Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best move here given my miserable bunch of injured and rested snakes?

    A) Chilwell -> TAA
    B) Willian -> Zaha
    C) Barnes -> J Ayew

    0.1m in the bank so can only afford one.

    DDG
    Smalling, Bavies, Lowton, Mawson
    Sterling, Son, D Silva, Willian
    Kane, Vardy

    Ryan, Gross, Barnes, Chilwell

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. johnnymorrocco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I thought Silva was absent. IS that not true?

  2. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) Double up and go with Pope & Tarkowski
    B) Play Hennessey & Tarkowski

  3. Plymouth
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Lowest chance of starting?
    Lingard or Willian?

    1. Ibracadabra
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lingard lower but I can’t afford to remove him without a -4 to Zaha / Arnie which presents quite the dilemma.

    2. The Royal Robin
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      JAY TABB!

    3. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Jay tabb yo yo

      Both are risky.

    4. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lingard

    5. Mr Arsenal
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lingard.

      Chelsea may play 4-3-3 in which case Willian would start.

  4. Richd
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    If Pogba starts id not need to move to zaha.

    Then again I could get Martial instead.

    Eurgh.

    It’s annoying not wanting to take a hit but I know it’s not worth it

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Get Zaha for Pogba. Don't overthink it.

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah that’s the most likely.

        I really should have done it already to stop myself. But hoping for some leaks

  5. Down with this sort of thin…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any news on Trippier? Will Walker-Peters start instead?

    Thanks!

    1. johnnymorrocco
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I heard WP will start

  6. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A/ Start Naughton (double BUR and 4 at the back - other def is Davies)
    B/ Start Lingard
    C/ Lingard + DDG -> Romero + Zaha (other keeper is Ryan) (-8)
    D/ Lingard -> Gundogan (-4)
    E/ Barnes -> Ayew (-4)

  7. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    For a hit.
    A. Lloris & VvD
    or
    B. Karius & Davies

    1. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Is Bavies a sure starter?

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A as there is a chance that Rose plays? Don’t want to take a hit and see a player benched

    4. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      How about Romero & VVD?

      1. ILOVEBAPS
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Not sure United will get a CS with such a team

  8. Twisted Saltergater
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I'm done. Good all!

    McCarthy
    Naughton - Long - Vertonghen
    Sterling - Zaha - Alli - Salah(c) - Sané
    Jesus - Aubameyang

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      *luck!

    2. Legomané
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      McCarthy Jesus pen save incoming 🙂

      1. Twisted Saltergater
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        With any luck! 🙂

  9. hspin
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any hints of teams befor deadline we think?

  10. Lukakuna
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) Barnes* > Ayew
    B) King > McArthur
    C) DDG A.King > Adrian Zaha (-4)

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      C

  11. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    This lot worth any hits? I’m just going for OR increase as don’t think I can catch cash ML leader

    0FT £0.7itb

    Ryan
    Vert, Lowton, Mustafi
    Salah (C), Sterling, Eriksen, Son, Mili
    Jesus, Firmino

    (DDG) (Ayew, Morgan, Smalling)

    Was thinking maybe Morgan > TAA (-4) then play 4-4-2?

    Thoughts?

    Cheers

    1. Lukakuna
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I wouldn't do hit here

  12. DAZZ
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Milner a good shout today lads. Playing in the middle, will get forward, potential set pieces, and clean sheet looks good.

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah he’s an exciting prospect

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Some the picks this week remind me of FH35

    2. MTPockets
        7 years, 7 months ago

        He has 0G/3A

        1. Richd
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          In champions league he’s the top assister

          1. MTPockets
              7 years, 7 months ago

              I'll bear that in mind for CL fantasy.

              1. Richd
                • 13 Years
                7 years, 7 months ago

                It’s still very relevant to be fair.

                1. MTPockets
                    7 years, 7 months ago

                    Would have thought Salah gets every possible set piece.

            • Jazz!
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              CL top assister 😀

        2. King Kohli
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Defending a 7 point lead.
          Rival has Salah + Auba

          Who do I captain?
          A. Kane
          B. Auba

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Kane

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              He'll captain Salah over Auba

        3. Patch
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Renegade Moves:

          DDG to Heaton

          Captain David Silva

          Yay or Nay pls?

          1. yakirh
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Heaton playing for sure?

        4. Twisted Saltergater
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          On the Spurs fans forum, suggestions that Foyth will start over Vertonghen.

          1. Richd
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Oh don’t start this lol

          2. Volley127
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Justice for 37

            1. Twisted Saltergater
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              😀

          3. Ibracadabra
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Could be a back 3, could be instead of Sanchez too but if Vertonghen ankle is even a bit hurt then he won’t be risked before a WV.

            1. Ibracadabra
              • 16 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              *WC

          4. Rash
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Anything on there about Son injury?

        5. The Royal Robin
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Has Mou actually confirmed Smalling as rested?

          1. Richd
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Yeah

            1. The Royal Robin
              • 10 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              Cheers, what about Monreal?

