Spot the Differential
14 April 2018 2102 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi delivered for us last week as a cost-effective pick with two assists against Southampton, so we’ve chosen three more budget options in our latest selections.

Two of those players benefit from playing twice in Double Gameweek 34, while a returning Swansea City forward is backed to make his mark against an Everton defences that has struggled on the road.

Jordan Ayew

Back from suspension for Swansea City’s home encounter against Everton, Ayew now looks a great option for both Gameweek 34 and the season run-in.

The Ghanaian has scored in two of the Swans’ three previous home matches and this afternoon takes on a Toffees side that suffered away from Goodison Park.

No team has conceded more goals (15), or given up more big chances (18), than Sam Allardyce’s defence over the last six away matches.

Everton also lost on their last trip to south Wales, with Ayew providing an assist in the 1-0 victory for the Swans.

The 6.2%-owned forward should provide some much-needed cutting edge for the Welsh club, who have only managed a single goal since he was sent off in the goalless draw with Huddersfield Town last month.

He has produced more shots (six) and efforts on target (four) than any team-mate over the respective last four matches.

Crucial to Ayew’s appeal is the fact Swansea also play in the reduced Gameweek 35, albeit away to Manchester City, while they also feature twice in Double Gameweek 37 (bou SOT).

Given his 5.3 price tag in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Ayew could emerge as the leading third forward option for the run-in and he could prove be an effective signing for those who want to avoid the clamour for Double Gameweek 34 assets.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

With Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane and Manchester United’s Romelu Lukaku among the four most bought players this week, many managers will need to free up funds to be able to afford either forward.

Having started every match since Mark Hughes took charge at St Mary’s, Southampton’s Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg looks an ideal budget enabler.

The Dane found the back of the net in the 2-0 win over Wigan Athletic in their FA Cup quarter-final and has impressively fired more shots (eight) than any team-mate over their three matches in all competitions under Hughes.

The Saints midfielder has been handed more freedom to push forward, with Hughes adopting a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Indeed, his total of two shots inside the penalty area over the last two Gameweeks is equal to his haul over the first 31 matches under Mauricio Pellegrino.

The south coast club face a home clash against Chelsea and a trip to Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34.

The Blues have only managed one clean sheet from their last eight encounters, while only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 they have shipped since Gameweek 25.

Meanwhile, Leicester have also produced just a single shut-out from their last eight matches and have conceded in each of their last four at home.

Hojbjerg’s appeal is also boosted by the fact Southampton play twice in Double Gameweek 37, when they face trips to Everton and Swansea.

Available for just 4.3 and owned by a paltry 0.3%, he could prove the ultimate Gameweek 34 “enabler”.

Jesse Lingard

Manchester United’s Double Gameweek 34 fixtures (WBA bou) appear the most favourable of all the eight teams who play twice, and Jesse Lingard stands out as a cheaper midfield option.

The England international sets us back just 6.0 in FPL and is part of a United side that will be full of confidence following their 3-2 win over Man City.

Lingard is enjoying his best ever FPL campaign, having already produced eight goals and five assists.

He registered a goal in the reverse fixture against West Brom, as part of a 10-point haul, and has the platform to deliver further attacking returns over the next two matches.

The Baggies have managed just one clean sheet from their last 15 road trips, while Bournemouth have only produced one shut-out from their previous 13 at the Vitality.

While his minutes over Double Gameweek 34 are a little less secure than team-mates Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez, Lingard is far kinder on the budget.

The underlying statistics also suggest he could still profit, even if his minutes are managed for the trip to Bournemouth, given that an FA Cup semi-final with Spurs follows just three days later.

Over the last four matches, he has registered more shots (seven) than both Lukaku (five) and Sanchez (four), while his average of a shot every 36 minutes is comfortably superior to both the striker (72) and his fellow midfielder (84).

With his ownership still only at 10.8%, Lingard looks a hugely tempting option for those managers bidding to cover United’s attack without splashing on a big-hitter option.

