[sbu_large_image] Opinion
14 April 2018 2090 comments
Mark Mark
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Luck can take on many guises in Fantasy Football.

It’s not all about penalty saves or even falsely accredited goals. The fortune we’re dealt can often be missed because the mechanics and thought processes involved can be complex.

My recent decision to sign Henrikh Mkhitaryan is one such example.

Brought in on the Gameweek 32 Wildcard, he was duly benched by Arsene Wenger to score a single point, only to pick up an injury in Europe before his next outing.

That was certainly not in the plan and, at the time, I was forced to write the chain of events off as a roll of the dice that came up short.

But looking back, the decision to opt for Mkhitaryan may prove to be another fortunate twist in my run-in.

The Armenian’s injury ahead of Gameweek 33 forced my hand.

While other managers had the freedom to deliberate and address Mohamed Salah’s injury scare, I had little option but to shift Mkhitaryan before a price drop.

It meant I was distracted and ensured I didn’t have time to weigh up Salah’s likely absence at Goodison Park.

With a hit already booked in for Harry Kane, I couldn’t afford another. So Salah had to stay and my first sub, who came in to score five points, had to cover his absence.

This wasn’t masterful strategic thinking. This was a series of events that combined to make up my mind before I had time to make a mistake.

And, in hindsight, I believe selling Salah last weekend would have been a mistake.

Liverpool’s Champions League draw may just have changed the landscape and, combined with Jurgen Klopp’s promise to go “full throttle”, suddenly our preconceptions of Salah’s starts and minutes may need to be revised.

Salah will now play a first leg with Roma at Anfield on the Tuesday, just three days after a trip to West Brom but four days before the Gameweek 36 meeting with Stoke.

Four days later, he will travel back to Rome to face his former club in the second leg.

In both cases, the four days could prove crucial. Klopp has almost said as much.

His appraisal of the same four-day gap between Tuesday’s victory at Manchester City and today’s game with Bournemouth looks significant.

“We’ve had a longer part of the week to prepare. Makes a big difference. We have enough time for a completely normal line-up.”

If the four-days makes a “big difference” now, it could again before Gameweek 36, and that means that Salah suddenly looks likely to face Stoke.

It may have been different had Liverpool been the second ball out and that, quite literally, is the luck of the draw.

This appears to have fallen in my lap. Not through my own research and planning, but simply because I opted to sign a completely different player who conspired to pick up an injury.

Were it not for Henrikh’s own misfortune, I’d be feeling very uncomfortable come this evening’s kick-off and wringing my hands at the prospect of Salah tearing up Gameweek 36.

No doubt, at that stage, I’ll still captain Kane for his two points versus Watford, but I can’t always rely on luck to save me from myself.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    What's your GW wish list.....
    For me
    VVD goal
    Arnie goal
    Lukaku lots of goals

    1. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Salah blank

      Lukaku and Pogba running wild

      1 or 2 Burnley CSs...I have 3 Burnley defs! 😮

      1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Wow eggs in basket comes to mind he who dares rodders

    2. toystory2wasok
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      i’d like all my players to score a lot of points.

      1. JohnnyMagrinho
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I know. Crazy right? All these people saying what they want to happen.

          Tell you what, I'd like to win the lottery. Great insight to absolutely nothing, that.

      2. the snazzy viking
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Mahrez and Kane blanks is all I ask of

        1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Kane fail = 🙂

      3. Distinctly Average
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Salah and Kane blank

        And as always, Milli to stop getting damn penalties!

        Wishful thinking?

    3. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Hope this is bullshit. Daily Star after all.

      Daily Star: Real Madrid have 'signed' Mohamed Salah: Coutinho reveals Liverpool transfer to Messi. http://google.com/newsstand/s/CBIwkO-6yjo

      1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Bullshit. Pool took long enough to lose Couts, they'll be even tighter with Salah

      2. the snazzy viking
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        deserves a big club to be fair

        1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          As we can see here, the polar bear astutely waits outside the hole in the ice, ready to pounce on the waiting fish...

      3. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Messi in the Premier league would be awesome....
        Afraid never gonna happen 🙁

      4. glufs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        The only way this is true is if Real offered 350M+

    4. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      FH activated 😮

    5. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Updated

      Good Luck Ladies

    6. Bruno Bruno!!
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Scoutcast Captaincy picks

      Mark: Kane
      Andy: Kane
      Jonty: Kane
      Az: Lukaku
      Granville: Lukaku

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Very interesting

        The dullard have become the risky and the risky have become dullard

        Wow

        1. Bruno Bruno!!
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Mark and Andy I believe only had Kane and no Lukaku so didn't have the choice

        2. lilmessipran
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          How can either of those captain picks be termed "Risky" this gw?

      2. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Athletic Nasherbo: Kane

        That’s more important

    7. tambourineman
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      PFA Player of the Year shortlist: De Bruyne, De Gea, Kane, Salah, Sane, Silva

      1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Is there any competition between De Bruyne and Salah?

        1. Feloh
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          salah runaway winner imo

        2. Somalion
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Suppose see what Kane does, if he manages to close the gap for the Golden Boot then he'd have to be right up there.

          Silva's been underrated all season and fairly instrumental for City.

          Still, it's either the player breaking the goal scoring record or the most important player for the team who had the title wrapped up months ago.

