Spot the Differential
21 February 2019 832 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
Share:

This regular article puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or under in Fantasy Premier League.

There is, of course, a smaller pool of players to draw from this week as we ready ourselves for Blank Gameweek 27 – the deadline for which is an earlier-than-normal Friday evening at 18:45 GMT.

With just 12 Gameweeks of 2018/19 to go, we’re heading towards the time of the season when those Fantasy managers who are chasing a sizeable mini-league deficit may have to consider options from outside the “template” if they are to make ground on rivals ahead of them.

All of our selections not only enjoy excellent fixtures in Gameweek 27 but have appealing matches beyond this weekend, with two of our picks in action in Blank Gameweek 31.

James Maddison (£6.6m)

FPL ownership: 4.3%

There was a point earlier this season when James Maddison (£6.6m) was the Fantasy community’s darling, a mid-price midfield gem whose impressive form and semi-regular attacking returns took his FPL ownership beyond the one-million mark.

Gameweek 26 saw Maddison’s ownership fall to its lowest since early September, however, with the Leicester midfielder now in differential country after extending his goalless run to ten league matches in the 3-1 defeat to Spurs.

Leicester’s forthcoming run of matches is – according to our Season Ticker – the best in the division over the coming nine Gameweeks, with the Foxes not meeting any of the “big six” again until the end of April.

Maddison’s fixtures certainly appeal even if his form doesn’t but the underlying statistics suggest the former Norwich star is long overdue some attacking returns: no FPL midfielder has created more chances over the last eight Gameweeks, while Maddison sits joint-sixth for attempts on goal among players in his position during that time (only five premium midfielders priced at £8.8m and up can better his shot count).

A lack of involvement in many “big chances” tempers his appeal but there is a sense among Leicester fans that the capture of Youri Tielemans (£6.0m) could prove to be a significant one to the Foxes’ attacking prospects.

The box-to-box midfielder was excellent against Spurs in Gameweek 26 and there were some promising signs that both he and Maddison could dovetail nicely together in the 4-3-3/4-1-4-1 that Puel employed at Wembley.

Tielemans himself popped up in a couple of encouraging positions but it was Maddison who appeared unleashed by the Belgian’s arrival and composed distribution in midfield, with Tielemans’ ability to pick a difficult pass in behind opposition defences boding well for the likes of Maddison and Harvey Barnes (£5.5m) ahead of him.

DeAndre Yedlin (£4.5m)

FPL ownership: 1.0%

If we are to take “differential” to mean a player owned by fewer than 5% of FPL managers, then every single member of the Newcastle United squad is just that.

There are plenty of names on the Magpies’ roster who perhaps deserve their cases to be heard this week and, judging by the selections of our Scout Squad panel, the likes of Martin Dubravka (£5.0m) and Fabian Schar (£4.6m) may get the nod when the Scout Picks article is put together on Friday.

Salomon Rondon (£5.8m), United’s most-owned player and the subject of over 50,000 transfers in FPL ahead of the Gameweek 27 deadline, is another stand-out candidate.

Goal-scoring has been an issue for Newcastle this season and, although the capture of Miguel Almiron (£6.0m) could prove to be a help on that front, it is arguably their defence that appeals most ahead of their forthcoming fixture run.

Wolves are the only club outside of the “big six” who have conceded fewer goals than Newcastle this season, with Rafael Benitez’s side having banked more clean sheets and shipped fewer goals than the likes of Manchester United, Arsenal and Everton.

But for a couple of uncharacteristic late errors from Dubravka against Spurs and Wolves in the last two Gameweeks, the Magpies’ shut-out count would be more impressive still.

DeAndre Yedlin (£4.5m), ironically, is perhaps Newcastle’s weakest link from a defensive perspective. Much like Marcos Alonso (£6.5m) is/was at Chelsea, though, a positionally suspect full-back can still appeal from a Fantasy perspective.

In the coming weeks and months, Yedlin will likely have to do much less defending than he has been forced to endure during the Magpies’ recent tricky run.

Newcastle sit top of our Season Ticker for the rest of 2018/19 and start off this favourable run with a home match against the division’s lowest scorers in Huddersfield Town on Saturday.

Yedlin has been playing in a more advanced role from around Gameweek 13 onwards, when Benitez adopted a wing-back system and largely stuck with it.

Over that time, Yedlin has created the joint-fifth-highest number of opportunities (albeit none of them “big chances”) among FPL defenders.

While Newcastle are well-stocked for centre-halves and Benitez could, if he wanted to, rotate in that department, the right wing-back slot is effectively Yedlin’s alone, with Javier Manquillo (£4.3m) a decidedly inferior option despite the American’s recent struggles.

