Opinion
2 November 2017 948 comments
Crab Dogg Crab Dogg
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Fantasy Premier League’s reigning champion, Ben Crabtree, is finding his title defence…problematic.

But after a disastrous start, recovery is in the air, although it’s a slow and often painful process.

In the second of a series of articles from the champion, Ben details where it’s gone wrong and how he’s attempting to put it right.

Back to basics

After Gameweek 4, I was just inside the top three million.

Even though it was early in the season, it felt like all credibility gained last year had disappeared.

The outlandish ambition of back-to-back wins was well and truly over, so the plan was to hit a few good scores, get back on track, sneak up the rankings, win a few mini-leagues and achieve a respectable ‘season after’ finish.

To some extent, that happened up to Gameweek 7 when an Alvaro Morata hat-trick helped me to a 130,000 Gameweek rank, which was followed by a correct Harry Kane captaincy call to put me up to 1.6 million overall.

My next move was to use two free transfers and one hit to swap Christian Eriksen, Jese and Marcos Alonso to Raheem Sterling, Leroy Sane and a defender, with Nicolas Otamendi a consideration.

I had planned it all, and it paid off massively…..for those that did it.

The Morata injury threw me, and I somehow ended up with Eden Hazard and Dominic Calvert-Lewin in my team, while omitting City players altogether.

I’d been three transfers away from how I wanted my team to be, only to move another two transfers in the wrong direction.

The City demolition hurt and, after bringing in Sterling for a blank while Sane continued to pound big scores, I’d fallen back to thinking about the previous Gameweeks rather than the upcoming ones.

Now placde just inside 1.6 million, things have improved. But there’s still much to be done.

From the distant memory of last season, the method for success in this game can be simplified into two rather obvious decisions: pick good captains and make good transfers.

My Captains

For Gameweeks 5 to 10, I made the following captaincy choices:

Gameweek Captain Points Top in team Points
5 Kane 2 Lukaku 12
6 Kane 13 Morata 17
7 Kane 13 Kane 13
8 Kane 2 Eriksen 11
9 Morata 1 Kane 16
10 Morata 5 Kolasinac 14


Each Gameweek, I’ve had the option of a great captain pick but only made the right, or a high-scoring, choice twice out of six.

In a Gameweek with no obvious captains, Sead Kolasinac could have even been chosen this week – similar situation last season had me captaining Leighton Baines for 15 points. Attacking defenders should be considered for the few occasions when the big-hitting attackers look unlikely to produce.

Forty seven extra points were achievable across those six Gameweeks just from picking the correct captain alone. I need to be closer to the maximum over the next five.

For the upcoming Gameweeks my plan for the armband currently looks like this:

Gameweek Option 1 Fixture Option 2 Fixture
11 Kane CRY Aguero ARS
12 Aguero lei Kane ars
13 Kane WBA Aguero hud
14 Aguero SOT Morata SWA
15 Morata NEW Kane WAT



The faith in Kane, who appears to have made a full recovery from his hamstring injury, is obvious. For the Palace clash, he may have a relatively low ownership given that he’s dropped under 30%.

I’ll always be worried about captaining Sergio Aguero, but the potential is huge. Already with a 20-point tally under his belt, in this City team, we can surely expect further big hauls to come.

This could change should Romelu Lukaku come in to my team for his favourable fixtures.

My Transfers

For GW5 – 10 my transfers have been:

Gameweek Transfer out Transfer in Immediate points Average GW points
5 Chicharito Morata 1 6.33
6 Hegazi Kolasinac 6 5.6
7 – – – –
8 Jese

Morata

Hazard

C-Lewin

2

5

2

5

9 Hazard

C-Lewin

Alonso

Sterling

Morata

Ward

Benched

1

1

3.5

3

6

10 Lukaku Aguero Benched 0


I looked at the immediate gains and then compared them to the overall points per Gameweek that they provided when in my team. I feel that this gives me a clear indication of whether a transfer has been worthwhile or not.

As a result, there has been very little immediate success, but I’m hoping Kolasinac, Morata, Aguero, Sterling and Stephen Ward are good picks that will pay off over time.

Kolasinac’s 14 points may have convinced me to stick with him through the next two tricky fixtures where before I was looking at alternatives.

For upcoming fixtures, assuming I keep three big forwards, my transfers are likely to be based around swapping defenders as they come to the end of their shelf life. I’ll also be tweaking the midfield.

