Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

3,273 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which move?
    (A) Maguire and Dunk to PvA and Robertson (-4) (Have to play Lingard)
    (B) Maguire and Lingard to TAA and Zaha (-4) (Have to play Dunk)
    (C) Maguire to VVD (and then play Lingard and Dunk)

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

    4. Lumberjack
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  2. el polako
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Are we lol'ing yet ?
    Lol at everyone saving their transfer this week.

    1. Richd
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Lol at the girl from marketing that hasn’t changed her team since she got dumped on valtentines day

    2. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Why? Im saving it for next season so I can have two before GW1.

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I’m saving it to get an extra wildcard next season

  3. Slitherene
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bottomed.

    PvA, Monreal or VvD??

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Vvd

    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Pva all the way !

    3. Richd
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Vvd is sensible

      PVA is fun

      1. Richd
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Monreal...

        I don’t wanna get banned again

  4. Ligdon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone going Salahless ?

    1. Richd
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah I have the last few weeks.

      A hits not worth it.

    2. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yep. Haven't had him a few weeks and I've closed the gap on 2nd to 20pts. Maybe a bridge too far however. Hell captain Salah, I'm going Kane. Fingers crossed

    3. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yep. likely to make or break ML

    4. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Salahless and kaneless

      1. Roy Rovers
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        That’s a big couch!

  5. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Fellow non-Salah owners, what are you doing this Gw?

    A. Bringing in Salah - FT for ____
    B. Burning (-4), transferring out: ____
    C. Going without Mo 😮

    1. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thinking of C 😮

    2. MTPockets
      8 years, 2 months ago

      c

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A. Took out Son which will now backfire. Also took out Willian for Gudmundsson

    4. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  6. xHolmesyx
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    GK: Ryan
    Def: Alonso, Tarkowski and Lowton
    Mids: Zaha, Salah, Lingard, Sterling
    Forwards: Austin, Kane, Jesus
    0ITB.
    Bench: De Gea, King, Cedric, Morgan
    3 points ahead rival he has already done a hit.

    Anything worth a hit for me? Im thinking de gea to romero and lingard to arnaut to cancel. Rival has Son and arnautovic as differential I have kane and maybe zaha.

  7. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lol @ everyone

  8. Evasivo
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best defender below 4.9 gotta be Cresswell right?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Taa

    2. MTPockets
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Tomkins?

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Cressy

    4. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      TAA

    5. Evasivo
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Why so much love for TAA? You sure he'll start?!

  9. MaxAAO
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Son for KDB?
    Or other replacement for KDB?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Why replace KDB?

      1. MaxAAO
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Didn’t return much recently...

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I got rid of Son so probably get him. Bound to haul!

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep KDB

      1. MaxAAO
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        His Away form is poor
        Will give it some thought

  10. Hanniballus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Any news on David Silva? Is he back in England?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I believe so

  11. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    How many points roughly will each side get? ( I know crystal balls don’t exist)

    A) Romero, A,King, Zaha -4

    B) Romero, Mata, Vokes -8

    C) Romero, Zaha, TAA -8

    1. Hanniballus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

  12. Frank Koscielny
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Smalling rested today or people trolling here?

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Mou confirmed he would rest him in his whu post match conference pal

      1. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      both

    3. Richd
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah everyone is trolling for the bantz

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Trolling? Do some research.

  13. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Reckon giroud is the one to get today

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Always good for a goal

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Think Chelsea will demolish Newcastle

        Always one weird result

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Away at Newcastle??

    3. el polako
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Really dont think so, envisage strong Newcastle performance.

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah I reckon 0-1 or 1-1.

    4. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I honestly think Newcastle will beat Chelsea today.

  14. knight_king2
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Hi guys, do you think Austin will start for Saints?

    1. xHolmesyx
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I wanna know this too.

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes

    3. Ask Yourself
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah

    4. MTPockets
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No idea but risking it.

    5. FrankieTheGent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I dunno.
      They need a target man as an outlet I would've thought.
      I'd start Long who'll run into the channels all day.
      Then park the rest in the soton half

    6. cheekumz
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'll be very surprised if he starts for anyone else

  15. Ligdon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Kdb or Salah -4 ?

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      salah

    2. Richd
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      KDB!

      It’s a one week move if you -4. Negative

      1. Ligdon
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Very true but it is mo

        1. Richd
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Yeah.

          I just can only justify it if it’s to “fix” my squad and team structure. Gw38 is just not that week for it.

