Opinion
27 August 2018 2215 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
Share:

Our panel of Fantasy Premier League managers are back to answer more questions, this time ahead of Gameweek 4.

We may have one Gameweek 3 match left to play, with Manchester United hosting Tottenham Hotspur in Monday Night Football, but there are still plenty of talking points.

That includes who managers should replace the suspended Richarlison (£6.7m) with, the dilemma of the Manchester City midfield and whether or not we should be looking to differentials yet.

Once again, we had an overwhelming response to our request for questions. Unfortunately, we can only answer a handful each week but keep your queries coming in for the rest of the season.

Here’s a reminder of who is on the panel for your Gameweek 4 Question Time:

Chief #FPL Manager – This man has finished inside the top one percent six times in his career as a Fantasy manager and is one of the biggest influencers in the FPL Twitter-sphere.

Ben McNair – Australian FPL manager Ben has four finishes inside the top 5,000 so far and is an expert in all things metrics-related.

Az – Finished in the top 1,000 last season and is a regular on the ScoutCast and Scout Picks article.

QUESTION ONE – CHIEF

Should I sell Richarlison for the two Gameweeks he’s suspended or bench him? And if I sell him, which players are the best replacement options?

Chief: “I think it makes sense to sell Richarlison before Gameweek 4, rather than benching him. His straight red card on Saturday means that he’s due to receive a three-game ban, which means he won’t be available for Premier League selection until 23rd September.

“I have no doubt that his price will drop more than once over the next fortnight as FPL managers look to fill a key attacking void in their teams.

“In terms of a replacement, two names spring to mind.

Roberto Pereyra is viable as he has scored three goals in three matches but he has some tricky upcoming matches.

“With that said, the fixture run seems more generous for Theo Walcott and he’s also racked up three attacking Fantasy returns, despite having created fewer chances and having fewer shots on goal than the Watford man since Gameweek 1.”

QUESTION TWO – BEN MCNAIR

Is it worth getting in players who have really low ownership to try and make up lost points over first three weeks? What do you look for with these poorly owned players? Do you take risk before form and favourable fixtures?

Ben: “Ignore ownership. Ignore overall ownership. Ignore ownership in your forum/social media bubble. Whatever deficit you could be facing after three Gameweeks is easily recoverable over the remaining 35. Get the players you think will score the most points. Other managers will make mistakes. The ‘template’ will change over time. Play like you’re in front.

“When considering the rank impact of a ‘differential’ relative to a ‘template player’ with slightly higher expected points, think of a bell curve with an average just to the left of zero. Don’t let your eyes be lit up by the shiny area under the curve to the right of zero, which represents a lower-than-50% chance of a ranking boost, without sober recognition of the larger area to the left of zero, which represents a greater-than-50% chance of a ranking tumble. This also makes for great chat at dinner parties.

“Differentials can be fun, but, if you’re interested in results alone, I don’t think there’s much of a case for getting them until after Gameweek 30. Make your peace with having highly-owned heavy hitters, because if you don’t have the leader of the captain poll in most weeks, you’re in for a train wreck of a season.”

QUESTION THREE – AZ

Last year it was worth having a Man City midfielder even if they missed the odd game. Given Guardiola’s diversity of choice, is it best, in fact, to avoid completely and go for two at the back with Aguero up-front?

Az: “For the first part of this question, I really don’t think we have the wealth of options that it would seem from the City midfield.

“Mahrez and Sane are both premium priced players who do not currently have the backing of Pep, so are automatically out, as while we could potentially handle a premium priced City player who misses the odd game, nothing from the start of the season suggests that these two will be first XIers anytime soon.

“That leaves Sterling and the two Silvas as our main considerations.

“Sterling seems likely to play most games, but his price tag puts me off hugely and, while I think he has a part to play in our seasons, other premium-priced options (Salah, Hazard, Mané, Aguero) are more appealing.

“Bernardo Silva seems to be a victim of his own versatility, we never quite know where he is going to play but for 7.6, I think you can make a case for including him, just don’t expect to see him set the world alight.

