Metrics
18 July 2020 2444 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Just under a third of Fantasy Premier League managers inside the top 10k are preparing to use their Free Hit chip on the final day of the season.

With 2.6% of them deploying it for Gameweek 37+, that brings the total usage of that chip at this level to 68.9% with one round left to go.

That means 31.1% are saving the Free Hit for Gameweek 38+, a sizeable number and certainly enough for significant change to take place in the top 10k on the final day of the campaign.

Meanwhile, an additional 2.2% of managers at this level will be lining up with a completely brand new squad on Sunday, considering that’s how many of them are yet to play their second Wildcard.

As well as a large number of top 10k line-ups expected to fluctuate between the final two Gameweeks of the season, there will be a noteworthy number of Triple Captains in play.

2.5% of them used the enhanced armband for Gameweek 37+, bringing the total for the season to 91.7%. Therefore, 830 managers from the top 10k are likely to be heading into the final day of the campaign with their skipper armed with a Triple Captain chip.

What all of those numbers boil down to is that 54.3% of top 10k managers have no exhausted their chip supply for the 2019/20 season.

It means that 45.7% of them will have the ability to deploy one on the final day of the season.

As already mentioned, this is a significant portion of the top 10k managers, which could lead to plenty of rank changes in the upper echelon.

Bringing things back to Gameweek 37+, it is the Manchester United attack that will determine the narrative of this season’s penultimate round of action.

Bruno Fernandes (£9.1m) has amassed the highest level of support ahead of West Ham’s visit to Old Trafford, 35.8% of the top 10k managers handing him the armband.

The Portuguese international has now broken the 100-points mark after just 12 games in a Manchester United shirt, which is probably why the top 10k see him as the more reliable option.

However, those who have backed Anthony Martial (£8.5m) can feel relatively secure going into Gameweek 37+ too. The Frenchman has delivered in every home match since the Premier League restart, averaging 16 points per game in that time. The fact that just over 30% of the top 10k made the same decision to captain him, they are somewhat protected in that respect too.

Fernandes and Martial are the only two players to boast more than 100% effective ownership at this level for Gameweek 37+, on 131.9% and 100.8% respectively.

Despite proving unfortunate to blank in his last two outings, Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) has only convinced 7.6% of the top 10k to back him for the captaincy.

However, those who felt confident enough to do so will probably enjoy how few managers handed Salah the armband. Considering how poor Chelsea’s defence has looked on the eye recently, there does appear to be an opportunity for the Egyptian’s backers to make up real ground if he delivers the big haul he has been promising in recent weeks.

Martial’s increasing popularity in the top 10k can be spotted by his showing in the Free Hit squads at this level.

The Frenchman was chosen by 95.1% of such managers, more than Fernandes (91.3%) and more than any other player in any other position.

The Free Hitters were big fans of Manchester United, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m) and Marcus Rashford (£8.9m) both making it into this matrix of most popular assets chosen on them.

They were clearly put off by Manchester City’s awkward FA Cup schedule though. Despite a favourable trip to Watford, Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) is the only Citizen to be given serious consideration by the top 10k Free Hitters this week.

Gabriel Jesus (£9.8m) has suffered a similar fate in the overall ownership at this level.

He was the third-most-popular forward in the top 10k for Gameweek 36+ but has dropped out after the latest deadline.

Replacing him in the template is Raúl Jiménez (£8.1m). The Wolves forward netted against Burnley and faces a Crystal Palace defence that has conceded 15 goals since the Premier League returned.

Outside of that switch, there has not been a tremendous amount of fluctuation in the template between the two most recent Gameweeks, perhaps suggesting that some top 10k managers are holding a free transfer ahead of the final round of the season.

In midfield, Christian Pulisic (£7.4m) has dropped from 50.5% to 32.9% ownership at this level, leapfrogged by Salah, although the Egyptian only rose from 43.12% ownership to 43.2%.

The only other relatively major change is in defence, where Serge Aurier (£5.1m) has replaced Wan-Bissaka in the top-five, the right-back perhaps suffering as managers try to realign how they are tripled-up on Manchester United assets.

Stats taken from LiveFPL.net

2,444 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Amazing how many goals Auba gets from the wing

    1. Greek Freak
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He'd be the top FPL points scorer in the if he was getting clean sheet points and extra point per goal like Salah 😉

      1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Yup, hopefully a mid next year! Will be such an easy pick

      2. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        0 clean sheets under Emery do

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Basically a wide striker. Henry was awesome in that position for Barca.

  2. jdp219
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Ugh. It's because I actually was able to watch this game, isn't it? I should just stop watching City. Would love City to get a stay-at-home defender; they're too susceptible to the break (e.g. Auba's second goal).

  3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    City should sign Chris wood

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Need more than 1 goal.

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        And against more than 9 men

  4. Superflymonk
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Tierney is tempting me for GW 38. It's either him of Antonio. Mind Antonio, heart Tierney.

