Spot the Differential
23 November 2018 492 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
Share:

With the Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 13 deadline less than 24 hours away, we examine the cases of three overlooked FPL assets in our regular Friday feature.

Ivan Cavaleiro (£5.2m)

FPL ownership: 0.2%

While the likes of Matt Doherty (£4.9m), Raul Jimenez (£5.8m) and Rui Patricio (£4.6m) are – understandably – the most popular Fantasy options in this Wolves squad ahead of an appealing double-header against Huddersfield Town and Cardiff City, those seeking a differential from Nuno Espirito Santo’s side or wanting to avoid a defensive double-up may consider a short-term punt on Ivan Cavaleiro.

While Helder Costa (£4.9m) has yet to register an attacking return this season, Cavaleiro has two goals in less than a quarter of the time that his countryman has played on the opposite flank – including the opening strike in the 1-1 draw with Arsenal a fortnight ago.

Cavaleiro’s rate of chances and penalty box touches is better than that of Costa’s this season, too.

Huddersfield Town will be without the sidelined Chris Lowe (£4.4m) at right wing-back this weekend, while the injury to Jonny (£4.5m) might prove to be beneficial to Cavaleiro’s cause: the right-footed Spanish defender not offering the same touchline-hugging width that natural left-footer Ruben Vinagre (£4.3m) hopefully will in his absence.

Vinagre playing wider than Jonny, who had a tendency to drift infield, has the potential to push Cavaleiro inside and into more dangerous positions in the opposition area.

A concern about Cavaleiro is his pitch-time, however, with the midfielder having been substituted on the hour in his first two starts of the season in Gameweeks 11 and 12.

Leroy Sane (£9.2m)

FPL ownership: 4.5%

The news that Benjamin Mendy (£6.3m) is set to miss 10-12 weeks of the season with a knee injury is a major blow to Manchester City, but it could be a boon to Leroy Sane‘s chances of featuring more prominently for the league champions over the coming weeks.

Any punt on a City midfielder is laced with risk, such is Pep Guardiola’s predilection for rotating his midfield assets.

Sane started all three of the Premier League fixtures that the French left-back missed earlier this season, however, and made the starting XI in 25 of the 28 Mendy-less matches in which he himself was not injured in 2017/18.

With Kyle Walker (£6.5m) tucking inside more this campaign rather than bombing forward from right-back, the need for width down the left flank is something Guardiola has stressed on several occasions this season and last.

Fabian Delph (£5.3m) certainly can’t offer the same attacking threat as Mendy from left-back, while Oleksandr Zinchenko (£4.8m) and Danilo (£5.1m) are also limited in that regard.

While the summer acquisition of Riyad Mahrez (£8.6m) was a blow to Sane’s security of starts, it could be that the German winger becomes more of a regular (if not permanent) feature in City’s starting XI during Mendy’s prolonged absence.

Certainly when Sane does start, he delivers: in five league starts this season, he has posted attacking returns in all of them (three goals, four assists).

Michael Keane (£5.0m)

FPL ownership: 3.2%

While Lucas Digne (£4.8m) has attracted plenty of interest over the last few weeks, Everton’s towering centre-half is another viable route into this ever-improving Toffees backline.

Michael Keane has three attacking returns to his name (one goal, two assists) already this season, while Matt Doherty and Marcos Alonso (£7.1m) are the only FPL defenders to have registered more attempts on goal.

All of Keane’s efforts have been from inside the opposition box and every one of them came from his head, with all but one attempt on goal stemming from a set play.

Everton have created more chances from dead-ball situations than any other Premier League club this season.

The Toffees could easily rack up a clean sheet in two of their next three games too, with Cardiff and Newcastle having scored fewer goals away from home than all other sides in the division.

Only two clubs have conceded fewer efforts on target and shots in the box in home fixtures than Everton this season.

Become a Member and access our data

Memberships for the 2018/19 campaign are now available for the price of just £15.

Join now to get the following:

  • Plot your transfer strategies using the fully interactive Season Ticker.
  • Get projections for every Premier League player provided by the Rate My Team statistical model.
  • Use Rate My Team throughout the season to guide your selections and transfers.
  • Get access to over 130+ exclusive members articles over the season.
  • Analyse our OPTA-powered statistic tables specifically tailored for Fantasy Football Managers.
  • Use our exclusive tool to build custom stats tables from over 100 OPTA player and team stats.
  • View heatmaps and expected goals data for every player.
  • Use our powerful comparison tool to analyse players head-to-head.

CLICK HERE TO BECOME A FANTASY FOOTBALL SCOUT MEMBER

492 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. AMP
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Hi

    anyone here on triple Wolves defence?

    I am playing Patricio, Doh and Bennet !!!
    Benching Alonso instead one of them....