          Good luck tho it could pay off. Maybe..

  16. Lignja
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Long or Lowton?

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      lowton

  17. Lumberjack
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Pogba/ Lingard/ Smalling to Salah/ Zaha (or Arnie)/ TAA (-8)?

    I’ve won my H2H already and 7th in my ML with no chance of winning...so any reason not to??

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I like Salah, Zaha and TAA. Am considering the first two also

      1. Lumberjack
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Me too, wish I didn’t need the third part to make it affordable. Cheers.

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I'd do it.

      1. Lumberjack
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Good stuff, thanks!

  18. The Left Duke #3
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    LIVERPOOL TEAM

    Karius, 

    Clyne, Lovren, VVD, Robbo.
    TAA, Gini, Milner.

    Mo, Bobby, Lallana.



    A fella called Emmet Kavanagh on Irish Liverpool Red site on FB. 
It practically picks itself with who's available!. He didn't state 'rumoured team' but he's gotten it right every week

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Taa in midfield!!

    2. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Hope so I’d love this!!!!

    3. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Lallana over Ings is interesting.

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Ings are getting complicated

    4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Interesting

      Weird lineup

    5. Mongreloid
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      This just doesn’t seem feasible

    6. Slitherene
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Where's Hendo?

  19. #FPLBhuna
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    For the salahless..

    29 x 2 is 58

    🙂

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      😆

    2. Richd
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Haha. It’s the risk we take.

      Zahas 2x 29 = crap why didn’t I do a even number

      58!

      1. Volley127
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        58! = 2.3505613e+78

  20. ooooo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Willian to Zaha ?

    Ryan
    Vert Lowton Long
    Salah Sterling Son Zaha
    Kane Jesus Barnes

    DDG Smalling Chilwell L.Cook

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      100%

    2. knight_king2
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I have austin too and i wanna know. And it seems no one talks about him

      1. Fresh_From_Desh
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yes

  21. Butcher
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Anyone expecting any returns from Charlie Austin today or should I switch to Danny Ings for -4?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Keep

    2. MTPockets
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Do you know Ings starts?

      1. Butcher
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Yes I think he will with Mane out

    3. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Wouldn’t for a hit. Not clear if Ings even plays.

  22. Scotty B
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Liverpool team been leaked?

    1. Alan_T
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yeah, TAA playing striker

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks TAA (c) locked in

  23. knight_king2
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Martial and Romero
    Or
    Zaha and Romero ?

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Martial

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Zaha

  24. Ligdon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Im actually tempted by lallana lol

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Some do think he'll replace Mane

    2. Alan_T
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Just assumed he was injured

  25. hspin
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Chances of starting:

    Austin: x
    Willian: x
    Sanchez: x

    ?

    1. ENZO SZN™
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      100
      0
      50

  26. aleksios
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Chasing 7 pts.Best option here? 1ft0.8itbm.

    -Ryan
    -Alonso-Lowton-Smalling
    -Son-Alli-Sterl-Sane-Fernandinho
    -Kane-Vardy

    ---Ddg---Morgan---Barnes---Klavan.

    a) Morgan to TAA
    b) Smalling to PVA/ Virgil.
    c) Vardy to Firm.
    d) Any combination for a hit.

    Thanks a lot guys for the help.

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      C

  27. Volley127
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Lewis Cook (bur)
    B) Morgan (spurs)
    C) Lingard (WAT)

    Bench order? Thinking ABC as lingard likely 1 pointer max

    1. aleksios
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Right

  28. Fresh_From_Desh
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    -16 hit to chase a lead

    Screw it. Finishing 2nd is bottom

  29. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lallana TC?

  30. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morning all on final day, best of luck to everyone.

    Im protecting a 13 pt ML lead but he has WC and BB so gonna be luck i guess .

    Iv done a -4 for TAA + Zaha.

    Been so close in ML that is enough hit wise ??

    Stick with Jesus + Kane and cant Salah and fingers crossed i guess?

    1. camarozz
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Capt Salah *

    2. Rash
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      He can only use 1 of those chips