Spot the Differential
18 July 2020 1815 comments
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With only two Gameweeks to go, opportunities to catch mini-league rivals or hit pre-season targets are fast running out.

With that in mind, we’ve scouted three mid-price differentials for the run-in, who we hope will have a similar impact to last week’s pick, David Silva (7.4m).

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Junior Stanislas

  • FPL Ownership: 0.1%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • Remaining Fixtures: SOU | eve

Junior Stanislas (£5.8m) has had to watch on from the sidelines for much of the season with a knee injury that required surgery, but is now thriving and has arguably been Bournemouth’s best player since the restart.

Against Manchester City on Wednesday night, the winger was electric and unlucky not to return. In the first half, Ederson (£6.0m) was at full stretch to superbly touch his free-kick onto the post, whilst later in the game Joshua King (£6.1m) swept in his effort, only to see it ruled out by VAR for offside. On another day, it could have been a double-digit haul. 

Since Gameweek 30+, Stanislas leads the way at Bournemouth for shots, shots in the box, created chances and crosses, whilst his three goal involvements (two goals, one assist) is more than any other teammate. 

Following the loss at City, Bournemouth remain 18th – three points adrift of Watford and West Ham United, with two make-or-break games against Southampton on Sunday, and Everton on the last day of the season.

Stanislas has been really unlucky with injuries in recent years, but when fit, is perhaps the most talented player at Bournemouth, and if the Cherries are to stage a great escape, it’s likely he’ll be heavily involved.

Neal Maupay

  • FPL Ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £5.7m
  • Remaining Fixtures: NEW | bur

Neal Maupay (£5.7m) arrived at Brighton and Hove Albion during the summer of 2019 from Brentford, having scored 41 goals in 95 games for the Bees.

The former France Under-21 international has settled well, and netted his tenth goal of the campaign at Southampton on Thursday night, one which puts him in an esteemed group – Eric Cantona, Thierry Henry and Anthony Martial (£8.4m) are among the other five Frenchman to have hit double figures in their first season. 

Despite Graham Potter’s tendency to rotate, Maupay has now started five of Albion’s seven Premier League outings since the restart, and has featured for over 30 minutes both times he’s appeared off the bench.

Amongst teammates, he’s registered the most shots, shots in the box and big chances this season, whilst his xG ranks 11th amongst forwards. 

Though he could have scored more, his goals have been key to winning points this season. In fact, they are yet to lose when he’s been on the scoresheet.

Up next for Brighton is Newcastle United, who have injuries to several key centre-backs, and rank 20th for xGC since the resumption.  

Maupay has done well in his first season since stepping up from the Championship, and whether deployed as a no 9, on the flanks or deeper to link play, we’re backing him to deliver in Gameweek 37+.

Dwight McNeil

  • FPL Ownership: 0.9%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • Remaining Fixtures: nor | BHA

Winger Dwight McNeil (£6.0m) has impressed for Burnley this season, developing into his side’s main creative outlet.

He sits top at Turf Moor for chances created, big chances created, crosses and take-ons, whilst only five players in the entire division can boast a higher xA.

Key to his appeal is this week’s opponents Norwich City, who have now lost eight consecutive league games for the first time in their history, whilst the goal they conceded against Chelsea on Tuesday night, a close-range header by Olivier Giroud (£6.7m), was the 21st goal they have conceded from a cross this season.

Their 12 goals conceded from corners is also the worst in the Premier League, which bodes well for McNeil, who has a share of Burnley’s set-pieces, and regularly puts the ball into the box from wide areas. In fact, only eleven players have delivered more crosses than him since the restart.

It isn’t all about his opponents though. 

Tenth-place Burnley are a team in form, with only one defeat in their last 14 Premier League matches, and with aspirations of a Europa League spot, still have plenty of motivation for the run-in.

The last time McNeil made an appearance in this column, he responded with a 14-point haul in Gameweek 27, and given his opponents vulnerability from crosses, it wouldn’t be a huge surprise if he delivered again on Saturday evening.

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  1. Young Lingard
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Only have three playing defenders
    Will Charlie Taylor make GW 38?

    I’m really thinking I should just risk instead of cheap sideways defence transfer

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'd play safe by transferring him for Pieters. P either plays in T's position on in midfield.

    2. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Normally it would be a waste of a transfer but Burnley defence could get decent returns...

    3. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm in the same boat but only have Kiko as my 3rd playing def so getting in Peters for him - I don't think CD can recover from a hamstring by next week

    4. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sorry I meant CT Charlie Taylor

    5. Young Lingard
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all
      GL with your picks

  2. Magic Hamster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    DCL to wood and bench foden?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not a bad move.

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Foden will start imo

  3. EL tridente
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Who to start?
    A) Bertrand
    B) Saka

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Punting or playing safe? Saka might play in cup and rest in PL whereas B will pay. But Saka may score more highly if he gets a full game.

      1. EL tridente
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Playing safe. Need to maintain my lead in ML and my main rival Will probably start McCarthy, so can Block his points with Bertrand

  4. Hulk Smash
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Do we think D.Silva plays both the last 2 league games?

