Metrics
17 March 2018 3384 comments
Ragabolly Ragabolly
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Gameweek 31 has kicked off, as has a new series of articles that will present key statistics of the top 10,000 ranked Fantasy Premier League managers’ team selections every week.

The goal is to provide managers with a sense of the damage, or gain, they can anticipate as the Gameweek unfolds by understanding what a good sample of active teams have done.

Given how unusual Gameweek 31 is, we focus our analysis this time on the Free Hit use and the number of active Gameweek 31 players in the top 10,000 placings.

Here are the most relevant stats:

The number of Free Hit teams in the top 10k is 2532 – a percentage of 25.32%.

The average number of points deducted in non-Free Hit teams is -2.02, with the full distribution below:

The average number of Gameweek 31 players in all teams is 9.43 (counting all players from today’s eight matches for now, even the ones who didn’t/won’t feature).

Analysis of who featured/versus who did not will be presented in another article after the Gameweek ends.

Teams using the Free Hit chip have an average number of players of 14.67, while teams with no Free Hit have 7.65 with the following distribution:

Now, let’s dig deeper into the Gameweek 31 players and see which teams have contributed the most.

The following figure shows how many players each team is contributing on average to active managers:

We see an understandable dominance of Liverpool players (2.86 players per manager) as they’re the only top-six team with a fixture this week. Bournemouth assets place second.

To quantify the Liverpool percentages more, let’s look at how many teams own three, two, one or zero players from Jurgen Klopp’s side.

Over 87.6% own three Liverpool players and over 98% of players have at least two.

Taking a look at the captain and vice-captain choices, we see a possible record for captaincy among the top 10k, with Mohamed Salah handed the armband by 88.8%. That figure will definitely go higher by the end of the Gameweek as the captainers of Sergio Aguero, Harry Kane etc could have Salah as their vice-captain.

Roberto Firmino is in second place, with only 4.28%.

Vice-captaincy stats are also dominated by Liverpool assets, with Firmino being selected by 56.56% of managers, Mane 10.37% and Salah 6.37%.

Finally, here’s a table of the most-owned eight players in each position this week (showing only players with a fixture).

With this week being a prime candidate for the Free Hit to be played, we present the template squad created by those playing the chip.

It’s slightly different than the most selected players in all teams due to the freedom Free Hitters have in choosing nailed-on and in-form players.

Butland 52.53%, Lössl 48.38%

Baines 68.25%, Schindler 59.91%, van Aanholt 59.28%, Aké 55.53%, Zouma 32.31%

Salah 99.72%, Mané 77.37%, Zaha 62.52%, Shaqiri 61.69%, Stanislas 61.57%

Firmino 98.78%, Wilson 58.89%, Mounie 49.17%

We will follow up tomorrow with the results of this Gameweek and an analysis of how much Free Hit users gained.

Also, if you have similar statistics that you want to be included in future articles, please leave your suggestions in a comment.

  1. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    what's the avg so far???

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      65 after hit deductions and including projected bonus

    2. arndff_
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      TOP 10K: 66.3
      OR: 32.2

      (With projected BPS)

    3. Sánchez
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      60?

  2. Numb
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    VVD to finally get a goal next GW I reckon

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Just in time for me ditching him. What a bar steward.

      1. Numb
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yep, and everyone else

  3. Feloh
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    van djik come on grab one son

  4. arndff_
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Congrats to AZ! He's killing it so far:

    https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/69/event/31

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Phwoar

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nice.

    3. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Brilliant score. Could easily have ignored Tosun.

    4. Cok3y5murf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dream week. Damn

    5. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm beating him.

      1. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        With a large inflatable dil......

  5. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Whatever happened to Richarlison

    1. Sánchez
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I got him

    2. adidasOriginals
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He'll be back....

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        He didn't say Arnie.

  6. Bury94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Gonna get my highest score of the season when I only have 9 players, seems legit

  7. Les Bleus
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    VVD will get his goal during the DGW when everyone has gotten rid.

  8. jam
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    84 inc baps -8. Pretty happy.

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Awesome!

    2. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Need Liverpool to keep a CS

    3. niko mate
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      same, but without hit.

      1. jam
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        nice

  9. adidasOriginals
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I've still got all my chips and WC left. What would you do now?
    I'm usually 100% sure which way I'm going to use them but not this season and wanted to see if anyone else was in this situation or get peoples thoughts? Ta!

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Same situation as you. I am wild carding now, triple captaining for one of the DGW, free hitting for the other DGW.

      1. adidasOriginals
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        thanks for replying. my team doesn't even look like it needs a WC this week...so I really don't know...

  10. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Hughes on, if it snows any harder his team mates won’t be able to see him 😛

  11. FPL AXE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    On fantasy football field, does the "live gameweek" position take into account points hits for extra moves?

  12. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Not quite as low scoring as predicted

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Firmino and Salah(c) are not differentials though. So you can ignore their points in working out impact on rank.

  13. SUPERMAN
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Everybody in my mini league captained Salah. Boring 🙁

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Can you blame them?

      1. SUPERMAN
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        No but you would think that one or two of them would have maybe gone with someone else.

