Spot the Differential
16 December 2017 1543 comments
James H James H
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Two players who scored in midweek and now face favourable home fixtures have taken our fancy in our latest differential picks.

We’ve also been drawn to a West Ham midfielder whose improved performances of late suggest he could return to haunt his former club later today.

Shinji Okazaki

Following a sensational display in Leicester City’s 4-1 win over Southampton, Shinji Okazaki is our headline selection ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.

The Japanese international produced 16 points via two goals, an assist and maximum bonus, which tied for the highest individual score of Gameweek 17.

Despite being limited to just nine starts this season, the 5.2%-owned forward has still produced an impressive six goals and two assists.

Interestingly, he is averaging a shot every 37.5 minutes, which is superior to team-mate Jamie Vardy (53).

The in-form Foxes face a favourable match-up in today’s early kick-off.

Only Stoke City have conceded more big chances (26) in away matches than the Eagles (24), while Roy Hodgson faces a defensive injury crisis, with Mamadou Sakho, Joel Ward and most likely Timothy Fosu-Mensah all sidelined by injury.

Meanwhile, no team has scored more goals over the last four Gameweeks than Leicester (10).

Available at 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League, Okazaki has the potential to be an absolute steal.

He scored in a 3-1 win for the Foxes in the corresponding fixture last season, and given his current form, looks an outstanding differential option.

Marko Arnautovic

Returning to the bet365 Stadium for the first time following his summer move to West Ham United, we’re backing Marko Arnautovic to produce against his former club Stoke City.

The Austrian netted his first Hammers goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Chelsea and has been their chief goal threat over the last four Gameweeks.

He has produced more shots (eight) and three times as many penalty-area efforts (six) as any other West Ham player.

He is also ranked top for penalty box touches over that period, with 21.

Stoke’s defensive struggles make this fixture a promising one for David Moyes’ side.

The Potters have conceded more goals (36) and allowed more big chances (42) than any other team this season.

They have won only one of their last seven encounters and are currently just two points above the relegation zone.

Following a slow start to his career at the London Stadium, Arnautovic appears to be finding his feet at his new home.

Priced at 6.8 and sat in just 0.6% of squads, he represents a major differential.

For those maverick Fantasy managers out there, the West Ham midfielder could represent the ideal punt for Gameweek 18.

Jesse Lingard

Flourishing in a No 10 role for Manchester United, Jesse Lingard looks a great option for Sunday’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

The England international has produced double-digit scores in each of his last two away appearances, totalling 27 points.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks are particularly eye-catching.

No team-mate has produced more penalty-area efforts (eight) over the four matches, while he has received four big chances, with no other Man United player managing more than one.

Lingard has also emerged as the stand-out creative force, leading the way for key passes with seven.

Setting us back just 5.9 in FPL, the midfielder is a hugely enticing budget option.

Sunday’s match at The Hawthorns could be very profitable for the Man United attack.

The Baggies have conceded 11 goals in their last five home matches, shipping at least two goals on four occasions. 

Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in their last two away trips.

The Red Devils also benefit from a very kind upcoming schedule, further boosting the appeal of the cut-price midfielder.

With an ownership of only 2.1% in FPL, and given his growing influence, Lingard can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.

  1. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    kane out for laca / vardy or keep?

    1. FootballFanatic365
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      keep

    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      keep

    3. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      absolutely keep

    4. Weilong7
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      but the other two against poorer teams compared to city?

    5. FredrikH
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep. Could score against city and you want him back for burnley and southamton.

    6. wormface
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah he really could easily score v city . In fact he's a brilliant differential

    7. Manamongst
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      dump for Laca, Kane is bound to troll everyone this week. Besides he doesn't fair well against the Mangala/Otamendi types.

  2. Swagat
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Fabianski
    Azpi Jones Simpson Wimmer
    Hazard(c) Salah Sterling
    Kane Lukaku(vc) DCL

    Elliot Ogbonna Choupo RLC

    Anything to change in starting XI?

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd pay Ogbonna in place of Wimmer

  3. Alonso The Great Midfielder
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    play mee or zaha??

    1. wormface
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mee , the last of the shut outs this game week

  4. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hazard or Salah (c)?

