Spot the Differential
3 March 2018 1544 comments
James H James H
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All three of our differentials delivered attacking returns last week, and we’re hoping to repeat the trick with our latest choices.

Two big-name midfielders need little introduction, while an in-form budget forward has taken our fancy ahead of a home match-up against a struggling Arsenal.

Leroy Sane

Following a stunning display in the 3-0 win over Arsenal on Thursday night, Manchester City’s Leroy Sane is our headline selection.

The winger produced a goal, assist and two bonus points against the Gunners for his seventh double-figure haul of the season.

Interestingly, five of those have come at the Etihad Stadium, where only Kevin De Bruyne (six) has tallied more double-digit scores.

Pep Guardiola’s in-form side entertain Chelsea tomorrow.

The Blues travel north having conceded nine times over the last four Gameweeks – only West Bromwich Albion (11) have let in more.

City then face a trip to Stoke City in Gameweek 30.

The Potters have conceded more goals (54) than any other side this season and lost 7-2 in the reverse fixture back in Gameweek 8, when Sane recorded a goal and an assist.

Despite being the most popular pick heading into Gameweek 29, Sane is still found in only 8.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads, so has the potential to be a particularly explosive differential.

The City wide man has averaged an impressive 5.7 points per match (ppm), which is only bettered by just four other midfielders.

Priced at 8.4, Sane looks a tantalising option for those who need to turn to differentials to make big gains.

Glenn Murray

The home form of the Brighton & Hove Albion forward has drawn our attention.

Glenn Murray has produced four goals in his last three starts at the Amex, amassing 26 points.

He has now scored 10 goals the season and lies third among forwards in terms of points per million value with a score of 15.5.

Chris Hughton’s men enter tomorrow’s home clash against Arsenal full of confidence following their 4-1 victory over Swansea City.

The Gunners have lost each of their last three away matches and have given up 16 big chances over the last four Gameweeks – at least five more than any other side.

The form of the 3.5%-owned forward comes as no surprise when we take a look at his underlying statistics.

He has had four big chances in the last four Gameweeks, which is second to only Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane (nine) among FPL forwards.

The veteran striker sits fourth for shots (10), efforts in the box (nine) and attempts on target, with five, and has also displayed an ability to supply for his team-mates, despite the fact he has yet to register an assist this season.

The 5.8-priced forward is second to only Liverpool’s Roberto Firmino (seven) for chances created among strikers, with six.

In great form and facing an Arsenal side bereft of confidence, Murray looks to have the platform to enjoy another productive afternoon.

Aaron Ramsey

Matches away to Brighton and at home to Watford over the next two Gameweeks in particular see us plump for Arsenal’s Aaron Ramsey as our final pick.

The Wales international lies sixth behind Sane for ppm among FPL midfielders with 5.6 – impressively ahead of Leicester City’s Riyad Mahrez and Spurs’ Christian Eriksen (both 5.4).

Ramsey’s away form has been particularly eye-catching.

His 44% goal involvement on the road is superior to any team-mate, while no other Arsenal player has produced more shots from inside the penalty area (18) or shots on target (11) in away matches.

Brighton’s defence over their last four home encounters also provides further encouragement for Ramsey’s prospects.

The Seagulls have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches, while no side has conceded more goals (eight) or allowed more shots on target (20).

The Brighton rearguard is also the fifth worst for shots conceded inside the penalty area (29) over the last four home matches.

Available at just 6.9 in FPL, Ramsey provides terrific value.

The fact that Arsenal’s schedule from Gameweek 32 onwards (STK SOT new WHU) is so kind is worth noting, particularly for those Fantasy managers who have already used their second Wildcard.

Arsene Wenger’s will also benefit from a double Gameweek, with their trip to Leicester still to be re-arranged.

With an ownership of 3.9% in FPL, Ramsey is another player who can be a difference-maker over the next couple of weeks as the need to secure mini-leagues and climb the overall rankings intensifies.

  1. Teror
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best defender for 4.9 or under?

    I want to get rid of Duffy: Brighton don't keep clean sheets and their fixtures till the end of the season are terrible. Ward perhaps?

    1. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Best budget options probably Mariappa or Lowton

    2. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      robertson

      1. Teror
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Have VvD and am maxed out on Liverpool

        1. Mike-Kovic
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          i like chilwell if he nailed

    3. Teddy Brewski
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Dawson due to goal threat maybe

  2. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Benitez has never lost against Liverpool.
    3 D, 2 Win .
    His tactics are pretty good when they play big clubs ...

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      stop it! just when i’d settled on salah. I have a funny feeling my ML leader has brought in kane for kun this week, now i’m second guessing myself

  3. In Carrick we trust
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hows this looking??? I can see kane getting a bagfull, where as i dont thank newcastle will gave liverpool an easy game,

    pickford
    Alonso, vvd, martina,
    Salah (vc), kennedy, mane, erikson
    Ayew, kane (c), vardy
    Bench, elliot, francis, cork, zanka

    1. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gtg

  4. Park the bus
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Start Wilson or Lingard?

    1. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      lingard

  5. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    RLC to McArthur?
    DDG
    Alonso VVD Fernandez
    Salah(C) KDB Sterling Lingard
    Kane Firmino Wilson

    Elliot Chilwell McArthur Dunk...

  6. Dazzrb
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling >Eriksen for -4?

    1. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Seems good to me.

