Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which move?
    (A) Maguire and Dunk to PvA and Robertson (-4) (Have to play Lingard)
    (B) Maguire and Lingard to TAA and Zaha (-4) (Have to play Dunk)
    (C) Maguire to VVD (and then play Lingard and Dunk)

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    4. Lumberjack
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

  2. el polako
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Are we lol'ing yet ?
    Lol at everyone saving their transfer this week.

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Lol at the girl from marketing that hasn’t changed her team since she got dumped on valtentines day

    2. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why? Im saving it for next season so I can have two before GW1.

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I’m saving it to get an extra wildcard next season

  3. Slitherene
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed.

    PvA, Monreal or VvD??

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vvd

    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pva all the way !

    3. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vvd is sensible

      PVA is fun

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Monreal...

        I don’t wanna get banned again

  4. Ligdon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone going Salahless ?

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah I have the last few weeks.

      A hits not worth it.

    2. Tommy Tynans Left Shin Pad
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yep. Haven't had him a few weeks and I've closed the gap on 2nd to 20pts. Maybe a bridge too far however. Hell captain Salah, I'm going Kane. Fingers crossed

    3. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yep. likely to make or break ML

    4. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Salahless and kaneless

      1. Roy Rovers
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        That’s a big couch!

  5. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Fellow non-Salah owners, what are you doing this Gw?

    A. Bringing in Salah - FT for ____
    B. Burning (-4), transferring out: ____
    C. Going without Mo 😮

    1. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking of C 😮

    2. MTPockets
        8 years, 1 month ago

        c

      • ILOVEBAPS
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        A. Took out Son which will now backfire. Also took out Willian for Gudmundsson

      • Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        A

    3. xHolmesyx
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      GK: Ryan
      Def: Alonso, Tarkowski and Lowton
      Mids: Zaha, Salah, Lingard, Sterling
      Forwards: Austin, Kane, Jesus
      0ITB.
      Bench: De Gea, King, Cedric, Morgan
      3 points ahead rival he has already done a hit.

      Anything worth a hit for me? Im thinking de gea to romero and lingard to arnaut to cancel. Rival has Son and arnautovic as differential I have kane and maybe zaha.

    4. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Lol @ everyone

    5. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Best defender below 4.9 gotta be Cresswell right?

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Taa

      2. MTPockets
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Tomkins?

        • ILOVEBAPS
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Cressy

        • Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          TAA

        • Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Why so much love for TAA? You sure he'll start?!

      3. MaxAAO
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Son for KDB?
        Or other replacement for KDB?

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Why replace KDB?

          1. MaxAAO
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Didn’t return much recently...

            1. ILOVEBAPS
              • 14 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I got rid of Son so probably get him. Bound to haul!

        2. The Mighty Hippo
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Keep KDB

          1. MaxAAO
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            His Away form is poor
            Will give it some thought

      4. Hanniballus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Any news on David Silva? Is he back in England?

        1. Netley Lucas
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I believe so

      5. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        How many points roughly will each side get? ( I know crystal balls don’t exist)

        A) Romero, A,King, Zaha -4

        B) Romero, Mata, Vokes -8

        C) Romero, Zaha, TAA -8

        1. Hanniballus
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          A

      6. Frank Koscielny
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Smalling rested today or people trolling here?

        1. #FPLBhuna
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Mou confirmed he would rest him in his whu post match conference pal

          1. Frank Koscielny
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers

        2. Volley127
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          both

        3. Richd
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah everyone is trolling for the bantz

        4. badgerboy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Trolling? Do some research.

      7. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Reckon giroud is the one to get today

        1. Fantasy Gold
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Always good for a goal

          1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Think Chelsea will demolish Newcastle

            Always one weird result

        2. Twisted Saltergater
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Away at Newcastle??

        3. el polako
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Really dont think so, envisage strong Newcastle performance.

          1. Fantasy Gold
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Yeah I reckon 0-1 or 1-1.

        4. DA Minnion (Former great)
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I honestly think Newcastle will beat Chelsea today.

      8. knight_king2
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Hi guys, do you think Austin will start for Saints?

        1. xHolmesyx
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I wanna know this too.

        2. Fantasy Gold
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Yes

        3. Ask Yourself
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah

        4. MTPockets
            8 years, 1 month ago

            No idea but risking it.

          • FrankieTheGent
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I dunno.
            They need a target man as an outlet I would've thought.
            I'd start Long who'll run into the channels all day.
            Then park the rest in the soton half

          • cheekumz
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I'll be very surprised if he starts for anyone else

        5. Ligdon
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Kdb or Salah -4 ?

          1. Volley127
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            salah

          2. Richd
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            KDB!

            It’s a one week move if you -4. Negative

            1. Ligdon
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Very true but it is mo

              1. Richd
                • 13 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Yeah.

                I just can only justify it if it’s to “fix” my squad and team structure. Gw38 is just not that week for it.

