Spot the Differential
28 April 2018 2204 comments
James H James H
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With only three Gameweeks to go, opportunities to catch mini-league rivals or achieve any pre-season targets are fast running out.

With that in mind, we’ve picked three differentials who have the potential to make an impact for the final push.

A rested Manchester City star, Chelsea’s in-form front-man and a Liverpool player who could benefit from rotation all earn our seal of approval ahead of today’s deadline.

Leroy Sane

After being rested for last weekend’s 5-0 win over Swansea City, we’re expecting Leroy Sane to return to the Manchester City starting line-up for their trip to West Ham United on Sunday.

The German international had been one of City’s form players prior to Gameweek 35, producing two goals and two assists from his previous six league appearances.

Over the last four matches, only David Silva (11) has created more chances than Sane among City players, while the wide man also registered nine shots over that period.

Interestingly, his last four goals have all come on the road, offering encouragement ahead of the London Stadium clash.

The Hammers have conceded 17 goals in their last seven matches, while only Stoke City (73) have allowed more shots over the last four outings than West Ham’s 63.

Following their attacking returns last time out, it is Gabriel Jesus and Raheem Sterling who are leading City targets this week.

They are the second and third most transferred-in players, gaining over 200,000 new owners between them.

By contrast, Sane has only been snapped up by 13,000 FPL managers, while his ownership sits at just 11.8%.

Now priced at 8.6 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), the winger might be worth taking a chance on if you believe he has had his rest and is the attacker most likely to play all four remaining matches.

With such a kind run-in (whu HUD/BHA sot), that potential pitch-time could make all the difference.

Olivier Giroud

With three goals in his last three matches in all competitions, and having seemingly established himself as Antonio Conte’s first-choice striker, Olivier Giroud can be a relevant Fantasy asset once again.

Found in only 1.8% of FPL squads, the cultured Chelsea target man looks an ideal option as a differential in a front three.

Since making his Blues debut in Gameweek 26, the Frenchman has produced more shots (23) and penalty area attempts (21) than any other team-mate, despite making just three starts.

His average of a shot every 26.1 minutes is superior to Alvaro Morata (35.3), Eden Hazard and Willian, who have both managed an attempt every 50 minutes.

After netting the opener in the 2-0 FA Cup semi-final victory over Southampton, Giroud should enter this evening’s encounter at Swansea City full of confidence.

His prospects should also be boosted by the fact the Swans have injury concerns over both Federico Fernandez and Kyle Bartley.

In addition, Carlos Carvalhal’s side have conceded nine goals over the last four matches, with no other team allowing more during that spell.

Giroud’s performances have played an important part in Chelsea recording three successive wins and, with confidence levels rising, the 8.2-rated forward should be on our radars once again.

Conte’s men crucially play twice in Double Gameweek 37 (LIV/HUD), and having proved he can make an impact as a substitute, even if he doesn’t start one of those fixtures, Giroud may be worth the gamble.

Danny Ings

A plum home fixture against Stoke City, and the fact Jurgen Klopp is likely to protect Sadio Mane ahead of Liverpool’s UEFA Champions League semi-final, make Danny Ings an intriguing differential option.

Mane picked up a minor problem against Roma on Tuesday night and missed training on Thursday.

So after leading the line against West Bromwich Albion last weekend, and getting on the scoresheet, Ings may again start as the central striker, with Roberto Firmino possibly set to move to the left of the front three.

And if the Reds have the luxury of making early substitutions, it is perhaps Salah and Firmino who are most likely to be withdrawn, giving Ings the opportunity to play the full 90 minutes.

He produced three shots and received two big chances at The Hawthorns – more than any other player involved.

This afternoon’s match-up with the lowly Potters could hardly be more inviting.

They have conceded more goals (65) and given up more big chances (85) than any other side.

Paul Lambert’s men also need to win at Anfield in order to keep their fading survival hopes alive, which could make for an open encounter.

Available for just 5.4  and owned by only 0.2% of managers in FPL, Ings represents the ultimate differential for Gameweek 36.

Liverpool enter today’s match having scored 16 goals in their last four home matches in all competitions, and look primed to heap further misery on Stoke.

As a one-week punt, Ings should be a tempting option for managers needing to pull a Fantasy rabbit out of the hat.

  1. Gianfranco Zola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Mahrez > Sterling (-4)?

    Chasing in ML and rival has Mahrez and no Sterling. Just not sure Sterling will start.

    1. La vida FPL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Same. Sane might be better this week and Sterling next

      1. doublyG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        How is this useful? Surely not worth getting Sane in for one week

        1. La vida FPL
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 10 months ago

          Get sane this week (guaranteed starter) and Sterling/Jesus next for extra city cover

    2. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I have the same dilemma

    3. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I'm chasing 12 points so going Sane.

