Spot the Differential
10 February 2018 1203 comments
James H James H
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Gameweek 31 is still some way off, but our latest selections have kind match-ups this weekend and are also in teams guaranteed to play in the round of fixtures that will be heavily affected by the FA Cup quarter-finals.

Two attack-minded defenders earn our seal of approval, while a cheap forward option at Everton is backed to deliver against Crystal Palace for a second time this season.

Oumar Niasse

We’ve been pondering Oumar Niasse’s potential as a budget third striker for a number of Gameweeks.

He’s started the last two matches for Everton and while Dominic Calvert-Lewin could push for minutes this weekend, the promising fixture with Crystal Palace appears to favour Niasse once again.

He turned the match in the reverse encounter, producing a goal and an assist back in Gameweek 12.

Despite making just seven starts this season, Niasse is second to only Wayne Rooney (10) for goals in the Toffees squad, with six.

Rooney, along with Gylfi Sigurdsson were left out of the side for the trip to Arsenal in Gameweek 26, but the pair both look set to be restored to the starting XI this afternoon.

Along with Theo Walcott, they can help provide Niasse with the service he needs to inflict further misery on the Eagles.

Sat in just 5.5% of FPL squads, Niasse is priced at just 4.8 and can, at last, become that perfect budget enabler, with the fringe benefit of offering a potential Gameweek 31 fixture at Stoke City.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

The news that Joe Gomez is set to miss Liverpool’s trip to Southampton means that we’ve turned back to Trent Alexander-Arnold, backing him for a profitable Sunday afternoon at St Mary’s.

The 19-year-old, who costs just 4.2 in FPL, has registered a goal and an assist over his last three Gameweek starts and has caught the eye this season with his attacking raids down the right flank.

His impressive underlying statistics showcase the potential.

Alexander-Arnold has produced a key pass every 61 minutes, superior to fellow full-backs Alberto Moreno (90), Andrew Robertson (105) and Gomez (125).

His attacking threat can reap rewards against a Saints side that have registered just one clean sheet in 13 home matches and have conceded more crosses down the left flank than any side over the last four Gameweeks.

The Reds defender has averaged four points per match over nine appearances, highlighting the fact he has been very productive when given the pitch-time.

What’s key regarding the right-back situation at Liverpool is the fact that Alexander-Arnold and Gomez may well rotate in a predictable fashion, with their European campaign recommencing on Wednesday night.

That could unlock one of Gomez or Alexander-Arnold as a secure picks in league matches.

As the more attacking of the two players, Alexander-Arnold may just get the nod for the “easier” home fixtures where Liverpool will be required to break down their opponent.

Given his budget price tag and the upside he offers, the 2.8%-owned Reds defender looks an ideal gamble for Gameweek 27, which may just have the staying power to reward beyond Sunday’s clash.

Daryl Janmaat

With three goals and one assist from just 13 appearances this season, Watford’s Daryl Janmaat has been one of the most potent defenders in FPL.

He scored a stunner in the 4-1 win over Chelsea, playing as a wing-back in the 3-4-2-1 system used by new Hornets head coach Javi Gracia.

Kiko Femenia remains sidelined through injury, so Janmaat now has the chance to cement his berth.

In terms of secure starters among defenders, only Chelsea’s Marcos Alonso (43.8) can better the Dutchman’s rate of a shot every 60 minutes this season.

That attacking threat could be a factor against West Ham United this afternoon as they have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight matches.

Janmaat’s appeal is also boosted by the fact that Watford have favourable home match-ups against Everton and West Bromwich Albion in Gameweeks 28 and 29.

In addition, the prospects for defensive returns appear strong – the only goal the Hornets have conceded in the three matches since Gracia took charge was Eden Hazard’s sublime effort on Monday night.

Priced at 4.8 in FPL, and with an ownership of just 0.4%, Janmaat is another canny differential in defence.