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Martinez surely?

      1. RamaJama
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Been A blessing in disguise after startup

        1. Superflymonk
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Got Pope v brighton

  5. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Kane and Auba are the same price, it will be a tough choice between the two in a FH team... (at least for me)

    1. SH1M1
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Rotation incoming before the final ?

    2. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’m going both in 38 (have Kane atm)

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Both overpriced imo

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Only for poor 😉

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Nope, for everyone

  6. Karan_G14
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Watford & Norwich will suffer the repercussions of this loss!

    No FA Cup Final means Pep can start his first choice 11 both games as there's lots of time for rest before CL starts.

    1. SH1M1
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I think Pep will still rotate tbh cause the league is done, plus he’ll want to give starts to those on the bench today

    2. Pompel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Not so sure.. morale could be low, and nothing to play for, at least for the like of Sterling and KDB. DSilva might be motivated for a farewell triple-salute though

  7. lilmessipran
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Beat the champions - Check
    Beat the former champions - Check

    Now a loss vs relegation battling Villa would be so typical Arsenal, really

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      This

      So very much this

  8. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Time to get KdB and Sterling off for Watford. Game is done

    1. Nomar
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      This

  9. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Laporte is the one taking shots....

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It was a pretty good hit tbf to him

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        That one was

  10. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Hey fam! 1 FT 0.2 ITB!

    DDG
    TAA Egan Bardsley
    Salah Sterling Bruno Pulisic Antonio
    Jesus Wood

    Nyland Greenwood Saiss Lascelles

    Pulisic to Dilva for free? No brainer?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Only 10 games to go.

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Hahaha, not doing it now surely! Just asking if this is a good plan!

    2. Salarrivederci
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.
      My plan too.

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers mate

  11. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KDB xA looking good.

    1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Has it ever looked bad/low?

    2. fr3d
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      +0.02

  12. have you seen cyan
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Has anyone played 4 back at the back for the majority of the season, and if so how has it gone rank wise?

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Even Magnussen started.

    2. Davido989
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I finished 3k using this but it's very boring, repetitive and dull.

    3. have you seen cyan
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      hmm on paper I always think its a good idea but never do it. 3k is a good finish
      And yea your right a bit boring, if I was to do it I would just shove 4 in and leave them.

      1. Davido989
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I can't do it again, rather have a lower rank and enjoy the game.

        1. have you seen cyan
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          I know what you mean

  13. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Laporte close

  14. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Another Arteta 'Jose' masterclass.

    1. SH1M1
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Oh the irony lol

  15. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KdB has had an average game by his incredibly high standards

    1. Niho992
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      not in rhytm. That's what you get when you rest him too much

      1. Moderately content penguin
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Agreed.

        Until the last few he was pretty much ever present - as many minutes as any premium in the game

    2. Tinkermania
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Don't give him an excuse. He is a pro!

  16. Davido989
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pep needs to win the CL badly.

    1. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Won't. It's Bayerns time to win

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      They don’t look like they can win the community shield

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        This

  17. Total Slotball
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Arteta channeling his inner Simeone this last week

    1. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Is he also good at inducing the oppo into missing sitters?

      1. Total Slotball
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        a keeper who saves everything helps too

  18. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling red?

  19. Niho992
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling RC incoming

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Should be...

  20. Salalalalah
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KDB final pass has been missing today

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Harsh. A few times he has missed. But a lot of the time the shot coming off his pass has been saved, gone close or been blocked.

      1. Salalalalah
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        For his high standards, we expect him to be on money all the time. Still better than any city players today

  21. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Auba lying on the floor

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      So nonchalant.

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Resting

  22. Fred54
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling RC would solve a bench problem..m

    1. Vazza
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I know

  23. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Kola & Holding on

  24. Rainer
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Dilva rested

    1. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      With 2 minutes left

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Funny ain't they

    2. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Whole City XI has rested this game

  25. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    D Silva subbed

  26. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Mustafi off. Arsenal win confirmed.

  27. The Suspended One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Silva rested ; start confirmed!!!

    1. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      XD

    2. Dynamic Duos
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      3 mins hahahah

    3. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      vs Norwich?

    4. Crouching Tiger
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Rested, by missing the last 5 minutes.

    5. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Perhaps from bench

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        1 pt...

    6. Vazza
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Is that wishful thinking?

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Tongue firmly in cheek

  28. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Auba MOTM today but Ceballos and Xhaka excellent too

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      And luiz

  29. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pep is trolling me again.
    Kdb, Sterling and Jesus still in the game even now when it is all over. Gee, that guy is incredible.

    1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Need gametime don’t worry, all had recent rests barring Jesus who usually comes off early in past games anyway

      1. AzzaroMax99
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I hope so.

    2. Dynamic Duos
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Sterling starts false 9, Jesus bench

  30. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Kdb getting angry

    Frustrated foul