    Pulisic to D.Silva:
    a) This week
    b) Next week

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think he will, and sit out the cup game. If I had P, I'd bench him this week so I'd so the tran now.

      1. Hulk Smash
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers pal

    2. Adzy
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Exactly same transfer I want to make think I'll do it before deadline the fact it's his last couple of prem games too is swaying it for me

  5. Bees4Lyf
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Need to play my TC this week. Bruno or martial? Any other suggestions?

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Mo Salah - his stats are super and Chelsea can’t defend.

      He is certainly due a massive haul

      1. Young Lingard
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I bsck this
        Salah due
        Liverpool CS due

        If they bounce back
        You get a salah who people are selling and not many are captaining
        It’s high upside if it comes off

    2. Shark Team
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      If you need sure points and you are happy with your current rank then go Bruno. If you want to get a haul (but not sure haul) go Martial

  6. Shark Team
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I was about to captain wood but I don't know if he is benched in order to start JayRod and Vydra... Otherwise I captain Martial

    1. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Doubt he'd a benched - he's just coming back all fresh.

    2. Young Lingard
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Log on here or check twitter before game start
      Burnley are short they’ll start who they can
      And jrod is more likely to be rotated atm

      1. Shark Team
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Oh thanks I forgot about it FPL rockstar will save the day once more

  7. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Jiménez worth a punt as captain? I’m trying to claw back 60 points in the next two gameweeeks

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      The story goes that Jimenez is mr consistent so you’d want to captain someone more explosive if trying to make up a big deficit

      (Ie Jimenez will almost certainly get you 6-9 points but unlikely to get you 20 ever).

      Ings, Salah, Foden, D Silva all more explosive options

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Same thinking. I'd vc him as insurance for a c who's rested after 180 minutes of cup action.

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I'm currently on Jim but thinking Pope

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Never a good idea, but he won't get save points this GW - a safe 6-pointer.

  8. GOATMEAT
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Captain

    A) Bruno

    B) Martial

    Which one would be more secure pick for shielding a lead in ML? Rival has both and not sure of his captain pick. I'm inclined towards Bruno but afraid Tony might haul...

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Go B

    2. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      B. Check his recent home scores.

      1. GOATMEAT
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers!

    3. Young Lingard
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I own Martial
      I may go for him
      Everyone is
      And that’s why if you’re chasing
      Bruno is the pick

  9. Thunder Warrior
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pulisic and Deeney to Stanislas and Rash for a hit?

  10. konrad.sygula95
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hi guys, which option should I choose ?
    A) Lascelles to Bardsley/Pieters
    B) Kdb to D Silva
    C Save the transfer
    D) something else?

    Foster/Button
    VVD/Lascelles/Digne/Saiss/Simpson
    Salah /Kdb/Fernandes/Guendouzi/Pulisic
    Greenwood /Rashford/Jesus

    1ft 0.1itb still have TC chip at my disposal

    1. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Save

  11. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Tark is a no brainer surely if money Is not a worry?

    Kevin Long is also a goal threat though I remember from his fleeting appearances!?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No brainier if you have a FT to burn or are playing FH next GW. I really want to get a Burnley defender this GW but think I will be better off saving and having the luxury of 2FTs next GW.

      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Ok. It will have to be a -4 as injuries to Holgate and PVA have scuppered me rather! I’d have to play either alongside VVD and Justin otherwise.

        Don’t have Pope either so might be good coverage

      2. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Do you have Pope?

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Nope to Pope - team is below

    2. SHOOTER MCGINN
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Currently trying to decide between Long and Bardsley. Don't fancy spending that much on Tarkowski

      1. StayoutheSpiceZone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Interesting. Bardsley is a walking red card though!

  12. Miguel Sanchez
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any need to get a Burnley defender or can I save FT and have 2FTs for final GW?

    McCarthy
    TAA Maguire Doherty
    Sterling Bruno Martial (c) D.Silva
    Vardy Jimenez Ings

    Krul Pulisic Aurier Fernandez 0.9ITB 1FT

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I would get one in. Although not for TAA, I think klopp will want an A1 performance on trophy presentation evening

    2. The Final Boss
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      No..i am getting one in coz I have kiko as the 3rd defender

    3. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Can't see who you'd bench though.

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Maguire

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Trent or Sterling could be worth looking at.

      Likely to be benched Tuesday i reckon.

  13. ZakyJ
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Still trying to work out when I bench boost. I have Mahrez and KDB. Any guess on chances they start this week and chances they start last GW?

    1. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think most likely they will start last gameweek. Play watford 3 days after fa cup, then 5 days rest for gameweek 38. Fa cup final week after if they get there so plenty of rest

    2. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      My guess is a few key players will be rested after cup exertions and you're bench will be called up this week. Therefore next GW might be a better bet.

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      BB final GW and try and save a FT this GW. Might be a cup of injuries or even suspensions in the semis you wouldn’t be able to just from.

