Pro Pundits - Holly

How underlying statistics can help cut through variance of FPL this season

8 October 2020 587 comments
HollyShand HollyShand
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It has been the most remarkable start to a Fantasy Premier League season in recent memory and arguably the hardest to predict accurately. So what now for FPL managers?

There has been a bucket-load of goals, an abundance of penalties, and yet so many of us are struggling to gain real traction in the Fantasy rankings.

As each team has come into the campaign with different preparations, and some even starting on a Blank Gameweek has hampered transfer progress for Fantasy managers and robbed us of easy access to consistent trends.

But the Fantasy Football Scout Premium Members Area holds the key for isolating these from the perspective of underlying statistics.

Delving deeper into the data yields greater clarity on the reliable trends for our FPL sides going forward as we try to pinpoint our transfers and potential wildcard plans for Gameweek 5 and beyond…

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  1. sledger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Loads of managers thinking of getting rid of Liverpool defense after one nightmare .
    Last three seasons
    Trent 6G 30A 38CS
    Robbo 3G 29A 44CS
    VVD 9G 6A 43CS

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    1. Rhinos
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Every season is different. Rather spend funds up front. That doesn't mean those 3 are bad picks, it's just a different strategy

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      1. thewakka
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Yeah, simply bench your LIV defenders.They will return later

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    2. thewakka
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      It doesnt have to do with stats only. Their first goalie is out, and easy to blame the number of goals against them on this

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    3. Don Kloppeone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      No one (hopefully) thinks they won’t be back at the top averaging over the season but are they worth using up the funds now? That’s a bigger question and justifiably some are going without FOR NOW (big disclaimer!)

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    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      price last 3 seasons?

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  2. LloristheHounds
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    A; KDB, Brewster, coady
    Or
    B) pulisic, Watkins, robbo
    ??

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    1. Rhinos
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      ???

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    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B

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    3. Don Kloppeone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B

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  3. Cak Juris
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Please choose the best one:
    A. KdB - Soucek - Bellerin
    B. KdB - ASM - Lamptey
    C. Bruno - Trossard - Bellerin
    D. Bruno - Bowen - Lamptey

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    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B

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    2. Don Kloppeone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B of those

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    3. The Rock
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B

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    4. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Funny how ASM suddenly is a "good" choice again after one haul.
      I would go B with Soucek

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  4. Don Kloppeone
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Morning gents

    On WC:

    A) 3-4-3/ 4-4-2
    Martinez, Forster
    Chilwell, ROBBO, SEMEDO, DALLAS, Mitchell
    Salah, Son, Rodriguez, GREALISH, BISSOUMA
    Kane, DCL, MAUPAY

    B) 3-5-2/ 3-4-3
    Martinez, Forster
    Chilwell, KWP, SAISS, COOPER, Mitchell
    Salah, Son, Rodriguez, KDB, SOUCEK
    Kane, DCL, BREWSTER

    Currently on A but is the weaker defence and Brewster in B worth it to get in KDB now?

    Thanks!

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    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      A

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      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        That’s what my gut says but until just before I hadn’t managed to put together a draft with Kane, Son, DCL, KDB, Salah, JRod. So now it’s made me think!

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    2. tim_mullaney3
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I like A might work out well but I’d have an easy way of getting kdb in if you do

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      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        The “easy” way if I went with A and wanted to move for KDB would be to drop Kane and Robbo to fund.... so potentially not easy at all!

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    3. LWB
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      A but I favour Ayling over Dallas

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      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Thanks. It’s very close between them. Dallas edges the stats slightly due to xGI and xG but Ayling more potential for assists.

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    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      A

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      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Thanks mate. Thought I’d have a lot more ‘B’s due to KDB!

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    5. The Big Pig
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I'm also on a WC and am looking at a lineup very similar to A. By having the same midfield I can have a much more balanced squad overall.

      I am thinking of swapping Kane to Aguero for GW10 to cover the City attack.

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      1. Don Kloppeone
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Have in mind the same thing with Kun unless KDB becomes unavoidable before then!

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  5. balint84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    play Watkins or ASM?

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    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Watkins

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    2. badhombres
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Watkins

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    3. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Watkins

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    4. Don Kloppeone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Ollie

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  6. tim_mullaney3
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Thoughts on taking a -4 to get in maupay and son for Werner and Foden

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    1. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Yes

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    2. badhombres
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      good swap

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    3. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I hate Foden as an fpl pick

      So absolutely yes

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    4. Don Kloppeone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Nice moves

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  7. The Rock
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    3 Villa and 2 West Ham if she was to WC now. Somehow I think if we give it another couple of weeks this won't be the case.

    Bit of balance is needed, we're only a few games into the season.. It doesn't make the likes of Konsa and Cresswell good options. And just because Liverpool haven't been too solid in defense so far, doesn't mean we should be going without TAA and Robbo. Make no mistake, they will still both be the top 2 point scoring defenders in the game by the end of the season.

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    1. Captain Kakaroto (I blame R…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Agree.
      I find our community so reactive, and I am part of it of course. It could be that Adrian will lower Liverpool number of CS but it is not really only up to him, the whole defense was shambles against Villa.