“I think Peps favourite, David Silva, seems a fantastic option though, and for 8.5 I think he could be a set and forget in your midfield as he seems likely to play most games and showed against Huddersfield that he can run the show and pull all the strings in De Bruynes absence.

“I think you can also make a case for considering Gündogan at 5.5. He may not be a guaranteed starter but when he does play, does take set pieces and does have a good eye for goal. For the price, he may be worth the risk.

“I am not personally a fan of doubling up at the back with City, 5.5 just seems too much to spend on a goalkeeper, especially when you consider how well the premium priced defenders are scoring.

“Ederson has barely any chance of getting any bonus, makes few saves and I do wonder about City’s clean sheet potential with their chopping and changing of the backline.

“A cheap goalkeeper and a premium defender (such as Alonso) wins out over Ederson and a sub £6.0m defender for me.

“An expensive keeper also leaves you quite inflexible, and I feel like FPL is in total flux at the moment, so being able to change with the times is so important and every million is so valuable.”

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the 2018/19 campaign are now available for the price of £15.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 130+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

CLICK HERE TO BECOME A FANTASY FOOTBALL SCOUT MEMBER

2,215 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. NeverGunOwen
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    downgrade Gray
    upgrade Milner

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Ok

      1. Stockport Hatter
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        😀

  2. Bigler
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Shaw gonna start today?

    1. J T
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Unshaw

    2. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      He ain't a Shaw thing

  3. MTPockets
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Someone asked earlier but where are fpl points, ppg, ppm stats in member area?
    Can't find them.

  4. leocarter27
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Afternoon all. Thoughts on this and ideas going forward please?

    1FT 0.5 ITB

    De Gea / Stek

    Mendy Alonso Robertson AWB /4m

    Salah B.Silva Jota / Stephens Rich*

    Aguero Zaha Arnie

    Cheers

  5. Afghanistanislas
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which would you do:
    A) Richarlison > Walcott
    B) Richarlison and Mane > Fraser and Hazard (-4)

    1. NeverGunOwen
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. MG13
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      a

  6. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    What is Joe's Twitter account?

    1. Afghanistanislas
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      twitter.com/FFScout_Joe

  7. Scotty B
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Just mucking about with my team and realised I can WC from this...

    De Gea
    Coleman AWB VVD Mendy
    Walcott Salah Silva Mane
    King Aguero

    Boruc Schneiderlin Kamara Cook

    To this and still have 0.3 ITB

    Pickford
    TAA Mendy Alonso
    Walcott Mane Silva Hazard
    Tosun Aguero Zaha

    Boruc AWB Stephens Cook

    Probably won't do it this week but worth bearing in mind for IB after this weekend? That 0.3 should cover any rises also I'd have thought?

    1. Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      mitrovic for tosun

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Will keep an eye on both this week but looks like Tosun has much better fixtures and would be good to get him as he hits form

    2. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Ouch losing Salah

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah I'm not convinced on that move tbh

    3. Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Personally wouldn’t ditch Salah but it could pay off. My wc on this at the moment:-

      Fabianski
      Wan-Bissaka Robertson Mendy Alonso
      Salah Hazard Walcott Maddison
      Aguero Zaha

      Hamer Ings Guendouzi Bennett

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah that looks good to be honest.
        Is a 4.5 mid to Neves worth the upgrade?

        1. Stockport Hatter
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Yes I think Neves could be worth the investment mate.

    4. the snazzy viking
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

    5. Pieterke30
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      To add to the discussion I have WCd and hesitating between A and B...

      Ederson, Hamer
      Alonso, Mendy, WB, Bennett, xx
      Hazard, Walcott, Kanté, xx, xx
      Aguero, Zaha, Mitrovic

      A. Pereira, Salah, Neves (or other 5.3 mid max)

      B. Robertson, Mané, Mkhitaryan

      C. Revamp it all by going for two 4.5 GKs instead of Ederson, maybe downgrade the « 5.3 max mid » spot to a 4.5 mid (bench fodder), which would allow me to go for Salah AND Robertson. Just unsure if having Pool expensive def is worth it with their fixtures. Will score goals but CS less likely

  8. Van Klinkert Delarosa
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Site broke down? Can't open the member area.

