Pro Pundits - Holly

The player and team stats that could shape your Free Hit squad for Gameweek 38+

23 July 2020 1681 comments
HollyShand HollyShand
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Holly from Fantasy Football Community looks at some of the key numbers from our Members Area over the last four Gameweeks.

The final Gameweek of the season is here and I’m taking a look at the underlying statistics from the last four Gameweeks, in a bid to sort out those transfer and Free Hit dilemmas going into Gameweek 38.

Note that some players will have seen more minutes than others over this period.

Holly, the founder of FPL Community, has two top 10k finishes in five FPL seasons, is a regular guest on the FPL Show and recent addition to the Scoutcast line-up.

1,681 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Will J 256
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Would you rather have a 4-5-1 or 3-5-2.
    The back four in the 4-5-1 would be Trent, Aurier, Pieters, Bardsley
    Top two in the 3-5-2 would be Kane and Greenwood.
    Hope this is clear

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    1. The Senate
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      I would prefer greenwood to a second Burnley def

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      1. D.Glynn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        I agree with this

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    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      basically benching either pieters/bardsley or greenwood. i would go 352, lei have to attack greenwood could exploit on counter plus weakened defence

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  2. Olesathewheeel
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Chasing 16 points - Rival has FH
    Is it worth doing Mahrez TC?
    He'd probably captain sterling

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    1. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      It's a big risk but if you think that the rest of your team can't cover the difference then yes

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        Hell probably have a better team than me since he has FH :/

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    2. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Triple captain a player you don’t think he will get - not sure about Mahrez

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        I dont think hed get Mahrez, Kane could be an option but I'm certain hed get Kane as well

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    3. Kroneek
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Kane or Salah rather?

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        I've got Kane
        Cant afford Salah

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    4. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      if rest of your team can gain a few points on him then stick with sterling tc. you make up the difference if sterling hauls

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      1. Olesathewheeel
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        I dont have sterling
        Would need to do a -4 to get him

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    5. Puncheon Guly
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      I'm 16 points clear with FH and will probably captain Sterling.

      I wouldn't trust Mahrez to get the minutes.

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      1. toerag
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        this

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      2. Olesathewheeel
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        Surely he gets 60 minimum?

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        1. Puncheon Guly
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 6 days ago

          Maybe, but is he going to get enough points. I'd fear Mane as a differential TC this week

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  3. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Which 3 city of money no object?

    I’m currently on: Sterling, DSilva, Mahrez but I’d really like KDB instead of Mahrez

    Thoughts?

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    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      I would want KDB sterling silva

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    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      sterling and silva for sure and then I like one of jesus/KDB

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    3. beric
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Ill be going with sterl8ng, kdb, silva

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      1. toerag
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        yeah, this one

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    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Coin toss between Mahrez and KDB for that third spot

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    5. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Sterling Jesus Mahrez/Dilva

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    6. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Jesus Silva sterling. Sterling false 9 is a pipe dream for people who don't own Jesus and isn't happening

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  4. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Is a - 8 too much this week do you think?

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    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      depends on your goals etc. Is it just rank or a ML and if so how far behind or ahead are you?

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    2. Captain Scarlet
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Depends on your situation. Chasing, leading, etc. I’m leading, just, and I did briefly toy with the idea of a -8 but settling for a -4. I’m using TC if that influences your though process...

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    3. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      I'm 20 ahead in my ML and considered a -8 to make some blocking moves but the way the last 2 weeks have gone its so up n down. Nearly took out Pullisic and didn't and he even got benched and ended up with 9. So decided max -4 this week. People losing Bruno etc and he gets a pen this week and everyone will regret it etc

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    4. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      bruno has blanked 1 week and everyones moving him out. i wouldnt for a hit, could haul v lei

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  5. Kuzser
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Chasing 20 pts. ML leader's key differentials are Salah and Auba.

    What shall I do with 2ft here guys?
    1) Vardy KdB Taa -> Kane/Auba Sterling Pieters for -4
    2) Vardy KdB -> Wood/Ings Sterling
    3) Vardy Willian Doherty -> Wood Sterling Pieters for -4
    4) Vardy Willian -> Kane/Auba Dilva
    5) Vardy Willian KdB-> Ings Mane Dilva for -4

    McCarthy
    TAA - Doherty - Baldock
    KdB - Mahrez - Fernandes - Martial - Willian
    Jimenez - Vardy

    Subs: Greenwood Lascelles Lund. Krul

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    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      4 kane

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  6. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    What to do this week? I have 1FT and 0.2 ITB , No FH

    Martinez, (Martin)
    TAA, Doherty, Tarkowski, (J.Robinson, Ngakia)
    Mane, KDB, Bruno, Martial, (Guendouzi)
    Vardy, Jiminez, Greenwood

    Cheers

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    1. poulteren
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      downgrade doherty and uograde gendouzi

      drop vardy

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  7. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    How much advantage do you think, the FHers have over someone with no chip left?