  1. @fpl_phenom
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Gonna play strategic this week... all my mini league chasers have Salah and only one has Aguero and none have sanchez, hoping to cover their captain picks by captaining salah.

    DDG
    Otamendi Jones Bauer
    Walcott Salah(C) Sterling Sanchez(V)
    Aguero Firmino Ayew

    Bench:
    Elliot Milivojevic Ogbonna Holgate

    GTG?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      yep I’m having the same thoughts and captaining salah for same reasons. if I was chasing i’d probably go kane but no need to risk it

      1. @fpl_phenom
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        exactly this.... if youve got the lead its time to maintain it! slah can score or not and shouldnt effect me too much this week... sanchez points will be differential anyway

  2. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Short term benching problem

    Start Wilson (hud) or Deulofeu (wha)?

    Ta 🙂

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Wilson

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Being televised will probably swing it

        1. Oven Glover
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          GL

        2. My Name Is Prince
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          The revolution will not be televised...

    2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Oh good lord...coin toss

      Who is worse defensively?

    3. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I’d try to play both

      Wilson if you can’t

    4. Clump
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Wilson easy WR.
      Hudds are easily the worst team I've watched this year.
      It's also a game they have to try to win. Space for Wilson to operate in methinks.
      GL dude.

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Ta 🙂

    5. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      wilson

    6. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Cheers all, Wilson it is

    7. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Wilson. Deulofeu can blow a little hot and cold

      also I think hudds will be looking at this fixture as one to target for points to stay up so may attack more leaving space at the back

    8. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Start Wilson, imo.

    9. Midlands Saint73
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I'm hoping for a brace or better from Wilson vs Hud.

  3. Sims
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    aguero owners who are u captaining?

    1. Benjustjamin
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Walcott

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Nice, good luck 🙂

    2. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah

    3. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah because of mini league rivals owning him and not aguero... hedging my bets

    4. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah(c) Kane(v)
      Hoping Sterling covers any Kun(c)'ers in my ML

    5. mookie
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Walcott

    6. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah or Hazard

    7. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      currently on kun with salah vice but not sure if i keep it that way

    8. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah

    9. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah

    10. FPL.team
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Aguero

    11. SADIO SANÉ
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Hazard

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        What’s your rank? Are you gambling if you’re in Top 10K?

    12. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Sterling or Walcott.

    13. doy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Salah

  4. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    g2g? Or Dunk to Fernandez? 1ft
    DDG
    Alonso Jones Dunk
    Salah(C) KDB Sterling Lingard
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    Elliot Yedlin Chilwell RLC.

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      G2G

  5. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    I despair seeing so many Choupo-Moting's backed round these parts - I'd stoop to Mr. Casual Doucouré long before backing CM 🙂

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Yes it was a mistake. He'll probably score now.

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I've done my bit on the anti-jinx front for you all, looking forward to peeling the egg off my face later

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I regret picking him over Shaqiri to save money.

      Silly me 🙂

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I saved cash and got Milivojevic 😎

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I've had Choupo for an age and will hold until gw31 but I 100 per cent agree with you

    4. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Sheesh..might even captain the Douc GW31 😀

  6. Evasivo
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Any talks of Salah being rested?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      It’s just started now thanks to your post 😛

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Oh, if it's only me then I wouldnt worry. No connections to Klopp here 😉

        1. Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Just weighing up the Kane v Salah captaincy coin toss

    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Only from naughty boys like you 🙂

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Perfect, just the answer!

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Please don’t start this 🙂

    4. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Kane is the only safe starter out of the big 3, hence he's auto VC for Salah or Kun captainers

      1. Evasivo
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I have VC as Sterling over Kane but that may change now

        1. Legomané
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          I'd def VC Kane for safety of start, and he's a better pick than Rahzzer anyway

    5. doy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Low chance, he has a rest next weekend due to no FA Cup.

