Spot the Differential
18 July 2020 1815 comments
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With only two Gameweeks to go, opportunities to catch mini-league rivals or hit pre-season targets are fast running out.

With that in mind, we’ve scouted three mid-price differentials for the run-in, who we hope will have a similar impact to last week’s pick, David Silva (7.4m).

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Junior Stanislas

  • FPL Ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • Remaining Fixtures: SOU | eve

Junior Stanislas (£5.8m) has had to watch on from the sidelines for much of the season with a knee injury that required surgery, but is now thriving and has arguably been Bournemouth’s best player since the restart.

Against Manchester City on Wednesday night, the winger was electric and unlucky not to return. In the first half, Ederson (£6.0m) was at full stretch to superbly touch his free-kick onto the post, whilst later in the game Joshua King (£6.1m) swept in his effort, only to see it ruled out by VAR for offside. On another day, it could have been a double-digit haul. 

Since Gameweek 30+, Stanislas leads the way at Bournemouth for shots, shots in the box, created chances and crosses, whilst his three goal involvements (two goals, one assist) is more than any other teammate. 

Following the loss at City, Bournemouth remain 18th – three points adrift of Watford and West Ham United, with two make-or-break games against Southampton on Sunday, and Everton on the last day of the season.

Stanislas has been really unlucky with injuries in recent years, but when fit, is perhaps the most talented player at Bournemouth, and if the Cherries are to stage a great escape, it’s likely he’ll be heavily involved.

Neal Maupay

  • FPL Ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • Remaining Fixtures: NEW | bur

Neal Maupay (£5.7m) arrived at Brighton and Hove Albion during the summer of 2019 from Brentford, having scored 41 goals in 95 games for the Bees.

The former France Under-21 international has settled well, and netted his tenth goal of the campaign at Southampton on Thursday night, one which puts him in an esteemed group – Eric Cantona, Thierry Henry and Anthony Martial (£8.4m) are among the other five Frenchman to have hit double figures in their first season. 

Despite Graham Potter’s tendency to rotate, Maupay has now started five of Albion’s seven Premier League outings since the restart, and has featured for over 30 minutes both times he’s appeared off the bench.

Amongst teammates, he’s registered the most shots, shots in the box and big chances this season, whilst his xG ranks 11th amongst forwards. 

Though he could have scored more, his goals have been key to winning points this season. In fact, they are yet to lose when he’s been on the scoresheet.

Up next for Brighton is Newcastle United, who have injuries to several key centre-backs, and rank 20th for xGC since the resumption.  

Maupay has done well in his first season since stepping up from the Championship, and whether deployed as a no 9, on the flanks or deeper to link play, we’re backing him to deliver in Gameweek 37+.

Dwight McNeil

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • Remaining Fixtures: nor | BHA

Winger Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) has impressed for Burnley this season, developing into his side’s main creative outlet.

He sits top at Turf Moor for chances created, big chances created, crosses and take-ons, whilst only five players in the entire division can boast a higher xA.

Key to his appeal is this week’s opponents Norwich City, who have now lost eight consecutive league games for the first time in their history, whilst the goal they conceded against Chelsea on Tuesday night, a close-range header by Olivier Giroud (£6.7m), was the 21st goal they have conceded from a cross this season.

Their 12 goals conceded from corners is also the worst in the Premier League, which bodes well for McNeil, who has a share of Burnley’s set-pieces, and regularly puts the ball into the box from wide areas. In fact, only eleven players have delivered more crosses than him since the restart.

It isn’t all about his opponents though. 

Tenth-place Burnley are a team in form, with only one defeat in their last 14 Premier League matches, and with aspirations of a Europa League spot, still have plenty of motivation for the run-in.

The last time McNeil made an appearance in this column, he responded with a 14-point haul in Gameweek 27, and given his opponents vulnerability from crosses, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he delivered again on Saturday evening.

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  1. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to captain from
    A: Bruno
    B: Martial
    C: Rashford
    D: Jimmy...no fa cup so no risk of injury etc

    1. Critical Observer
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      ...but Jimmy’s wife’s about to give birth any day now, so his involvement is not certain. Probably a case of either starting or being completely absent, though, so in that sense a ”safe” captaincy pick assuming you have set the VC wisely.

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Jimmy is out when his baby comes tho

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    4. BrutalLogiC
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'll prob just keep it on Bruno on basis one of these week's I'll get it right, Martial being talked up as most likely benching

    5. Klaren
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If they are injured, they wouldn’t play anyway so don’t understand the rationale for the injury scare when captaining.

