Scout Notes
17 September 2017 3652 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Another big win for Manchester United flatters to deceive as Romelu Lukaku produces a double-figure haul that still may not be enough to halt sales of the Belgian.

Earlier in the day, Chelsea and Arsenal play out a goalless draw which saw David Luiz become the next Chelsea defender to see red to cause a headache for his sizeable ownership.

Here are the notes from Gameweek 5’s final fixtures.

Lukaku’s late show fails to halt sales

When Antonio Valencia crashed the ball into the Everton net four minutes into the match, a 4-0 result looked like the least Man United could expect from their day’s work.

By the end of an often lethargic showing, three late goals put a decidedly flattering gloss on the exact same outcome.

Romelu Lukaku was wasteful until the final flurry in which he scored once – his fifth goal in as many league matches this season – and set up the equally disappointing Henrikh Mkhitaryan for the midfielder’s first strike of the campaign.

Lukaku’s 12-point haul could and should have been doubled. He missed a big chance in the first half having been put through by Juan Mata, and then seemingly surrendered penalty duties to Anthony Martial for United’s fourth goal.

Indeed, post-match, Jose Mourinho provided some insight on that situation – indicating that Lukaku may well have relinquished duties from this point on.

“The penalty-taker today was Juan Mata, but he was out, so I let the players take the decision.”

That may compound matters for Lukaku, who, despite today’s 12-points, continues to see his ownership dwindle.

Over 51,000 managers have already sold him ahead of Gameweek 6 and, having been part of 60% of squads, he is now down to 55.6%, having suffered close to 108,000 sales going into Friday’s deadline.

That still means a majority of managers remain happy with the returns on his 11.7 price tag, though there is a feeling that the Belgian is closer to a barren run than a bonanza.

He led the way with four attempts today, but Jesse Lingard‘s 29-minute cameo produced more penalty area touches (6) than Lukaku’s five, with the substitute’s flick also setting up the forward’s goal.

United’s fixtures are on the cusp of stiffening. A Gameweek 6 trip to a defensively organised Southampton will be tough, although a visit from Crystal Palace a week later should prove rather more fruitful.

After the October international break, however, United will travel to Liverpool and Chelsea and entertain Spurs in what could be a treacherous four-Gameweek spell.

Sergio Aguero‘s 20-point burst at Watford, allied to a long run of good fixtures to come for Man City, has reminded us all that the Argentinian is Fantasy royalty.

More than 216,000 have now bought him since yesterday’s hat-trick, with Roberto Firmino (39000+) and Lukaku (37,000+) the main fall guys.

Mkhitaryan, who tops the FPL midfielder standings after his nine-points against the Toffees, remains a far more popular target than his team-mate, aided by the injury to Paul Pogba.

The Armenian is already the fifth most-bought player for Gameweek 6, with the majority (as happened ahead of Gameweek 5) swapping him in for Pogba.

And United assets at the back are still delivering good returns, with Phil Jones (5.1) unlucky not to sweep up bonus points – his baseline of 17 was easily the strongest in the Red Devils’ defence – with only Valencia’s goal scuppering the chances of extra points.

As for Everton, their horrifically tough start to the season is now at an end, and it’s come at a heavy price.

The side have been winless since a narrow Gameweek 1 victory over Stoke City, and they’ve lost three straight in the league, conceding ever more goals as they’ve gone.

Confidence is low, and their attack is toothless – only Swansea City have managed fewer attempts than the Toffees’ 42 (Spurs lead the way with 105).

At 4.3, right back/wing-back Cuco Martina could be a bargain now that Everton’s schedule takes a turn for the better (BOU, BUR, bri). We’ll learn more as to his starting credentials when coach Ronald Koeman decides on his line-up for Wednesday’s Carabao Cup tie against Sunderland.

No goals, but points to be had

Arsenal visiting Chelsea and leaving with a point from a goalless draw was one of the more surprising results of the weekend.

It was great news for the 10.9% of managers who tempted fate by sticking by Sead Kolasinac, the muscular Bosnian recording a second consecutive clean sheet to keep him top of the Gunners’ defensive standings with 23 points.

His added attacking threat just about justifies the hefty 6.0 outlay he demands, and if Arsenal can continue to show the resilience on display at Stamford Bridge, he looks the most attractive route into an often untrustworthy backline.

The match was not a classic – Danny Welbeck led the way for goal attempts with a meagre three – and it was another case of wait and see when it came to the sides’ two big-ticket men Alexis Sanchez and Eden Hazard.