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What did you expect?

      1. SUPERMAN
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        One or two to perhaps go with Mane or Firminho

  14. Zilla
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    3 - Salah (57)
    2 - Robertson (40)
    1 - Firmino (32)

    1. Zilla
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      VVD 25
      Mane 18

    2. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      own all three 😎

  15. dewgills
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    That time I was a bit drunk and hit WILDCARD instead of FREE HIT!

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yikes. RIP your season.

      1. Les Bleus
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        First post ever. Welcome.

        1. the snazzy viking
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          or may've not posted for 30 days perhaps

        2. dewgills
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I may have a few posts in the past. But usually I just listen. Still trying to learn this game. As a Yank, I dropped all my American fantasy leagues, (in all sports) to try and really learn this.

      2. dewgills
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        This is going to take some careful planning. Good thing I have a 14 day break TO THINK ABOUT WHAT A STU...ahh nvrm

  16. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else a tiny bit scared of wildcarding tonight??

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Have to be done, too many weak players

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Do it tomorrow then?

      1. Flynny
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Needs to be done tonight to beat kane drop

        Mau as well include Silva in case of double rise...

      2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        When u are doing?

    3. Numb
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Little bit scared of losing Dawson and Wilson, not gonna lie

    4. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Always.

      But not as scared as carrying Zanka mounie Bauer etc into next week.

    5. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No. This 31 bollox has cost me dearly.

    6. MTPockets
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Silva looking like only potential riser of interest. No hurry really.

        1. Flynny
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Kane falling mate

          1. tm370
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Just swap Kane out for a striker you want (Aub) with your free and then wait on it.

            1. mir
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Exactly what I'm doing and then hit wildcard later in week.

    7. Duke Silver ☑
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C'mon Watford, wipe out that clean sheet.

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Not this

      2. Sánchez
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Got gomez but this

      3. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        That would destroy Robertson score. -6 probably. Pls no 🙁

        1. Duke Silver ☑
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          That's the only reason I want it to happen 😉

          I got rid of Robertson on my free hit.

      4. the snazzy viking
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        ban

    8. SB007
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Leader with 6 players triple captains Salah and still leads free hitters with 11 players. Ffs.

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        He will get got once the DGWs happen.

        1. TallestJohn
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          If Salah gets 19 that's totally respectable, not far off Sanchez and Aguero when they scored 25. Not quite Kane's 31 at the end of last season but think of some of the DGW TC busts we've seen.

    9. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Anybody got the ton up get ? It's definitely not been the low scoring week many were predicting.

    10. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Gibbs coming on

      1. Ode
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Classic

      2. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        😛

    11. markus808
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I have WC and free hit left, how many points on average you would expect against someone who does not have these perks? What's the point value of these perks? I would think around 40 points more is reasonable expectation. Do you agree?

    12. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Cojones off

    13. tm245
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Go warm your cojones, Troy.

    14. dark91
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldn't mind a Watford goal as long as Firmino and Salah keep their bp

    15. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      ML rival has Ox coming on, if he scores I'll cry

      1. dark91
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Even if he scores an own goal?

        1. Ghost Gooner
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I'd love that 😀

      2. Zilla
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        this please no ox goal or assist

        1. Ghost Gooner
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          He has Tomkins, Allen and Walcott. Ox returning would kill me

    16. LewanGOALski
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      planning to hit the WC button today/tomorrow.

      Any obvious changes to this 1st draft?

      DDG - Ryan
      Christensen - Mustafi - Maguire - Naughton - Tarkowski
      Salah - Mahrez - Son - Willian - Gross
      Aubameyang - Lukaku - Barnes

      1. Flynny
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It's nice....similar to my current draft....

        Instead of gross and Barnes I have gudmondsson and Murray.. .

      2. Silecro
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        downgrade defence on fabianski, robertson and smalling to upgrade gross on sterling

    17. Mikey44
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Should be around 180k after tonight. Do I have a chance to finish in the top 100k with second WC, BB, and TC?

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        No

      2. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Of course.

      3. Ode
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Ofc

      4. DAZZ
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Top 50k

      5. grumpyman
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Easy. You should be targeting 50k with those chips left.

    18. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What a truly excellent article.

      Stat Nerd Bliss

    19. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Predictions for next season?

      Salah - 12.0m Striker
      Firmino - 9.5m striker
      Mané - 9.0m midfielder

      I’d actually go for Mané

      1. mir
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Didn't even think about Salah moving to be a forward next year. That will shake it up a bit. 12m spot on also I reckon.

        1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          It’ll probably make him difficult to own

      2. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Salah - 12.5m Striker
        Firmino - 10.0m striker
        Mané - 9.5m midfielder

        1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Would pretty much invalidate them all at those prices - maybe a Mané would be worth it

      3. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Salah at Madrid.

    20. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why is the overall average so low? There can't be that many dead teams surely.

      1. dark91
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        There are many who didn't bother about this GW

      2. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It's all that benchwnkery

      3. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Autosubs.

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Ah yes. The knobheads.

        2. STEP rOVERS
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Its you, TM

      4. Numb
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Course there are.