Scout Notes
14 January 2018 4816 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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A star turn from an in-form striker makes history for Bournemouth as Arsenal’s defensive fragility is exposed once again.

Callum Wilson helped Bournemouth to their first ever Premier League win over the Gunners and boosted his increasingly strong claims to be our third forward for good measure.

The striker hit the equaliser and then set up Jordon Ibe’s winner, grabbing maximum bonus for a 12-point return.

Injury kept Wilson out of the team until Gameweek 10 and he then scored in just one match, although that did involve a hat-trick against Huddersfield, up to Gameweek 19.

But his current form has been well worth the wait for his 2.4% ownership, with strikes in three of the last four fixtures.

Priced at 5.7 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Wilson has the form and some favourable fixtures (whu che STK hud NEW lei) to be a strong third striker candidate.

He’s certainly got the attacking numbers to back up his claims. Only Harry Kane can better him for goals (five to three), shots (22 v 15), efforts in the box (14 v 12) and attempts on target (12 to eight) over the last four Gameweeks.

Ibe has also been producing the figures – as we detailed in yesterday’s Spot The Differential article – to warrant interest and he duly obliged with a first ever league goal for the Cherries.

He’s had more shots (19) and efforts on target (nine) than any other midfielder in the last four Gameweeks, while only four have bettered his 11 key passes.

Ibe thrived alongside Ryan Fraser, who provided the other assist, in a central support role in a 3-4-2-1 formation.

His 4.8 price and 0.4% ownership mark him out as a budget differential in a side showing some serious attacking intent – Bournemouth continue to rank top for shots inside the box over the last four Gameweeks.

Bellerin boost for owners

Just one Arsenal player, Hector Bellerin (12.6%), is currently enjoying double-figure ownership in FPL and he delivered in an otherwise dismal display from the Gunners.

Having failed to score in the first 21 Gameweeks of the season, the Spaniard has now netted back-to-back goals, with the assist today coming from Alex Iwobi.

Bellerin is finally starting to translate attacking statistics into points – among defenders, only Marcos Alonso has bettered his 24 shots so far this season.

Defensively, however, it’s another matter for him and his team-mates.

Arsenal’s nine clean sheets this season is bettered by just five teams, but they’ve now gone five matches without a shut-out and have kept only three in the last ten.

Injuries to key personnel such as Laurent Koscielny and Nacho Monreal haven’t helped, although Sead Kolasinac was fit enough to return to the squad today.

However, the summer signing was consigned to bench-warming duties as Ainsley Maitland-Niles’ continued at left wing-back at the Vitality Stadium.

Mesut Ozil’s knee injury seemingly kept him out, while Alexis Sanchez was omitted from the starting XI and edges ever closer to the Emirates exit. However, Arsenal’s attacking depth was at least boosted by the return of Aaron Ramsey, who was handed 16 minutes from the bench after recovering from a hamstring injury.

The Welsh international averaged 5.4 points per match prior to that problem and he will now be pushing for a return to the starting XI, particularly with the Sanchez saga finally nearing its end.

Arsene Wenger had this to say on the Chilean’s situation post-match

“He’s [Sanchez] in a mode where he doesn’t know what’s happening to him. That’s why I decided to leave him out, because he could have moved today, or not. I didn’t want to come down with him here travelling away from the team.”

The 2-1 defeat today made it just one win in five for Arsenal, yet their attack has ticked over, scoring 10 times.

And their medium-term schedule remains one of the kindest – the Gunners play just three of the top eight over the next 12 fixtures, facing Spurs in Gameweek 27, Man City the week after and Leicester City in Gameweek 31.

4,816 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Invincibles!

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Gunners!!

  2. Hardly Athletic
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    2FT and 0.0ITB

    Foster - Elliot
    Alonso - Otamendi - Duffy - Robertson - Ogbonna
    Salah - Sterling - Son - Richarlison - RLC
    Kane - Aguero - DCL

    I'm considering getting a cheaper Man City player in another position. Replacing Aguero with Firmino would allow me to do Richarlison to Sane. Thoughts?

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Good chance to sell Foster.

    2. AndyCook
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Not sure I would get Sane

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Dcl won't be playing much, maybe dcl + rlc > ibe + ayew?

  3. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Only way I can get Firmino in is this:

    Eriksen and Dcl to Doucoure/I’ve and Firmino -4

    Worth it?

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      No. Not imo.

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Agreed

    2. AndyCook
      8 years, 6 months ago

      No

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

    4. walkman666
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Yes. You get two starters who score to one and a part time forward.

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      For now, yes.

      Brave person who punts on that while Robertson is playing well.

      1. Davido989
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        It's like choosing between diarrhoea and constipation. Migs saves none of the goals today either.

        1. how now brown cow
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 6 months ago

          Haven't seen the game yet. I know he didn't play, but what are your thoughts on VVD?