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    1. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      20-30 pts I think

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      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        No chance FH will get 20-30 points over the top 10k average..

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    2. Greek Freak
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      That's tough to quantify, as I have no doubt that some free hits will score less than the original teams 😛

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    3. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Random guess: 15pts

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    4. Captain Scarlet
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Pot luck on the day, really! It should be an advantage but given Pep roulette, some potentially shock results and underperformances...

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      1. Greek Freak
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        This. Most free hit teams are only a couple of surprise results and a Bernardo Silva hat-trick away from scoring less than the originals!

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        1. Rolls-Royce
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 6 days ago

          Haha agreed. Hoping for a FH mega haul though as I am having to make up 20 points against a rival with no chips left.

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    5. drughi
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Alot considering the fixtures, plus there will be alot of -4 and -8

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    6. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Maybe 4-8 (1 to 2 hits) points over an active manager who has been planning.

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    7. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      The fixtures are as such that I don't think there's any huge advantage as all big hitters could haul.

      A well set up non FH team could easily outscore any FH team.

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    8. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      My current team might actually outscore my FH team.

      Can see FH going horribly wrong if Man Utd/Wolves players do well.

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      1. Rolls-Royce
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        True that. Here's hoping likes of Salah, Kane, Mahrez turn it up...

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    9. LAMELA_AND_CONSUELA
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      It is very difficult to assess and in my opinion it can be assessed only on individual basis, which mean you can compare points of your real team you would fielded in given week with the FH team. For me it was over 30 points swing between old team and FH team.

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    10. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Not sure. Would guess 15 - 20 for a sensible team. The encouraging thing (for those with the chip) is the number of non FHers taking hits to get the FH template.

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      1. Boywiththesoupdragontattoo
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        Let me make that more specific... the number of people considering hits (based on the comments here) to get the kinds of players that are in the mix for the template. There, that took all the drama and interest out of my original reply.

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  8. DAZZ
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Mccarthy
    TAA Pieters Tarkowski Doherty
    Bruno KDB DSilva Sterling (c)
    Jiminez Ings
    (hendo, awb, greenwood, mcneil)

    1FT 0.0ITB

    6 points at the top of my ML with 2cd playing free hit. Im the under dog no doubt, what move can i look at?

    Thinking Doherty > Digne or Tierney? Need to make the most of this FT

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  9. FOO FIGHTER
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Hi all

    I am chasing someone who is 10 points ahead.

    My team

    Patricio
    TAA Dunk Aurier
    Salah Sterling Dilva Martial Fernandes
    Jesus Greenwood

    He does not have Salah but has KDB Sterling Martial and Foden. Not worried about the rest of his team.

    So I was thinking Martial to Son FT and that should do it? Or Jesus to Kane?

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    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Leave it as late as you can for city team news in case Jesus doesn’t start.

      Either of your transfers are good though

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  10. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Aurier vs TAA

    Obviously I’d prefer TAA but how much worse a pick is Aurier?

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    1. Ruinenlust
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      TAA and Greenwood or Aurier and Ings?

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  11. Dosh
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Bruno --> Mahrez -4?
    He seems like the most fun pick for the last day.

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    1. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      I wouldn't. But if you're going to do it, capt him.

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    2. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Like it

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    3. Planet_Marss
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      no chance

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  12. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Mendy + Antonio or Mahrez + Greenwood on FH?

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  13. OutofShorts
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    It appears my remaining FH dilemma comes down to....
    A. TAA & Ings
    B. Aurier & Aubameyang
    Admittedly last time I played Aurier over TAA it massively bit me in the arse but feel a last gasp hail mary might be in order to gain mini league ground

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    1. Pegboy
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      A

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      1. OutofShorts
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        Never Aurier again still ringing in my ears

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  14. barton fc
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Ederson (button)
    TAA VVD boly (Taylor kiko)
    Salah KDB bruno martial pulisic
    Jesus Greenwood (connolly) 2FT 1.2ITB

    Best option?
    A) pulisic + bolly > pepe/Antonio + tark
    B) jesus + pulisic > kane + Dilva
    C) ederson + pulisic > Pope + mahrez

    Would love at captain sterling but my team doesn't really allow for it

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  15. Muller Reus Corner
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Mane to Sterling TC or Pulisic and Bruno to Sterling TC and fodder (-4)?

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    1. Twisted Melon
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      I would lose Mane

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      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        Ok, do you reckon Liverpool will be on the beach?

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        1. Twisted Melon
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 6 days ago

          potentially and Chelsea need a win so wouldn't want to lose Pulisic

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          1. Muller Reus Corner
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 6 days ago

            Yep. Do you think the Chelsea game will be open then? I have Doherty, so should I keep or get rid for a hit?

