Spot the Differential
18 July 2020 1815 comments
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With only two Gameweeks to go, opportunities to catch mini-league rivals or hit pre-season targets are fast running out.

With that in mind, we’ve scouted three mid-price differentials for the run-in, who we hope will have a similar impact to last week’s pick, David Silva (7.4m).

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Junior Stanislas

  • FPL Ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • Remaining Fixtures: SOU | eve

Junior Stanislas (£5.8m) has had to watch on from the sidelines for much of the season with a knee injury that required surgery, but is now thriving and has arguably been Bournemouth’s best player since the restart.

Against Manchester City on Wednesday night, the winger was electric and unlucky not to return. In the first half, Ederson (£6.0m) was at full stretch to superbly touch his free-kick onto the post, whilst later in the game Joshua King (£6.1m) swept in his effort, only to see it ruled out by VAR for offside. On another day, it could have been a double-digit haul. 

Since Gameweek 30+, Stanislas leads the way at Bournemouth for shots, shots in the box, created chances and crosses, whilst his three goal involvements (two goals, one assist) is more than any other teammate. 

Following the loss at City, Bournemouth remain 18th – three points adrift of Watford and West Ham United, with two make-or-break games against Southampton on Sunday, and Everton on the last day of the season.

Stanislas has been really unlucky with injuries in recent years, but when fit, is perhaps the most talented player at Bournemouth, and if the Cherries are to stage a great escape, it’s likely he’ll be heavily involved.

Neal Maupay

  • FPL Ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • Remaining Fixtures: NEW | bur

Neal Maupay (£5.7m) arrived at Brighton and Hove Albion during the summer of 2019 from Brentford, having scored 41 goals in 95 games for the Bees.

The former France Under-21 international has settled well, and netted his tenth goal of the campaign at Southampton on Thursday night, one which puts him in an esteemed group – Eric Cantona, Thierry Henry and Anthony Martial (£8.4m) are among the other five Frenchman to have hit double figures in their first season. 

Despite Graham Potter’s tendency to rotate, Maupay has now started five of Albion’s seven Premier League outings since the restart, and has featured for over 30 minutes both times he’s appeared off the bench.

Amongst teammates, he’s registered the most shots, shots in the box and big chances this season, whilst his xG ranks 11th amongst forwards. 

Though he could have scored more, his goals have been key to winning points this season. In fact, they are yet to lose when he’s been on the scoresheet.

Up next for Brighton is Newcastle United, who have injuries to several key centre-backs, and rank 20th for xGC since the resumption.  

Maupay has done well in his first season since stepping up from the Championship, and whether deployed as a no 9, on the flanks or deeper to link play, we’re backing him to deliver in Gameweek 37+.

Dwight McNeil

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • Remaining Fixtures: nor | BHA

Winger Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) has impressed for Burnley this season, developing into his side’s main creative outlet.

He sits top at Turf Moor for chances created, big chances created, crosses and take-ons, whilst only five players in the entire division can boast a higher xA.

Key to his appeal is this week’s opponents Norwich City, who have now lost eight consecutive league games for the first time in their history, whilst the goal they conceded against Chelsea on Tuesday night, a close-range header by Olivier Giroud (£6.7m), was the 21st goal they have conceded from a cross this season.

Their 12 goals conceded from corners is also the worst in the Premier League, which bodes well for McNeil, who has a share of Burnley’s set-pieces, and regularly puts the ball into the box from wide areas. In fact, only eleven players have delivered more crosses than him since the restart.

It isn’t all about his opponents though. 

Tenth-place Burnley are a team in form, with only one defeat in their last 14 Premier League matches, and with aspirations of a Europa League spot, still have plenty of motivation for the run-in.

The last time McNeil made an appearance in this column, he responded with a 14-point haul in Gameweek 27, and given his opponents vulnerability from crosses, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he delivered again on Saturday evening.

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  1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Morning Guys. Can I have your help....
    I have BB to play this GW...........is it worth taking a -4 hit to remove Lascelles to.