        2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 6 months ago

          😆
          😐 man we need a new keeper and coach probably

  4. arndff_
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    @TimmothyJS, I did DCL > Firmino.

  5. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    What's the story with Kenny. Is he nailed?

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      No don't think so, not with Seamus lurking

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Very hard to know when he plays though asfter such a long lay off.

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      He's shocking at the moment think he will be dropped very soon for Coleman

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Think that's a bit unfair. Everton defence patched up all over. Clearly Coleman will be 1st pick though.

    3. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Hello 🙂

      Coleman back soon. Not worth investing in..

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers. When, exactly?

    4. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Nailed until Coleman's back

    5. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Coleman is training so not long term.

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Training? Shit. 🙁

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 6 months ago

            Thank you very much! 😀

    6. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Sam said he was playing his 1st team v Liverpool in the cup and he started. Soon as Coleman's back he'll be out though.

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, all. There goes a good plan. 🙁

  6. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Any reason not to do Hazard > Salah (2FT) tonight?

    1. Johnny Drama
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Yes.

      1. Johnny Drama
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        I mean no... haha

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Training ground injuries.

    3. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Think I’m doing it tonight.

    4. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      midweek games

    5. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      I'd do it!

    6. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Do it before price changes

    7. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Done it 😯

  7. Mr. Jenkins
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Adrian, Elliot

    Azpi, Otamendi, Alonso, Mee, Kenny

    Lingard, Alli, Son, Salah, Sane

    Kane, DCL, Okazaki

    Would you do Alli to Arnatovic and save the spare cash to upgrade DCL? Or are there other fires?

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Yes Alli and Kane for fixture is too much.

  8. Johnny Drama
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Have 11.7 mil to spend on a mid. Which should I been looking at? Son’s form is great but don’t fancy his fixtures at all.

    Already have KDB and Salah

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Sterling

      1. Johnny Drama
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Look below

    2. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Sterling?

      1. Johnny Drama
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Hate that lad haha. But city has not looked like the amazing City the last games, right?

  9. Our Tiny Windows
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Spot the deliberate mistake.

    De Gea
    Jones Alonso Ogbonna
    Salah Son Lingard Arnautovic Sterling
    Aguero Firmino

    Elliot Wilson Long TAA

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Aguero over Kane

      1. Our Tiny Windows
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Yes. Exactly that.

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      No Wimmer.

    3. George James
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Play Wilson over Lingard

      1. Our Tiny Windows
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Hmm good idea

  10. Bob_the_builder
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    What's the situation with the Burnley defence? Guys like Taylor ahead of Lowton ?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Taylor is playing due to Ward.

      1. Bob_the_builder
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Then who has taken Lowton's spot ?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 17 Years
          8 years, 6 months ago

          Bardsley

          1. Bob_the_builder
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 6 months ago

            So can he be considered as the safe route in the Burnley defence given for some reason Lowton now has fallen out of favor ?

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 17 Years
              8 years, 6 months ago

              Started last 10 so looks good.

              1. Bob_the_builder
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 6 months ago

                Thanks for the info.

        2. pakornk
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 6 months ago

          Bardsley.

  11. Babit1967
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    I’m so stuck on my next free transfer can’t decide between KDB and Arnie, kdb is the better player but West Ham have got some good fixtures and He is only 7 mil .

    1. Leitchy
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Arnies free role anywhere up front wins it for me

      1. Babit1967
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah good shout

  12. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Who's the best defender at 4.4m or below?

  13. Leitchy
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    GOOD TO GO FOR GAMEWEEK 24 ?
    NO TRANSFERS MADE AS I WANT TWO FREE ONES IN GW25

    DE GEA
    OTAMENDI MAGUIRE CRESSWELL
    ARNAUTOVIC (VC) SON ALLI SANCHEZ ( CITY OR UTD LOL )
    BENTEKE KANE (C) RODRIGUEZ

    BENCH

    FOSTER RLC MEE NAUGHTON

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Too many caps.

    2. AndyCook
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Benteke and Rodriguez a bit odd

      1. Leitchy
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Rodriguez my budget striker at 5.5
        I will be selling Benteke soon

    3. asquishypotato
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Shhhh not so loudly neighbours asleep

    4. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Might JRod get a ban? Good luck with Benteke!

      1. Leitchy
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Why would JRod get a ban ?

  14. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    That Salah guy is a pretty good FPL option

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Agreed! What’s your initial plans for this week?

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Make a bench transfer. Perhaps Duffy or Mee to Robertson.

        DCL to someone cheaper.

        Pope to another GK

        Something boring at least 🙂

        1. asquishypotato
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 6 months ago

          Any keeper selections? Thinking of making a switch but might hold for the week

        2. Athletic Nasherbo
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 6 months ago

          Good time to use it. Robertson could be a very interesting option. Duffy and Mee have some decent fixtures however. I’m thinking Dcl to Ayew.

