Spot the Differential
31 March 2018 2111 comments
James H James H
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With partial success back in Gameweek 31 via a Salomon Rondon assist, we’ve opted for three strikers in our selection of Differentials this time around.

Front men from Manchester City, Southampton and Burnley are backed to produce as we enter the final block of the season.

Gabriel Jesus

With Sergio Aguero remaining a doubt for Manchester City’s trip to Everton, his team-mate and fellow striker Gabriel Jesus looks a tempting option.

The Brazilian made his first start against Stoke City in Gameweek 30 following a spell on the sidelines and produced his fifth assist of the campaign in the 2-0 win.

The forward now faces an Everton side that have managed just one clean sheet from their last 11 encounters.

Jesus has scored eight goals from 21 league outings and just 13 starts, and should be handed plenty of opportunities at Goodison Park leading the line for league’s top scoring side.

Pep Guardiola’s men have scored a sensational 85 goals, 12 more than second-placed Liverpool.

They have also created an astounding 108 big chances, with Liverpool again the next best on 93.

Given the injuries to Aguero and Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane, Jesus could represent good value as a replacement, priced at 10.0 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

Owned by only 6.7% of FPL managers, he might just be worth a roll of the dice if you believe City can run riot on Merseyside in their bid to seal the title.

Charlie Austin

With an eye not just on Gameweek 32, but also the upcoming Double Gameweek 34, Southampton’s Charlie Austin is an interesting name to consider.

The Saints forward is in line to return to the squad for this afternoon’s crunch trip to fellow strugglers West Ham United after recovering from a hamstring injury.

By the time Mark Hughes’s side face Chelsea and Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34, the striker is expected to be fully up to speed.

Austin’s importance to Southampton’s survival hopes cannot be understated.

He is their top goalscorer with six goals, despite injuries and a suspension limiting him to just five starts.

Significantly, his underlying statistics are hugely impressive given his budget price tag of just 5.8 in FPL.

The former Queens Park Rangers front man has fired a shot every 22.1 minutes over the season, which is only bettered by Kane (15) and Aguero (21.4) among regular starting forwards.

Indeed, only Aguero betters Austin’s minutes per goal record this campaign, with the Saints striker finding the net every 98.1 minutes compared with the Argentine’s 93.8 minutes.

Facing a West Ham side that have conceded more goals (11) than any other side over the last four matches, Austin could enjoy another successful afternoon at the London Stadium, having produced a goal and an assist in this fixture last term.

He also netted the winner from the penalty spot in a 3-2 victory in the reverse fixture this season, despite only playing 10 minutes as a substitute.

While investment in the 0.6%-owned striker does carry a risk as he may not be fit to start this afternoon, his goalscoring record when on the pitch suggests he could be worth a gamble for the run-in, particularly with the south coast club benefitting from two double Gameweeks.

Chris Wood

While team-mate Ashley Barnes (5.3) has been the name on the lips of many managers due to his more budget-friendly price tag, fellow Burnley forward Chris Wood should not be overlooked.

The New Zealand international has scored three goals in two substitute appearances since returning from a knee injury, and has strong claims for a recall for this afternoon’s trip to West Bromwich Albion.

His chances have certainly increased since he was omitted from the New Zealand squad for their friendly with Canada.

Wood matches up very well when compared to Barnes.

Despite being limited to just 17 appearances, as opposed to 29 for Barnes, the New Zealander holds the edge for goals scored (seven to six).

Indeed, he has a goal every 157.4 minutes, which is far superior to Barnes (269.3).

Wood has also been involved in a staggering 62% of Burnley’s goals scored when he’s been on the pitch, which helps justify the extra outlay required to bring in the 6.2-price forward.

Facing a West Brom defence that has shipped nine goals in their last three encounters at the Hawthorns, Wood looks to have the ideal platform to maintain his strong form.