The returns from Ruben Loftus-Cheek as a fourth midfielder will play a key part in whether to switch money from defence to midfield.

My Targets

Currently, I’m looking at the following players:

Defenders

Charlie Daniels (4.9) – With six strong fixtures in a row, he finally looks poised for a run of clean sheets and possibly further attacking returns.

DeAndre Yedlin (4.4) – The full-back is cheap and could be a long-term defender to rotate. Has been getting stronger Bonus Points System (BPS) scores than Jamaal Lascelles of late.

Jamaal Lascelles (4.7) – The Magpies skipper is possibly a touch too expensive, and this would also give me a double with the Newcastle defence (I already have Rob Elliot). However, the goal threat on the end of set-plays is tempting.

Federico Fernandez (4.5) – He has some kind fixtures and is favoured in the BPS in a clean sheet scenario. However, he would require a rotation partner.

Nicolas Otamendi (5.9) – The City defender doesn’t allow for money to be moved into midfield, but the clean sheet and goal potential is obvious.

Kyle Walker (6.6) – I prefer the right-back to Otamendi, but he comes at a premium. Maybe 0.7m extra is too much, but he might just finish on around 170 – 180 points if he can avoid rotation. Four assists in nine games screams of further big hauls to come.

Chris Smalling (5.3) – If he plays, he’s another bargain defender with Jones. I bought Jones for 5.0, so 10.3 invested could return 12+ points regularly. He seems unlikely to retain his start, but I’m monitoring the situation.

Kevin Wimmer (4.4) – Although Stoke City have been abysmal at the back, they may be due their familiar cyclical run of form where they suddenly become hard to beat – particularly with Ryan Shawcross now fit. Keenly priced, Wimmer is another to consider if he can secure his start.

Midfielders

Leroy Sane (8.7) – Not signing Sane to this point is my major regret. I will possibly leave him for another Gameweek, with Christian Eriksen hosting Palace, plus I already have Sterling and want to avoid a transfer hit.

Wilfried Zaha (6.9) – For Gameweek 13, he looks to be an option that I need to plan for. Particularly with Christian Benteke’s return some weeks away.

Aaron Ramsey (7.0) – The same applies to the Arsenal man, who, like Zaha, is hinting at outstanding value in midfield.

Eden Hazard (10.6) – I’ve chosen Morata over him for now, but his form in a potential No 10 role demands monitoring.

Pascal Gross (5.8) – He has become annoyingly consistent and has made me regret that I doubted his ability to return in a shot-shy Brighton side.

Ademola Lookman (5.2) – As an Everton fan, I really like Lookman and can’t believe how little he’s featured so far. If he starts a game and does well, he will become an astute cut-price signing.

Forwards
Romelu Lukaku (11.6) – At some point, he is going to have to come back in. It’s just a question of for who and when.

I’ve currently got a few options open, but none of them excite without taking hits. So I’ll probably hold the transfer this week, monitoring the players above to see who emerges as the most urgent.

All in all, the first ten Gameweeks have been my worst run of form since the Luis Suarez 2013/14 season.

Maybe I should have quit, left on a high and then I wouldn’t have found myself glued expectantly to Burnley versus Newcastle on Monday night.

But football isn’t as good without FPL, so I’ll just have to keep battling through each Gameweek. With so many options this season, there’s still plenty of potential for big swings in either direction. I just need to hope the next falls in my favour.

A few simple tweaks can make all the difference. For Gameweek 11, captaining Kane or Aguero and banking my transfer is going back to basics.

Hopefully it pays off.

948 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. POMO
    9 years, 7 days ago

    1FT. 0.5 ITB
    Monreal to Jones, yes or no?
    Anything else?

    Elliot (Foster)
    Naughton, Lowe, Daniels (Monreal, Mee)
    Sterling, Ramsey, Richarlison, Silva (RLC)
    Lukaku, Kane, Firmino

    1. Danstoke82
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Yes get Jones

    2. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Yes, even if you don’t play him this week you’ll want him straight after

  2. I Have No Idea What I'…
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Worth a -4?

    Out: Kolasinac and Lukaku
    In: Daniels and Kane.

    (I already have Eriksen)

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      if you have the extra mill itb, then just kaku to Kane.

      1. I Have No Idea What I'…
        9 years, 7 days ago

        I don't though. Only 0.1 in the bank. Would you take a -4?