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      He's ok if you just want 10 points a week all season

    3. barracuda
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Still too cheap to consider

    4. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Tell that to Crabree 😆

  15. nkhoughton
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    2ft 0.7itb

    Pope
    Martina Masuaka Cresswell
    Hazard Sterling Son Salah
    Kane Calvert-Lewin Firmino

    Elliot Jones Stephens Dunk

    Stephens & DCL to Crouch & Lingard

    GTG?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Ibe + wilson?

      1. nkhoughton
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Is ibe viable as an option

    2. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Lingard is screwed if Sanchez signs. Wait and see.

  16. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    A) Alli + Austin > mane/mahrez + wilson
    B) Alli + Austin > ibe + firmino

  17. Distinctly Average
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Evening all!

    What to do here?

    Lloris, Speroni
    Otamendi, Mee, Kenny, Ogbonna, Naughton
    Salah, Hazard, Sterling, Eriksen, RLC
    Kane, Firmino, Ayew

    1FT 0.7itb

    Not fully sold on Hazard and Eriksen, and sort of want arnautovic and alonso. Also looking to bring in aguero shortly.

  18. arndff_
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Would you take any hit(s) here? 0.1M ITB

    Ota Christensen Ogbonna (Dunk Long)
    Hazard Salah Sterling Arnie Lingard

    1. arndff_
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      PS: Think GKs and FWs are set, so the question is about DEFs and MIDs.

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      next week downgrade haz and get alonso

      1. arndff_
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        You mean @GW24? So I'll have to do -8pts. Is it worth it?

  19. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Alli comes out on top against Mahrez on comparison tool. One more week then..

    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      see below Berb not sure whether to lose Alli or Lanzinni for Salah?!

    2. WE GO FOR IT
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      5 goals and 4 assists in 4 games against Southampton. I might just take a captaincy punt on him before selling him for Mahrez.

    3. AndyCook
      8 years, 6 months ago

      I swapped him for Son on that basis

    4. TorresMagic™
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Alli was ahead of Son before last GW.

    5. AndyCook
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Considered Mane?

  20. Ask Yourself
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Ffs hazard’s dropping tonight

  21. pakornk
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    A goal from De Gea and clean sheet from Jones would really be great tomorrow.

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Imagine DDG saved a pen 😆

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        In all my years I have never had a gk save a pen, so you can forget that!

  22. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Alli or Lanzini to Salah?

    or Alli and Lanzini to Salah and Mahrez -4?

    Alli Lanzini Arnie Sterling Lindgard
    Kane Firm DCL..

    1. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Im getting rid of Alli

  23. EMILE FOR ONE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Guys, sorry if this question has been asked a lot but does has anyone have a link for the % probability excel for the up and coming blanks??

      1. EMILE FOR ONE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        Thank you TM!

  24. Jaok
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Elliot / Courtois
    Ota / Jones / Christensten / Mee / Kenny
    Salah / Sterling / Son / Alli / Lingard
    Kane / Depoitre / Niasse

    Alli + Depoitre ->

    A: Aguero (capt) + 5.9
    B: Firmino + Arnie

    Really want Aguero, but is it worth it?

    1. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      B - Kun just ain't doing. Explosive potential but some not not right and too much to pay when C would be scary.

    2. Dannyb
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      B

  25. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Is Mane now a good option with Cout gone

    Would you consider him in a triple with Salah and Firminio?
    Especially over Mahrez and Arnie and the extra cash they would give
    I know it's very punty but he was great last year and coming into some form now and decent fixtures?

    1. AndyCook
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Yes I am in this boat to some extent. Good fixtures too

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        It's the punty way to go but when he is on form - so good
        .2 short of course.

  26. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Morata out for Kun or Firmino?
    Kun
    Upside-more explosive, could be good captain pick next few games, takes so many shots
    Downside- Cost more, harder to updgrade midfielders. Might get less gametime than Firm, rotation when Jesus back. Possible blank GW28.

    Firmino
    Upside-Less cost. No possible blank GW28. In form.
    Downside-Less explosive, hardly a captain pick like Kun
    So, who is it gonna be?

  27. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    robertson was awesome today..............not sure moreno makes it back in

  28. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Auba to Arse?

  29. estheblessed
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 6 months ago

    Is it just me or is everyone ending up with the same team?

    Pickford
    Otamendi, Azpil, Shaw
    Lingard, Son, Salah, Sterling, Arnie
    Kane, Firmino

    Elliot, Obgonna, Niasse, Kenny

    1. Kanga roo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Azpi and sure are so not template

      1. estheblessed
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 6 months ago

        No but swap that for Alonso and Jones and it's pretty much the same.

    2. Tommo1888
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 6 months ago

      Exact same except Jones instead of shaw. Alonso instead of azi , fabi instead of Pickford and Mbemba instead of Otamendi .