Spot the Differential
16 December 2017 1543 comments
James H James H
Share:

Two players who scored in midweek and now face favourable home fixtures have taken our fancy in our latest differential picks.

We’ve also been drawn to a West Ham midfielder whose improved performances of late suggest he could return to haunt his former club later today.

Shinji Okazaki

Following a sensational display in Leicester City’s 4-1 win over Southampton, Shinji Okazaki is our headline selection ahead of the visit of Crystal Palace.

The Japanese international produced 16 points via two goals, an assist and maximum bonus, which tied for the highest individual score of Gameweek 17.

Despite being limited to just nine starts this season, the 5.2%-owned forward has still produced an impressive six goals and two assists.

Interestingly, he is averaging a shot every 37.5 minutes, which is superior to team-mate Jamie Vardy (53).

The in-form Foxes face a favourable match-up in today’s early kick-off.

Only Stoke City have conceded more big chances (26) in away matches than the Eagles (24), while Roy Hodgson faces a defensive injury crisis, with Mamadou Sakho, Joel Ward and most likely Timothy Fosu-Mensah all sidelined by injury.

Meanwhile, no team has scored more goals over the last four Gameweeks than Leicester (10).

Available at 5.4 in Fantasy Premier League, Okazaki has the potential to be an absolute steal.

He scored in a 3-1 win for the Foxes in the corresponding fixture last season, and given his current form, looks an outstanding differential option.

Marko Arnautovic

Returning to the bet365 Stadium for the first time following his summer move to West Ham United, we’re backing Marko Arnautovic to produce against his former club Stoke City.

The Austrian netted his first Hammers goal in last weekend’s 1-0 win over Chelsea and has been their chief goal threat over the last four Gameweeks.

He has produced more shots (eight) and three times as many penalty-area efforts (six) as any other West Ham player.

He is also ranked top for penalty box touches over that period, with 21.

Stoke’s defensive struggles make this fixture a promising one for David Moyes’ side.

The Potters have conceded more goals (36) and allowed more big chances (42) than any other team this season.

They have won only one of their last seven encounters and are currently just two points above the relegation zone.

Following a slow start to his career at the London Stadium, Arnautovic appears to be finding his feet at his new home.

Priced at 6.8 and sat in just 0.6% of squads, he represents a major differential.

For those maverick Fantasy managers out there, the West Ham midfielder could represent the ideal punt for Gameweek 18.

Jesse Lingard

Flourishing in a No 10 role for Manchester United, Jesse Lingard looks a great option for Sunday’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

The England international has produced double-digit scores in each of his last two away appearances, totalling 27 points.

His underlying statistics over the last four Gameweeks are particularly eye-catching.

No team-mate has produced more penalty-area efforts (eight) over the four matches, while he has received four big chances, with no other Man United player managing more than one.

Lingard has also emerged as the stand-out creative force, leading the way for key passes with seven.

Setting us back just 5.9 in FPL, the midfielder is a hugely enticing budget option.

Sunday’s match at The Hawthorns could be very profitable for the Man United attack.

The Baggies have conceded 11 goals in their last five home matches, shipping at least two goals on four occasions. 

Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, have scored seven goals in their last two away trips.

The Red Devils also benefit from a very kind upcoming schedule, further boosting the appeal of the cut-price midfielder.

With an ownership of only 2.1% in FPL, and given his growing influence, Lingard can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.

  1. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Just looking ahead, anyone else just perma-playing Pope through the tough fixtures? Aside from Adrian, its slim pickings for an upgrade on Elliott which doesn't drain the budget.

    1. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Gomes looks good for a bit

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      That's the plan. We know he is capable of racking up save points...which he will probably need with the run they have.

    3. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Selling for De Gea

  2. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GTG?

    De Gea
    Christensen - Kolasinac - Kabasele - Mee
    Eriksen - Salah (C) - Sterling - Zaha
    Kane - Morata

    Speroni, Niasse, Loftus, Long

    Thanks guys!

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      YES

  3. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Mustafi -> Jones
    B) Mustafi -> Kenny
    C) Daniels -> Kenny

    Other defenders are Alonso, Otamendi and Ward.

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  4. arndff_
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is my bench order correct?

    Niasse RLC Long

    1. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes imo

    2. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeap

  5. FISSH
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Wilshere for a differential

  6. Bhau cha dhakka
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My team

    Pope elliot
    Kolasinac mee azpi otamendi lowe
    RLC richarlison sterling salah gross
    calvert morata kane
    2.2 in the bank

    im thinking:
    1. richarlsion kola azpi out
    azza phil jones ogbonna in

    2. Gross azpi out
    mahrez phil jones in

    which one shud i go for ?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Save

  7. Shuvo127
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    This is my wildcard team....

    De Gea/Speroni
    Jaanmat, Jones, Chistensen, Ogbonna, Long
    Salah, coutinho, sterling, richarlison, lfc
    celvert, kane , morata

    Need dome suggestions, where should i bring the changes?

