Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
Share:

Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. jackhammer1
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Ryan
    Valencia Vert Lowton
    Salah Sterling Son Lingard Fernandinho
    Kane Jesus

    Going to raise funds by Valencia to Pva or pool.

    Then lingard to x for a hit.

    A. Arnie
    B. Zaha
    C. Ramsey
    D. Hold

    1. hspin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      zaha

  2. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any transfer worth a -4 here? 0,6mil itb
    Ryan
    Vert Lowton Long
    Salah Sterling Son Zaha
    Kane Jesus Ayew

    DDG Smalling Chilwell L.Cook,

    1. hspin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      nope

    2. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      DDG to Romero and play him

  3. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What are your thoughts on KDB/Son/Barnes ➡ Salah(c)/Firmino/Carrick and switch to 3-4-3? Exact cash for these transfers.

    I have a feeling Reds are gonna go loco and Firmino will surpass his biggest points tally of this season.

    1. MTPockets
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Betting all on Liverpool. Will be great if you're right, otherwise not.

        1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Profound

    2. The Left Duke #3
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      REPOST - LIVERPOOL TEAM

      Karius, 

      Clyne, Lovren, VVD, Robbo.
      TAA, Gini, Milner.

      Mo, Bobby, Lallana.



      A fella called Emmet Kavanagh on Irish Liverpool Red site on FB. 
It practically picks itself with who's available!. He did state 'rumoured team' but he's gotten it right every week inc last week when AE didn't post

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        spot the missing guy

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          ings?

      2. Bubbles1985
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Lallana could be a good differential then!

    3. hspin
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      My god, pages are flying, trying again. PLease help 🙂

      A or B:

      A: Sanchez, Willian -> Salah, Zaha

      B: Sanchez, Austin -> Zaha, Lacazette

      1. RomeluAndJuliet
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        A

      2. MTPockets
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Completely depends on opinion of Willian & Austin starting and pts.
          Would probably do A, but don't expect much from Austin either.

        • The Left Duke #3
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          A

      3. Cheltnamshire LaLaLa
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Anyone got anything intelligent to say on whether sane starts?

        1. MTPockets
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Great form and team going for 100pts, but Pep so fingers crossed personally.

          • Netley Lucas
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I think Pep goes full tilt final game

          • Bartowski
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Of course he starts him and De Bruyne are tied for the award for most assists.

          • Hazz
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Him and KDB are tied on assists this season. Would be a little harsh to start one, but not the other.

          • Hairy Potter
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Nothing intelligent, other than if he doesn’t start, then hopefully he won’t get a late cameo, as Pep might be tempted to give sub appearances to those players who are one match award from premier league medal.

          • Cheltnamshire LaLaLa
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Thanks all. That assists thing is an interesting one

        2. HD7
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Really wondering Auba or Laca?

          1. hspin
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            same, I want Laca over Austin

          2. RomeluAndJuliet
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Auba if you can afford him

            1. HD7
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I can...but wont he be a winger while Laca the focal point?

        3. Revival
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          You would think a front 3 of Mkhi Laca Auba would get Arsenal a first away point of 2018 today!

        4. Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Son should start, right?

          1. Viper
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            50/50

        5. Lionel Ronaldo
            8 years, 1 month ago

            1 FT. Which one?

            - Ryan to Karius
            - Duffy to Robertson

            Rest of team strong enough.

            1. Oven Glover
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Robbo

            2. markmcr
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Robertson

          • Lone Wolf FPL
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Would you go RLC/McArthur or Ayew -4?

          • XABI 15
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Will Sam Vokes start?

            1. Netley Lucas
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Expect so with Barnes out

            2. G-Whizz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              With no Barnes should do...

          • Brosstan
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            a) Mahrez - Alonso - Tarkowski - Ederson
            b) Auba - Fernandinho - Dummett - Fabianski (-24)

            Should I be worried at all?

            1. hspin
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              A, minus 24. lol!

          • Ruud van Kane
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            If you had these would you play or bench?
            Smalling, Davies, Silva

            Got Mawson & Monreal for Davies & Smalling. Tadic for Silva if required.

          • Smurf
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Who to start?

            1) VdH (STK)
            2) Tadic (MCI)

            1. Lionel Ronaldo
                8 years, 1 month ago

                The attacking player. Always.

                1. Smurf
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Yeah I suppose you may be right.

                  1. Root
                    • 14 Years
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    He is wrong.

            2. lespaul
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Will Son start?! 50%?

              1. Kasper the ghost keeper
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Tempted to sell for Martial or Zaha

              2. DAZZ
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Im keeping, taking the gamble, will be lots of regrets on here if he does. I can picture it

              3. G-Whizz
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Dunno but I'll take the gamble...

            3. Kasper the ghost keeper
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Son -> Martial/Zaha (-4)

              Nothing to lose but rank at this point

              1. Smurf
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                I would yeah. Both good calls.

              2. Viper
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Go for it 😉

              3. FPL Pillars
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                No

            4. Viper
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Gross, Son & Naughton - > Martial, Zaha & TAA (-8)?

              The Naughton - > TAA is purely for funds

              1. arndff_
                • 14 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Is Son confirmed out?