  2. FPL_BUCCANEER
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed:

    Pope
    TAA Doc Bardsley
    (M)artial Bruno KDB Sterling Foden
    Jimmy Greenwood

    Vardy currently benched...

    G2g?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      would rather bench Greenwood this GW than Vardy mate, Spurs will concede, Vardy going for GB too.

    2. FPL_BUCCANEER
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah.. Spurs have been better at the back though. Or maybe bench Foden?

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        tough call, I would still bench Greenwood rather than Vardy still.

        1. FPL_BUCCANEER
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers mate 🙂 Good luck this week

  3. ZAWAd25
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Captain who?

    A) Bruno
    B) Sterling

    1. Dion D's Solo Shower
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Whiskerz
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on B so definitely go A

    3. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    4. Could Have Ben Mee
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  4. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    A) Azpi to Tarkowski (Also own Pope)
    B) Vardy to Jesus
    C) TAA+KDB to Tarkowski+Sterling

    1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C for -4

    2. Najoman86
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tough to call City picks at the moment, so would be hesitant to take any hits for them. A or B

    3. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  5. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Patricio
    TAA Dunk Doherty
    Salah(c) Sterling Dilva Martial Fernandes
    Jesus Greenwood

    Pep going to troll...

    GTG?

    1. Najoman86
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Solid! GTG

    2. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Brave captaincy considering Bruno will be fresh for the first time in a while

      1. Ole.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        How so?

      2. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        FA cup vs Chelsea??

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Should be massive rotation in the fa cup Game, top 4 is priority for both. Obviously some good players have to play they can't change all 11 but Bruno due a test

          1. @persecuted_by_mods
            6 years, 1 month ago

            Rest*

      3. BrutalLogiC
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        FA Cup game tomorrow though

  6. Najoman86
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy & Greenwood > Rashford & Wood for -4pts?

    1. olidooley
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No way man

    2. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. BrutalLogiC
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      out of all those players Vardy is the one I'd want

  7. davies
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Saiss
    Salah KDB Bruno Mahrez Martial (c)
    Ings Greenwood

    Cheers.

  8. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg?

    Pope
    TAA AWB Pieters
    Salah(c) KDB Bruno Mahrez
    Jesus Rashford Connolly

    Button Sarr Holgate Robinson

  9. Mr. Mystic
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Best 1 week punt defender under 5m?
    A) Dunk
    B) Saiss
    C) Pieters/Bardsley
    (Swaying towards Dunk due to attack threat & good CS odds, already have Doherty & Pope)

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd be more tempted for Dunk if Newcastle (and Burnley) weren't managing at least a goal per game... which they are.

      1. Mr. Mystic
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        So who would you go for?

    2. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Dunk, BPS magnet also.

  10. FPL_WILDCARD
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Am I GTG? Bit worried about City exposure but not knowing lineups or injuries post semi final is too much of an unknown

    Fabianski
    VVD, Doherty, AWB
    Mane, KDB, Martial(c), Bruno, Pulisic
    Jimenez, Wood

    Subs: Connolly, Lascelles, Simpson

  11. OverTinker
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Predictions plz
    Spurs vs Leicester
    Pool vs Chelsea

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1-1
      2-1

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1-2
      1-1

    3. FPL_WILDCARD
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      2-1
      3-1

    4. Kannbury
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      2-1
      3-1

    5. Ole.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      2-1
      2-0

  12. @persecuted_by_mods
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Why city mid do you think gets the most minutes over the next 2 premier League games?

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Dilva

    2. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Dilva

    3. jomikijiq
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KDB

  13. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martinez
    Doherty Alonso Maguire
    Burno Sterling Pulisic Martial
    DCL Vardy Auba
    Martin ( Holgate - jamal- Saka)
    1 FT 0.9 M itb
    DCL > Wood
    Or any other Thoughts ?
    And Who is C ?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Can't look past Bruno or martial for cap because of pep rotation but if sterling was guaranteed a start he'd be up there

  14. HollywoodXI
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who are you captaining and why? I’m going for Ings. Feels like a differential captain, in form against a depleted defence and a team that must win so will (hopefully) be leaky. Plus I’m a Saints fan 🙂

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Good shout

    2. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Do you not think Saints have been looking very tired recently?

      1. seanie3
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        nope, the opposite.. they play a high temp high press game and very impressed with them, could have beat utd at old trafford..