  1. MDK
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Ramsey and Barnes to Hojberg and Vardy for a -8?

    1. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Hell no

      1. Begbie.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        x100

  2. Tibbs
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Hold or sell Mustafi (-4)?

    Not convinced he will play after travelling back with Arsenal having 'cover' in defence.

    a) Hold
    b) Mustafi> Long

    1. Homer21
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Hold

    2. Kai
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. Tibbs
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Should add I already own Lowton/Barnes.

    4. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I’m really considering Mustafi > Yoshida -4

  3. Tomlette Greggs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Still torn on TC. Use it on Sanchez, Kane, or Lukaku.
    Leaning towards Lukaku.

    Thoughts, gents?

    1. Yogi_mike
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Sanchez

    2. kysersosa
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku

    3. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Lukaku

    4. Kudo Warrior
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane. GOLDEN BOOT.

    5. Dannyb
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I've said Sanchez all week and I'm not changing it now.

    6. :
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I'm no great fan of Lukaku but if he's ever going to get a proper haul, SURELY it must be this GW.

    7. barcaa7
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane

  4. chrispaterson1
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Morning guys, how nailed on is Bavies now for the rest of the season? Struggling to pick between him and Verts, but do want those consistent starts due to spurs' favourable run-in.

    1. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      With the FA Cup Semi next week, Rose is almost certain to play midweek imo.

    2. Fresh_From_Desh
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Vert is nailed, Davies could be rotated

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Vert offers very little attacking threat and I think Davies will out score him until the end of the season

  5. Frank Koscielny
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    One free transfer left. Any ideas?

    DDG - Ryan
    Alonso - Smalling - Morgan - Lowton - Dunk
    Salah - Son - Mahrez - Willian - Gudmundsson*
    Vardy - Lukaku - Murray
    2.6 ITB

    1. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Gud to Lingard?

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers, but I’m maxed out for mun players unfortunately. Considering downgrading Gud to afford Kane gw36

    2. barcaa7
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Dunk to Vert

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers!

  6. Vedas
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Should I keep Christensen or not?

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Keep for sure

    2. Root
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I hope everyone sells him.

    3. Vedas
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks

  7. Wishdom Teeth
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Which one would you do?
    1.Willian -->>Pogba (Have no united attacker)
    2.Lowton -->>Smalling (Have no United defender)

    1. Jamin
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      2

    2. Kellz86
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      2 - although I have both. I think the chances of a CS are higher than Pogba scoring, but don't listen to me I'm playing some risky moves to catch up in my leagues

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      2

  8. Jinkys Oars
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Free hit team, gtg?

    De Gea

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      GTG

    2. Dosh
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      The best I've seen

    3. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A bit bottom heavy mate.

    4. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Wish there was a 1 player x 12 chip where you go all in. De Gea would be a solid such pick.

      1. Stokelona
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        That would be well exciting

    5. umerlfc
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Dream Team

    6. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Perfect.

      He's that good.

  9. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Things commentators don’t normally say ... ‘and that’s a brace for Lukaku’

    Things commentstors do say quite often .... ‘Kane for his second? Yes it is’
    🙂

    1. LǝgleSs e|even
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Things commentators also ALWAYS say " Somebody stop this man, Salah"

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        True

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      😀

  10. saadinxs
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Who are you guys triple captaining? Torn between Sanchez and Lukaku

    1. MikeDuff
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      I would go Lukaku

      1. MarkoSD
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        kaku

    2. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Alexis would be my pick if I had him. I'm sticking with bench boosting my mediocre bench. Maybe TC Kun dgw 37.

    3. Drew a Blank
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kane GW 37

  11. RichRover
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    After reading 'Spot the Differential', should I get in Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg for Jack Cork? Have one free transfer and playing bench-boost.