                1. Viper
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  No

                  1. arndff_
                    • 14 Years
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    I wouldn't do those moves then. -8s too much at the final GW.

                2. lespaul
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Nope

              2. Kasper the ghost keeper
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Who's TAA?

                1. Viper
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Alexander Arnold

              3. Kasper the ghost keeper
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                It's adventurous but it's a game so have a bitta fun with it

            5. Ruinenlust
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Would you do Son or David Silva out for Salah (-4)?

              1. lespaul
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                I have same and going son out for salah

              2. fattfattygavgav
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                neither

            6. Adiebaby
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I'm 9pts up in ML. Rival has BB. Our teams have the same big hitters but his fringe players are better than mine (he has Davies / Robertson / Zaha vs my Tark / Cedric / Lingard)

              1) play it safe and hope the lead is enough.
              Barnes > Ayew
              2) roll the dice on a big hitter (-4)
              Barnes > Ayew
              Jesus > Aubamayang
              3) bench barnes & Tark (-4)
              Lingard > ramsey
              Cedric > TAA

              Hope that's not too complicated...
              Help!

            7. Gentle_Turks
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Did Mourinho confirm that Smalling won't play?

              1. Viper
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Yes. He said its normal he doesn't play after playing so many games in a row

                1. Gentle_Turks
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Cheers.

            8. Hazz
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              A) [-4] Son/Vardy > Salah/6.4
              B) [-8] DDG/Son/Vardy > Romero/Salah/Rashford
              C) [-8] Son/Vardy/VDH > Salah/6.4/TAA
              D) [-8] Son/Vardy/VDH > Salah/Crouch/Bellerin
              E) [-12] Son/VDH/Lowton/Vardy > Salah/TAA/Bellerin/Crouch
              F) [-12] Son/DDG/Vardy/VDH > Salah/Romero/Rashford/TAA

              Team for reference:
              DDG / Ryan
              Alonso / Davies / Lowton / Long / VDH
              Sterling / Silva / Son / Arnautovic / L Cook
              Kane / Jesus / Vardy

              1. lespaul
                • 16 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                G DDG and son for Salah and 3.9

                1. Hazz
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  I wish. Don't have that much money though 😛

              2. Lionel Ronaldo
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Not B, D or E.

                  A, C, F look good. Preferably C with Palace midfielder?

                  1. Hazz
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    As in, add another transfer and get a palace mid in for Cook? (Benching the striker.)

                • Hazz
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Thanks folks! Helpful.

              3. fattfattygavgav
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Who to play?

                A. Naughton
                B. Lowton (already playing Tarki)

                Thanks

                1. Netley Lucas
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Bench Tark

                2. Hairy Potter
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Lowton

              4. fpl-newbie
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Any good advice about Pogba? To sell him with a -4.

              5. Jive Turkey
                • 14 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Good day,

                Leading mini league by 12 points. Have Sane. None of the chasing pack own him but own Arnie.

                A) Keep Saane (we think he starts?)
                B) Sane to Arnie for -4 to block

                Thanks!

              6. Godot - Fashanu Zealand
                • 13 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Adrian will surely start, right?

              7. Ojpsan1
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Play one:

                A) Ayew
                B) Gudmunsson
                C) Willian

                1. aleksios
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  B

                2. FPL Pillars
                  • 9 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  A

              8. Jinswick
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Am I right that we have no idea whether D Silva starts today?

                1. aleksios
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  Seems so

                2. Netley Lucas
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  He did return to the UK, so looks promising

                3. Viper
                  • 16 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  It appears he has flown back to England so you'd have to imagine it isn't to sit on the bench

                4. Lionel Ronaldo
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    As far as I know, I don't know.

                5. aleksios
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  a) Smalling to VVD for free
                  b) Smalling to TAA and Vardy to Firm for a hit.

                  Chasing 7 pts.

                  Thanks.

                  1. Hairy Potter
                    • 11 Years
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    A

                    1. Hairy Potter
                      • 11 Years
                      8 years, 1 month ago

                      Actually, I’d go B and have no regrets about what might have been.

                  2. K.F.C
                    • 9 Years
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    B looks tasty

                6. DAZZ
                  • 11 Years
                  8 years, 1 month ago

                  26 points behind, is Morgan and Kenedy > TAA + Arnie worth a -4? Leaves me 30 points behind, but my rival doesnt have Kane, Sterling, Arnie, Son or Rashford, so i have a few differentials to catch him, Kane (c)

                  1. Hairy Potter
                    • 11 Years
                    8 years, 1 month ago

                    I like it.