                Good luck tho it could pay off. Maybe..

        6. Lignja
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Long or Lowton?

          1. Volley127
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            lowton

        7. Lumberjack
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Pogba/ Lingard/ Smalling to Salah/ Zaha (or Arnie)/ TAA (-8)?

          I’ve won my H2H already and 7th in my ML with no chance of winning...so any reason not to??

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I like Salah, Zaha and TAA. Am considering the first two also

            1. Lumberjack
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Me too, wish I didn’t need the third part to make it affordable. Cheers.

          2. ILOVEBAPS
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I'd do it.

            1. Lumberjack
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Good stuff, thanks!

        8. The Left Duke #3
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          LIVERPOOL TEAM

          Karius, 

          Clyne, Lovren, VVD, Robbo.
          TAA, Gini, Milner.

          Mo, Bobby, Lallana.



          A fella called Emmet Kavanagh on Irish Liverpool Red site on FB. 
It practically picks itself with who's available!. He didn't state 'rumoured team' but he's gotten it right every week

          1. The Overthinker
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Taa in midfield!!

          2. #FPLBhuna
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Hope so I’d love this!!!!

          3. CloudSky
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Lallana over Ings is interesting.

            1. Fantasy Gold
              • 12 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Ings are getting complicated

          4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Interesting

            Weird lineup

          5. Mongreloid
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            This just doesn’t seem feasible

          6. Slitherene
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Where's Hendo?

        9. #FPLBhuna
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          For the salahless..

          29 x 2 is 58

          🙂

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            😆

          2. Richd
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Haha. It’s the risk we take.

            Zahas 2x 29 = crap why didn’t I do a even number

            58!

            1. Volley127
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              58! = 2.3505613e+78

        10. ooooo
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Willian to Zaha ?

          Ryan
          Vert Lowton Long
          Salah Sterling Son Zaha
          Kane Jesus Barnes

          DDG Smalling Chilwell L.Cook

          1. Twisted Saltergater
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            100%

          2. knight_king2
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            I have austin too and i wanna know. And it seems no one talks about him

            1. Fresh_From_Desh
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Yes

        11. Butcher
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Anyone expecting any returns from Charlie Austin today or should I switch to Danny Ings for -4?

          1. Netley Lucas
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Keep

          2. MTPockets
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Do you know Ings starts?

              1. Butcher
                • 12 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Yes I think he will with Mane out

            • Hairy Potter
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Wouldn’t for a hit. Not clear if Ings even plays.

          3. Scotty B
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Liverpool team been leaked?

            1. Alan_T
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Yeah, TAA playing striker

              1. Scotty B
                • 14 Years
                8 years, 1 month ago

                Thanks TAA (c) locked in

          4. knight_king2
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Martial and Romero
            Or
            Zaha and Romero ?

            1. aleksios
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Martial

            2. Volley127
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Zaha

          5. Ligdon
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Im actually tempted by lallana lol

            1. Netley Lucas
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Some do think he'll replace Mane

            2. Alan_T
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Just assumed he was injured

          6. hspin
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Chances of starting:

            Austin: x
            Willian: x
            Sanchez: x

            ?

            1. ENZO SZN™
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              100
              0
              50

          7. aleksios
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Chasing 7 pts.Best option here? 1ft0.8itbm.

            -Ryan
            -Alonso-Lowton-Smalling
            -Son-Alli-Sterl-Sane-Fernandinho
            -Kane-Vardy

            ---Ddg---Morgan---Barnes---Klavan.

            a) Morgan to TAA
            b) Smalling to PVA/ Virgil.
            c) Vardy to Firm.
            d) Any combination for a hit.

            Thanks a lot guys for the help.

            1. Volley127
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              C

          8. Volley127
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            A) Lewis Cook (bur)
            B) Morgan (spurs)
            C) Lingard (WAT)

            Bench order? Thinking ABC as lingard likely 1 pointer max

            1. aleksios
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Right

          9. Fresh_From_Desh
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            -16 hit to chase a lead

            Screw it. Finishing 2nd is bottom

          10. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Lallana TC?

          11. camarozz
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Morning all on final day, best of luck to everyone.

            Im protecting a 13 pt ML lead but he has WC and BB so gonna be luck i guess .

            Iv done a -4 for TAA + Zaha.

            Been so close in ML that is enough hit wise ??

            Stick with Jesus + Kane and cant Salah and fingers crossed i guess?

            1. camarozz
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              Capt Salah *

            2. Rash
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              He can only use 1 of those chips