    Fatal error: Call to a member function prepare() on a non-object in /home/sites/members/haplo-framework/db/haplo-db.inc.php on line 122

    1. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Looks like it is but looking into a fix right now 🙂

  9. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Members area isn’t working for me, coming up with some fatal error message, anyone else have this?

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      it's been on the shisha with Kun

  10. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts on this WC draft? First one I like without Salah:

    Hennesy • Hamer
    Alonso • Mendy • Cedric • Boly • Wan B
    Alli • Mane • Mkhy • Walcott • Hazard
    Aguero • Zaha • Kamara

    Hoping it has good balance

    1. mundian
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Need pool defender.

  11. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Members area not working for me

    1. Salah'd n Sauce
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Is that because you aren't a member ? 😐

      1. Defcons are for Kinnear
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        😉

  12. One for All
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Salah or Aguero for captain this week?

    1. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Kun

      1. One for All
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Newcastle looked quite good at the back against Chelsea

        1. One for All
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Got Hazard aswell but could be risky lol

        2. Sponge-worthy
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Aguero might bang in five goals again.

          1. One for All
            • 7 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            I'll go for Aguero he seems on fire was unlucky not to score last game, thanks guys

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Kun v Newcastle is a banker, so him

      1. The Head-Ake
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Newcastle gonna park it never before. Sarriball is pretty to Pep's playing method and may not work

        1. One for All
          • 7 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          lol gonna flip a coin and decide

  13. Fantasy Gold
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Man Utd v Spurs predictions?

    1. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Eriksen brace.

    2. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      1-1 with no Kane or Eriksen points 😀

      1. Chandler Bing
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        This

    3. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Rained off by Jose’s tears...

    4. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      1-1

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Let me clarify;

        Not what you want to happen but what you think will happen with no fpl bias 😉

        1. Jafooli
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Rained off by Jose’s tears.....

          1. Fantasy Gold
            • 12 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            lol

    5. Azathoth
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      1-0 just like the previous 3 years.

  14. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    My squad for next week:

    Fabianski
    Mendy, Alonso,Robbo, WB
    Salah, Wally, Mkhi, Bilva
    Kun(C), Arnie*

    Foster, King, Cairney*, Boly

    My dilemma is to play:

    A) WanBisaka (SOU)
    B) King (che)

    I know that it is better to play with striker but I don't think that Bou can score against Chelsea. Other concern is Arnie's injury. If out then will sell for Mitro or Zaha for a hit (FT spent to do Richa to Wally).

    Opinions?

    1. farmerfat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I would start WB over king this week, also think that if you going to get rid of Arnie, Mitrovic is better than Zaha with the upcoming fixtures

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Ok, thanks.

    2. Peps Pups
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      im playing WanBisaka, good chance of attacking returns the way he playing

  15. Peps Pups
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Is it worth holding onto both Aguero and Aubameyang for the next few GW's, with so many other cheaper alternatives available that are actually getting god returns?

    1. J T
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Kun yes Auba maybe not

  16. Pieterke30
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    WC team. A or B?

    Ederson, Hamer
    Alonso, Mendy, WB, Bennett, xx
    Hazard, Walcott, Kanté, xx, xx
    Aguero, Zaha, Mitrovic

    A. Pereira, Salah, Neves (or other 5.3 mid max)

    B. Robertson, Mané, Mkhitaryan

    So... loose Salah or Robertson?
    Thanks lads

    1. Peps Pups
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      B

  17. Bielsa's Bucket
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Think members is down

      1. Bielsa's Bucket
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers G-Whizz

  18. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Member not working, been weeks now 🙁

    1. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Mine stopped working 2 years ago

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Email Jonty....

    2. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I'm fine.

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Humble brag

    3. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Try Viagra?

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        Yeah, but still won’t load...

