Spot the Differential
14 April 2018 2102 comments
James H James H
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Arsenal’s Alex Iwobi delivered for us last week as a cost-effective pick with two assists against Southampton, so we’ve chosen three more budget options in our latest selections.

Two of those players benefit from playing twice in Double Gameweek 34, while a returning Swansea City forward is backed to make his mark against an Everton defences that has struggled on the road.

Jordan Ayew

Back from suspension for Swansea City’s home encounter against Everton, Ayew now looks a great option for both Gameweek 34 and the season run-in.

The Ghanaian has scored in two of the Swans’ three previous home matches and this afternoon takes on a Toffees side that suffered away from Goodison Park.

No team has conceded more goals (15), or given up more big chances (18), than Sam Allardyce’s defence over the last six away matches.

Everton also lost on their last trip to south Wales, with Ayew providing an assist in the 1-0 victory for the Swans.

The 6.2%-owned forward should provide some much-needed cutting edge for the Welsh club, who have only managed a single goal since he was sent off in the goalless draw with Huddersfield Town last month.

He has produced more shots (six) and efforts on target (four) than any team-mate over the respective last four matches.

Crucial to Ayew’s appeal is the fact Swansea also play in the reduced Gameweek 35, albeit away to Manchester City, while they also feature twice in Double Gameweek 37 (bou SOT).

Given his 5.3 price tag in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Ayew could emerge as the leading third forward option for the run-in and he could prove be an effective signing for those who want to avoid the clamour for Double Gameweek 34 assets.

Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg

With Tottenham Hotspur’s Harry Kane and Manchester United’s Romelu Lukaku among the four most bought players this week, many managers will need to free up funds to be able to afford either forward.

Having started every match since Mark Hughes took charge at St Mary’s, Southampton’s Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg looks an ideal budget enabler.

The Dane found the back of the net in the 2-0 win over Wigan Athletic in their FA Cup quarter-final and has impressively fired more shots (eight) than any team-mate over their three matches in all competitions under Hughes.

The Saints midfielder has been handed more freedom to push forward, with Hughes adopting a 3-4-2-1 formation.

Indeed, his total of two shots inside the penalty area over the last two Gameweeks is equal to his haul over the first 31 matches under Mauricio Pellegrino.

The south coast club face a home clash against Chelsea and a trip to Leicester City in Double Gameweek 34.

The Blues have only managed one clean sheet from their last eight encounters, while only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 they have shipped since Gameweek 25.

Meanwhile, Leicester have also produced just a single shut-out from their last eight matches and have conceded in each of their last four at home.

Hojbjerg’s appeal is also boosted by the fact Southampton play twice in Double Gameweek 37, when they face trips to Everton and Swansea.

Available for just 4.3 and owned by a paltry 0.3%, he could prove the ultimate Gameweek 34 “enabler”.

Jesse Lingard

Manchester United’s Double Gameweek 34 fixtures (WBA bou) appear the most favourable of all the eight teams who play twice, and Jesse Lingard stands out as a cheaper midfield option.

The England international sets us back just 6.0 in FPL and is part of a United side that will be full of confidence following their 3-2 win over Man City.

Lingard is enjoying his best ever FPL campaign, having already produced eight goals and five assists.

He registered a goal in the reverse fixture against West Brom, as part of a 10-point haul, and has the platform to deliver further attacking returns over the next two matches.

The Baggies have managed just one clean sheet from their last 15 road trips, while Bournemouth have only produced one shut-out from their previous 13 at the Vitality.

While his minutes over Double Gameweek 34 are a little less secure than team-mates Lukaku and Alexis Sanchez, Lingard is far kinder on the budget.

The underlying statistics also suggest he could still profit, even if his minutes are managed for the trip to Bournemouth, given that an FA Cup semi-final with Spurs follows just three days later.

Over the last four matches, he has registered more shots (seven) than both Lukaku (five) and Sanchez (four), while his average of a shot every 36 minutes is comfortably superior to both the striker (72) and his fellow midfielder (84).

With his ownership still only at 10.8%, Lingard looks a hugely tempting option for those managers bidding to cover United’s attack without splashing on a big-hitter option.

