Spot the Differential
16 December 2017 1543 comments
James H James H
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Two players who scored in midweek and now face favourable home fixtures have taken our fancy in our latest differential picks.

We’ve also been drawn to a West Ham midfielder whose improved performances of late suggest he could return to haunt his former club later today.

Shinji Okazaki

Following a sensational display in Leicester City’s 4-1 win over Southampton, Shinji Okazaki is our headline selection ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.

The Japanese international produced 16 points via two goals, an assist and maximum bonus, which tied for the highest individual score of Gameweek 17.

Despite being limited to just nine starts this season, the 5.2%-owned forward has still produced an impressive six goals and two assists.

Interestingly, he is averaging a shot every 37.5 minutes, which is superior to team-mate Jamie Vardy (53).

The in-form Foxes face a favourable match-up in today’s early kick-off.

Only Stoke City have conceded more big chances (26) in away matches than the Eagles (24), while Roy Hodgson faces a defensive injury crisis, with Mamadou Sakho, Joel Ward and most likely Timothy Fosu-Mensah all sidelined by injury.

Meanwhile, no team has scored more goals over the last four Gameweeks than Leicester (10).

Available at 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League, Okazaki has the potential to be an absolute steal.

He scored in a 3-1 win for the Foxes in the corresponding fixture last season, and given his current form, looks an outstanding differential option.

Marko Arnautovic

Returning to the bet365 Stadium for the first time following his summer move to West Ham United, we’re backing Marko Arnautovic to produce against his former club Stoke City.

The Austrian netted his first Hammers goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Chelsea and has been their chief goal threat over the last four Gameweeks.

He has produced more shots (eight) and three times as many penalty-area efforts (six) as any other West Ham player.

He is also ranked top for penalty box touches over that period, with 21.

Stoke’s defensive struggles make this fixture a promising one for David Moyes’ side.

The Potters have conceded more goals (36) and allowed more big chances (42) than any other team this season.

They have won only one of their last seven encounters and are currently just two points above the relegation zone.

Following a slow start to his career at the London Stadium, Arnautovic appears to be finding his feet at his new home.

Priced at 6.8 and sat in just 0.6% of squads, he represents a major differential.

For those maverick Fantasy managers out there, the West Ham midfielder could represent the ideal punt for Gameweek 18.

Jesse Lingard

Flourishing in a No 10 role for Manchester United, Jesse Lingard looks a great option for Sunday’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

The England international has produced double-digit scores in each of his last two away appearances, totalling 27 points.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks are particularly eye-catching.

No team-mate has produced more penalty-area efforts (eight) over the four matches, while he has received four big chances, with no other Man United player managing more than one.

Lingard has also emerged as the stand-out creative force, leading the way for key passes with seven.

Setting us back just 5.9 in FPL, the midfielder is a hugely enticing budget option.

Sunday’s match at The Hawthorns could be very profitable for the Man United attack.

The Baggies have conceded 11 goals in their last five home matches, shipping at least two goals on four occasions. 

Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in their last two away trips.

The Red Devils also benefit from a very kind upcoming schedule, further boosting the appeal of the cut-price midfielder.

With an ownership of only 2.1% in FPL, and given his growing influence, Lingard can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.

  1. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    When Pogba returns, what to do then?
    Get Pogba and sell Sterling/Salah
    or sell Morata and buy Lukaku (I have Hazard)?

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pogz better value than Kaku

    2. Srv210
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm selling Morata,think hazard will be better & getting Pogba and Rooney maybe

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        That could be ok.
        Morata and Richarlison to Rooney and Pogba and upgrade defender. Thx.

    3. Jekori
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm waiting for him to hit form and see where he plays. Think i'm getting son for DGW22 and after that i can change him to pogba. I'm keeping sterling cause city are the new champions, Salah is competing for the golden boot. I'm keeping hazard and morata also for the great fixtures at least. I haven't got lukaku all season and might go without the entire season. Pogba way better value indeed

  2. Dickie1898
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    How to arrange this bench guys? Wimmer, Gomez, RLC (starting ward)

    1. jurgenklopp.8
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gomez, rlc, wimmer

  3. Waynoo
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    58 minutes until pens down

  4. JJO
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any leaked Liv teams?

  5. Jam0sh
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Daniels (LIV) or Mee (bha)?

    1. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  6. jurgenklopp.8
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Alonso - Maguire - Mee
    hazard (C) - richarlison - sterling - salah
    Kane - Austin - Firmino

    Elliot - Kenny - RLC - Zeegelar
    1ft

    right bench order? tempted to bench austin for kenny...

    1. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd start kenny ahead of mee

  7. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain
    A) Haz
    B) salah

    1. STONEROSES
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. LosBlancos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A b/c all of the scouts picked A bar AZ I think, and most of the active people here favor him.
      Though I think if Salah starts he get's a brace because Daniels is old, playing every match and surely can't keep up with Salah's pace.

    3. Nascimento
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  8. Gorbitz
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Should I really get Masuaku over Ogbonna?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      You really should. But only if you want to as your guess is as good as ours.