        1. G-Whizz
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          Do you mean the Members section?
          https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/18754536

          1. Jafooli
            • 14 Years
            7 years, 11 months ago

            No, you were right first time....my member 😀

  19. Threat Level Midnight
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Alisson-Stekelnberg
    Mendy-Roberts-Shaw-Wan Biss-Peltier
    Pogba-Richarl-Mane-Neves-Mhky
    Auba-Aguero-Zaha

    3-4-3 up to this point but now debating if a 4-3-3 is most beneficial seeing Richarl is out for a month. Would like to save FT and just bench him for a week.

    Thought on best option...?

  20. Dubai FC
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Already using my FT swapping out Rich for mkhiy or wally (but probably mkhiy) do I need to take a -4 and get mitrovic for Arnie as well because his injury or just bench and hold?

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Wait for Arnie news in the press conferences, if he's out then take the hit.

  21. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Please assist,

    played WC this week, happy with defense and attack.
    My question is to either go with a) 4.5 keeper and Hamer (4.0) with a midfield of Mkhi Milner Salah Fraser and Gray or b) two 4.5 keepers with a midfield of Salah Milner Walcott Fraser and Iwobi ( I have Auba Kun Mitrovic upfront)

    1. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      A

  22. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Which pair is better for the upcoming gameweek?
    1)DANIELS + JIMENEZ
    2)BOLY + KING
    P.s. I'm afraid that Diego Rico will replace Daniels

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      2) looks best of those

  23. jia you
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Members area is down (seemingly), I want my £12.50 back!

  24. Hargo
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    DDG Hamer
    Robertson Mendy Luiz PVA Bednarek
    Salah Mane Mahrez Fraser Stephens
    Aguero Ings Kamara

    1FT 0.4ITB

    Any suggestions? Mahrez needs to go I guess.

  25. Pachi
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Why no love for maddison here? I think he could be a good replacement for richarlison for at least 2-3 games

    1. Peps Pups
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      No Vardy hampers their attack potential

  26. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Does:

    A) Mhki Walcott/Pedro Mitrovic (Stephens)

    look better than

    B) Mhki Walcott/Pedro Gundogan (Kamara) + 1.0

    or

    C) DSilva Walcott/Pedro (Stephens Kamara) + 0.6, play AWB

    1. FPL Scoop
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I have Auba and Aguero

  27. hjalmarekdal
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Play one:
    A) Kante (BOU)
    B) WanBiss (SOU)

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Do you want 2 points or 9?

  28. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    This might be the hardest season in recent years in terms of climbing ranks. A lot of very good managers have started out hot. Usually, the first three weeks the template gets off to a decent but modest start. This year, the big guns have come out and started firing right away. The casual favorites have mostly failed so a lot of the top managers have actually taken strong players.

    The guy top of my ML has a defense of Ederson, Hamer, Mendy, Alonso, Robbo, AWB, 4.0m and is sitting in the top 1k.

    I know, long season and all that, but moving up those ranks could be really difficult.

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah, best to just quit

    2. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      if that guy just quit the game right now, become a casual, you wont have a chance to catch him til the end lol
      but if he keeps playings and doing knee jerk moves, you still can win it

  29. Fantasy Gold
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Has anybody mentioned that the members area is down?

    1. jia you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Is it down? What the hell!!

  30. el polako
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 11 months ago

    Is it silly not to captain Salah only beacasue its a early kick off ?

    Oh I also own Aguero.

    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    2. jia you
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

      Aguero and Hazard look better picks this week imo

    3. jumpinjeffflash
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 11 months ago

      I've found the early Saturday games to be a bit meh - apart from when Liverpool plays in them! Their 5-4 epic versus Norwich being one such highlight.

      LEI-LIV finished 3-2 last season and a similar scoreline isn't out of the question this time around.

      1. el polako
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 11 months ago

        I just got really bad memories when it comes to early kick off captains.

        Having Aguero at home may be just enough to forget about Salab for one week.

        1. jumpinjeffflash
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 11 months ago

          I know what you mean!

          Although I do remember a season or two back, Arsenal hosted Hull in the early Saturday game and I decided to not captain Sanchez - that didn't go so well, because he scored twice (although one was handball and the other was a penalty).

          I must admit though, I'm struggling for other examples like the one above.

          It's funny how the timing of games really plays on the mind, isn't it! I wish it didn't :-/