  7. TerryVenables
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Ota>>VVD for free or hold?

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I’d do it next week.
      City just as likely to clean sheet today as Liverpool.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      hold

  8. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    2fts - help me use one?! £1.4 itb

    Will likely ship Lingard/Otamendi next week...

    DDG
    Otamendi Azpi Jones
    Sterling Salah Gross Lingard Shaqiri
    Kane Firmino

    Elliott Ayew Ogbonna Long

    Ogbonna -> TAA?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      yes

    2. romer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No. If you're gonna make a sub, either prepare for gw 31or improve your team for this gw.

      Would you bench gross for TAA?

      Why don't you get a nailed gw31gk for elliot?

      TAA is big rotation risk for gw 31- assured in defense only VVD

  9. AusBest11
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Bottomed.

    Transfer or hold? 1FT and 0.7m ITB

    Pope (Adrian)
    Alonso Jones Otamendi (Ogbonna Long)
    De Bruyne Sterling Salah Ibe (Albrighton)
    Vardy Ayew Kane

    Who should I get in. I will need take a hit to ship out Otamendi, Jones or Alonso for Mawson or Bauer if I need to get in Walcott, Shaqiri, Mkhitarayan for Albrighton.

    Or straight swap to Deulofeu for Albrighton.

    Any advise is much appreciated.

    1. romer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      You could do it now. Ota for Bauer and next week albrighton for Walcott. But Bauer fixtures are terrible and along with west ham defensive problems you would find it difficult to have a 3 man defense.

      With that in mind, hold and see what's new until gw 28.

  10. AnfieldLad
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Any other fairly regular Salah captainers going elsewhere this week?

    I've captainted Salah 5 times but going Kane this week

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I’m thinking Hazard tbh, difficult to decide

    2. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Likewise mate.

    3. agueroooooney
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Sterling for me

      1. romer
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        My project was to have Kun captained the two previous weeks and this one. Sold kane and looking to swap again before gw28. Just the two points margins atm (Kun 8 points, kane 6 points). Will cap Kun and vc salãh.

  11. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Would you do Lacazette -> Niasse this weekend in my draft team? What do you think about Lacazettes minutes in the futures? Is it too risky or is it a good move? (Anyways i need to start Mustafi this weekend vs spurs)

    1. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No.
      You must have someone worse than Laca.
      Niasse minutes not even guaranteed.

    2. Mingo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      As a Niasse FPL owner I can't wait to get rid of him. The only reason he's still around is GW31 and he's not even guaranteed to get minutes then either. Is there no BOU forwards available? I'd rather get Slimani or Rodriquez than Niasse.

  12. V-2 Schneiderlin
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Got Mee for his 'attacking threat' & he's on scout picks squad for same reason - but he hasn't had goal or assist all season...

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I’d rather get goals and assists than attacking threat...

      1. romer
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        That just means that statistically he should be getting attack points. Could be this gw or could be next season... I believe in the first option.

  13. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    What's all this talk of Salah being rested 😯 😛

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I just mentioned it to my Nemesis...he reckons unlikely...I will keep on planting the seed of doubt

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      someone had a gut feeling

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        😀

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      the last time i was pleased salah was gonna be rested was stoke away.

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        ...even when he is on the verge of a fail someone chucks him a pen

  14. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Would you do Lacazette -> Niasse this weekend in my draft team? What do you think about Lacazettes minutes in the future? Is it too risky or is it a good move? (otherways i need to start Mustafi this weekend vs spurs)

  15. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Those tweets 😮

  16. AusBest11
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Play 3.

    A) Long
    B) Albrighton
    C) Ibe
    D) Ayew
    E) Vardy
    F) Ogbonna

  17. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Salah rested, really?

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      According to that tweet

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        *tweets, this time, tweets

        1. La Roja
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          RonH at it too?

    2. Jairzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Thank god I have 2 FTs still. I guess Wijnaldum will be starting then?

