Differentials

Clinical Wood set to exploit Arsenal’s Europe hangover

The last day of the season is perhaps when Fantasy Premier League differentials are needed more than ever.

That’s why, for the final time in 2018/19, we’ve pulled out three options, one from each outfield position, who could help your one last hurrah.

Chris Wood

Price: £6.3m

Ownership: 1.4%

Chris Wood (£6.3m) looks like a decent differential for Gameweek 38 as Burnley host an Arsenal side on the back of Europa League exploits on Thursday night.

The Gunners’ trip to Spain was not quite as emotionally draining as Chelsea’s penalty shoot-out with Eintracht Frankfurt, but Unai Emery certainly made sure his players put their all into the 4-2 win on the night (7-3 on aggregate).

With the Europa League final now approaching for Arsenal, even if it is a few weeks away yet, it seems likely that some key players will have their minutes managed. After all, Emery has rotated his team quite often this season.

For that reason, Burnley will fancy their chances of a positive result at Turf Moor, especially as Arsenal’s away record in the Premier League remains fair mediocre.

Wood looks like the most likely to benefit from this as he has been afforded more big chances than any other player in the last four matches.

He has not shot at the same rate as Mohamed Salah (£13.3m) in that run, just eight times, but 50% of those efforts have been on target.

That has helped Wood to three attacking returns in that time.

Owned by just 1.4% and an easy step-down from anyone unsure of Raúl Jiménez‘s (£6.9m) chances at Anfield, he could be a great difference maker.

Michail Antonio

Price: £6.8m

Ownership: 1.2%

West Ham midfielder Michail Antonio (£6.8m) has enjoyed a resurgence in recent weeks as his team seems to have returned from the beach to finish the season on a high.

The Hammers travel to Watford in Gameweek 38, to face a defence that is still without a clean sheet since February.

Their last shut-out was now 11 matches ago, the longest such run in the division.

Furthermore, the Hornets remain in a precarious position for defensive statistics.

In their last six at home only Arsenal have conceded more big chances than Javi Gracia’s side.

That should mean West Ham have plenty of opportunities at Vicarage Road, which should play into Antonio’s hands.

The only player with more shots on target than him in the last four matches is Mohamed Salah (£13.3m), so the numbers suggest he stands a high chance of getting some difference-making returns this weekend.

Joe Bryan

Price: 4.8m

Ownership: 0.2%

Owned by just 0.2%, Joe Bryan (£4.8m) is just about as much of a differential as you could possibly find.

Fulham’s defence has obviously not been too strong this season, but thanks to the work of goalkeeper Sergio Rico (£4.4m), they do have three clean sheets in their last four.

Newcastle come to Craven Cottage on Sunday with a fairly poor record on the road, so there is definitely the possibility of another shut-out on Fulham’s Premier League finale.

The Magpies are bottom of the league for their three big chances created in their last six away matches.

Furthermore, Bryan himself ranks second among Fulham players for key passes (four) under Scott Parker, suggesting he has the potential for some attacking returns.

Any crosses into Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.3m) could be particularly effective given Newcastle’s vulnerability in the air.

Also, left-back Bryan tops the charts among Fulham players for his 12 successful tackles since Parker took charge, indicating the potential for bonus too.

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1,227 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Holmes (specialist in failu…
    • 5 Years
    9 days, 3 hours ago

    Jimenez to Kun worth a hit or try another forward?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      pretty close. probably worth it

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      Thinking of getting rid of Jimi but for free.

  2. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    9 days, 3 hours ago

    Afternoon all.
    Need to make my transfers today, I have 2.

    Lloris
    Robbo Bednarek Cathcart
    Mane Eriksen Son* JWP
    Jimi Wilson Aguero (c)

    Kola* Doherty Jota

    I was thinking something along the lines of Jimi and Son to Long and Sterling.
    Thoughts?
    Any suggestions?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      that sounds good but is a fairly sizable risk that doherty comes in if robbo/kola dont play

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        9 days, 3 hours ago

        I'd like to think that 1 of Robbo and Kola would play.

    2. HamezMace
      • 4 Years
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      Can't see a lot better than that.
      Not sure if there's an update on Robertson, switching him to LaPorte, and Son to B.Silva could work?

    3. pingissimus
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      Can you reach Bilva and Vardy? You already have JWP and it is just Southampton - the double up isn’t so very convincing for me.