With his appeal also boosted by a Double Gameweek 34 (LEI/CHE) and a fixture in Gameweek 35 away to Stoke City, the 1.2%-owned Wood could be a powerful differential for the season run-in.

  1. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    On WC - Mustafi or Monreal?

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Mustafi

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Mustafi is the safer pick I believe

    3. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Monreal here

    4. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Mustafi...choose the safest

  2. Guy Demel
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    34 team settled.....

    DDG, Ryan
    Christensen, Vertonghen, Morgan, Tarkowski, Lowton
    ALBRIGHTON, Willian, Mahrez, Gross, Salah
    Kane, Lukaku, Barnes

    Currently Mustafi and Auba sitting in Kane and Christensens slots

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Have another look

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      G2G

  3. TheRealDog
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    DDG Ryan
    Alonso Maguire/Smalling Duffy Lowton Morgan

    A. Maguire
    B. Smalling

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B. You have morgan

  4. SantiClaus
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    TAA or Mariappa on WC?

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Mariappa

  5. MFPL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    A or B? On WC

    A) Ryan
    Alonso Maguire Smalling
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian Groß
    Aubameyang (C) Firmino

    McCarthy Murray Lowton Mariappa 0.6mITB

    B) De Gea
    Alonso Christensen Mustafi
    Salah Mahrez Son Willian Groß
    Aubameyang (C) Firmino

    Ryan Barnes Lowton Chilwell

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      B. play lowton instead of christensen.

  6. Lukakwho
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Hi, please RMT am I G2G? My squad value is a lot lower than everyone else’s so bare that In mind. Any changes?

    DDG (Ryan)

    Mustafi, Alonso, Lowton, (Morgan, Bong)

    Salah, Son, Mahrez, Willian, (King)

    Kaku, Vary, Murray

  7. Scoring freely
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    How safe is Popes place now Heaton is back? I fancy Burney more for clean sheets in GW 34.

    1. Scoring freely
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      *Burnley

    2. Ghost Gooner
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      50/50

    3. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I would say he is very safe given his performance this season in Heaton's absence.

  8. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    No Liverpool leak yet, right?

  9. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Have there been any Chelsea presser yesterday?
    Any news on Courtois? Is he starting?

  10. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Pages flying! 0.6m on WC.

    A. Smalling >> Bailly
    B. Barnes >> Austin

    DDG
    Alonso • Mustafi • Smalling
    Son • Mo(C) • Mahrez • Willian • Kenedy
    Aubameyang • Lukaku(V)
    (Ryan, Barnes, Lowton, Morgan)

    1. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A

    2. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Or Vert?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Don’t fancy him much

  11. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 27 days ago

    Bench one
    Gross
    Salah
    Willian
    Mahrez
    Kennedy
    Vardy
    Aubameyang
    Lukaku

    1. Lukakwho
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Auba

      1. The Red Devil
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Sarcasm?

    2. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Auba for sure.

      1. The Red Devil
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Seriously?

        1. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Stupid questions and all that. Why even include him?

          Kenedy.

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Ouch!! No idea mate! Vardy?

      1. The Red Devil
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        I'm thinking willian or gross

    4. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Kenedy

    5. MTPockets
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Kenedy

    6. Borran
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Start Willian or Gross?

      1. QuintonFortune25
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Gross

    7. ChadW98
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Need a sub 6.6m defender that's nailed on for the next 2 weeks with good fixtures and can be transferred out in gw34

      1. QuintonFortune25
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Mustafi

      2. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Monreal

    8. QuintonFortune25
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Last chance to make any changes, this WC team G2G or any changes required?