      Hope he starts after his rest

  2. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts appreciated:
    Rival on WC and has BB TC.
    I've got TC and 30(-4) lead but no Salah. Will cost my another (-8) to get him...albeit only (-4) extra over the next 3wks:

    _
    [A] No Salah Plan

    36: G2G (-4)
    37: Willian Christensen > Sané Naughton (-4)
    38: Sané Alonso > Salah Robertson (-4)

    _
    [B] Mo Salah Plan

    36: Willian Alonso > Salah(c) TAA (-12)
    37: Salah Christensen > KDB Smalling (-4)
    38: KDB > Salah (FT)

    _
    DDG
    Vertonghen Christensen Lowton
    Sterling Son Willian Milivojevic
    Kane(c) Jesus Barnes

    (Ryan Lingard Chilwell Alonso)

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      A makes much more sense.

      1. Legomané
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers jez

      2. doublyG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        -12 sounds crazy

  3. doublyG
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Please talk me out of taking a -8 for:

    Hazard -> Salah
    Alonso -> Vertongen/Bavies
    Mahrez -> Sterling

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Do it

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Bad idea

      1. doublyG
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Which one?

  4. Toplad
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Who shall I play:

    A) Morgan
    B) Christensen
    C) Gross

    Thanks in advance!

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Christ

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      B and C as backup

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      C

  5. Mikey44
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Who is more likely to keep a clean sheet?

    A- Man City
    B- Newcastle

    Thanks

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      MORE LIKELY, that has to be Newcastle for me. Purely because we've seen City exposed (at the back) before and West Ham haven't been shut out since GW17 except for that tragic day vs Burnley.

    2. -SB-
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      B

    3. Mikey44
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      So why does everyone tell me to bench Dummett and start Kompany? Hahah

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Goalscoring threat (from Kompany).

  6. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts please?

    Pope
    Vert, Lowton, Chilwell
    Son, Sane, Willian, Kenedy
    (K)ane, Jesus, Vardy

    DDG, Gudmund, Smalling, Monreal

    Gives me 12 DGW players next week as well, where I may be tempted to make one or two changes.

  7. Hybrid.power
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Quick captaincy poll: Kane or Salah?

    1. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Salah

    2. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Salad

    3. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Kane 5 goals incoming

    4. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

    5. Squashed
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I'm on salah. But so tempted to switch to kane because Watford sucks.

      1. Hybrid.power
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        I'm flipping between the two

    6. -SB-
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

    7. :
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      As I said earlier on, Salah is equally as proficient as Messi so would you think twice about captaining him in a Liverpool jersey against Stoke?

      Very unlikely.

    8. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I know it's weird because I'm doing it too but why are we even thinking about not going Salah? It's a massive shock if he does nothing these days.

    9. jackhammer1
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Salah

  8. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    There’s going to be so many players with absolutely huge ownership now. Sterling, Salah, Kane, Jesus, DDG are all going to be pretty much nullified in the top 10k

    1. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      And Mariappa

    2. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      How has Jesus got huge ownership? Or even Sterling?
      20% is not huge. Having all of them is even less.

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        In the top 10k..?

    3. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Those wildcarding will be re-booting their team and the structure of the team will be the differential, not the individual players as such. 3 City & 3 Spurs, less of an emphasis on premium defenders that seem to be at risk of rotation .... the current top 10k have reaped the rewards of the last 2 weeks, now we will see bit of a swing as the 36 wildcards come into play

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        And GW35 WC'ers 😉

  9. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Will Christensen play?

    1. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Unlikely

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Won't start...

  10. No Totti No Party
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Bavies or Vertongen for the rest of the season ?

    1. -SB-
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Vert

    2. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      My head says Vertongen, but Bavies so much more of an exciting pick

    3. Mr_Barbs
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Vertonghen. Bavies safe this week but unsure for the dgw.

    4. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Davies has overscored vert with many less minutes this season cant' see why this won't carry on until the end of the season

    5. Mr_Barbs
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I'm leading my ML so need to play safe. If chasing then I can see the temptation with Bavies.

    6. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Vertongen

  11. N00B
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Which player from your first 11 do you think will disappoints you the most ?
    Willian for me

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

      1. Pieterke30
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Not captaining him then Bubz?

        1. Bubz
          • 12 Years
          7 years, 10 months ago

          No, even I’m captaining Salah this week and Im a notorious Salah non captainer

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Willian and Lukaku.

    3. -SB-
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Willian

    4. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      willian

    5. Mr Q
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez

    6. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Otamendi

  12. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Burnley in the PL this season.

    First 19 Games: 9 clean sheets
    Next 16 Games: 2 clean sheets

    Only 1 clean sheet since 1 Jan 2018.

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Pretty sure I brought a Burnley def in on game 20

    2. LǝgleSs e|even
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Any better budget def picks then?

  13. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Benching decision, please help:

    A) Zanka
    B) Chilwel
    C) Francis
    D) VVD

    Thanks a lot!