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Halah

    2. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Haz

    3. rnrd
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I set up on salah.
      Bournemouth won’t park the bus. Should pool score early, floodgates will open.

      And Well, if salah does not start, he may get in at the 60 mark and history has shown that’s enough for him.

      Real fear is that he gets only 10 min but can’t see loop risking him for 10 if he his not fit. If he takes the risk he takes it for at least 20 min+

      1. wormface
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Is morata fit to play ? If he is it just about swings it for hazard .

  5. kysersosa
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain choices??!?!? Forum seems split between Salah and Hazard!

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Haz

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Haz, Salah vc

  6. Foozeball
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to play?
    A) Mee
    B) Dunk

    Captain?
    1) Morata
    2) Salah

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B1

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B2

  7. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Duffy or Austin

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Austin

  8. Spurs Go MaddiSon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Tempted to captain Kola, madness?
    Currently having Salah C.

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I managed it with an Alonso brace last season so you never know...

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not madness but certainly a risk

    3. Gilberto.
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I was considering this but will probably bottle it

  9. Mr_Barbs
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Gtg? Bench order correct?

    DeGea
    Christensen, jones, long, kenny
    Salah(vc), Sterling, hazard(c)
    Kane, DCL, Morata

    Elliot, Duffy, Gross,RLC

    1. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gross ahead of Duffy for me

  10. Kurtinho
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is Prodl nailed? Anyone know why he missed so many matches this season? Was it injury?

  11. Aftermath
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play one:
    A) DCL
    B) Gross

    Keep Kiko or transfer out for free?

    Team:

    Pope Elliot
    Otamendi Christensen Mee Kiko* long
    Salah Hazard(C) Richarlison Sterling Gross
    Morata Kane(vc) DCL

    1ft,0.6itb
    Any other suggestions also welcome.. thanks!

    1. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A - Swansea at home is a dream game

      Keep Kiko on the bench

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  12. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hey guys, which is the best striker combo:

    A - Rooney & Quaner
    B - Austin & Okazaki
    C - Austin & DCL
    D - DCL & Okazaki

    DDG - Speroni
    Ota - Jones - Christensen - Kenny - Ogbonna
    Salah - Haz - Silva - Mahrez - Rich
    Morata - X - Y

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      D

    2. Aftermath
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B or C, I think B just about edges it considering Okazaki's form

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Austin has tough games but I have a strong enough squad to bench him for those. Do you think Okazaki will get a run of starts now?

    3. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Okazaki could easily be rotated this game. Was thinking of getting him

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Would be hard on him to get dropped after he exploded in the last game. Palace at home is a plum game too.

  13. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) keep Firmino
    B) Firmino to Morata
    C) Firmino to Laca

    Thanks

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don't rate B or C

  14. Henning
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play 2 of thoes minimum 1 Def.

    1 Kenny
    2 Otamendi
    3 Masuaku
    4 Gross
    5 Richarlison

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      5 and 2

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        This

    2. sjhuk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      25

    3. Henning
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanx

  15. white heart pain
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Fab
    Ota Christensen Ward
    Haz Salah Sterling Richarlison
    Kane Morata DCL

    Speroni RLC Simpson Hune

    1FT

    GTG, Hold FT?

  16. Gilberto.
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Need to bench 2 of the below but can't decide
    A - Otamendi
    B - Mee
    C - Gomez
    D - Kabasele

    Ta

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A/C

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don't bench Ota

      1. Gilberto.
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I am very reluctant to

  17. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    This is how I’m lining up so far - a few doubts but not sure who to move. 1FT, 0.1itb. Any thoughts?

    Adrian
    Ota/ Azpilicueta/ mariappa/ Ward
    Hazard/ Salah/ Gross/ Richarlison
    Kane/ Morata

    Fab/ RLC/ Abraham/ Moreno

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ward > kabasele maybe?

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        He looks good but already have WAT def. Thanks.

  18. @persecuted_by_mods
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Do you guys think it's still worth getting Pope with the upcoming poor fixtures? Have had Foster since day 1 sadly and finally have the opportunity to ship him

      1. Stats Don\'t Lie
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Think the pope ship has sailed tbh. Actually feel that Burnley defence is a little bit overhyped on here...