    A, Burnley defender Beardsley/Pieters.
    B, Brighton defender. Lampty
    C. Any other 4.5 def.
    D. Not worth the hit ( real terms a 2pt hit )
    I lead my Cash ML by only 21pts....

    1. SHOOTER MCGINN
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd say A because Newcastle could well score at Brighton.

      Taking a hit for a defender away is against conventional thinking, but all that goes out of the window as people are desperate for 15 players to BB.

    3. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A pieters

  2. BERGKOP
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Repost.

    Bench:
    A) Digne
    B) Azpi

    1. gers23
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. Stoic
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    4. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers

    5. OverTinker
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Tough but B

    6. jomikijiq
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B

    7. BERGKOP
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks all. Much appreciated

  3. sminkypinky
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone think Willian has a chance to do ANYTHING against Pool? Thinking of ousting for a hit.
    (Other option is to play ASM)

    1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      LFC officially on the beach....nothing to play for.....CFC chasing CL. I would keep as CFC will need to win both games in my opinion.

      1. sminkypinky
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers mate!

      2. seanie3
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I don't buy into these posts about LFC on the beach & nothing to play for... they just got beat by Arsenal and Klopp was not happy, all the media around those defensive mistakes, they will want to put that right against Chelsea at home... if Chelsea do manage to win or get a draw the players involved will be Willian or Giroud in my imo...

        1. seanie3
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          also as a chelsea fan, i'm hoping for a boring game with chelsea sneaking a win, but i'm concerned about our shakey defence against mane and salah...

    2. TheTinman
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Play ASM

      1. sminkypinky
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Fit to play?

    3. Jon Snow
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I expect a cagey 2-1 to chelsea maybe. Not worth the hit but could Willian could easily score a FK or bag an assist

    4. sminkypinky
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks all for your input

  4. JollyGoodYellows
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who scores more:

    A) AWB + Pulisic
    B) Tarkowski + Martial (-4)

    1. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B. But you could also lose Pulisic for free? I'm making same decision

  5. Eastman
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Will Pieters play both weeks?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Could be a risk the second week if Taylor is back

    2. Thescaff
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      They are down to the bare bones, so probably

    3. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, was playing mid before

  6. Jdpz
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Will Aurier play in 37 GW?

    1. Goat
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

      1. sminkypinky
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Based on what?

  7. Digital-Real
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    likely Chelsea sit back and take a point against Liverpool and go for a win against Wolves, making Salah (c) questionable.

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 1 month ago

      They just don't have the personnel nor manager to be able to sit back imo

    2. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      chelsea do not have the great defence of before to sit back and soak up pressure, we are crud at the back and as for Kepa.. well.. hoping for a cagey boring game and sneak a 2-1 win like we did against city

  8. gers23
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Maguire out for somebody or roll the transfer?

    1. Goat
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Roll

    2. Ole.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Got to keep imo. Fernandes put 4 of 5 corners in last game right bang onto the slab.

      1. Effe
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        This

        1. gers23
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Interesting thanks

  9. Stoic
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    DDG+Pulisic to Martial(c)+ Pope done.
    Bench Vardy or D..Silva?
    If Silva starts cup, he gets benched for sure

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Why does Silva start in the cup over the league game?

  10. kumadinya welah
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play?
    1) J.Rod
    2) Foden

    Currently chasing in my ML. 1 of 4 rival have foden, and none has J.Rod.

  11. itsmeguneet
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Activated Bench Boost here:

    So my 15 men squad goes like this:

    Martinez- Ryan
    TAA- Robertson- AWB- Dunk- Baldock
    Martial- Salah- Dendo- Willian- Cantwell
    Auba- Greenwood - Ings

    GTG?

    1. Najoman86
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      GTG

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Is Cantwell starting again?

  12. Najoman86
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy > Ings with the FT??

    Current line up:
    Pope
    TAA Maguire Saiss
    KDB Sterling(vc) Martial Pulisic
    Vardy Jimenez Greenwood
    (Martin Alonso Saka Lascelles)

    1. The Mighty Hippo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not for me, no.

      1. Najoman86
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers Hippo

    2. Prison Mike
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’d save FT

      1. Najoman86
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        thanks Mike

    3. seanie3
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      no, but maybe to Auba or Jesus.