Both had to make do with appearances from the bench and the 11.9 required to secure Sanchez’s services looks too high a price to be pay until he’s starting and scoring regularly, even with an immediate schedule – WBA BHA wat – that promises much.

Hazard, at 10.5, is rather kinder on the wallet, and Chelsea’s fixtures are even better, a Gameweek 7 visit from a rampant Man City notwithstanding.

But coach Antonio Conte has made it clear he will not be rushing the Belgian back into action too quickly, and neither should we if he continues to be given limited pitch-time.

That Man City match will have to be endured without David Luiz as the 24.0%-owned Brazilian was given a straight red towards the end of today’s encounter.

The centre-half, an ever-present at the heart of the defence this season, will now miss two Gameweeks, with Antonio Rudiger his most likely replacement.

Luiz at least left it until he’d earned his owners a clean sheet. The 21.2%-owned Marcos Alonso was also in the points, but he was way off the bonus points with a BPS score of just 20 – only Luiz recorded a lower score among the Blues’ backline.

His 68% pass completion rate had much to do with that and the Spaniard’s net ownership is currently in decline, even though the 30 points he’s racked up makes him the highest-scoring Chelsea defender.

It would seem, however, that FPL managers expect extra from Alonso – like his two-goal, 16-point show stopper against Spurs, for instance.

For a price of 7.1, they may have a point, but Alonso is still producing consistent returns, and only five defenders have scored more points than him thus far.

One big-name player not producing so regularly is Arsenal striker Alexandre Lacazette.

His 11.5% ownership base has paid 10.4 for 17 points to date, but after scoring against Bournemouth last time out, he was subbed off on 66 minutes at Chelsea having mustered just a single shot on target – a big chance he failed to convert.

The competition for places in our forward lines is intense. Twelve strikers have scored more points than Lacazette, while just three of them cost more than the Frenchman.

His days of double-digit ownership look numbered.

3,652 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    9 years, 1 month ago

    *Foster *Myhill
    Davies *Bertrand *Aké Jones *Long
    Eriksen *Coutinho *Mooy Carroll *Romeu
    Kane *Lukaku Firmino

    1FT 1.0ITB
    A. Lukaku > Aguero(c)
    B. Bertrand > Mendy
    C. Aké > Kolasinac
    D. Coutinho > Salah

    Would obviously consider a hit...taken a (-4) in each of the last 3wks...

    E. *WC out > Fabianski Elliot Alonso Naughton Mbemba Salah Atsu RLC Aguero

    Cheers all, really hope you've all had better FPL weekend than me!!!

    1. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
      9 years, 1 month ago

      C, maybe D. Your team isn't in need of a wildcard I'd say

  2. bojack
    9 years, 1 month ago

    "[Kolasinac's] added attacking threat just about justifies the hefty 6.0 outlay he demands"

    Just about?

    He looks more like a 6.5.

    1. Sims
      9 years, 1 month ago

      yes he looked far more attacking than alonso

    2. Greenbackbøøg…
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Would you choose him before Mendy?

    3. Tommyg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 1 month ago

      He's my transfer for Daniels this week unless there are injuries.

      Looks cracking for the price and fixtures.

    4. A Betting Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 1 month ago

      But Wenger.

      At least there is no Ox anymore...

  3. hammersp2000
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Best defender 5.5 or under out of these

    Otemendi
    Keane
    Mustafi
    Monreal

    1. mikess
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A for me

    2. teki0s
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Monreal

    3. Atimis
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A/D

  4. Atimis
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Ideas?

    A) Eriksen Jesus (No Pool, have Kane)
    B) Salah Kun (Have Kane)

    1. Atimis
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Kun will probably go up tonight and I will be outpriced...

    2. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Salah Kun

  5. michudagawd
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Does this team need wildcarding? I had a bad week after ditching Lukaku.

    Elliot
    Jones Suttner Bertrand
    Alli Salah Antonio Brady
    Jesus Kane (c) Firmino

    Foster - Carroll Lowe Long

    1 FT, 0.7 itb

    My transfer thinking is Bertie to Kolasinac otherwise. Cheers.

    Cheers.

    1. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I don't think it needs wildcarding, I like Bertrand to Kol

  6. Ocrana
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do Alli to Silva to get some City cover? Front is Firmino, Kane and Kaku. Still have hope that Kane will be a massive differential with everyong going Aguero and Pepe resting him. Hopefully.