        1. ZaZaZu
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          definitely not overhyped, just look at the amount of CS they've had compared to the price of the defenders. Absolute bargains to be had if you got in their early. Now their fixtures are changing, tough few GWs. Foolish to get pay .5 extra for defenders that will now likely struggle.

      2. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Have Pope since GW8 Wouldn't buy now

        1. Babit1967
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I went with Pickford over pope last gameweek, both did well but Im certain made right decision

      3. Madderegern
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Not now with tot and mau ahead,

      4. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thinking about selling for DDG right now... Will do it anyway next week so might as well do it now, for free of course...

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers all

        2. Podge
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Nope

      5. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        G2g?

        Speroni
        Otamendi Dunk Ogbonna
        Hazard(C) Salah Coutinho Richarlison
        Kane Morata Dcl

        Hennessey T.Carroll Ward Kiko

        1. kennethrhcp
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Gtg

      6. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Highest scoring game of this GW?

        Reckon Arsenal - Newcastle or Leicester - Palace

        1. Stats Don\'t Lie
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Bournemouth-Liverpool

        2. Athletic Nasherbo
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Bournemouth v Liverpool

        3. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Chelsea Southampton & Man City Spurs will also have lots of goals.

          I feel this could be a very high scoring GW all round

      7. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Very much torn between Kun, Hazard and Salah for the captaincy.

        Currently on Kun, as I am a sucker for "Record v's"...

        Aguero has 10g (2a) in 11 v Spurs.

        Haz record v SOU is pretty healthy too mind, he's got 4g (3a) in 11.

        Either way it's Haz plus one of the others as I'm not C/VC'ing 2x rotation risks!

        A. Kun(c) Haz(v)
        B. Haz(c) Salah(v)
        C. Salah(c) Haz(v)

        1. Kiwivillan
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I had C and stitched to B

      8. davidmcnamara
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Gomes
        Azpi, ota, bellerin
        salah, sane, hazard (c), richarlison,
        morata, firmino, DCL,

        carroll, davies, haidara

        1 FT left.. thinking i may bank, or bring in valencia for azpi or vardy for firmino? thoughts on these 3 options or any others? (0.7 in the bank)

        1. kennethrhcp
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Bank

      9. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Benching, Captain & order correct? I fancy Brighton to keep a CS hence starting Dunk instead of Mee...

        DDG
        Christensen, Dunk, Kenny
        Salah, Richarlison, Groß, Haz (c)
        Kane, Morata, DCL
        (Elliott, Zaha, Mee, Daniels)

        1. Athletic Nasherbo
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I’d play Zaha over DCL/Grob?

        2. Alonso The Great Midfielder
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          im in same problem here...has to pick 2 of zaha,mee,gross and dcl...

      10. Lignja
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Naughton or Rlc as first sub?

      11. TaiwanHC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Why no love for Morata (C)?

        1. Tim Canterbury
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Traditionally you leave someone returning from injury to confirm they play and get their eye in. Off the captains list for that reason

        2. Madderegern
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Imo he has looked unsharp lately.

      12. Tim Canterbury
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Bloomin eck Jay Egers took a 12 pointer to get rid of Kane. Binned Morata last week too

        1. Fred54
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Been watching his vids since a few GWs ago. He did hint at this.

      13. CaptainHindsight
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        My season is stuck in the doldrums and I can’t decide between trying a hit-fest to rescue my fortunes or playing the dulllard route and hoping the chips save me. What do other people recommend?

      14. JimmyP45
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thinking of Swapping Tammy Abraham for either Deeney or Gray. Have no idea which one will start though. Also don't understand how Gray's form is 2.7 when he has played around 10 minutes in his last 3 matches.

      15. drughi
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Bench one out of:

        A. Ward
        B. Gomez
        C. Mariappa

      16. konrad.sygula95
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Would you do Firmino to Morata ? as he is likely to play vs Southampton and Firmino is constantly iritaiting me. Already have (lukaku and vardy)

        1. davidmcnamara
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          If you have enough, do it. Ideally you'll want Coutinho or salah as liverpool cover as well though