    3. Mr. Mystic
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ings could be rested

      1. seanie3
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Ings rested for what exactly? two games left to play to try and get the golden boot, playing well and as his manager said last game he is very fit now and doesn't need to keep taking him off after 60 mins...

    4. Kannbury
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Taking a risk with a KDB triple cap

  15. ZAWAd25
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Captain Bruno or Sterling?

  16. Zladan
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?

    Martinez
    TAA Doherty Aurier*
    KDB (vc) Son Bruno (c) Mahrez
    Jesus Rashford Greenwood

    Martin Antonio Azpilicueta Robinson

  17. DontPiqueTooSoon
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I’m 16 points ahead of rival in cash mini league. He’s got Rashford but He has no Sterling, Martial - will likely bring in Martial this week I think. Thoughts on following transfers? I personally think Rashford - he has form & shields from rival.

    A) Greenwood to Rashford
    B) TAA & Greenwood to Tark & Auba (-4)
    C) Hold, 2 FTs

    My current GW 37 team:
    Pope (McCarthy)
    TAA / Boly / Doherty (VD & Taylor)
    Bruno / Martial / Sterling / KDB / Pulisic
    Ings / Greenwood

    His GW36 team:
    Ederson (Martinez)
    Saiss / Egan / Azpi / Ritchie / Aurier
    Pulisic / Willian / Fernandes / Foden / KDB
    Rashford / Ings / Niketiah

  18. olidooley
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    So Man Utd and Man City have FA cup before their GW37 fixture?

    1. dshv
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes - get your VC in order

    3. Ole.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yea team news half hour before the deadline! Wish it was hour earlier.

      1. Ole.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Half hour after th deadline even

  19. The Man Pastore
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What would you do?

    Patricio
    Doherty Tarko Keane
    Salah Bruno Martial KDB Mahrez
    Greenwood Vardy

    Bench: Martin Nketiah Kiko Lascelles

    1FT / 0.3ITB

    A) Save FT
    B) Vardy --> Ings

    Cheers!

    1. jimmy.floyd
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

  20. jimmy.floyd
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Captain one:
    A Bruno
    B Rashford

    Play one:
    1 Pulisic
    2 Foden

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B2

    2. The Man Pastore
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A1

    3. Dion D's Solo Shower
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A
      1

    4. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B2

  21. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to bench?

    A. Giroud (liv)
    B. Pulisic (liv)
    C. Greenwood (WHU)

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Pulshit

    3. jimmy.floyd
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        ...expected goal involvement during the past 4 gameweeks; Giroud 3,3...Pulisic 1,2... Greenwood 0,5....and Giroud; SiB every 16 minutes, 6 big chances...

    4. Phil's Stamps
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  22. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Auba(C) anyone? Chasing

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely

  23. BERGKOP
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bench Digne or Azpi?

  24. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who is better?
    A. Mahrez, Maguire
    B. Martial, Saiss/Pieters (-4)
    Ta.

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hmm B

    2. The Man Pastore
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  25. thomashl
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What cruel man came up with the idea of a drawn-out gameweek starting with only one match today, and that match is Norwich v Burnley

    1. Ole.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yea could be painful this gw.

  26. woodles
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Does Vardy to Wood seem a good move for this week in isolation?

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not particularly

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah, decent in isolation

    3. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not a good move in any scenario

    4. Phil's Stamps
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Nah, I'd hold.

    5. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      nope, only move on Vardy for Jimi, Auba, Jesus someone like that not wood.

  27. dylano21
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    AWB + Willian => Pieters + Martial ?

    1. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Phil's Stamps
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      yep

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      yeah

  28. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Really overthinking this now!

    A) Greenwood & Foden > Wood & Martial (-4)
    B) Pulisic & Foden > Sterling & McNeil (-4)
    C) Just Puli to Sterling (but have to play Foden or Nketiah)

    Would captain Sterling or Martial

    1FT 5.5ITB
    De Gea
    TAA Doherty Holgate* (Justin Lascelles*)
    Salah Bruno Pulisic KdB Foden
    Jimi Greenwood (Nketiah)

    Thanks!

    1. Phil's Stamps
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C. Play Foden

    3. Zladan
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C and Foden easily.

    4. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks everyone

  29. Phil's Stamps
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Start

    A) David Silva
    B) Foden

    ?

    1. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  30. Kasper the ghost keeper
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KDB minutes prediction Vs Watford?