Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. Quan MisTaka
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Thinking of downgrading smalling to Lowton so I can get Kaku in for firmino. This means I have double Burnley defense in my starting 11.

    Too risky?

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Don't think so

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Double Burnley defence ftw.

    3. Ron_Swanson
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I’ve got double Burnley

    4. Quan MisTaka
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I can rest easy. Xheers

  2. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    69 points to choose your captain...

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      69 minutes even

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Who you going for Roja?

    2. Pique Blinder
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Salah. The fear of not doing so is too great.

  3. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Gtg? Sanchez or Aubemeyang (C)? (yes I am chasing)

    Lloris
    Otamendi, Lascelles, Moses
    Sanchez, Salah, Richarlison, Gros
    Vardy, Firmino, Aubemeyang

    (Speroni, Mee, Simpson, James)

    Next week James - Gudmundsson for free

    1. n-doggg
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I would go hazard over Sanchez. Auba for the C

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        the 0.9 would not be used anyway. The position I am in it is completely irrelevant if i go Sanchez 11.5 or Hazard 10.6. I do fancy Sanchez DGW > Hazard for the TC though

  4. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Only Salah Aubameyang Arnie the only Scout picks in my squad .....
    probably the lowest ever - Could = a disaster now 🙁

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Nope, means you'll have a stormer

  5. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Any late/early team news, player news?

    Thank you forever...

  6. XCube
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    with mainly gw37 BB perspective:
    Fabianski + Kenedy + Mariappa vs Hennessey + AndyKing/Højbjerg + Jones

  7. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    DDG Ryan
    Mustafi Lowton Tarkowski Morgan X
    Willian Salah Gross Mahrez X
    Auba Vardy X

    a) Christensen Gudmunssen Kaku
    b) Alonso Son Barnes

    (BB in 34)

    1. pilgrim
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      b

    2. Limbo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B

    3. FPL Jogger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B

  8. pilgrim
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    last min wildcard doubts...

    a) Alonso, Dunk, Tarkowski
    b) Christensen, Mustafi, Jones

    1. conorbon
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

    2. FPL Jogger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

  9. MrMajeika
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    ddg (ryan)
    alonso Monreal lowton
    Salah mahrez Arnie Willian Kenedy
    auba vardy
    (Austin naughton morgan)

    A) murray/barnes instead of Austin?

    B) thinking ahead to gw34 which be be the better transfer, Monreal to Jones or Arnie to gross

  10. conorbon
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which 2 of the below?
    Kennedy
    Willian
    Murray

    1. Quan MisTaka
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      1 and 2

  11. AD2110
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Still got aguero in my team. Shall I ship for another striker for a hit or just chance it?

    1. conorbon
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Jesus

  12. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Aguero playing or not?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Not according to a City fan Twitter account - don't know how reliable it is.

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Cheers Numb....

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Did you not see that tweet 😯

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        What tweet?

          1. Jafooli
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Oh yeah, that tweet 😛

            1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
              • 15 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              I out jafoolied jafooli 😎

  13. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hi, anyone have Chelsea defender and benched them against TOT?
    Have Christensen, Mariappa and Morgan, which one to play?
    Cheers

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I am playing Alonso, but that's more down to his attacking threat than Chelsea's defensive capabilities.

      1. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks.

  14. Afghanistanislas
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which of these would you rather:
    (Already have DDG + Gudmundsson and Ryan/Hennessey would only play the DGW)

    A) Ryan, Bailly, van der Hoorn, Barnes
    B) Ryan, Mustafi, Kiko, Murray
    C) Hennessey, Mustafi, Fernandez, Murray

  15. Big Sam Time
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Anybody else thank palace cud get something off liverpool?? So instead off salah captain im thanking lukaku against swansea can only see a united win!

    1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      VVD brace today .....

      1. Big Sam Time
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Lol you act serious??

  16. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Repost:

    Need some last minute opinions on this below please;

    DDG^, Pope*
    Alonso, Monreal, Smalling^, Lowton^*, Chilwell*
    Mahrez, Mkhi, Salah, Gross*, Gudmun^
    Murray, Vardy, Auba

    * = Bench for GW32
    ^ = Bench for GW33
    GW34 = Mkhi & Auba > Son & Lukaku
    GW35 = Free hit

  17. FPL Emu
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    With Murray already, should I go Gross or Willian?

    1. L9
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      willian for sure

  18. L9
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    any thoughts on this wc?
    de gea ryan
    mustafi verto morgan robertson lowton
    son sallah mahrez willian mhiky
    auba firm barnes

    before gw 34 will do firmino + mhiky ---> kane/lukaku + cork

  19. Siggy Azalea
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Morning all, pick one...
    a) Hegazi (BUR, H)
    b) Mee (wba,a)

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Mee

    2. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B. WBA are doomed

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Mee.

  20. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    WC set?

    DDG - Ryan
    Alonso - Bailly - Mustafi - Lowton - Morgan
    Salah - Mahrez - Son - Willian - Gudmundsson
    Auba (C) - Vardy - Murray

    Bank: 0.6

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I’d just be worried about Murray game time and Lukaku/Kane plan. Looks good though

  21. Zizou
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    1 gudmundsson and austin

    2 gross and barnes

    1st one allows me to upgrade smalling to bailly

    I'm chasing

    1. L9
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      2

  22. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Walcott > Mahrez for a hit?

    1. L9
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      yes

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks

  23. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Bottomed! Last desicion is killing me. Please Help!
    A) Alonso and Vardy
    B) Christensen and Lukaku
    Going A means ill have 0.9 more but going B will make it much easier to get Kane for DGW34 or after

    1. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B then

      Gotta have a Kane plan

  24. fish66
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which two should I play?

    (a) Tarkowski
    (b) Cedric
    (c) Morgan
    (d) Lowton

    1. fish66
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Tempted for A & D

    2. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A and D

    3. Quan MisTaka
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      After much consideration in putting all my eggs in the a&d basket

    4. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A and D

    5. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      C D

  25. ChadW98
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Is a front three of Lukaku Aub Vardy too expensive?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Sounds ace.

    2. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Not if it provides the returns.

    3. FF Dirtbag
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      If it doesn't destroy the rest of the team then why not?

  26. FF Dirtbag
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    How's the WC look? Like everyone else's?

    DDG
    Smalling Robertson Lowton
    Salah Mahrez Willian Son Stanislas
    Aubameyang Lukaku(c)

    Ryan; Barnes, tarkowski, Morgan

    1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Wish I still had the WC option up my sleeve 🙁

  27. Sedemuda
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Start Gross or Murray?

    1. Teror
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Gross

  28. Rash
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Would you downgrade smalling to fund Barnes to Austin or just stick?

    Ddg pope
    Alonso smalling lowton Mustafi mariappa
    Salah son willian Mahrez Kennedy
    Kaku Auba Barnes

    .2itb

  29. zakard
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    hi my final WC

    Best combo
    a) Alonso + Gross + barnes
    b) Duffy + Gud + Vardy

    Rest of the team

    ddg Ryan
    Lowton Mustafi Chilwell Smalling
    Willian Son Salah Mahrez
    Aubam Firmino

    00itb

  30. Limbo
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Watching Auzzie cricketers crying is hilarious.