Of the 24 league matches he has been available for this season, Yedlin has only failed to start one of them.

Callum Paterson (£5.0m)

FPL ownership: 0.8%

While he has lost his “out of position” tag and over half of his FPL owners in the last ten Gameweeks, Callum Paterson (£5.0m) remains a vital part of Neil Warnock’s battling side.

The Scottish utility player has started 19 of Cardiff’s last 20 Premier League matches and has most recently found a home on the right flank, again taking up a wing-back role in the win over Southampton to great effect.

This “new” position didn’t affect his attacking output too much at St. Mary’s in Gameweek 26: no Cardiff player recorded as many penalty box touches or key passes as Paterson in that match.

It seems odd to back a player who is without a shot on target in his last nine starts but Paterson’s prowess in the air (at both ends of the pitch) continues to catch the eye: the Scottish international has contested more than twice as many aerial duels as any other FPL midfielder this season.

Cardiff are up against Watford on Friday and the Hornets rank bottom for
headed chances conceded in the last six Gameweeks. Only Newcastle have allowed more opportunities from set plays during that time.

832 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. balint84
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is Anderson really essential this week?

    1. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      NO

    2. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Absolutely not, he has 1 assist in his last 7 PL games!

  2. We ain't got no histor…
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed
    2FT,0.5ITB, Got 6 players from the MU-LIV Game and 2 non-playing GK's.
    Which transfers to do?

    Ederson Hamer
    VVD TAA Lindelof AWB Benett
    Salah Pogba Richarlison Son Puncheon
    Auba Jimenez Rashford

    1. ThisTimeNxtYrRodney
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Ooooooooooo !!!!!!!! Don't envy you mate.

    2. TheDogTor
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Personally I’d look at

      Ederson - fabianski
      Lindelof - Chilwell

      Would leave you with MITB for Auba - Aguero next week, if you wanted, and bring in players with decent fixtures and who play in 31 and 33.

    3. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Just gamble on the 0-0 and bring in Boruc and c for Aub

    4. Sting in the Tail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Don't worry about having 6 players from the MU - Liv game. Nearly everyone has Salah, Pogba, Rashford and a Liverpool def and you can bench Lindelof and or VVD/TTA if you want.
      Hamer to Boruc or Fab and you're sorted for the blanks. If you're free hitting in 32 you could swap out Lindelof/Rich or save a transfer.

    5. jtreble
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Look at Hamer > Buroc.

  3. DanLFC1
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Disaster after disaster with Sane etc.. I only have 2 players currently for GW31 and 1 FT so looks like FH 31 the only option!

  4. mlm
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Boruc (Ederson)
    Robertson VVD Kolasinac Pereira (AWB)
    Salah Son(c) Pogba Fraser (Sterling)
    Rashford Jimenez (Sinclair)

    0FT 2.2ITB

    GTG?

    1) Hold
    2) Rashford to Lacazette(c)

  5. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Play one of:

    A) AWB (lei)
    B) JWP (ars)

    cheers all

    1. KUNingas
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Chockky
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      AWB injured

  6. madame shelly
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I've got 6 players currently for bgw31 and 8 for dgw32.

    Talk about a 50/50 split on strategy with all chips available !!

    1. KUNingas
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      DGW32 already announced?

      1. madame shelly
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Ok then, potential players smartarse !

        1. KUNingas
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          🙂

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Those 8 DGWers are probably going to bring more pts than 6 BGWers between GW27-30

      1. madame shelly
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        True but by getting more dgwers you reduce the blankers even more so a free hit in 31 is fine but leaves a big hole bgw33!

        1. scubasmithy
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          with your team you are surely free hitting in week 32?

          1. madame shelly
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 5 months ago

            Probably, mainly because its less thinking 🙂

  7. KUNingas
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    G2G, anything worth a hit? 0 FT and 6.5 ITB

    Guaita
    Robertson, Kolasinac, Perreira, Bennett
    Salah, Pogba, Son, Anderson
    Rashford, Jimenez

    Speroni*, AWB, Richarlison*, Kamara*

  8. Who Ate All Depays?
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Fabianski
    Robertson, AWB, Bennett
    Salah, Pogba, Son, Hayden, Richa*
    Rashford, Auba
    (Hamer, Aguero, Kiko, Digne)

    Would be transferring out Richa and Digne for a hit, which pair do you suggest as replacements?

    A) Fanderson and Yedlin
    B) Madison and Pereira
    C) Fraser and Pereira

  9. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Fab Hamer
    Alonso AWB Shaw Doherty TAA
    Sterling Son Salah Pogba Højberg
    Firmino Mitro Jimenez
    1ft, 1.1 itb.
    Shaw to Pereira or save?