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            1. Planet_Marss
              • 7 Years
              6 years, 6 days ago

              12 points earns a keep imo

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    2. redsallstars
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      and bruno could haul, hes blanked once and everyones getting him out. if you can afford robertson then i would do that. if not then keep doherty, not many better options for a hit

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      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        I like your thinking and Bruno might punish those sellers. I have enough for Robbo, but will he be rotated?

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  16. Twisted Melon
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    A)Doherty to Walker/Mendy
    B)Fernandes to Dilva/Mahrez

    (Already have KDB and Sterling)

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    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Depends if you have other utd assets

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      1. Twisted Melon
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        have martial and greenwood

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        1. Muller Reus Corner
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 6 days ago

          Do B and go for Dilva

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  17. joelsprylar
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    1) Antonio, Salah, Greenwood and Jesus

    or

    2) De Bruyne, Martial, Richarlison and Ings

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  18. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Choose one out of:
    TAA - Bardsley
    Salah - Antonio
    Ings - Greenwood

    25m to spend on the chosen trio so who to go?

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    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Salah, Ings, Bardsley

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  19. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Who would you rather for the last spot?

    A) Ings
    B) Pulisic
    C) Antonio

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    1. Meme2011
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      C

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    2. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      A or C it depends on how many goals their teams will score. Go for Antonio imo

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  20. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Help me here :
    A) Pulisic
    B) Ings
    C) Antonio

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    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      B

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    2. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Similar situation for me, but I want to get Sterling in and have to lose Pulisic or Antonio. I would say Ings

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    3. Meme2011
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      C

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    4. Shark Team
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      So close between Antonio and Ings. If you think West Ham will score more goals than Southampton then go for Antonio.

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  21. Meme2011
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    repost to new feed:
    i know Ritchie is my weak link and is the obvious transfer out but do i change Martial/Bruno instead to go for a match winner?

    0.7m ITB

    Pope

    Aurier
    AWB
    Ritchie/Saiss

    Martial
    Bruno
    Sterling
    D.Silva

    Jesus
    Lacazette
    Ings

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  22. drakesdrum
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    BB this week (I know, a complete waste).

    My bench is Foster, Nketiah, C.Taylor & Holgate.

    Worth a -4 (-2) Holgate to Pieters?

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    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      Yep

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    2. jtreble
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      “... I know, a complete waste ...”. You’re kidding, right?

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      1. drakesdrum
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        In terms of which week to play it I mean. I missed the deadline for the first week back lol.

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        1. jtreble
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 6 days ago

          Lots of juicy potential BB points for the taking this game week imho ...

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  23. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Which FH team scores more?

    A)
    Ederson
    TAA - Robertson - Aurier
    Salah - Martial - Dilva - Sterling - ANTONIO
    Kane - GREENWOOD

    B)
    Martinez
    Pieters - Bardsley - Diop
    Salah - Martial - Dilva - Sterling
    Kane - AUBA - JESUS

    C)
    Martinez
    Pieters - Aurier - TAA
    Salah - Sterling - Martial - Dilva - MAHREZ
    Kane - INGS

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  24. Tsparkes10
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    People still think it's stupid to go without Man U on a FH??

    Martinez
    TAA Pieters Laporte
    Dilva Sterling KDB Antonio Son
    Wood Kane
    (Martin, Gwood, Lamptey, Williams)

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    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      4 City 😮

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  25. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    FH draft
    Martinez button
    TAA Robbo Pieters (Thomas Williams)
    Fernandes kdb dilva sterling (Davis)
    Aubameyang Greenwood Kane

    No Salah/mane
    Also keeping Greenwood & Fernandes as ML rival who's 20 odd points behind me has them both & am looking to shield their points
    Thoughts?

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  26. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Which are the best 3 out of those players with 25m to spend on?
    TAA Bardsley / Salah Antonio / Ings Greenwood

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  27. toerag
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    didnt realise Ederson was on for the golden gloves as well as pope... city def anyone

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  28. Le _ Professeur
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    ML situation at the moment is a bit tricky:

    1- Rival 2115
    2- Me 2115
    3- Rival 2114
    4- Rival 2093

    I've only D.Silva as Man C MID so I'll be looking to get Sterling/KDB and probably Kane too, but that would probably cost me a (-8) or (-4) hit .. would that be risky considering my case ?

    Question simply, Is it wrong ( more risky ) to take hits in this tight situation ?

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  29. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    Is Foden to Dilva worth a hit?

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    1. JelliedSpark968
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 6 days ago

      yes, but look for leaks before doing it

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      1. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 6 days ago

        Thanks

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  30. Oooo Matron
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 6 days ago

    G2G? Anything worth a - 4 with nothing itb?

    Pope
    TAA Aurier Pieters
    Mane Mahrez KDB Fernandes Foden
    Kane (C) Wood

    Subs: Jiminez, Doherty, Lascelles

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