    Pls tell me I am right... or too much risk?

    1. YoungPretender
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Spread the risk, start Alonso instead of Bennett

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Bench Bennett, play Alonso

      1. zotter
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        This deffo

    3. Demel
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Definitely play Alonso over Bennett. The other two are fine to start.

      1. AMP
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Jeez...

        thank you guys

        I was actually with Alonso for 2 weeks and then suddenly decided ..hmm may be

  2. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one;

    A) Fraser (ARS)
    B) Maddison (bha)
    C) Alonso (tot)
    D) Arnie (MCI)

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Arnie.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      B

    3. Bob McMayday
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      B

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    With Mendy, Ings and now Robbo as a doubt, I am quite thin this GW.

    Is it worth Mendy >> Coleman/Keane for a -4?
    0.2ITB so can’t do Ings > Jiménez.

    Patricio
    Alonso • Robertson • Mendy*
    Salah(vc) • Hazard • Richarlison • Kenedy
    Aguero(C) • Arnautovic • Ings*
    (Hamer / Bennett / Cairney / AWB)

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      -4 absolutely no need.Cairney could be a decent differential vs Southampton

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Ings might come on for the last 15mins and then I’ll just get Bennett and WB off the bench for Robbo and Mendy

  4. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Any real news on Wan Bissaka this week?

  5. Deece
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    TAA or Gomez ?

    For this week and going forward.

    1. Deece
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      TAA more explosive but Gomez more nailed?

      1. zotter
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        This.

  6. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Current def is Alonso *Mendy Doherty Balbuena WB, who would you get for next few fixtures in place of Mendy?

    Considering Digne, Laporte, VVD and Robbo.

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Robbo

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      The cheapest one

  7. davysteen
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Martial or F Anderson to replace Shaq?

    1. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Martial

  8. JasonG123
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Why are so many going for Digne over TAA?

    1. Demel
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I haven't got a clue. TAA looks a clearly better option to me.

    2. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Another case of few putting him forward and lots of sheep following.

    3. zotter
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      TAA isn’t that nailed imo

    4. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Fixture

  9. Coys96
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Bottomed:

    On a free hit.. GTG?

    Picky
    Smalling Digne Doherty
    Sterling Salah Richarlison Martial
    Jimenez Agüero Lacazette

    Don't worry about the bench 😀

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Team is good but don't see how the free hit would be worth it.. many will have a similar team

  10. asdf_1
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    bring in richarlison or martial?

    1. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I think Richarlison, you know what Mourinho's like.. 😀

    2. Salalalalah
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Richa season keeper and martial in form, maybe martial short-term and then switch

    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Rich

    4. Bob McMayday
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Rich easy

    5. melvinmbabazi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Martial

  11. Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Is it worth to bring in martial for brooks or -4?
    No other bou or manu coverage

    1. Paulinho14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      don't think so

      1. Salalalalah
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        with bou fixtures, don't think martial will outscore him by 4 in few weeks? Either will be playing each week

  12. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Good morale & confidence booster for Martial ahead of tomorrow

    https://www.football365.com/news/mourinho-names-four-man-utd-players-who-lack-maturity

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      The only thing stopping Martial from being essential is Mourinho

      1. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Agree

        1. camarozz
          • 11 Years
          7 years, 3 months ago

          Maybe I should reconsider Maddison ➡️ Martial move and save FT.

    2. Ruth_NZ
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Mourinho is challenging him to focus rather than putting his arm around him. And seeing that Mourinho sees the players every day and we don't then who is to say he isn't right to do so. 😕

      1. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Any manager worth his salt challenges his players. It takes a special kind of ego to publicly call them out as lacking maturity - it achieves nothing. It’s all about Mourinho, we know this by now.

  13. Paulinho14
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    what to do with Maddison and Trippier? 1,4 ITB

    Already used my FT on Mendy. So every additional transfer would be a -4

    1. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Leave both.

  14. Coys96
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    1) Best GK option this GW

    2) Best defender (got Doherty and Digne)

    3) Best 3rd striker (got Kun and Jimenez)

    Any help much appreciated

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Pickford

      Walker

      Lacazzete

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Patricio

      What price range? For premium I still like Alonso..

      Arnie long term

    3. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Damn sorry guys, meant for this GW for all 3

    4. Paulinho14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      1)Pickford
      2)Robertson/TAA/Alonso
      3)tend to say Mitrovic

      1. Coys96
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks!

  15. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    G2G?
    Patricio (Button)
    Robertson Alonso Doherty TAA(AWB)
    Sterling Hazard Mane Ri(C)harlison Fraser
    Wilson (Arnie)(Kamara)
    Would you play Arnie ahead of Fraser/TAA?