        1. Feloh
          9 years, 7 days ago

          for Kane yes, do it

    2. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Yeh why not

  3. Kingtekkerz
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Who to take out for Kane?
    A) Jesus
    B) Morata

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      morata

      1. POMO
        9 years, 7 days ago

        B

    2. La Roja
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Jesus

  4. That Was Easy!
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Only 1 person out of about 50 on Spurs forums are predicting a Davies start...my replacement off the bench for him if he doesn't' start: Cresswell...he could get negative points.

    I have 2.8 ITB, do I take a hit to go Chalobah > Someone or perhaps bring in Mee for Davies

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Davies to mee

    2. That Was Easy!
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Can I expect Mee to outscore Cresswell by 4? I'm not so sure unfortunately.

    3. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Surely there are other options other then mee for a 5.6 defender?

      1. That Was Easy!
        9 years, 7 days ago

        He's the top choice for me 5.0 and under, and I'm trying to free up funds. No sense in bringing in a defender from a big team this week.

    4. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      wait for pressers

  5. Paul
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Should I be taking a hit to take Jones in place of Kola/Bertrand this gw???

    as i’ll be priced out of my other moves for the next few gws otherwise??

    My other move would be
    Morata > Kane

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      no

      yeah just morata to kane

  6. HD7
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Next GW team, right order ?

    Elliot
    Walker Jones Simpson
    Sterling Atsu Eriksen Tarroll
    Kaku Kane(C) Jesus

    Subs: Fabianski, Kola, Chalobah, Mbemba

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      play kola fabianski, bench Carroll and Elliot

      1. HD7
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Have more faith in Elioot vs Bournemouth than Fab vs Brighton...

  7. samaael
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Elliot
    Mee/ Alonso/ P.Jones
    Sterling/ Salah/ Silva/ Richarlison
    Kane/ Morata/ Joselu

    Foster/ Otamendi/ Chalobah/ Mbemba

    0.8ITB 1FT

    a) Joselu to Abraham (which means I will take a hit next week to get Lukaku in)
    b) save
    c) sterling to someone like Mahrez? (which means I will take a hit next week to get Lukaku in)

  8. purple.emu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Is Kane worth a -4 if swapping with Morata?

    1. Danstoke82
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Yes as it's Kane.

  9. Danstoke82
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Best 5.6 defender to bring in that isn't Jones? (Already own him)

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      stones

      1. Danstoke82
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Cheers!

  10. asquishypotato
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    1 ft, 2.1 itb

    Kiko, Jones, Cedric, Otamendi, Martina
    Erik, Salah, Silva, Ritchie, Caroll,
    Jesus, Morata, Rooney.

    No clue what to do.
    Best thing I can think is Jesus>Kane? Not afraid of hits either!

  11. Ronnies
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Guys,

    Thoughts on Silva > Mahrez ?
    I have Sterling.

    a) Yes
    b) No.

    1. Danstoke82
      9 years, 7 days ago

      No. City irresistible in attack.

    2. eyezil
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Like Mahrez as a punt. Potential to be more explosive, and if he produces, nice fixtures up until Christmas. Silva obviously more consistent and playing in a creative side that scores more, but I can also see him being rested for a couple fixtures.

  12. Ambu
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Jesus to Kane for -4 worth it?

    1. Sandy Ravage
      9 years, 7 days ago

      definitely worth getting Kane in, even if he blanks this gw

    2. 2hotty
      9 years, 7 days ago

      I would

  13. The Rock
    9 years, 7 days ago

    0.6 short to do Laca to Kane so should I do:
    A) Lukaku to Kane
    B) Do the above along with Laca to Sturridge for a 4 point hit.

    Using WC following week.

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      will sporridge play if cout is fit? I'd rather go firmino

  14. Sandy Ravage
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Is Jones likely to rise tonight? Have the right amount to get him for Naughton, but Swansea might do well at home vs Brighton

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      if you won't be priced out just hold till after IB then bring him in

      1. Sandy Ravage
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Thanks, I got him already. Seems like a rhetorical question comparing their stats, and will prioritise what to do about Jesus after the IB.

  15. 2hotty
    9 years, 7 days ago

    who to bench out of these playing four at the back

    1 jones
    2 luiz
    3 naughton
    4 lowton
    5 otamendi

    Thanks?????????

    1. Rash
      9 years, 7 days ago

      4

  16. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Team is:

    Elliot (Foster)
    Alonso, Kola, Jones (Rosenoir, Hunemeir)
    Eriksen, Sterling, Richarlison, Salah (Carroll)
    Jesus, Lukaku, Joselu

    Jesus and Alonso to Kane and Ward?