    1. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      i will not get kane if im on wildcard (for now)

      1. Shuvo127
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        should i take lukaku then for now inspite of kane?

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez over coutinho imo. Then upgrade long to kenny

  8. james 101
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Did the presser say anything about salah starting?

    Want to cap him but...!

  9. 404_FC
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    i'm need a punt (own hazard)

    who to captain?

    a) lacazette (NEW) - think he will score at home but maybe play 60-70 min ?
    b) mahrez (CRY) - on form and freekick but palace play well in 5 last matched.

    thanks

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

    2. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mahrez

    3. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Palace are missing a few players at the back, so it's time for Mahrez to shine

    4. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      cheers all

  10. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone have a feeling that Chelsea will concede against Saints?

    Not sure whether to bench Christensen or Jones.

    1. Feloh
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      play both

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I can't. I have Ota and Kenny starting too and can only play three. You might say bench Kenny but Swansea at home is too good.

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Think ManU will concede too

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        How come?

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Play both if possible

    4. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm playing Jones over ota this week. Wba have been shocking going forward.

  11. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Simpson or ogbonna

    bench one.

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Simpson

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Simpson ey?

    3. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      bench ogbonna

    4. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      ogbonna

  12. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    On a WC!! Pick one 🙂

    A. Coutinho & Rooney
    B. Richarlison & Laca

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. ⚽️ Dingo ⚽️
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Feloh
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A all day

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Laca could also be Morata?

    4. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    5. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a

    6. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Don't like either. Laca is a good pick for this gameweek, but very average long term prospect. Coutinho will score fewer points than cheaper players like Mahrez and Silva imo. Maybe Mahrez & morata

    7. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B with Morata

  13. aleksios
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best combo?

    a) DGea-Maguire-Richa-Pogba
    b) Gomes-Kola-Hazard-RLC.

    Thanks.

  14. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kane captain madness?

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Not really. If that's what your gut says go for it

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        This.

      2. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        It’s him or hazard but think Kane may bag a couple v city

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Why would it be madness to captain someone you think may get a couple? 😮

    2. Astronautovic
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

  15. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kolasinac(C)?

    1. Iceball
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Naa, but I like having him

    2. smitchlovesfunk
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Might only on left of a back 4 rather than a back 5. But I was considering too

      1. Arctic_Orangutans
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        I am, goal ass and cleanie coming

  16. Butcher
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Southampton won't park the bus. They are 4 points off the relegation zone and a win for either one of Stoke, Palace etc will drag them down further.

    Hazard looks as equally a good captain option as Salah.

  17. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    This place is comparatively calmer ... Maybe people haven't yet recovered from midweek disaster?

  18. Kanga roo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Do English cricket fans exist these days?

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      We do.

    2. Toby Lerone
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      unfortunately

  19. Astronautovic
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?
    Fabianski
    Kola christensen mee
    Salah coutinho sterling haz richarlison
    DCL kane

  20. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Benching dilemma

    Bench 2

    A. Mee
    B. Dunk
    C. Otamendi
    D. Demarai Gray
    E. Choupo Moting

  21. Forza Papac
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Potential rest for Salah this week?

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Quite possibly

    2. ljuta zena
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      They failed last 2

  22. Shuvo127
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    This is my wildcard team....

    De Gea/Speroni
    Jaanmat, Jones, Chistensen, Ogbonna, Long
    Salah, coutinho, sterling, richarlison, lfc
    celvert, kane , morata

    Need some suggestions, whom to captain and what changes should i look for?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd want some Burnley defence in for Long and potentially Ota over Jones as you have DDG already.
      As you're on WC perhaps take a punt on no Kane for a couple of weeks?

  23. Football Rambler
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Took out Rich and Morata this week on a whim, trying to get an edge on the people I'm chasing. Could be a massive error, will definitely be interesting!

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'm guessing you tort Morata would be out longer, who did you get instead?

      Big Shaq?

  24. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play...
    1) Duffy
    2) Austin
    3) Oggy/Masuaku (for this one I'd be using my ft for Kiko)?

    1. Toby Lerone
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      3

  25. Toby Lerone
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Captain hazard or salah?

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Haz

  26. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Have two ft and 0.5itb want to use 1 ft to improve defence or replace Elliott - please advise ?

    Fab Elliot
    Daniels mee dunk Christensen Mariappa

  27. Balls of Steel
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best Callum Wilson replacement under 6.2mill guys?

  28. Roy1905
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Can’t believe I’m asking this, but Morata or Kane? Tempted to drop Kane this week. My team is fine, and I have one FT. I just can’t see Kane producing against Pep’s City side.

  29. Demel
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play Robertson over Masuaku?

    1. Suarezista
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

  30. Mr. Clueless
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    What to do with this lot, don’t want to waste a transfer

    Fabianski/Pope
    Christensen/Otamendi/kolasniac/Mee/Dunk
    Haz/salah/silva/gross/LC
    Augero/morata/DCL
    2 ft’s 0.1ITB