  1. The Notorious
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Hey guys what do think of my team? Might be activating bench boost
    Ddg/lossl
    VVD Davies chillwell Lowton ogbonna
    Salah Ibe mahrez willian rcl
    Barnes Kane lukaku
    Thanks! Thoughts??

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      No point boosting that lot 😉

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes no BB - TC Lukaku or Kane instead

    3. dush64
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yeah, don't BB. Save for 37.

  2. emyoueffsee
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Free hit team, GTG?

    DDG
    Chilwell Alonso Lowton
    Salah Alli Willian Pogba
    Lukaku Kane(c) Austin

    1. The Wizard of Ozil
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Tidy.

    2. dush64
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Looks solid - and pretty close to scout picks

    3. Gearoid
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Nice

    4. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Beautiful. Except Austin's time may be limited to get him fit for FA cup

  3. dush64
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Who would you captain out of:
    Eriksen
    Son
    Salah
    Mahrez

    Don't have Kaku or Kane.

    1. depeche
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Eriksen

    3. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      The Egyptian Messi

    4. Killitzer
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Form would suggest Eriksen but Mahrez has better fixtures.

    5. Gearoid
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Mahrez

    6. emyoueffsee
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      If money was no issue:

      (a) Barnes
      (b) Wood
      (c) Austin

      1. emyoueffsee
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Reply fail.

  4. depeche
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Lukaku, L.Cook, Alli
    or
    Salah, Son, Barnes

  5. Killitzer
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Morning all. I’ve not got a free hit so any changes this week need to be reversed for GW35.

    Ryan, Pope
    Mustafi, Lescalles, Otamendi, Lowton, Mariappa
    Salah, Mahrez, Matic, Willian, Gross
    Lukaku, Aubameyang, Vardy
    BB available

    1. Aubameyang + Ota — Kane + DGW defender
    2. Mustafi + Mariappa — Smalling + Long
    3. Salah— Eriksen

    Help. My head hurts and the more I bring in, the less I have for next week!

  6. Gearoid
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Mee, Stephens, Auba to Long, Cedric, Lukaku (c) for -4 and BB?

    DDG Ryan
    Alonso Mustafi Mee Morgan Stephens
    Salah Son Willian Mahrez Gundmunsson
    Murray Auba Firmino

    Good luck

  7. CRO KLOPP
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Gross to Lingard for a hit?
    I don't have utd attackers
    GL all

    1. Bullet Eder
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      No way

  8. pranavs9
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Good morning.

    Would it be sensible to take a -8 to bring in Austin or -4 and bring in Barnes.
    I feel Southampton have more to play for and Austin looking like he's getting back to his top form.
    I have Kane and Kaku as my other 2 upfront and i'm playing my bench boost
    I am leading my mini-league by 11 points and my closest rival should take a -4 in all probability.
    Please suggest..

    1. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      No from me.... fixtures are terrible, don’t expect much from him... + hits = no

      1. pranavs9
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Sensible. Thanks.

  9. SW6
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Anybody else using Triple Captain this week? I'm using mine on Sanchez and a little apprehensive about it..

    1. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I think it’s a great pick.... he seems to be hitting firm at the right time

      1. SW6
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Let's hope so 🙂

      2. Guru Mediation
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Agreed

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes and same, but whatever, I'm doing it

      1. SW6
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Can't ask for more than two great fixtures.

        1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Exactly, it's the fixtures that swing it

    3. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Lukaku(TC) here

      1. SW6
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Nice pick

    4. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      TC Kane GW37 is too hard to ignore for me

      1. SW6
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        I did think about that, or even Jesus/Sterling that week. But my team is better suited to using BB that week.

    5. chriscosta
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      me too m8.but am chasing !!
      so I think it the right to take a gamble if chasing

    6. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Kane this week, BB in 37

  10. @fpl_phenom
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    63 points off top 1K ... hoping for a great DGW to get the run in going!

    Any site that shows the ownership/captaincy stats of players exclusively in the top 10K ?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Too early. After game updates.

  11. The Curse of Falcao
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    1FT Gross>Lingard? have no United attacker

    1. CRO KLOPP
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes I maybe do it for a hit

    2. @fpl_phenom
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

    3. Sidekick_08
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

  12. Regin
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    I am playing Free Hit.

  13. The White Pele
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Play ki or kenedy?

  14. Claudio555
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Captain Sanchez or Salah?

  15. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Ville Ronka will have Kane(c)

    1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      And triple Brighton

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yeah
      He always copy me

  16. GreenArrows
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Wonder how many of the top 10k will take hits this GW...