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      kaku to Kane, Jesus will surely play

      1. Darth_Newdar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        9 years, 7 days ago

        0 shots for Jesus in the last game when he played 81 minutes.

        1. Kavorka
          9 years, 7 days ago

          1 bad game?

    2. Kavorka
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Not sure you want to go without Lukaku for next 3 after this GW

  17. Feed tha Sheep
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Have 2Fts which one to do?
    A. Morata> Kane
    B. Lukaku > Kane
    C. Vardy & Kolasinac > Kane & Chilwell
    D. Vardy & Ramsey > Kane & Atsu/Doucoure

    1. Feloh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      morata to kane

  18. ManUtdFan_UK
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Who to drop for Kane? (Considering the one I don't take out this week will make way for Lukaku next GW)

    A) Jesus
    B) Morata

    1. Rash
      9 years, 7 days ago

      B

  19. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Anyone got the link for the top 10k stats

  20. Rash
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Who would you rather have salah or alli already have the great Dane

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Salah

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      salah if you have eriksen

  21. diesel001
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Hadn't realised Triggerlips was shutting down his website. His form ratings and form tables were doing well.

    1. Paul
      9 years, 7 days ago

      yeah heard it a couple of days back

    2. George Sillett
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Yes . He finds chess more exciting

  22. Paul
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Bench 1

    A) Jones
    B) Bertrand
    C) Ward
    D) Stones

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Ward

      1. Paul
        9 years, 7 days ago

        cheers 🙂

    2. Paul
      9 years, 7 days ago

      anybody else???

      1. Sandy Ravage
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Stones

  23. Darth_Newdar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Does this look sensible?

    Sánchez and Jesus --> Sané and Kane

    Elliot
    Otamendi, Daniels, Yoshida
    Eriksen, Salah, Sané*, Richarlison
    Kane (c), Morata, Abraham

    Speroni, Mee, Loftus-Cheek, Dunk

  24. Nanoelektronicar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Cedric is ok as autosub if Davies doesn't play?

    1. FC Lackless [BALEGIUM]
      9 years, 7 days ago

      when, and yes he's fine.

  25. That Was Easy!
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Pool have last 3 of their last 4 (not the most recent one) to WHU at WHU...interesting.

  26. La Roja
    9 years, 7 days ago

    What the heck do I do here?

    Elliot
    Alonso Jones Bavies
    Antonio* Ritchie Sterling RLC
    Laca Kane Lukaku

    Foster Lowe Chalobah* Mbemba*

    1FT & 0.8 ITB

    A) Antonio ➡ Richarlison
    B) Antonio Laca ➡ Aguero Richarlison -4
    C) Antonio Laca ➡ Salah Vardy -4
    D) Antonio Laca Alonso ➡ Aguero Salah Moreno -8

    1. Monkey Hanger
      9 years, 7 days ago

      A.

    2. drughi
      9 years, 7 days ago

      C

    3. Dosh
      9 years, 7 days ago

      B

  27. Danstoke82
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Best 5.6 defender to get that isn't Jones and add to the below defence?.

    Own; Jones, Mee, Naughton, Rosenior.

    1. 2hotty
      9 years, 7 days ago

      daniels duffy monreal trippier maguire

  28. dan_247
    9 years, 7 days ago

    1FT 0.2ITB, any suggestions?

    Elliott
    Cedric, luiz, stones, Daniels
    Richarl, Choupo, Sane
    Jesus, Kane (c), Vardy

    Fab, coutinho, Mee, RLC

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Wait for update on Coutinho I think.

      1. dan_247
        9 years, 7 days ago

        Would you save or transfer if he's out? Or possibly take a -4 hit for 2 transfers...

  29. Kavorka
    9 years, 7 days ago

    Who will score more next 6-7 GWs Vardy or Firmino ?
    Just enough cash to do Vardy/Firmino --> Kane
    ML rivals have Vardy and Salah. No LIV for me except Firmino.

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Keep Firmino - Liverpool are playing West Ham this week which should be a straightforward win for them.

  30. ChristoBisto
    9 years, 7 days ago

    What do you reckon? :

    Elliott

    Azpi / Jones / Otamendi / Daniels

    Salah / Alli / Sane

    Abraham / Kane / Vardy

    (Pope, Dunk / Zaha / RLC)

    1. Darth_Newdar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 years, 7 days ago

      Looks good to me