  7. mikess
    9 years, 1 month ago

    3 transfers in all scored. Transfers out all blanked . Obviously doing something right yet being No Lukaku Captaining Kane owner meant my overall rank fell

  8. Norman Conquest
    9 years, 1 month ago

    why is there no pl on the 11th and 12th nov

    1. Sims
      9 years, 1 month ago

      int break?

    2. Big Mac 24
      9 years, 1 month ago

      World cup playoffs I0'm guessing

      1. Big Mac 24
        9 years, 1 month ago

        The first legs will be played on 9–11 November, and the second legs will be played on 12–14 November 2017. The winner of each tie will qualify for the World Cup.

    3. michudagawd
      9 years, 1 month ago

      International break.

    4. Norman Conquest
      9 years, 1 month ago

      another one urrggghhh cheers

  9. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
    9 years, 1 month ago

    _____, Elliot
    Alonso, _____, Jones, Naughton, Mbemba
    _____, Salah, Choupo, Brady, Carroll
    Morata, Lukaku, _____

    A) Foster, Cedric, Mkhi, Aguero [4pt hit]
    B) Forster, Kolasinac, Alli, Firmino

    1. mikess
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A

  10. rogerbarton
    9 years, 1 month ago

    How crazy is this team? Too unbalanced?

    Foster - Elliot

    Bavies - Jones - Cedric - Mbemba - Lowe

    Mkhitaryan - Silva - Ritchie - Grob - Tom Carroll

    Kane - Lukaku - Jesus

    Is there even a school of thought that I should upgrade Jesus to Aguero?

  11. Nicks93
    9 years, 1 month ago

    I was wondering, I can go Kane, Lukaku, Kun at the expense of having a midfield of Salah, Alli, Atsu and Chalobah/Carrol
    The question is, is there that much value in midfield to sacrifice having such a terrifying striker force ???

    1. Fred54
      9 years, 1 month ago

      As Troopz would say Midfield is dead fam. DEAD. Understand.

      But seriously its Salah, Eriksen and lots of cheapie fillers.

    2. rogerbarton
      9 years, 1 month ago

      I'm thinking of doing similar. I guess the question is do we trust premium midfielders as much?

      For me, Salah has question marks on rotation, Alli and Eriksen are fine choices but being hampered by Wembley, de Bruyne is probably not a much better pick than Silva right now, Hazard and Sanchez haven't done anything yet. I'd say Mkhi is the best shout all round but he's fairly cheap anyway.

    3. Nicks93
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Kane, Kun, Lukaku is just too tempting

  12. Greenbackbøøg…
    9 years, 1 month ago

    The real move to get ahead of the curve now is Lacazette, West brom home and Brighton home coming up. Probably getting Kola for those fixtures

    1. Drip Doctor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Problem is he's not very good. If u=you want to get ahead of the curve, get Sanchez, though i'm not sure he'll be worth the money.

    2. Sims
      9 years, 1 month ago

      can see lacazette getting benched if welbeck recovers. sanchez to come in

      1. Greenbackbøøg…
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Welbecks injuries are never short

    3. TheTinman
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Welbeck killing Lacazette stats wise.

    4. MTPockets
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Same on Kola. Maybe even for a hit.

    5. Kun Tozser
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Dropped him for Kun

    6. HashAttack
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Wait for him to go down to 10.3 (-87%)

  13. ignis88
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Play Maguire or Doucoure next week?

    1. Tommyg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Dou

  14. semiconductor
    9 years, 1 month ago

    I have 5.6m for a mid. Who would I get? GroB??

    Or should I get Ottamendi and a 4.5m mid and go 433?

  15. Kanteisking
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Bit of help before the price changes roll in

    Foster
    Davies, Jones, Monreal
    Atsu, Salah, Mooy, Eriksen
    Kane, Lukaku, Firmino
    Sub: Francis, Holgate, Carol, Elliot

    a) Kane to Aguero - No hit
    b) Lukaku to Ageru - No hit
    c) Kane and Mooy to Jesus and Sterling -4
    d) Kane and Holgate to Aguero and Otamendi -4

    Thanks heaps

  16. GalacticosFC
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Wildcard team - 0.4itb
    Fabianski - Elliot
    Kolas - Bavies - Lascelles - Naughton - Martina
    Eriksen - Salah - Ritchie - Gross - RLC
    Aguero - Lukaku - Vardy

    I found it pretty much impossible to fit Kane in my team so I will have to hope Eriksen offers me sufficient cover.