    1. Party time
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Do it for the likely price rise

  10. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Does Kane potentially being back change things for Son captainers?

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I think it makes Son more appealing, pre Asian Cup they were devastating together.

    2. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      *should* start on the bench.

      Llorente has been amazing for Son with his hold up play.

  11. Scotty B
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Finally took a hit to get Rondon last night before his price rise, now looking ahead will find it hard who to transfer out over the next 2 gameweeks as all the players that need to go is Wolves/Man Utd/ Son have good fixtures!

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Welcome to the blank quandary!

    2. Party time
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Oh no Scotty! Why take a hit for Rondon... Who did you transfer out in his place?

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Because:-
        A he has Huddersfield at home this week and I'm captaining him
        B I only took Gallagher out
        C he has a fixture in probably both 31 & 33

    3. Pukki Party
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      This is why i think i'll FH 31

    4. Geoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Quite possibly a good move. Captaincy is brave! But he's a really nice pick this week I think

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks Geoff I just feel like he will score a goal or 2 this week...Huddersfield are pants!

    5. Shineonme
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Only time will tell but there is no way I'd take a hit to bring in Rondon.

      1. Scotty B
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Itvwas either that or play Bednarek away at Arsenal!

        1. Shineonme
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 5 months ago

          I guess sometimes a hit is justified. In this case I understand why you did it.

  12. Twisted Saltergater
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I think the Palace game is a very tough one for Leicester. Palace’s front 3 of Zaha, Batshuayi and Townsend are as pacey as they come. If Leicester are to come out on top either Pereira and Chilwell must pin Zaha and Townsend back with Ndidi filling in as an additional CB, or for them both to sit in and be disciplined - something I don’t think Leicester particularly are.

    I can see a 1-1 result really, or even 1-2, which is putting me off a Leicester defender until I see them improve.

    1. avfc82
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'm convinced Palace will score at Leicester, Pereira owners have just gotta hope for an attacking return IMO.

      1. Party time
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Yes they will score

  13. Lovefootball
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Which one is more likely to keep a clean sheet:

    Leno (SOU) or Foster (car)?

    Thanks!

    1. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Tough shout but I'd go with Leno. Just.

  14. moz_1983
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is it worth a -4 to bring in Auba for Kun this week? I have a full starting XI with no subs but a few dodgy players with tough fixtures. Would you take the hit?

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      wait for todays game first

      1. moz_1983
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Oh definitely, that's the plan.

  15. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Would you sell Luiz now that we found out he'll have a game in 31?
    I think it's still worth it, has a blank now and not great fixtures after that either.

    1. Twisted Saltergater
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Depends on your 31,32,33 strategy.

  16. The Darkest Knight
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Will Kamara's price will drop further???

    1. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      no it's locked

  17. Obi Wan Elokobi
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    When is it likely the DGW 32 will be confirmed? Is it not worth

    - Wildcarding GW30 bringing in 32 players
    - Free Hit GW31
    - Bench Boost GW32

    I know it’s early to wildcard for a double but a couple of transfers would be able to sort any injuries between 30 and 32

    1. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      it's an option I guess.

      I like to use it in GW34 to set team up for the last 5 GWs and the DGW35

    2. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      No liking the thought of having a blank the GW after wild carding, too much can change with form and injuries

    3. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      another small thing when using WC just before FH: you probably lose some value when switching in/out some players in your WC. Then the next week using your FH, you'll have less value to build your ideal FH team

    4. Mingo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      My main issue with that strategy is an optimised team for GW32 with a full 16 DGW players will all blank in GW33, if you balance the team with SGW players then you may as well not play the bench boost.

  18. Pompel
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    AWB and Doherty - keep or sell for those planning for BGW31/FH32?

    AWB not best the fixtures GW27-GW31, but then will have at least one DGW for which he's a perfect enabler. And most here have value tied up in him, so need to pay extra to buy back. I'm leaning towards shifting for Yedlin, Lascelles or Rice this GW, and possibly go with Tomkins (4.3) for Palace DGW

    Doherty surely needs to be kept until GW29. Wolves have two good DGW's, but as with AWB there are alternatives in Boly or Jonny. But with his attacking threat, I think I will hold.

    1. MTPockets
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Bough them at 4m/4.4m so think I'll keep both unless Southampton start keeping clean sheets, or other super cheap alternative to AWB emerges.

    2. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'm keeping Doherty until the end, after the BGWs Wolves have some good fixtures.
      Probably get rid of AWB at some point, maybe when I use my WC

  19. WVA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Is this squad G2G for next couple of weeks? Off on holiday!

    Ryan
    Kola Chilwell Jonny
    Salah(vc) Hazard Pogba Son
    Aguero(c) Rashford Jimenez
    Boruc AWB Westwood Keane

    1. Party time
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Holiday should be no excuse for setting up your team. You know BGW and DGW are around the corner now, have a lovely holiday buddy

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        I'll be back by 31! Many thanks.