  14. Bubbles1985
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Pope captain madness?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      A very likely 6 points

      But Norwich are so bad at attacking will he get any / many saves? Not sure how he usually generates his bps but a game where Burnley are likely to be more dominant may not be best.

      Goalkeeper captains for me rarely make sense as there is huge downside with minimal upside. The max he can realistically score is 10. Whereas an outfield player can get 20+

      But make your own decision!

    3. DF
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Lacks ambition really. 10 point ceiling against 1 of your mids who could get 15 plus.

    4. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      So yes, madness. 🙂

      Salah c it is!
      Cheers!

    5. Andy_Social
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Only do it if you're playing super-safe to protect a ML lead. You'll get 12 points, no more, no less.

      1. Bubbles1985
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Protecting in 1 and chasing in 2 MLs.

        Salah c and Martial vc seems better

      2. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        but probably/ likely less than 12 no?

  15. cescpistols1
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is this team and bench order correct for draft team?



    DDG

    Doherty Alderweireld Basham

    Sterling Traore McNeil Grealish Pepe
    
Firmino Ayew

    

Brooks Bertrand Haller Holgate

  16. El Guasón
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    For those on FH for GW38 are you activating it right away when GW37 deadline passes?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Why wouldn’t you?

    2. Gegenpress
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Probably over the weekend at some point or Monday

    3. Legohair
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Probably yes

  17. Gegenpress
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Salah or Sterling??? Can only pick 1

    1. El Guasón
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Mo

    2. Warby84
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking of Salah to sterling C next week

      1. Andy_Social
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Mo plays for sure. Sterling might rest after cup exertions.

      2. Gegenpress
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Only concerned about 37, I'm FH 38

  18. Warby84
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Cap Salah Aubameyang or Ings, chasing 30points

    1. El Guasón
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Depends who your rival has...Mo best pick

      1. Warby84
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        No one has mo

    2. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Salah - most explosive

  19. orangepeel
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Final decision.

    Is Pulisic to Sterling worth a hit?
    TC to play this week.
    FH next week

    Trailing by 20 in my ML

    My mid is:
    Pulisic KDB Bruno Martial

    His (atm):
    Salah KDB Bruno Martial

    1. Young Lingard
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I was thinking of this hit
      But I actually think salah scores big v Chelsea
      I know you’ve got to go differential so maybe but I think you have nice TC options already

  20. BEEZUS
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Salah to Martial or save the transfer?

    1. Hulk Smash
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Get Martial but not for Salah

      1. BEEZUS
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Can only get Martial in for KdB, Salah or Bruno

  21. Henning
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    What would you do with this team?

    1 ft and 3,8 m in bank

    Pope Leno
    TAA Boly Azpilicueta Stevens Fernandez
    KDB Fernandes D.Silva Martial William
    Jesus Ings Greenwood

    1. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Son for Willian, che tough fixtures and son could haul next 2 games

      1. Henning
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Thanx

  22. Oggle22
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pulisic to Dilva G2G?
    Henderson
    TAA Saiss Egan
    Salah(vc) KDB Martial Bruno(c) Pulisic
    Greenwood Ings

    Martin Lundstarm Aurier Connolly

    Cheers

  23. ZeBestee
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Bench 1;

    1) Foden
    2) Willian

    1. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      1

  24. seanie3
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    playing FH in GW38 and getting rid of Vardy & Lascelles for ..

    a) Auba
    b) Jimi
    c) Jesus

    1) Tark
    2) Dunk
    3) Egan

  25. DF
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Foden to stanislas?

  26. Vazza
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hi guys! Can we reasonably expect either Holgate or Taylor to return for their final games in Gw38+ ?

  27. MGD
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    DDG
    TAA - Doherty - Saiss
    KDB - Sterling - Foden - Bruno
    Jimenez - Ings - Greenwood

    Fodder - ASM* - Aurier* - Lascelles**

    3,1ITB 0FT

    Is (another) hit valid to have a playing bench? Or just sit tight?

  28. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is this the week where Foden gets a huge haul just as everyone has lost patience and benched / sold him?

    Or is that wishful thinking and he is the new DCL?

    1. DF
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Reckon he'll play? What about sterling?

    2. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      For my sake I hope he is the new DCL because I’ve just done Foden > McNeil

    3. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I have a similar gut feeling this week

  29. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pick 2 to play from

    Azpilicueta
    Fernandez
    Stevens
    Egan

    Any ideas would be welcomed

  30. King Kohli
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    How do you cover a 20 pt lead here?

    Me : Sterling + Mahrez + Foden + Rashford + DCL

    Rival : KDB + Martial + Pulisic + Vardy + Ings ( FH left)

    Common players: Salah, Bruno & Greenwood.

    1. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Too much difference to cover I think. Plus he has FH and may have Auba in 38 etc. DCL > Wood in itself is a good move.

      1. Debauchy
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Also good - Wood

    2. Debauchy
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Risky trying to cover a 20pt lead , he could pass you on Cpt choice alone. However that said DCL to Ings would be my move