    2. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Perhaps next week
      Let’s see If Spurs in CL after Juve

  7. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed:

    Is Kun to Kane worth a -4?

    1. Dazzrb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    2. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      worth for long term

    3. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Depends if you will captain Kane or not.

      I’ve done it for -4, but il be captaining kane for he next two gameweeeks.

  8. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    HELP! My plan was always to sell Lingard and Maguire for Mkhitaryan and a 4.6m defender. No I am not so sure. Lingard has a good fixture this week and I don't know how nailed Mkhitaryan is. Should I go Ramsey instead? He is only just back from injury though. Thoughts?

  9. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Who to play from these two?

    A) Bauer
    B) Bardsley

    Thanks.

  10. Killug
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Jones and Sterling to Davis and Eriksen (-4) ?

  11. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Really hoping Mané can kick on and best Firmino from now until the end of the season. He surely has one hatrick in him for the PL

  12. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Play one

    A) Ogbonna (swa)
    B) CM (sou)

    1. Mike-Kovic
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      b

  13. Gruu
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Thoughts on the below team? Willing to take a hit

    A) Alonso Lingard >> Aurier Ramsey (-4)
    B) Alonso Sterling >> Aurier Eriksen (-4)
    C) Jones Sterling >> Aurier Ramsey (-4)
    D) Jones Lingard >> Mee Ramsey (-4)

    Foster
    Alonso, VVD, Jones
    Salah, Sterling, Mahrez, Shaqiri
    Kane, Firmino, Wilson

    (Elliot, Lingard, Ogbonna, Mbemba)
    1 FT, 0.2 ITB.

  14. #Swish41
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi all , 1FT, all chips left

    1. Lingard > Shaqiri
    2.Save

    DDQ
    Mee VVD Maguire (Naughton Dunk)
    Salah Mahrez Lingard Dacoure (RLC)
    Aguero Kane Firmino

    Sensible transfer with 31 in mind, guess it depends if Lingard plays (50% chance to start?)

    Thoughts appreciated.

  15. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Leading ML by 36 and think they will captain Salah.

    We all own Kane and Salah so do I play it safe and captain Salah or risk it and captain Kane?

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Play safe.

  16. Offs!de
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Sterling to
    a) Arnatauvic
    b) Shaqiri

    wc in 33 and FT on 35

    1. Total Foot 5
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      b

  17. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is anyone captaining Kun? Am I crazy for going home over Mo?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Him*

    2. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kun can be a differential this gw, especially if you chasing

  18. Total Foot 5
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    who to càptain?

    1 salah
    2 kane

    Salah has outscored Kane over the last four Gameweeks.

    His 46 points are a lot more than the Spurs striker’s 18 over that period.

    1. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salah

    2. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      sounds like you’ve made your mind up

    3. Wetdream
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Depends on your circumstances.Im chasing so feel like i should captain Kane but then risk falling even further behind !

    4. Thiga
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Kane

  19. KLOPPS AND ROBBERS... the s…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ibe >

    A. Arnie
    B. Ramsey

    Would be -4

    1. Total Foot 5
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ramsey for me.

  20. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    No way is Mark not captaining Kane at home.

  21. Ando My Son
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Decisions! I can do one of these without a hit. Any help would be appreciated!!

    Jones -> Aurier
    Sterling-> Eriksen
    Gross->Arnie

  22. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is my bench order ok?

    Wilson (lei) - Ogbonna (swa) - Kenny (bur)

  23. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pope, Elliot
    Alonso, Davies, Van Dijk, Jones, Ogbonna
    Salah, Sterling, Son, Walcott, Carroll
    Kane, Firmino, Wilson

    1FT, 0.4 in bank

    A) Son --> Sane
    B) Walcott --> Ramsey/Arnautovic
    C) Son & Walcott --> Mahrez & Ramsey (-4)

  24. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Worth doing Sterling -> Mahrez for my free transfer? (I have no Leicester player)

  25. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Would you pay?

    a. Ota v Chelsea

    b. Feenandez v WHU

    Thanks in advance peeps

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      play*

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Fernandez geez putting my glasses on now lol

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Ota

  26. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Shall I hold my Free Transfer?

    Hennessey
    Alonso Otamendi Mawson
    Salah Mane Mahrez Walcott Shaqiri
    Kane Wilson

    Speroni Ogbonna Dunk Dcl

  27. HD7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    G2G?

    Team:

    De Gea
    Ota Vert Alonso
    Sterling Shaq Salah(C) Mahrez
    Firmino Kane Wilson

    Subs: Elliot, Ogbona, Obiang, Mbemba

    Hope at least one of Vert or Sterling starts...

  28. CRO KLOPP
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG
    Alonso, VVD, Ogbonna
    Salah, Mahrez, Son Shaqiri, Lingard
    Kane, Firmino
    Elliot, Wilson, Kenny, Duffy
    1 ft 1.0 itb

    GTG here? Bench Wilson?
    GL all

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wilson

  29. Klip Klopp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Too confused on what to do this week. Any thoughts?

    DDG
    Kenny / Alonso / Mee
    Salah (c) / Walcott / Mkhi / Sterling / Chamberlain
    Firmino / Kane

    Subs: Wilson, Duffy, Ogbonna

    1FT 0.5 itb, not sure how to use it

  30. IRBOX ⚽
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Otamendi > Aurier for free?

    1. shotgunnufc - MANIAC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      ye not a bad shout actually for next 2