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Cork hv doubles too

      1. RichRover
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Trying not to be blinded by his 10pts last week (which were left on my bench). Chelsea/Leicester not great fixtures tho

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Hojb has 0 goals and 0 assists 😉

      1. Coot
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Blinding stats. :8

      2. RichRover
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Probably stay with Cork

  12. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    what are everyones tips for the national?

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Harry Kane will claim it so might as well punt on him at 5000/1.

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        God this joke gets worse. UNSUBSCRIBE

        1. Team Cruel
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Take that reddit nonsense away from here mate.

          1. soup natsi
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Thank you

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Ucello Conti and Vieux lion Rouge...back both E/W

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Shantou Flyer could run a big race at those odds with the focus going to be on the 2 Cheltenham participants in Anibale Fly and Total Recall.

  13. Tekkerslovakiaftw
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Who to transfer in for Gudmunson ?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Why get rid?

      1. Tekkerslovakiaftw
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Says he's doubtful

        1. Numb
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          They've just not updated it

          1. Barcelinda
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Hi might play

  14. Dr_Mohammad
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Hey guys , who to triple captain Sanchez Kane Vardy Willian

    1. james 101
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Kanr

    2. rrcmc
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Not Willian
      Vardy doesnt have the team around him
      Sanchez or Kane for me.
      Kane less likely for rotation but harder fixtures.
      I have the same dilemma with my current WC team and its currently Kane for me.

  15. norths
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Mustafi to Smalling or to Bavies? Already have Degea

    1. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Live a little Beavis

  16. Sir Edo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Do we think Chelsea lineup will end up here before deadline? Thanks!

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No

  17. Slaps
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    On BB, Gudmundson and Aubamiang > Lukaku (c) and Hojbjerg for a -4. Otherwise cap is Vardy..

    1. My Name Is Pepu
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Do it

      1. Slaps
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

    2. PL Ball
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Going without Harry and Lukaku is risky..

      1. My Name Is Pepu
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I'm done with Harry Kane, not going anywhere near him this double gameweek.

        1. Regin
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          me too but i will get him in for dw 37 with easier fixtures.

          1. My Name Is Pepu
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            Same

      2. Slaps
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Very true

  18. money face bandwagon
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    People not considering sanchez due to being too expensive?

    1. Respect My Authoritah
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      He is for me. Plenty have him. Prefer Lukaku and Pogba if going with United attack

      1. rrcmc
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        I have him + Lingard - too much?

    2. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Went with Kane as per a captain for the run in (and TC for GW37). Kane also allows a Hokey Cokey in GW35 to Kun or Auba for a good GW35 captain.

      Alexis better be quiet for a couple weeks.

    3. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Yes. Will ruin my team as I already have opted for Hazard over Willian. Hope that differential works.

  19. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    BB locked in 😎 can’t wait for those 8 extra points!

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      -8 ? 😉

      1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Haha actually zero hits. Hyped myself into believing this GW would be an early Christmas and then suddenly realised it’s more likely just 8 more points. Maybe less.

        1. Hotdogs for Tea
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          I mean -8 from your bench boost 😉

          A couple of thrashing, red card ... 🙂

          So tough this week

  20. KeepCalm
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Will Mane start? Should i take a hit to bring Eriksen for him..

    Put me out of my misery..

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      leaked Anfield Express team says that he starts

      1. Respect My Authoritah
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        no

      2. KeepCalm
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        How credible is that...havent really heard of them before

        1. jia you
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          They have predicted the correct line-up early for weeks.

          1. si
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            If they got last week correct. They clearly will be correct every week.

            1. jia you
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 8 months ago

              yeah, no way last week's prediction could have been guesswork!

    2. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      yes he will play

  21. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Lukaku stats are pretty dire. Thinking Salah now(c).
    Is that silly?

    1. QPRUTD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Last minute change often doesn't work

    2. arndff_
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      It isn't, but I'd prefer to captain a premium DGW player.

      As you can see, it's on (K)ane. Good luck!