      1. Gorbitz
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I havent looked at the stats myself but read somewhere that he had more goal threat than ogbonna?

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Me either. Not much in it from what I read. Like his name though 🙂

    2. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not if you're planning for dgw. Masuaku only starts one imo (west ham fan). the games are 48 hours apart and wing back is most demanding of all positions (we have other options too like moving Creswell out wide for one game)

      1. Gorbitz
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Excellent. Thanks. Appreciated.

  9. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    On WC and really struggling to drop one of the mids below for Richarlison so I can upgrade Rooney > Laca/Morata upgrade.

    Silva Sterling Haz Cout Salah

    Any tip?

    1. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Silva or Coutinho.

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Any reasoning or just gut?

    2. Nascimento
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Sterling/Cout. Probably the latter.

    3. Waynoo
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      silly time to WC

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers. V helpful

    4. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Coutinho

    5. Sandy Ravage
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Stick with all 5 and keep Rooney

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Tah.
        Katherine Bigelow is my fav female director.

    6. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep Silva, I'd probably sell Cout out of them. Maybe a punt on Willian over Rich this week?

    7. Jekori
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd keep rooney as well. In form and Everton look like winning 1-0/2-0 a lot. He'll be involved and gets BAPS which you love. But i do think you've got too much invested in midfield and Richarlison is great value. I think i'd go without silva. Coutinho is probably on penalties and liverpool will still go for top4. Silva has had his lucky streak i suspect. Your defense or strikers probably can use the upgrade

  10. Manani
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Foster Elliot
    Otamendi Mee Memba Gomez Mariappa
    Hazard Salah Coutinho Richarlison RLC
    Kane Morata DCL

    1FT, gtg?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yep

    2. Nascimento
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Defence looks shaky but nice squad otherwise. Gtg.

  11. BlzE_94
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play one:
    A) RLC
    B) Niasse
    C) Long (burnley def)

    1. Sim Simma
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Punt on B 🙂

      2. Aston-villain
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        A

    2. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B. A will start but get 2 points. B is higher risk but much higher reward

  12. Aston-villain
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone here think Coutinho might be rested?

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nope

  13. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 2

    A) Dann (lei)
    B) Walker (TOT)
    C) Kenny (SWA)
    D) Simpson (CRY)

    1. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C and D

    2. Paulinho14
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kenny and Simpson

  14. iveseenitall
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on my bench?
    Fab
    Kenny, monreal, alonso
    Rich, sterling, mahrez, salah
    Firm, kane, dcl

    Elliot, ota, mee, rlc

  15. A Team Of James McCleans
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any S Ward updates ?

    1. JJO
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      If that is Burnleys one he is out

  16. Game of Throw_ins
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench Kane ?
    Or Mariappa, Otamendi, Sterling, DCL ?
    2 of these 5 need to warm the bench. Headache.

  17. Butlanding
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench one:
    1. Sterling
    2. Kane
    3. DCL
    4. Richarl
    5. Groß

    Please advice. Thanks

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      5

    2. Naboo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      lol at 2

  18. GOONER
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Gross or Mariappa?

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mariappa

  19. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Gross(BUR) or McArthur(lei)?

  20. Lubic87
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ward to Christensen for free? Or save the transfer and play Dunk?

    Burnley's fixtures aren't great over the next few weeks...

    1. Sandy Ravage
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      get Christensen

  21. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which one to start?
    A) Gross (BUR)
    B) Choupo (WHU)
    C) Masuaku (STK)
    D) Niasse (NEW)

    Playing Pope but thinking A.

  22. ionic
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope
    Ota Alonso New
    Salah sane shaq richarlison
    Kane morata DCL

    Subs - Duffy Robertson RCL

    Gtg or should I sub in Duffy?

    1. Paulinho14
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gtg

  23. Paulinho14
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    play Vertonghen (MCI away) or Ake (LIV home) ?

  24. Mr_Barbs
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bench correct?

    DeGea
    Christensen, jones, long, kenny
    Salah, sterling, hazard (c)
    Kane, DCL, Morata

    Elliot, Duffy, Gross, RLC

  25. Sedemuda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Willian worth a punt for a hit?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

  26. Ronny17
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will salah start?

  27. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will Morata play?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

  28. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is (C) Firmino a mad idea?

    1. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      yes

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

  29. The Hoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Help please!

    Pope/Elliot
    Alonso/Ota/Jones/Ward/Gomez
    Salah/Sterling/Richarlson//Choopi/Carroll
    Kane/Mata/DCL

    2.3itb, 2ft,rank:90k

    Any way to get haz or silva in? Or what would you do?
    A- kane/caroll-haz/okazaki
    B-kane/caroll-???/silva
    C-carroll->gross
    D-downgrade ward so can do choopi-> pogba next week?
    E-elliot->adrian
    F-other?
    (Bought ward at 4.5m)

  30. KeepCalm
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain Hazard (SOU) or Salah (bou)...im torn like a mofo

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Everyone is. No idea sorry