      DDG
      Alonso - Mustafi - Lowton
      Salah (c) - Mahrez - Willian - Gross
      Lukaku - Auba (vc) - Barnes

      McCarthy - Vertongen - Morgan - King

    9. Mytteristen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A) Hazard, Groß, Christensen, Barnes
      B) Willian, Mkhitaryan, Alonso, Murray
      C) Willian, Groß, Christensen, Vardy

      1. QuintonFortune25
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        B

      2. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        B

    10. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      G2G;

      DDG
      Alonso, Monreal, Smalling
      Salah, Gross, Mahrez, Mkhi
      Auba, Vardy, Murray

      Pope, Gudmund, Lowton, Chilwell

    11. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Benching headache after WC... Would you change anything?

      DDG
      Mustafi - Alonso - Lowton
      Salah(C) - Mahrez - Son - William - Gross
      Auba - Vardy

      Ryan - Barnes - Morgan - Verts

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Similar to mine. Can't decide whether to play Son or Barnes.

        1. My Name Is Prince
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          It’s tough...

    12. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      NUFF SAID

      DDG - Ryan.

      Robertson - Lowton - Dummet - Morgan - Fernandez.

      Salah - Willian - Mahrez - Matic - Gross.

      Aub - Kaku - Firmino.

      NUFF SAID

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Feeling invincible

        Can anyone bring me down a peg or two?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Impossible

        2. Zenith UK
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Liverpool won't keep a clean sheet over the next two GWs, hoping you're benching Robertson.
          Ibe > Matic (free's up a Utd slot).

          Great team.

        3. Bubz
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Your defence is shite

          1. Patch
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 27 days ago

            I am not a strong believer in CS...

            Think I might forgo Swansea defence and Soton

            Will double up with Lowton and Meet/Ward

    13. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Maguire or smalling?

      1. Pedaso Pirates
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Got to be Maguire. Smalling rotation risk

    14. Jet5605
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Should I play :

      A - Son (che)
      B - Barnes (wba)

      1. TeddiPonza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Having same dilemma. Leaningtowards playing Son

    15. The Red Devil
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      On a WC, which pair?
      Vardy + Smalling
      Wood + Alonso
      Barnes + Alonso
      Vardy + bailly
      TIA!

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Barnes + Alonso

    16. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Play Son or Gudmundsson?

    17. MGD
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      A) Alonso + VDH
      B) Christensen + Vertongen

    18. Jaok
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Im waiting to wc in 32. Worth a -4 punt for this gameweek?

      Courtois*
      Ota Mee Robertson Shindler
      Salah Mahrez Stanislas
      Auba Firmino Mounie

      Elliot Daniels C.moting* Walcott
      6.1 itb

      A: walcott -> mikhi for -4
      B: mounie -> g. Jesus for -4
      C: dont take a hit..

    19. Teror
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Two week punt:

      A. Jesus

      B. Mkhi

      1. Rash
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Jesus

      2. korbendallas82
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Who will They replace?

        1. Teror
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Firmino or Son. On a WC so I'm free to get freaky.

    20. TeddiPonza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      Play Son or Barnes?

    21. Astronautovic
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      I don't know who to get instead of willian. I am not convinced about him. The rest of the midfield is mahrez son groß salah- the template.
      Does it make sense to downgrade him? But i don't see any options at this price. Stanislas would be great maybe

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Matic

      2. Teror
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Maybe Arnautovic?

        1. Astronautovic
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          But he has no dgw

    22. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 27 days ago

      So tempted to punt on Austin! Too risky?

      1. MTPockets
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Risky but I am. Just don't fancy Barnes/Murray.

        • The Mighty Hippo
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          To play this week, or to sit on bench till gw34? If the latter, then go for it.

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 27 days ago

            The latter

      2. Jinkys Oars
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Madness to captain KDB over Salah?

        1. Pedaso Pirates
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Yep

        2. korbendallas82
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 27 days ago

          Yes.

      3. Sweden11
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 27 days ago

        Hey! What about this WC-team? Anything you would change? I have no FH and 0.0 itb.

        DGD
        Alonso Lowton Mustafi
        Salah Willian Mahrez Son
        Vardy Auba Barnes

        Bench: Karnezis, Gudmunsson, Mariappa, Morgan