Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pogba likely to start?

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I’m removing him. So I’ll be annoyed if he does

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Already taken 2 hits so leaning towards keeping unless he's confirmed out

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Seen a few predicted lineups with him in but you’d imagine that Matic would play alongside Carrick with him resting last game.

      Difficult to know for sure though.

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Think all 3 will play with Mata Rash Martial up top.

        1. Fantasy Gold
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          If you have no other issues with your team, I’d be inclined to sell anyway.

          He was awful against West Ham. Looked like he couldn’t care less.

          1. Royal5
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Been terrible for weeks

  2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Lallana the ultimate differential

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Amazing differential.

      I need to get rid of Pogba so would love to jump on.

      However, after such a long spell on the sidelines going straight into a game like this, I can’t see him being very sharp.

      I’ll stick with Ramsey.

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Why not Mikhi if you looking for a punt.

        1. Fantasy Gold
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Ramsey more explosive.

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For a 10min cameo?

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        He is starting.

        See last page.

  3. TheNovocastrian
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    My last 'rate my team' of the season:

    Fabianski
    Monreal, TAA, Davies,
    Sterling(c), Sane, Eriksen, Zaha
    Kane, Jesus, vardy
    (Foster, long, dummet, kenedy)

    Good to go???

    Good luck for the final day everyone and see you all in August...

  4. WesMantooth
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Best midfield pairing for a doubleswap.

    Got 14.4 to play with.

    I'm leaning towards ramsey and Zaha

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Arnie & Zaha

      1. Volley127
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        This.

      2. WesMantooth
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        For sure! Allready got Arnie though.

        Salah-Dilva-Arnie-?-?

  5. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Mustafi to Burnley defended for a bit?

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not for a hit.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Overthinking. 🙂

    3. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why sell Mustafi?

    4. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For a bit yes
      For a hit no.

  6. Reckoner
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Opinions needed!

    Would swap Willian for Zaha for a -4 hit? (Would play instead of Swansey's Fernandez)

    THANK YOU!

    1. Fresh_From_Desh
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I would

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd play fernandez.

    3. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Fernandez

    4. Reckoner
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks ppl; I think I'm not taking any hits for the last round; I'm out of luck last couple of rounds, so I could perhaps just make it worse:)

      Cheers and good luck all!

  7. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Son to Zaha for free?
    Yes or not worth it.

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I would.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm thinking about bringing Son in.

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Just concerned he not start.

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't but some have

  8. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    1 FT and 3.0 ITB. Best option for a -4 hit?

    A - Jesus & Wilian > Kane & Zaha
    B - Jesus & Willian > Kane & Arnie
    C - Vardy & Willian > Kane and Mili
    Other?

    Ryan
    Alonso - Lowton - Naughton - Long
    Eriksen - Son - Sterling - Willian
    Jesus - Vardy

    DDG - GroB - Morgan - Barnes

    1. BellyKlopp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C

  9. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Zaha or Arnie as my Lingard replacement?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Toss of a coin decision.

  10. Meltens
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I have both Son and David Silva. Chance of both starting? I’ve got a great bench but also have Bavies and Monreal so likely to need it.

  11. ILOVEBAPS
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Get VVD or TAA?

    And I'm not talking about diseases.

    1. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      V

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      vvd

    3. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vvd. Brighton awful in the air.

    4. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vvd

  12. Ruud van Kane
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would you play Tadic over Silva today? Already got Sterling and Jesus

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no

  13. 111SWFC111
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts appreciated:

    A) Eriksen & Sane > Salah & Martial for -4

    B) Barnes to Ayew for free

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      b

  14. ameenkw
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Ddg (Ryan)
    Alonso / verto / naughton (Lowton/tarkaowski)
    Sterling / son / lingard / willian / arnauto
    Kane / Jesus (Barnes)
    1 ft n 0.2 itb

    A) son + willian -> Salah + mcarthur (-4)
    B) Willian -> zaha n no Salah

    Which looks better

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

  15. Ligdon
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kenedy, Pogba and Jesus to Salah, Martial and crouch for -8 ?

  16. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which two to play?

    A) Smalling
    B) Shaq
    C) Townsend
    D) Monreal

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      bc

    2. Ligdon
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Bc

    3. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B C

  17. alittlebitoffunman
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    Maguire, Yedlin, Lejeune, VVD (Klavan)
    Salah, Sterling, Arnautovic, Lingard, Eriksen
    Jesus (Ayew, Barnes)

    GTG? or should I play Ayew ? Instead of who ?

    Captain Salah, Jesus ?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      DDG is out. Have u a spare keeper?
      Play JAyew over both of your Newc defenders or Maguire!

      1. alittlebitoffunman
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        thanks for your anwser...! Yeah I've got Lossl...! But are you sure DDG isn't going to play ?
        U sure I should take off my defenders ? is ayew going to score ? haha, every time I make these decisions not to stick with my former players, I get it wrong... :p haha thanks anyway, and I was keen on playing Lossl anyway so that's cool... 🙂

        1. alittlebitoffunman
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          should i keep lossl on the bench, in case ddg is playing ?

  18. Den
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Has the Liverpool team been leaked anywhere yet, or is it likely to be?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      See previous page

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No and no. The mole has been whacked.

  19. Alan_T
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I really wanna captain Kane, but 2nd & 3rd are close behind me with only Salah.

    Hmmmm.

  20. LewanGOALski
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who to start:

    A) Vardy (tot)
    or
    B) Gudmundsson (BOU)

    ??

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy like big matches and can score anytime. But I'm sticking with Gudmunsson

  21. Disco Stu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play Gudmunsson or Jordan Ayew?

    1. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ayew serious

  22. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg? No hits taken.

    Fabianski
    Bellerin - Vertonghen - Naughton
    Sterling - Eriksen - Salah (C) - Sané
    Pérez - Kane - Ayew

    (Tadic, Cedric, Smalling)

  23. hspin
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone got any news on Austin start or not? 😐 If hes not i affects my transfere

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No info

  24. fpl-newbie
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Should I sell Pogba for -4? For Zaha? Iwobi? Sane?
    I am second in my league, 4 points behind.

    1. HonestBlatter
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What are the odds him to start? Might get a haul if Jose allows...

  25. Lukakuna
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) Barnes* > Ayew
    B) King > McArthur
    C) DDG A.King > Adrian Zaha (-4)

    *DDG / Ryan
    Alonso / Vert / Lowton / Dunk / Morgan
    Salah / Mahrez / Son / King / Gudmund
    Kane / Jesus / *Barnes
    1FT 1.1 ITB

  26. Alli
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    DDG - Hennessey
    Davies - Smalling - Tarkowski - Lowton - Kiko
    Sterling - D.Silva - Salah - Arnautovic - Milivojevic
    Kane - Jesus - J. Ayew

    1 FT - 0.2 ITB

    A. Smalling -> VVD
    B. D.Silva, Smalling -> Zaha, VVD (-4)

  27. alittlebitoffunman
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    given Arsenal's away form, and man utd's poor form these days, should I play DDG or Lossl...? Thanks...! 🙂

  28. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any transfer worth a -4 here? 0,6mil itb
    Ryan
    Vert Lowton Long
    Salah Sterling Son Zaha
    Kane Jesus Barnes

    DDG Smalling Chilwell L.Cook

  29. Rash
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any info that David silva is back today?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Came back via Ryanair flight.

      Will surely start

      1. Rash
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I hope so as I think could be a great differential

  30. balint84
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    with Valencia, Morgan, Naughton, Dunk, Chilwell
    would you bring someone with -4?