owners. He has four very alluring fixtures in the next five Gameweeks – what a difference a goal or two can make.

By contrast, the hugely popular Ben Davies, Granit Xhaka and Steve Mounie mustered a grand total of five points to suggest that, while some bandwagons undoubtedly do pay off, it takes a particular blend of luck, skill and daring to identify successful diamonds when our statistics tables are so bereft of detailed information.

It is, therefore, difficult to know whether to remain patient or leap aboard the nearest or loudest bandwagon.

Harry Kane represents the acid test for his 1.4 million owners.

An ‘easy game hosting Burnley’ dredges up a horrible sense of déjà vu from last season, while Everton at Goodison Park is unlikely to herald a glut of goals for a striker famously yet to get off the mark in this or any other August.

But can we really overlook his table-topping 14 attempts on goal, 11 in the box and four on target?

More than 86,000 FPL managers can, having already transferred him out this week, whereas Fantasy Football Scout users have him as the stand-out captaincy choice with over 40% of this week’s vote.

So, for the moment at least…

Variety is the spice of life

Although summer is generally my least fruitful part of the season, it is (objectively) the most fascinating period, with an incredible array of options starting well and the notion of a template team banished firmly to the shadowy gloom of winter.

Who, for example, would have expected to see four Watford players in double figures for FPL after two matches?

Despite having just called for caution in overusing truncated statistics, I can’t fail to be impressed Richarlison’s Premier League baptism.

Only the misfiring Harry Kane has had more shots in the box (11) than Andrade’s eight attempts, despite the Brazilian playing an hour less than most of his peers.

Abdoulaye Doucouré (5.1) is another one who may benefit from new manager Marco Silva’s fresh style – only four teams have had more efforts than Watford in the first two matches, whereas last season the Hornets were in the bottom half of the table for this statistic.

At 6.0, though, and with tough fixtures ahead after hosting Brighton this week, Richarlison suddenly finds himself in a hugely competitive price bracket.

Jesé Rodriguez (also 6.0) wasted no time after swapping Paris for the Potteries to produce a match winning performance against Arsenal. He fired in a shot every 23 minutes and sparkled in a wide attacking role.

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (£5.5m) also managed three shots in the box and is another to monitor once Stoke City’s fixtures hit a purple patch, starting with a visit from Bournemouth in Gameweek 9.

Much was expected of Huddersfield Town’s record signing, Aaron Mooy (5.6), among the community and only three midfielders lead the ex-Manchester City midfielder on points at this stage.

Tucked away – both in his midfield position on the pitch and in most of the key statistics tables – Mooy has nonetheless matched Richarlison’s goal and assist from two games.

He certainly ‘passes the eye test’ and could become a great enabler with some appealing fixtures in the short term, before a visit to Wembley to face Spurs in Gameweek 7 signals a more challenging run of opponents.

We need to watch men in black too

When it comes to referees, I could moan for a living about poor decisions, but would barely qualify for your Sunday pub league when it comes to actually picking up a whistle.

Listening to last night’s post-match radio confirmed that I’m not alone in this role, as a succession of Manchester City fans came on to defend Kyle Walker and vilify Ronald Koeman’s touchline antics, while the Evertonion callers inevitably rallied around the ill-treated Morgan Schneiderin (blindly overlooking Calvert-Lewin’s dubious reaction leading to the Walker red card).

Nonetheless, those dismissals brought the crimson count up to seven already, and we may need to take note of card magnets as much as bonus magnets.

Last season saw a record number of bookings in the Premier League (3.7 per match), and the early figures suggest that we should expect a similar number of yellow cards to be flourished by the men in the middle.

However, there were only 1.2 red cards per Gameweek in the Premier League last season (46 in total) and this year seven unfortunates have already enjoyed an early season rest, which makes for a whopping 3.5 dismissals per Gameweek average.

This may, of course, be partly due to match officials across the country unwrapping their shiny new decks and deciding that they need to catch up on June and July’s wasted opportunities, but perhaps the apparent move towards football as a non-contact sport should have a far greater credence in our team selection.

Gary Cahill, Marko Arnautović, Cesc Fàbregas and Jonjo Shelvey all have past form for disciplinary issues, with previous seasons littered with yellow, and even a few red, cards.

While it may seem unlikely that the current rate of dismissals will be maintained (133 red cards in a season would surely leave some teams struggling to get a side out), I will certainly be paying greater heed to my potential targets’ behaviour on the pitch.

Last night, only four points separated Nicolás Otamendi and Kyle Walker, but the greater penalty for Walker’s one million owners is that they now have to bench a 6.5 asset next week, or waste a precious transfer getting rid.

At this stage of the season, that’s the last issue we need to be dealing with.

Posted by pfk

3,973 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Thoughts on my WC Team??

    Foster (Elliot)

    Jones Cedric Trippier (Mbemba Mariappa)

    Salah Eriksen Pogba Richarlison (Carroll)

    Kane Lukaku Chicharito

    Any suggestions?

    1. laplana
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Trippier is 2nd choice behind Aurier.