      1. Jairzinho
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Salah to Wij gives me enough cash to do Firmino to aguero. Will aguero start or could he get rested as well? Done the transfers already now so too late if aguero does get rested, unless I take a -4?

        1. SADIO SANÉ
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          -4 for Giroud

          1. Jairzinho
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 27 days ago

            Thanks

            1. Jairzinho
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 27 days ago

              Done. Wijnaldum (c) let’s goooooo!!!

              1. Bojaninho
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 27 days ago

                😀

  18. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Hazard destroyed West Brom at the Hawthorns.

    Good captain pick with insanely lower ownership but Chelsea looks in a bit mess.

    Tough call

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Just having him is enough.

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I never get this logic

        1. DA Minnion (Former great)
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Depends on your rank but I'd prefer covering Salah and take what I can get from hazard. It's just my thinking.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      big dividends if it comes off, but don't like betting against kane or salah

  19. Waylander
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Defence is:
    Alonso-Otamendi-Jones-Naughton-Mason

    Worried that Ota and Jones won’t play.

    1FT 0.6 itb
    A) Mason > Bauer
    B) Ota > VVD
    C) Hold to have 2 FT newxt week

    Cheers, all.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      c

  20. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    I have Otamendi and Alonso so bench order could be crucial. Is this right?

    Ogbonna Dunk Dcl

    Cheers

    1. doy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Yep, it's a toss of a coin b/w Og & Dunk.

  21. SADIO SANÉ
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Salah more likely to be rested than Hazard, Kane & Aguero?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      None will be rested so no, all equal

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        resting Kane in the NLD? Hazard no CL, Aguero only striker...not sure about that

        1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          I can see Aguero coming off early. To be honest, Liverpool need to win all their PL games. That means Salah needs to start as many of them as possible. Aguero probably gets the least minutes.

  22. Pique Blinder
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    G2G?

    Pickford
    Bauer -- Ota -- VVD -- Jones
    Sterling -- Salah (c) -- Walcott -- Lingard
    Kane -- Firmino

    Subs: J. Ayew, Mahrez, Mbemba, Elliot

    Would you drop anyone for J. Ayew?

  23. MagnetBPS
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Son-> Walcott or wait next GW?

    1. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Wait

    2. Pique Blinder
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I would do it now. Walcott could run riot today.

    3. Begbie.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      If you're gonna do it you may as well do it today when one is playing Palace and the other is playing Arsenal.

    4. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      wait

    5. Tomlette Greggs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I'd do it this gameweek. If at all Pochettino decides to play 3 at the back with Alderweireld coming in, Son could drop out.

    6. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      For free I’d do it now.

    7. doy
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Hold. Son has 3 good fixtures after today too.

  24. My Name Is Prince
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Salah —> KDB or Haz?

    1. Waylander
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Surely you jest?

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        See above, Salah getting rested...

      2. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        😉

        1. Waylander
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Rest confirmed? Link please.

    2. agueroooooney
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      No

  25. ZimZalabim
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    i really miss those YMA captain articles were really helpful more so in weeks like this.

  26. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Ota > VVD?? Have no cover on the bench except Simpson

    As it is will do the move next week.

  27. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Would you do Lacazette -> Niasse this weekend in my draft team? What do you think about Lacazettes minutes in the future? Is it too risky or is it a good move? (Otherwise i need to start Mustafi this weekend vs spurs)

    1. The Hobbit
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Dude, now you’re just spaminn

  28. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Espero que Marcos Alonso haga llorar amargamente a los vendedores hoy 🙂

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      qué demonios dices?

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Translate!

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        pensé que los minions eran multilingües?

    3. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Alonso para anotar un truco de sombrero

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Lol

      2. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Ese es el espíritu!!

    4. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Alonso por la victoria

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Oh si bebé!

  29. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Which one to start?
    1) Kenny (CRY)
    2) Ibe (hud)
    3) Naughton (BUR)

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      2

  30. Henning
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Play Vardy over Ayew?