        1. Party time
          7 years, 5 months ago

          🙂

    2. No wi-fi?

      1. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        wife>wifi

        1. I would need something to do while the lazy cow was having a lie-in 😉

      2. WVA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        It's nice to take a break from the internet while away IMO

  20. ludaslol
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    I need some serious help here no clue what to do..

    Fabianski
    Robertson lindelof Doherty awb digne*
    Salah son Richarlison* Sterling*Stephens*
    Firmino Rashford Niasse

    1 FT, 1.3 ITM.. All chips intact..

    Need some advice here, when should I use my chips and what transfers could be alright för this week?

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I charge £500 for this advice. 😉

  21. Woy_is_back
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Wild Card?

    Lossl
    AWB Doherty Robertson
    Salah Pogba Fraser Som
    Arnautovic Rashford Kun*

    Hart* Kiko* Rich* Digne*

    1 FT, 0,1 ITB

    1. moz_1983
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I'd try to keep it for the upcoming blank/DGW nightmare.

      1. Woy_is_back
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Ok, just Kun to someone then

    2. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I would do Rich to Maddison or Digne to Pereira

    3. CAPTAIN_WALES
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Rich to Madd and bench Kun

    4. Sting in the Tail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Definitely not! What transfers to make depend on whether or not you still have free hit chip and when you you intend to play it but Digne to Periera wouldn't be the worst move

  22. Daghe Munegu
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Play Shaw or Peltier ?

    Have Salah and Mané

    1. Party time
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Easy. Peltier

  23. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Hiya chaps what would you do? Thinking ahead to 31 and 33 and with West Ham’s excellent fixtures
    A- Play Robertson
    B- Being in Fanderson -4
    Thanks in advance fellas

    1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      *bring

      1. Eleven Hag
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        A

    2. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      A

    3. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Really risky to rely on fixture runs for low mid ranked teams.

      1. 1912 F.A Cup Winners
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah that’s a good point actually mate

  24. Bucket Man
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Planning to get 8/9 BGW players for 31+33, FH32 WC34 BB/TC35 etc strategy.
    Few issues this week though. Martial out?, hopefully have Doherty fit, and only 1FT
    Fabianski
    VVD, Doherty*, AWB. Bednarek
    Salah, Son, Martial*
    Auba, Rashford, Jiminez
    Button, Digne*, Siggy*, Obiang

    Very low rank. Best replacement for Martial?

    1. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Maddison or Anderson

      1. Bucket Man
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        Thinking Maddison as lower ownership, also looking at Harvey Barnes or Antonio?

  25. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    " Laca, Auba, and Guendouzi dance off"
    " Man utd and Liverpool fans take lie dectector test"

    The Sky Sports Website aint what it used to be

  26. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Lloris (Button)
    Doherty - WanB - Roberson (Walker,Bednarek)
    Salah - Son - Jota - Pogba (Camarasa)
    Jiménez - Aubameyang - Rashford

    Thinking Walker -> Pereira

    anything else standing out? 0.8 in the bank

  27. Neetan
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Really want to get Pereria before his price rise tonight but my defence consists of:

    Shaw, Robertson, AWB, Doherty & Digne

    Who to go?

    Bear in mind Digne has car next week and will also play in the BGWs too now...

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I couldn't stomach Everton anymore - so Digne even regardless of the fair points above. In your situation I'd possibly go Shaw though.

    2. Sting in the Tail
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Sell Shaw

    3. The 5% Team
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw if you really want Pereira (I would)

  28. dbeck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Any news on the Doherty injury, given its a blank GW i really need him to play, any news?

    1. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      Pictured in training (links in post on some previous page)

      1. dbeck
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 5 months ago

        cheers!

  29. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Balbuena likely to be back soon from the sounds of it, now at 4.2 and I'd be fairly sure he'll be a starter again.
    Lanzini might be a cheeky punt too if he can force his way in to the team after his long lay off.

  30. ZakAFC_
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 5 months ago

    Fabianski
    AWB, Doherty*, Shaw
    Salah, Son, Pogba, F Anderson
    Aguero*, Rashford, Jiménez

    Button, TAA, Højbjerg, Digne*

    FT used, 1.7 ITB

    A.) Aguero > Auba (-4)
    B.) Digne > Pereira (-4) (Start over AWB)
    C.) Stick

    1. MTPockets
      7 years, 5 months ago

      C, unless you think Auba's worth the hit and future transfer

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 5 months ago

      I did B because of long term planning. I'd wait for Doherty news first - might affect your decision.