      1. Totti
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        will aurier transfer to spurs?

      2. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Have they actually signed him?

        1. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 19 days ago

          I dont think so, but a deal is very, veru close

    2. Totti
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      very nice

    3. Fingerspitzengefühl
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Downgrade Richarlison and use the money to upgrade Mariappa. Could be useful with a playing backup in a couple of weeks time

      1. johnnybeefcake
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        I'm not so sure I want to downgrade Richarlison though. He looks incredible value at 6.0

        1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 18 days ago

          agree. trying to work him into my team

    4. Uncle Gamst
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Good for now but if Chicarito doesn't keep up the good form then downgrade and upgrade defence as could bite you in the bum

  2. Hazardous Hazard
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Whats the opinion of Kola? Don't see Arsenal keeping a cs against Liverpool or Chelsea which means that we'll need to rely on attacking returns which again is very much anything from guaranteed.

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I am still not convinced by Arsenal's defensive capabilities, especially if Monreal continues as CB. Is Koscielny coming back next GW?

      1. Hazardous Hazard
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        Heard that he might be back, don't know if he'll be able to change their defensive issues in just 1 gw

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      I had
      i ditched.
      he'll probably score against Liverpool now.

  3. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Asked this a few times but just want a definite answer:

    A)Mane and 4.5 def

    B)Salah and Jones

    Currently on Jones.

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      Jones a rotation risk according to this site.

      1. johnnybeefcake
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        rotation risk this week?

        1. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 18 days ago

          in general

    2. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      B

    3. Uncle Gamst
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      B) you can always shift Jone later if necessary

    4. MrZ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      A with the watford boy

  4. Dreams
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Good morning Dzzers. How are you all doing on this fantastic Wednesday morning?

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      it's morning here

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 19 days ago

        evening*

    2. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 19 days ago

      mornning Dreams ... just off to bed myself!

      1. Dreams
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        Haha. Good night Lackless.

  5. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    cut out from last page. got a couple responses. but trying to make a move and call it a night

    Jesus Ake KDB > Kane Alonso Richarlison -4
    or should I just trust Jesus and KDB..

    1. Ben Mee Over A Table
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Huh, I could've sworn from the replies I saw on the last page that you had already made your decision to pull the trigger on this one.

      Regardless, I approve.

    2. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Hard call ideally Kane Alonso and one from city probably Jesus. Not very affordable.

    3. waldofeen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Same problem for me, no city cover. Going to wait a few weeks to see what way the team settles.

  6. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Would you get in Alonso or Trippier/Bavies this week?

    1. vartshk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      I prefer alonso as spurs def a bit up the air with transfers right now

      1. Henryyy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        what u mean up the air? popular?

    2. waldofeen
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Aurier deal close

  7. Uncle Gamst
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    I have 2 FT and 1.0 ITB but haven't a clue where to start on this bunch of misfits. I think that those marked * will need to go soon but need to free up some funds and also bring in Kane at some point as he will start scoring.

    DDG
    *Danilo, Alonso, Bertrand
    RLC, Alli, Carroll, Silva
    Firmino, Jesus, Lukaku
    Bench: Elliot, *JWP, *Mariappa, *Daniels

    A) DDG > Foster to enable Jesus > Kane
    B) DDG > Foster, Firminio > Austin and JWP > Pogba for -4
    C) Just do DDG > Foster nd roll over a FT
    D) Open to suggestions

    Thanks

    1. Four Letter Wirtz
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Or, you could keep DDG and instead get a WBA defender for either Danilo or Daniels.

  8. cult
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 19 days ago

    Ake > Jones for a hit 4pt hit...

    Does this basically cancel its self out..

    Likely score;
    AKE: 2pts
    JONES: 6pts - 4pt hit = 2pts

    1. Dreams
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Not really. Don't be too sure of a Jones clean sheet or an Ake blank. You may regret it later.

      1. Ben Mee Over A Table
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        I honestly think a Jones CS this week is more likely than Ake even managing 2 points, but perhaps I'm biased being a Jones and Aguero owner

    2. MrZ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Yes if you planning to use jones only for 1 week.

  9. Lav
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Bottomed DZ, just want a few more opinions here...

    Hennessey (Fabianksi)
    Bertrand Daniels Dawson (Dunk Mason)
    De Bruyne Alli Willian Ritchie (Carroll)
    Kane Lukaku Rodriguez

    A. Daniels, KDB, Willian out (-8)
    B. Daniels, KDB, Rodriguez out (-8)
    C. WC
    D. Something else

    1. vartshk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      D. Daniels to Jones

  10. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Is Jones nailed for this week??

    1. More Tragic
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      90%

  11. Sahil Yadav
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Best short term Daniels replacement?

    Not convinced by Jones since Man Utd have Leicester and Everton in next 3. Man Utd aren't gonna win 4-0 every week.
    Or am i wrong and get Jones?

    1. Dreams
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Get Jones for the time being. He's in good form and Man Utd have some good fixtures.