    1. -SB-
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      b

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Bench C

  14. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Are any of these worth a hit?

    A) Pogba--> Salah/Sane
    B) Mahrez--> Salah/Sane
    C) Lukaku--> Firmino

    Or I can do all of the above for free but need to hope one of Morgan/Christensen play.

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      b to salah

  15. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Do this?
    GW36: Alonso + Mahrez to Walker + Sterling(-4)
    GW37: Lukaku + Lowton to Jesus + Davies(-4).

  16. LǝgleSs e|even
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Best budget and mid range defenders for DGW please

    1. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Mawson SWA £5.1
      Laporte MCI £5.1
      Lascelles NEW £4.9
      Naughton SWA £4.6
      Chilwell LEI £4.4
      Masuaku WHU £4.2
      Dummett NEW £4.2

      Willian CHE £7.2
      Arnautovic WHU £7.0
      Ritchie NEW £5.4
      Xhaka ARS £5.1
      Ndidi LEI £4.9
      Kenedy NEW £4.8
      Matic MUN £4.7
      King SWA £4.2

  17. jackhammer1
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    De gea
    Valencia Vert Lowton
    Salah Son Lingard Willian
    Kane Vardy Barnes
    (Ryan. Gross Morgan Alonso)
    1ft 0itb

    Would love a city attacker but is it worth a hit?

    I can downgrade Alonso and do...

    A. Vardy to Jesus -4
    B. Gross to Sane/Silva -4
    C. Willian to Sterling -4
    D. Save and have 2ft for dgw

    Cheers

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      b

  18. DeadStarComing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Seen a few posts of "Sterling may not start". Is there any hint that he won't that I've missed in the news? Also, surely it applies to all City assets that rest/rotation may be an issue - even Jesus.

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      All city players a risk imo

    2. BIGREDDOG
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I think Silva gets his rest this week, seen a link saying he's in Spain - the one Viper was scared about

  19. Longlatini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Play Milivojevic (LEI) or Austin (BOU)?

    1. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      austin

  20. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Davies nailed on for rest of season?

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      No

      1. Ruinenlust
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Any reason why Rose would get a game?

  21. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Is mahrez to sterling or Eriksen worth a hit??

    Thanks

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I don't think so

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers jezza

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Only if you will be doing it next week anyway.

    3. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Not for a conservative player like me 🙂

  22. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Start Robertson or Simpson? Both unlikely to start tbh

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Robertson isn't starting according to anfield express

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Robertson not starting in leaked Pool team

      Karius, Trent, Gomez, Van Dijk, Klavan, Moreno, Henderson, Wijnaldum, Salah, Firmino, Ings

  23. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Quick one: Sterling or Son a good captain punt? and which one is better

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Son, Sterling may be rotated?

    2. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Certainly risky. I would say Son is a bit safer to play but Sterling is certainly the better option when on the pitch.

      1. Silecro
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Tempted to go Son due to home form. But everytime I assumed sterling will be benched, he wasn't ...nevertheless, I'll go Son hoping for another home haul, cheers guys.

  24. SKOBassist
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Need help. 1st WC draft ready to BB next week

    0.5ITB

    DDG
    Smalling/Lowton/Yedlin
    Salah/D Silva/Sterling/Mili
    Jesus/Kane/Perez

    Fabianski/Chillwell/Naughton/Lingard

    Any changes or GTG?

  25. majorbriggs
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    WC team, 0.1 ITB

    Fabianski, Elliot
    Otamendi, Bavies, Chilwell, TAA, Long
    Salah, Eriksen, Sterling, Milivojevic, Carroll
    Kane, Lukaku, Barnes

    Thinking Otamendi to Smalling or Fabianski to DDG, anything else?

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      I'd rather have Jesus than Kaku, DDG is the most likely member of the United D to play twice in DGW37.

      1. majorbriggs
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah DDG seems like a must have and with huge ownership. Kaku might get a brace against Arsenal but Jesus is a good shout for DGW37

  26. Alli
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    DDG
    Davies - Lowton - Tarkowski
    Sterling - D.Silva - Salah - Willian
    Kane - Jesus - Barnes

    Hennessey - Milivojevic - Chilwell - Kiko

    1 FT - 1.5 ITB

    GTG? Or any suggestions?

  27. Voodoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone would think Watford are the best defensive team in the league!

    1. jackhammer1
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Why?

  28. drughi
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Play 3 out of

    A. Smalling
    B. Davies
    C. Cedric
    D. Dummett
    E. Chilwell

  29. BIGREDDOG
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    Play 2: Tosun/Mili/Arnautovic

  30. Weilong7
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 10 months ago

    lukaku and mahrez out for jesus and sterling for a hit?
    or just make one (which one)?

    1. Kevin 11
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez to Sterling Jesus move for next week