    1. Paulinho14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      good to go as it is

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Nope.gtg

    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Cheers both 🙂

  16. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Any news on AWB?

    If he isn't fit, I don't have any bench this GW. 🙁

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      No news but Ben dinnery tweeted that he is in training.No news means good news

      1. pundit of punts
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers!

  17. C'mon the Fylde
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    One last call.
    Am I GTG or is there a change needed, here?

    Patricio
    Alonso Dunk Robertson TAA
    Martial Sterling Salah(c) Hazard
    Vokes Wilson

    Ryan, Bennett, Billing, Arnautovic

  18. Eat my goal!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Who's everyone captianing then?

    1. Coys96
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Rich

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Richarlison

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Doherty

      1. C'mon the Fylde
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Salah

    4. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Kun

    5. Bob McMayday
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Aguero probably

    6. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A right old bag of Revels!

  19. Coys96
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    1) Best GK this GW

    2) Best defender this GW (asides from Digne and Doherty)

    3) Best 3rd striker this GW (asides from Kun and Jimenez)

  20. alexl1989
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Sterling or Rich for captain?

  21. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Would you bench Ings for Cairney? Thanks

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Ings is a major doubt apparently, but maybe worth starting anyway with Cairney coming off the bench?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah but he might be on the bench and play the last 10 :s

  22. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Thoughts on Coleman as a prospect?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      See previous page. I like 🙂

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Oh thanks.

  23. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Folks

    Mulling over a few transfer options, 1FT, 2m ITB. Any thoughts appreciated. I fancy C but aware of the risks...

    A - Fraser to Rich
    B - Fraser to Martial
    C - Siggy to Sane
    D - Mitro to Jiminez

    Currently lining up with

    Pat
    Robbo Alonso Doherty
    Salah Sterling Siggy Fraser
    Mitro Arnie Wilson

    McCarthy WanB Trippier Billing

    Cheers!

    1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      A .In bcd prefer the former over the latter

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Ok thanks. Means an Everton double but I guess I’m in trouble if Rich lives up to the hype and I don’t have.

  24. columbo
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Is Shaqiri likely to start do we think?
    Easy move to Richarlison but could bank it and hope Shaq starts.. Cheers!

    1. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      hes quite likely to start but i think richarlison is a far better option this week

    2. Bob McMayday
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I'm hoping so. Decided to hold so if he can nail down a regular spot so I can get rid of Salah easily and spread the funds. Think when a player is in form there should be no reason to drop him but in such a talented team it doesn't always work that way.

  25. KGFC
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Any clue how accurate are Guardian's team line-up predictions? They are showing Salah doesn't start 😮

    https://www.theguardian.com/football/2018/nov/23/watford-liverpool-match-preview

    1. ZimZalabim
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      i think they have the worst prediction record of any one

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      It's absolutel nonsense

    3. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Surely can’t be true

    4. Flaming Flamingo
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      I'd use the "team news" section on this site instead. Much more reliable.

    5. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Pretty inaccurate. See for example Jamie Jackson and Aguero being dropped.....

      1. Eddie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 3 months ago

        Aguero's dropped?!! 😉

    6. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Top of last page.

  26. Tsparkes10
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Gtg? Stuck on captain... hmmm

    Fab
    Alonso VVD Doherty
    Fraser Salah Haz Rich
    Aguero Jimenez Vardy

    (Speroni, Dunk, AWB, Diagana)

  27. Coys96
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Help!

    1) Best GK this GW

    2) Best defender this GW (asides from Digne and Doherty)

    3) Best 3rd striker this GW (asides from Kun and Jimenez

  28. Niho992
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Salah or Sterling for C ?
    I'm thinking about Lacazete too. Richarlison is trap i have feeling.

  29. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Really stuck on what to do....2 FT, 0 ITB. WC still intact. Don't like double bou for upcoming fixtures.

    A) Wilson + Diop -> Jimenez + Digne
    B) Salah + Fraser -> Sterling + Martial
    C) Foster -> Fab
    D) Wilson -> Jimenez
    E) nothing?!?
    F) Other? Suggestion?

    Patricio / (Foster)
    Alonso / Robertson / Doherty / (Diop) / (Wan-B)
    Salah / Hazard / Richarlison / Gundmunssen / (Fraser)
    Aguero / Arnie / Wilson

  30. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 3 months ago

    Hazard captain a very interesting prospect indeed.

    Spurs have defensive injures and Hazard does great with the bonus.

    1. Ruth_NZ
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 3 months ago

      Interviewed on Chelsea TV he said "I will score a goal, maybe two against Spurs". Informed by the interviewer that he needs 3 goals to make it 100 for Chelsea he said "OK, a hat-trick then". Doesn't mean anything of course but he looks in fine fettle anyway. 🙂