    Currently at 31k and only used my 2FT

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      OR 141 has taken a -12 so anything is possible

  17. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Worth BBiing this bench?

    Ryan Kenedy Dummet Mustafi

    I can do Dummet to Long for -4 and BB. Plan was BB this week, FH next and TC Kane on the 37 where he will be chasing the Golden Boot. But getting Kane now screwed my plan a little bit.

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Not for me

      1. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Would you TC this week then?

    2. dush64
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Nope. They're all DGWers in 37, so would hold it for then.

      1. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        And TC this GW??

        1. dush64
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Yeah I think so. Depends on how well you think Kane or other options will do this week, and whether that outweighs the loss of an extra game for each player in bench boost. But I would say, don't base it on the golden boot race:
          https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/17963169

  18. trinzoo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    On a BB:

    Ibe/Ake to Long/Lingard for a hit ?

    A) Yes
    B) No

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      A

  19. Andy1
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Any sub 5.4m defenders worth getting in for a 4 point hit?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Christensen. If BB'ing

      1. Andy1
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Should have said my current defenders are

        Christensen Mustafi lowton chilwell long

        Thinking of replacement for Mustafi on bb

        1. El-Kloppico
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Bavies if u can afford. Or a ManU def u gink might start both

          1. Andy1
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            I have no money left so has to be sub 5.4
            Might just leave it

  20. Olee
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    DDG (Ryan)
    Bailly-Christensen-Lowton (VdH-Morgan)
    Willian-Son-Alli-Kennedy-Mahrez
    Lukaku-Kane (Barnes)

    0FT, 0.0ITB

    BB active, but starting to get uncertain over Bailly, Christensen and VdH gametime...worth to get rid of any? And in that case, for who?
    Please help, thanks!

  21. Kudo Warrior
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    QUICK POLL:

    BB OR TC?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      BB

    2. barracuda
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Post your team

    3. dush64
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      I'm BBing. But if you're asking what you should do, obviously depends on the state of your team.

  22. dush64
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Is Callum Wilson likely to start both games? Kept him in as he seems to step up for the big games. But should I instead switch to Austin for a hit?

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Austin for me.

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Switch

  23. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Good morning!
    Best replacement for Stephens?Cedric,someone from Wham or Swansea or someone else?

  24. barracuda
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Any leaked infos about Pool's line up?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes

    2. trinzoo
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Yes, on the page 4.

    3. barracuda
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Holly molly. Nice one. C Salah? 🙂

  25. Mr_Barbs
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Gtg?

    Or -4 for Bailly to:
    A) Smalling
    B) Davies
    C) Vertonghen

    DeGea, Ryan
    Alonso, Bailly, Robertson, Morgan, Lowton
    Salah(vc), mahrez, Willian, Lingard, Gross
    Kane(c), Vardy, Barnes

    1. Mr_Barbs
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      BB is active

  26. MASTER ROSHI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Does Hojbjerg play both games in the double?
    Trying to decide between him and Ibe

  27. RichRover
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    After reading 'Spot the Differential', should I get in Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg for Jack Cork? Have one free transfer and playing bench-boost.

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Cork hv doubles too

      1. RichRover
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Trying not to be blinded by his 10pts last week (which were left on my bench). Chelsea/Leicester not great fixtures tho

    2. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Hojb has 0 goals and 0 assists 😉

      1. Coot
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Blinding stats. :8

      2. RichRover
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Probably stay with Cork

  28. Regin
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Will Chilwell play both matches?? Or should I go for Morgan? I am playing Free Hit.

    1. HODGE
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Vertongen or Davies?

  29. AThousandSuns
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    Am I the only one here waiting for a leaked pool line up?? It is taking ages now, feels like it won't be leaked........

    1. Andy1
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Look back 2 pages

      1. AThousandSuns
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Yeah, I just saw it. Thanks

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Lol. Where are u waiting for it? Has been floating here for the past hour

      1. AThousandSuns
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Lol