      1. Najoman86
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        No cash for Auba, but could go Jesus, Seanie.

  13. Prison Mike
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Yay or Nay lads?

    TAA & Nketiah -> Tarkowski & Wood (-4)

    1. Effe
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yay

    2. PascalCygan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Go for it

    3. Najoman86
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not for a hit, I don't think

      1. Prison Mike
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I could just save FT, bench Nketiah and play Pulisic, better option?

        1. Najoman86
          • 17 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Makes sense, prefer that

    4. jomikijiq
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      nay

  14. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Son worth bringing in and Captain for this Gameweek?

    1. TheTinman
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No

      1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  15. CrouchDown
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Holgate?

  16. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Chasing...

    Who to start?
    A) Foden
    B) Nketiah

    Who to captain?
    1) Salah
    2) Sterling
    3) Bruno

    Thanks!

    1. Effe
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A3 I reckon

      1. PascalCygan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers!

  17. Hits from the Bong
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Good to go?

    Pope
    TAA Doherty Stevens
    Salah Son Bruno Martial(c)
    Ings Greenwood Jimenez

    Martin Antonio Alonso Simpson

  18. pakornk
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hold Vardy or sell for Ings?

    1. Von Lipwig
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I also don't know what to do about this. Anybody?

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hold

  19. ooooo
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Martinez
    Doherty Trent Pieters
    Salah Sterling Pulisic Fernandes
    Rashford Greenwood Jiminez

    4.0 Willian Kiko Holgate

    1Ft 0.0itb any changes?

    1. Kannbury
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Puli > Adama / Antonio if feeling punty.

  20. Ed
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a hit here?

    Martinez
    TAA Saiss Doherty
    Salah KDB Foden Martial Fernandes
    Greenwood Ings

    DCL Alonso

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      KdB to David Silva

  21. Jdpz
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sold Aurier or Saint-Maximin?

  22. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez, Maguire -> Martial, Pieters
    Yes or No?

    Cheers.

    1. Effe
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  23. zizoo10
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Start
    A) Foden - has never started when he's played 90 mins previous game
    B) DCL - due?

  24. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who do we think is more likely to start v Watford?

    A. Mahrez
    B. Dilva

  25. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mahrez greenwood > martial nketiah -4?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No

  26. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Start Foden or Greenwood?

    1. Effe
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Greenwood

  27. Aaa
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a hit here? Will struggle to get 11 out this week I think

    0.3 itb

    Pope
    Doherty/Mendy/Pieters
    Mane/KDB/Fernandes(c)/Pulisic
    Rashford/Vardy/Greenwood

    (Button/Saint M/Azpi/Taylor)

  28. cheeky moses
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one:
    A) pulisic
    B) Vardy
    C) Phoden

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      C
      A

    2. Kannbury
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A

  29. TAT
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Repost:
    I’m considering playing the BB this game week, but that involves taking out three out of these players for a -8. Is that too much of a gamble at this point? Got nothing to lose really, as I’m at 140k.

    (Alternative is to play BB in GW 38, with the risk of even more rotation…)

    Foster
    Fernández
    Hayden
    Aurier (depending if he’s available)
    Stephens

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Took a -16 last GW.
      Main issues for you is lack of money.
      You could load up on Burnley.

      1. TAT
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yes, Burnley assets is very much in my thinking right now (with Martinez a possible Foster replacement if I want to save even more cash), but it's very much a gamble.

        If I wait playing BB until GW 38, I'll have two FT and no cup games complicating things. But there's always a chance there will be rotation then as well.

  30. FOO FIGHTER
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    With KDB going to be minimum 12m next season and will be flavour of the week in majority of teams GW1, who will you pair with him?

    Salah or Fernandes? Guess you can go for all three but then chances are your team structure will be buggered.