      2. tambourineman
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        PFA Young Player of the Year shortlist: Ederson, Kane, Rashford, Sane, Sessegnon, Sterling

        1. threeputt
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          that's a toughie, I'd probably go Sterling even if he has missed countless sitters

        2. adam28193
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          will kane really want to win young player of year? haha reckon he'll be offended by that

        3. Somalion
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Absolute nonsense that Kane is included in this catergory

      3. Defcons are for Kinnear
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Where is Mili?

    8. DR0GBA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      So how does the FH chip work?

      If I make a transfer before I activate it does that mean that transfer will stay next GW or does it get rid of it completely?

      1. Aubaaaaa
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Get rid completely.

      2. the Penman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Gets rid. Back to what it was before deadline.

    9. FPL Puppy
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Very interesting TC choice...

      https://fantasy.premierleague.com/a/team/2035384/event/34

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Tbf it could well pay off

    10. N00B
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Bye bye annoying wildcard posts ! Welcome Free Hit questions 🙂

      1. Bruno Bruno!!
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        This is going to be even more annoying as the number of teams is greatly reduced

        1. JustPark
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          At least it's reduced.

    11. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Brilliant. A whole extra DGW if you click on My Team!

      1. Elvy
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah I had that for a while, gone now sadly.

    12. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Should have captained Kane...

    13. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Welcome Salah.. I miss you badly..

    14. Mahrez The Magician
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      8 players + 2Fts ( No FH )
      Seems good

    15. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Just 2 scout picks and one on the bench..... Plus only a few DGW players hoping the TC on Lukaku bridges the potential gap on the high scoring 100+ GW

    16. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Salah, Kiko and triple Burnley enough for next week?

      1. JohnnyMagrinho
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I'm in a similar situation myself.

          Lowton, Tark, PVA, Kiko and Mili at the moment.

          I'll be looking to get Auba in on my FT and maybe a City midfielder for a hit.

          Doubt I'll go any higher than 7 though (no FH left).

          To be honest, looking at those fixtures, I can't see there being a massive amount of points being scored even by teams with a full XI.

      2. jayzico
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Guys,
        With the free hit chip, do we keep those players we're bringing in?

        Or does it revert back to your current team?

        1. JustPark
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          The latter.

        2. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Revert back.

        3. toystory2wasok
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          if it didn’t revert, that would be a wildcard...

        4. jayzico
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Sweet. Just double checking. Thanks dudes

      3. Ragabolly
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Chips used this week in the top1k:
        BB 37.5%
        TC 20.8%
        FH 3.5%
        WC 3.6%

        1. Fitzy.
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Thanks RB

        2. dark91
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Would you say these stats are representative for the top 100k as well?

          1. Ragabolly
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Yes usually they are all very similar

            1. dark91
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Ok great, thanks 🙂

      4. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Anyone activated their free hit yet!?

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yeh

        2. TwiggsJameson
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yes, 3 weeks ago.

        3. Mahrez The Magician
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          24 Gw ago :/

      5. tambourineman
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Overall top 100:
        29 BBs
        29 TCs - 15 Lukaku, 7 Kane, 2 Alli, 2 Sanchez, 2 Vardy, 1 Valencia
        4 free hits

        1. Fitzy.
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Hey mister, thanks...

      6. Captain Vantastic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Safe to use my FH chip now? Won't lose any players?

      7. Tmel
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Does free hit work like wildcard in that you can make unlimited transfers across the week?

      8. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Karius; Trent, Lovren, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Wijnaldum, Chamberlain; Salah, Firmino, Mané.
        -Anfield Express

        1. the snazzy viking
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          super

      9. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I got a comment deleted for saying "How can you be surprised about Austin being rotated lol". Mods confirmed Austin owners.

        1. Sᴄʜᴜ̈RRʟᴇ ⓝ
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Ban

      10. HD7
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        As a Vardy Kane Lukaku(C) owner I dont care If Lukaku scores the most. 18 - 35 - 25 Fine by me 🙂

        1. the Penman
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Ha, me too!

      11. NOMONEY
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        so FH team,

        triple liv, triple city, triple arsenal?

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yes
          Yes
          No

      12. Rian23
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        do i still get price rises from my original team after hitting free hit?

        1. MTPockets
            7 years, 11 months ago

            yes, or falls.

        2. Liastro ⭐️
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          What happens with regard to player prices on a FH?

          If we sell someone that we’ve gained value on, do we still retain that value once the team resets?

          1. the Penman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            No, they’ll be back in your team with the value they are in the game, like you never sold them.

          2. threeputt
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            I don't actually know as I haven't played mine yet. Logic says price changes will happen to your existing players as if the free hit wasn't in place, could anyone confirm ?

        3. Feeling_blue
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          If you play free hit at the start of the week, do you experience the price changes of your team before you play the chip (since it will revert back to this team), or the team that you currently have after playing the chip?

          Ie is it best to play free hit at the beginning or end of the week in terms of price movements?

          1. MTPockets
              7 years, 11 months ago

              That's the gamble, but would assume when people notice the fixtures transfers will be skewed.

          2. Down with this sort of thin…
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Not including this game week, who do you think will score more points til the end of the season, Pogba or Son?

            Thanks!

            1. dark91
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 11 months ago

              Son

          3. Garfield1001
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            Anyone else’s with no Kane in their team?

            Doesn’t feel very great