  22. G-Whizz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    @AdrianCocking_
    Confirmed #LFC Team - Karius, Robertson, Lovren , Van Dijk, Trent; Henderson, Ox , Milner, ;Salah, Firmino, Mané

    Replying to @AdrianCocking_
    @AnfieldExpress - is this correct mate?

    @AnfieldExpress
    56m
    I don't know mate, I haven't received it yet. I should do shortly.

    1. d3bug
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Manè has been playing every match. Was hoping for him to get some rest

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      makes sense to play a strong team with no game midweek. The rest and rotation for Champions league will hit home in GW35 and 36 then.

      1. G-Whizz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        6 days rest between this game and the WBA one and then 3 days rest between that and the Roma first leg so I would say so...

      2. Guru Mediation
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Read Klopp's comments on momentum

  23. Reuser
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Which do you prefer on a FH?

    A) Tarkowski, Sanchez, Mahrez
    B) Alonso, Pogba, Salah

    Thanks

    1. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Is this real?

      B by a country mile

      1. Reuser
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks - very real.

        Have been on A all week (Having already sold Salah On FH) but suddenly doubting the relative value of Sanchez....

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 8 months ago

          Sanchez could be the weeks top scorer but collectively B is way better

          1. Reuser
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 8 months ago

            I'm not sure I'm brave enough to captain Sanchez over Kane and Lukaku, so maybe collective is better......

    2. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A.

    3. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      B

    4. Root
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

    5. RyanC
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

  24. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    10.8% quite high for a differential. I'm fearing Alexis on 4% ownership more than Salah.

  25. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    All set???

    Ryan
    Alonso Tarkowski Long
    Salah Son Willian Mahrez
    Kane(c) Vardy Barnes

    Cech Robertson Kenedy Holebas

    Sad to bench Robertson but oh well. Keeping Almost tempted to BB. TC week 37

  26. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Could you advise me on this one??

    1. Kane Kaku Lingard Mustafi -4
    2. Kaku Vardy Salah ManUtd Def or Spurs Def
    3. Kane Vardy Salah 5.0 Def

    1. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      2 with smalling

  27. Drew a Blank
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Swapped Lingard for Pogba last minute last night. I’m on a wildcard. Good move or bad move??

    1. MikeDuff
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Much of a muchness but you’re 2m down

    2. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      depends on what you did with the 1.8

  28. wolves_simmo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    Which scores more?

    A) DDG & Mahrez
    B) Ryan & Hazard

    1. Toblerone52 - Zlatan Ibra-H…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. MarkoSD
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      a

    4. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

      1. Fresh_From_Desh
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        A

    5. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      A

    6. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Since I have all 4, I don't really mind any one scoring more than the other.
      But to answer your question, A has a much higher ceiling, unless Hazard explodes.

  29. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    My BB team is :

    Ryan
    Mustafi - Morgan - Dunk
    Mahrez(vc) - Willian - Salah - Gross
    Auba(c) - Barnes - Kane

    Lloris - Ibe - Lowton - Masuaku

    Leaves me with 1.6m itb

    I played WC last week, which one is better

    Auba+Mustafi > Lukaku+6.1m def
    Auba+Mustafi > Vardy+Valencia
    Auba > Lukaku

    Is it worth a hit after WC?!
    Made a huge mistake swapping Smalling to Mustafi last minute last week!

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      No United defense is scary, do I'd go with Auba+Mustafi > Vardy+Valencia, and Kane (C).

      DDG is better, but it looks like you are forgo-ing him.

  30. Henning
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 8 months ago

    0 m in The bank 0 ft. Gtg or is anything worth a hit? Gonna use ft next gw.

    de Gea

    Davies Chilwell Duffy

    Salah Mahrez William Gross

    Kane Vardy Lukaku

    pickford Milivojevic Fernandez Mee

    1. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 8 months ago

      Mee is injured if you’re BBing

      1. Henning
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 8 months ago

        TC this gw