  3. Would Ed Woodward
    9 days, 3 hours ago

    Play Jimenez/Jota or take a hit to bring in Vardy?

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      jim +4 all day

    2. Crinix
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      Bring in Vardy.

      Reasons:
      - Home game
      - vs tired Chelsea
      - jiminez/jota away to Liverpool
      - if jiminez/jota score or assist. You do not know which player will be involved. If you miss out when wolves score, you will find yourself routing for a 2nd goal (scenario of a 2nd Wolves goal is unlikely).

      Just some thoughts. Anything could happen.

  4. teriyaki 69
    • 2 Years
    9 days, 3 hours ago

    Son to Pogba or take a hit and do Hazard + Son to Salah(c) + Fraser

    1. EMBOLOFAN
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      9 days, 3 hours ago

      depends who ur capt is otherwise

  5. New Post
  6. Lignja
    • 2 Years
    9 days, 3 hours ago

    Hi need help, on 25k atm would like to try to be inside of top 20k, would be my best season.

    Gunn
    Taa, Yoshida, Valery
    Salah(c), Sterling, Son*, Mane
    Aguero, Wilson, Jiminez

    Guitar, Doherty, Dendoker, 3.9

    A. Son to Pogba
    B. Son to B Silva
    C. Son, Jiminez to Pogba, Mitrovic/Arnautovic -4
    D. Son, Jiminez to B silva, Rashford -4

    1. jjandellis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      8 days, 22 hours ago

      d or b

  7. Sotamendi84
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    9 days, 2 hours ago

    Who plays tomorrow origi or sturridge?

    1. HMC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      9 days, 2 hours ago

      Origi should start
      Would be a great story for Sturridge to get the winning goal for title!

  8. MottysBallacks
    9 days, 1 hour ago

    Leading my ML by 1 point, was planning on doing 2 transfers for -4 hit...
    Do folk think that:
    - Fraser, Pereira, TAA, Sterling and Long

    will out score
    - Bsilva, Moura, Pogba, Digne, Jiminez?

    And if so, by at least 3 points?!

    1. Bad Kompany
      • 1 Year
      8 days, 22 hours ago

      Think so

  9. Bad Kompany
    • 1 Year
    8 days, 22 hours ago

    Chances of Robertson playing?

    1. jjandellis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      8 days, 22 hours ago

      seem high

  10. Siggy in the Middle
    • 3 Years
    8 days, 22 hours ago

    Anyone going for a crazy but potentially brilliant captaincy punt because their season's been terrible, their OR is poor and their League place has been decided? If so, who'd you go for?

    I currently have it on Chris Wood. Huge differential but could potentially haul

  11. jjandellis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    8 days, 22 hours ago

    In a real tight fight for 2-4th place. Currently in 3rd, 4 points behind 2nd and 1 point ahead of 4th. Pay jumps between each spot are the same. I have 1 x FT, 2nd has 1 xFT, 4th has 2 x FT. I read that as me being effectively 3 points behind in 4th with hits.

    Leno
    TAA, Robbo, KOLASINAC,
    Mane, W-P, Hazard, Jota
    Wilson, JIMENEZ, Aguero
    Bench includes Duffy, Son

    Do I:
    a) Son & Duffy to Babel & LaPorte (both rivals have latter) 4 POINT HIT
    b) Son & Jimenez to Babel & Vardy 4 POINT HIT
    c) Son & Jimenez to Babel & Perez/Arny 4 POINT HIT
    d) Son, Jimenez & Duffy to Babel, Vardy & Pereira 8 POINT HIT
    e) Son to Babel NO HIT

  12. migas2k7
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    8 days, 22 hours ago

    who to replace son for?

    Got salah (already with 3 liverpool), sterling, fraser, pogba

    tempted for sane?

  13. P_Mc
    8 days, 22 hours ago

    Two transfers:
    Son --> Salah
    Firminho --> Long
    Is a -4 for Jimenez to Wilson/Arnie worth it (likely Wilson)? Competitors don't have them. Team is:
    Llloris
    TAA Laporte Valery
    Salah Sterling Mane Jota
    Aguero Long Jimines...

    1. jjandellis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 2 Years
      8 days, 20 hours ago

      Can think of better options than Long - what budget do your transfers leave you with?

      1. P_Mc
        8 days, 17 hours ago

        If I get Salah for Son I then have 5.6 for a forward.
        I have 18.8 for a mid and forward