    2. MrZ
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      I wouldn't

  12. Little Frank
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Any thoughts about Calvert-Lewin as a third striker? Only 5.0. played 90 mins in both games for Everton and got 2 assists. Tough fixtures coming up in the next three but it means I can get Alonso, otherwise I'm looking at Chicarito + a 5m def.

    1. Differential C (Mark)
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Great if he is nailed. Unfortunately, Alex Sandro provides a bit of competition. Although, his performance should warrant a starting place in XI

      1. Little Frank
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        Yeah, that was my worry, although Sandro, Rooney and Calvert-Lewin all started against Stoke.

        1. Differential C (Mark)
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 18 days ago

          Tom Davies is the replacable link, I guess

      2. MrZ
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        He should be alright, last time i heard alex sandro is still in juve

    2. Third Eye Vision
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Wait until the end of the transfer window. If Everton buy a CF then it might dramatically reduce his minutes.

  13. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Last time ill ask,
    A)Mane and 4.5 def
    B)Salah and Jones

    1. vartshk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      B as long as jones is playing

    2. Dreams
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      A

    3. Sahil Yadav
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      A

  14. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Which one lads?

    1) Daniels>Jones

    2) Jesus>Firmino
    Daniels>Alonso [-4]

    3) Jesus>Morata
    Daniels>Trippier [-4]

  15. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Man City v Bournemouth last 4 games.
    Wins to City
    5-1
    4-0
    4-0
    2-0
    I'm really nervous about selling KDB

    1. Hazardous Hazard
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      That is why I'm probably sticking with him for the gw

  16. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Thoughts on my wildcard team?

    Foster (Elliot)

    Cedric Jones Trippier (Mbemba Mariappa)

    Salah Eriksen Pogba Richarlison (Carroll)

    Kane Lukaku Chicharito

  17. _Greg
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Just looks like Eriksen and Lukaku rising tonight:

    http://www.fplstatistics.co.uk/

    1. Dreams
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Yess!

  18. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Should I go for Jones and a 4.0 or two 4.5's?

    1. Ben Mee Over A Table
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      2 4.5's (and I own Jones)

    2. Totti
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      2x 4.5

  19. Hazardous Hazard
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Daniels > Dawson/Jones/Trippier

    or

    Daniels and Kola > Dawson/Jones/Trippier for a -4

    1. Totti
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      daniels to trippier

  20. Totti
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    already owning
    danielo daniels
    ritchie ince Jwp

    1FT 0.5 itb
    A) daniels to jones or trippier
    B) jwp to RLC and danielo to alonso (-4)
    C) jwp to richarlison/phillips
    D) other suggestion

  21. Patty
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Bench 1
    A. Kolasinac (liv)
    B. Carroll (cry)
    C. Sutter (wat)

    1. Schliegs
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Suttner, Watford looking good

    2. Totti
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      suttner

  22. Schliegs
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    1.4m itb

    A) Daniels -> Hegazi (bank another.3m for when Sanch/Haz come back)
    B) Daniels -> Davies
    C) don't take a hit and ride out Daniels' shitty form and fixtures

  23. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    who is the best value for a 4.5 defender?

    1. Schliegs
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Britos, Watford looking good and good fixtures ahead

  24. Sillet Bang
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    De Gea
    Jones Alonso Davies
    Siggy Dacoure Erik Silva
    Luka@ Firmino Mounie

    Foster Mooy Bertrand Zanka

    Rmt sort of ended up with this lot 100.5

  25. Lav
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Phil Jones to rise tonight? Can I wait another day?

    1. _Greg
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      1 more day I think

      1. Lav
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        I shall wait then

  26. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    What does signing of hoetd mean to Yoshida/Stephens? One of them goes to bench?

    1. Dreams
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Yet to be seen what role he'll play. They have 6 CBs atm.

  27. cult
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Tuanzebe getting close to becoming first 3.9 fodder enabler...

    1. _Greg
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      I saw Carrick had dropped to 4.4m...not ideal on a united asset!

    2. Cato Fong 你好
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      He's Utd though 🙁

  28. Sterling is £11Mill..…
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Any good for a WC team?
    Aguero - Kane - Kaku
    Mkhi - Antonio - Jese - Richarlison
    Alonso - Maguire - Schindler
    Elliott

    1. Sillet Bang
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Punty like it though

      1. Sterling is £11Mill..…
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 18 days ago

        having to play Elliott sucks but I like the rest.

  29. Schliegs
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    What's the deal with this hectic christmas period that they talked about on scoutcast? anyone got a link to an article?

    1. Dreams
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Check the schedule between Nov. 15- December 31. It's very tight.

    2. Fantasy Football Friend!
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Yeah, took me by surprise as well. Had a look at fixtures and don't know what they were referring to.

    3. Gnu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Is this your first season watching BPL?
      Serious question, not being cheeky.

  30. johnnybeefcake
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 18 days ago

    Does britos look like the best 4.5 defender??

    1. Schliegs
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      yes

    2. BananaNose Maldonado
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 18 days ago

      Possibly. Fosu-Mensah racks up the BAPS and could be a nice pick if Palace tighten up a bit.