    Opinions welcome. 🙂

  17. BrutalLogiC
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Forster / Elliot
    Davies / Jones / Mee / Cedric / Long
    Mkhit / Erik / Atsu / Willian / Caroll
    Aguero / Lukaku / Firminho

    Any suggestions?

  18. Rainer
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Kolasinac or Bellerin? Who won the eye test today, lads?

    Looking at one in for the next 2 GWs before WC.

    1. TheTinman
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Probably Kolasinac

    2. Sims
      9 years, 1 month ago

      bellerin today but kola better pick

      cheaper
      threat on corners and indirect free kicks
      bellerin looks more of an assister but kola has more goals

      1. michudagawd
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Bellerin is cheaper than Kolasinac.

        1. Sims
          9 years, 1 month ago

          thought bellerin was 6.5...must have been last season

    3. TooDifficuIt
      9 years, 1 month ago

      i was going to get kola but looked at bellerin stats he created more chances

  19. We Will Klopp you
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Need to ressurect my season from the grave Kane has put it in, think my issue is having only one explosive captain

    Team is:
    Fabianski (Elliott)
    Davies Jones Clark (Naughton Rosenoir)
    Salah Mkhi Brady Eriksen (Chalobah)
    Kane Morata Firmino

    Which option looks to be the best?
    A) Eriksen to Silva, Morata to Aguero -4
    B) Eriksen to Silva, Morata to Lukaku -4
    C) Stick
    D) other, please sugest

  20. El Lobito 10
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Sorry - Repost

    Please choose:

    A. Alonso and Morata
    B. Bertrand and Kun

    🙂

    1. Tommyg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. El Lobito 10
        9 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  21. HD7
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Daniels to Kola for -4 is justified right?

    1. F4L
      9 years, 1 month ago

      ya

  22. Cojiro
    9 years, 1 month ago

    WC which week, Gw6 or Gw8?

    Looking at the fixtures Spurs and united's fixtures worsen at gw 8 so it's difficult to decide who to lose for Kun

  23. FPL Maldini
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Is Jones going up in price tonight?

    1. AllanM
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Looks likely

    2. TooDifficuIt
      9 years, 1 month ago

      i don't think so

    3. Norman Conquest
      9 years, 1 month ago

      he might dodge it tonight

  24. F4L
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Mark is 1.6 million . Thought my 1.1 mil rank was bad

    1. TheTinman
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Mark ducked up with his wildcard even if he won't admit it

  25. AllanM
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Frustrating GW but could have been worse. I think I've got nearly all my 50:50 calls wrong so far this season.

    1. TheTinman
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Ouch

  26. Fuchs Mane Kante
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Hope they all keep selling Kane and Lukaku.

    1. AllanM
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Aye. Kane will smash it the next couple of weeks.

    2. Sims
      9 years, 1 month ago

      more people are acutally buying lukaku

    3. TheTinman
      9 years, 1 month ago

      No way would i sell Kane if i owned. Definitely not for Kun

  27. TheTinman
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Tricky little selection this week.

    Fabianski
    Davies Bertrand Naughton
    Eriksen Salah Ritchie Gross
    Lukaku Jesus Morata

    Elliott Caroll Dawson Long

    Not keen on Fabianski Naughton double up. Not keen on Bertrand or Dawson for poor fixtures.

    Question is do I make a transfer (0.3m itb 1FT) and accept that I will wildcard in next international break or do I try and run this team for a while longer and save the FT.

    1. MTPockets
      9 years, 1 month ago

      Sot fixtures pretty good for some time, exc gw6. Wba same until gw10.
      Fabianski/Naughton maybe a bit much, but think I'd basically stick with the team using FTs.

  28. F4L
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Front 7:

    Silva Cho-Moting Salah Eriksen Mkhi

    Kane Aguero

    FT used, anyone worth changing? Was thinking possibly Mkhi to Ramsay

    1. TheTinman
      9 years, 1 month ago

      It's tasty. Unless you have 2FT I would leave it.

      1. F4L
        9 years, 1 month ago

        cheers, FT used. Don't really fancy any hits

  29. Everyday im Schneiderlin
    9 years, 1 month ago

    any changes needed here?
    foster
    jones trippier heghazi
    atsu erickson salah mikhitaryan
    aguero kane firmino
    elliot kiko carroll mdemba

  30. Trevez
    9 years, 1 month ago

    Should I Do one of these
    A Willian-> grob

    B Willian->silva Stephens->Mbemba for a hit