        6. NachoMan
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          I'm taking a -12 hit. Don't try and stop me. I'm 13 points behind ML leader and he's taken a -8 but I need some differentials.

          Which one?

          Jesus, Son, Willian, Smalling OUT

          A) Auba, Martial, Sane, TAA IN
          B) Laca, Martial, Zaha, VVD
          IN

          HELP

          1. johnnymorrocco
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            A but i think he's lying to you

        7. No Totti No Party
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Bring in PVA or Creswell ?

          1. #FPLBhuna
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Pva

          2. Fantasy Gold
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            PVA

          3. Big P
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            I actually think Carroll could get minutes today, which enhances the Cresswell option

          4. The Left Duke #3
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            2 solid options and both would be in my team if I had a WC.

            PVA for me due to Goal threat

        8. Ivz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Is playing Zaha/Adrian over Milli/Ryan worth extra -4??

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Yep, I think so

          2. Big P
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Ryan could get a load of save points.....

        9. Fantasy Gold
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          All of the regular RMTers are out in force this morning.

          Ah, one last day of it 🙂

          1. Richd
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Funny. Midweek I saw pages last 3 hours. That’d be the time to get advice easier, and detailed.

          2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Good morning sarcasm incoming 😉

            1. Fantasy Gold
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              😉

        10. Big P
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Thoughts on this for a naughty end to the season?

          Jones, Maguire, Lukaku, Vardy —————> Blind, PVA, Kane, Rashford (TC) ???

          -8

          1. Big P
            • 8 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Cool.

            1. Fantasy Gold
              • 11 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              Story.

              1. Big P
                • 8 Years
                7 years, 7 months ago

                Bro.

          2. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Do it!!!

            1. Fresh_From_Desh
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              Why not

        11. ooooo
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          ny transfer worth a -4 here? 0,6mil itb
          Ryan
          Vert Lowton Long
          Salah Sterling Son Zaha
          Kane Jesus Barnes

          DDG Smalling Chilwell L.Cook,

          1. THFC4LIFE
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Isn’t Barnes ruled out?

            1. ooooo
              • 8 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              is he?

              1. Roy Rovers
                • 11 Years
                7 years, 7 months ago

                How many last day casuals?

        12. Jet5605
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Hey guys, is it worth keeping Jesus and doing Vardy > Kane instead if it means having to downgrade my incoming midfield enabler from Zaha/Arnie > Mili?

        13. Stoic
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Play 1 and first sub ?

          A) Ota
          B) Masuaku
          C) Mawson

        14. FDMS All Starz
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Urgent help needed, What would you do to this team? Take a hit for Salah/Zaha?

          DDG*-Ryan
          Vertonghen-Sanchez-Lowton-Christensen*-Morgan*
          Gross-Mahrez-Arnie-Willian*-Pogba
          Kane-Jesus-Barnes*

          1FT...0.1itb

          * = Issues

        15. Don Kloppeone
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Bottomed

          This lot worth any hits? I’m just going for OR increase as don’t think I can catch cash ML leader

          0FT £0.7itb

          Ryan
          Vert, Lowton, Mustafi
          Salah (C), Sterling, Eriksen, Son, Mili
          Jesus, Firmino

          (DDG) (Ayew, Morgan, Smalling)

          Was thinking maybe Morgan > TAA (-4) then play 4-4-2?

          Thoughts?

          Cheers

        16. Alli
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          DDG - Hennessey
          Davies - Smalling - Tarkowski - Lowton - Kiko
          Sterling - D.Silva - Salah - Arnautovic - Milivojevic
          Kane - Jesus - J. Ayew

          1 FT - 0.2 ITB

          A. Smalling > VVD
          B. D.Silva, Smalling > Zaha, VVD (-4)
          C. D.Silva, Smalling > Sané, PVA (-4)

          1. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            A

        17. Frasmac
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          A - Play Dubravka v Chelsea (DDG bench) and do Mustafi to Robertson

          B - DDG to Romero and play Mustafi (Lowton first sub)

          Other def - Vert/Tark/Morgan

          Cheers

        18. NachoMan
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Bottomed

          I'm taking a -12 hit. Don't try and stop me. I'm 13 points behind ML leader and he's taken a -8 but I need some differentials.

          Which one?

          Jesus, Son, Willian, Smalling OUT

          A) Auba, Martial, Sane, TAA IN
          B) Laca, Martial, Zaha, VVD
          IN

          HELP

          1. #FPLBhuna
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            A

          2. Richd
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            I like B

          3. Frasmac
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            B

          4. The Great Statuto
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            B

          5. THFC4LIFE
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            B

          6. ILOVEBAPS
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            B

        19. Cojones of Destiny
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          need advise lads BBing 38 is it worth a hit to get rid of ddg and smalling for ???

          1. enrico.palazzo
            • 13 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Yes in your instance.

            Pick someone like Romero + Alonso/Azpil maybe

          2. Gandalf
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Yup and don’t leave B.B. till the last gameweek next year!

            1. Cojones of Destiny
              • 7 Years
              7 years, 7 months ago

              lol in that case ddg/smalling for who?