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    2. Seanigula
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      That may be true about TAA, but the point is still to have him when he’s actually scoring. If you brought him in from the start, it’s cost you a ton of points. Lots of cheaper options would have got you mire points and saved you 2 million to allow you to get Kane or Hamez or others. It’s not like you couldn’t just bring him in later when clean sheets looked more likely for Liverpool.

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  8. dekikide
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Why Son's price isn't going up?
    fplstatistic show he should go up day after day, but he remains 9.0

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    1. Don Kloppeone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I think WCs are skewing a lot

      Or it could be FPL Towers jiggery pokery

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      1. Amey
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Latter one

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    2. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Hopefully the latter. Hope they do this regularly so people lose intrest in fpl statistics. Horrible site, responsible for people panic buying and the prices rising fast. Best thing FPL have done in ages if it is them messing it up

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  9. LloristheHounds
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    WC active

    A 3-4-3
    Martinez (4.0)
    Robbo, Chillwell, Saiss(lampety,dunne)
    Salah, son, Hames, Grelish (bissuma)
    Kane, Werner, Brewster

    B- 3-4-3/4-4-2
    Martinez (4.0)
    Chillwell, Saiss,coady, (lampety, Dallas)
    Salah, KDB, son, Hames (Stephens)
    Kane, maupay, Brewster

    Thoughts?

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    1. LloristheHounds
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      C
      Martinez
      Robbo, Chillwell, Saiss( lampety, 4.0)
      Salah, son, Hames, PULISIC(bissuma)
      Kane, Watkins, maupay

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    2. badhombres
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Werner? B

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    3. GOONER
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Where is DCL?

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  10. Caleb's Kitties
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Thoughts on WC team? Removing KDB for Kane.

    Martinez forster
    Robbo chilwell reguilon ayling 3.9
    Salah son havertz rodriguez 4.4
    Kane DCL watkins

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    1. badhombres
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Havertz + Watkins -> Grealish + Wilson / Maupay?

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    2. LWB
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Pulisic for Havertz?

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  11. LloristheHounds
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    A:
    Werner, Brewster, Grelish

    B:
    Maupay, Watkins, pulisic

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    1. GOONER
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Any option without Werner

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  12. Bullet Eder
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    The sample size this season is too small to draw accurate conclusions using data. This was evident on the latest episode of FPL Black Box. Salah wasn’t even discussed as a captaincy option because of Villa’s “amazing” defensive record - but they had only played 10-man Sheffield United and a woeful Fulham side. Liverpool’s defence was just as leaky at this stage last season, then look what happened. Normality will be resorted after the international break with the transfer window closed. I think we’ll see fewer goals and less violent variance.

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    1. badhombres
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      break-even fallacy

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  13. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    “ At the opposite end of the table, it’s a worry to see that Wolves have scored the fourth fewest number of goals (four), with three of those coming in Gameweek 1.“

    Please fix this; Wolves only scored 2 goals in Gameweek 1, not 3.

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  14. Ramsays Raw Steak
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    So i activated my wc
    After giving the armband to kdb
    I i have fallen behind
    I dont see the point now of having dcl kdb bruno all the guys with high ownership because i need to play catchup
    Im thinking of going murphy rashford sterling semedo grelish
    What u think?

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    1. Ramsays Raw Steak
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Havertz

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    2. Sean
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Only been 4 GWs, even with high ownership players you will go straight back up the ranks with a couple good captaincy decisions

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    3. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      But the people with kdb bruno aren't high up in rank. You'll still go up

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      1. Ramsays Raw Steak
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Banana pudding

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      2. 2OLEgend
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        I'm at 60k with KDB and Bruno from GW 2. I'm holding both.

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        1. Ramsays Raw Steak
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          I was 500k
          Now 2m

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          1. 2OLEgend
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            RIP

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          2. 2OLEgend
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            Obviously not because of KDB and Bruno then

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  15. GOONER
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    A) Grealish & Lamptey
    B) Bamford & Chillwell

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    1. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      A better long-term imo

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  16. CrouchDown
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    IB barely started and I already have 3 injury concerns:

    Auba
    Sterling
    Brewster
    Coleman

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    1. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Sterling and Brewster should be fine. Auba should be Salah anyways

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  17. Old Wulfrunian
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    I am thinking to get Cavani in for Werner.

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    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      😆 why would you do that?

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      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Crazy season,crazy move!Do you think that Ighalo will start?

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        1. Zimo
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Cavani is self isolating. Won't be available for newcastle match.

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    2. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Would be a giant differential. Most people in here will tell you it's madness, but I like the punt.

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      1. Party time
        6 years, 8 days ago

        United fan spotted

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    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Someone said he might not be fit for the Newcastle game

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      1. 2OLEgend
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        That's a legit concern, yeah

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      2. Zimo
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        He has to self isolate because he just came to the country

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    4. thegaffer82
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Nah. This is a party I definitely don't want to be early for.

      I'm comfortable with watching from the sidelines before making that move.

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    5. Party time
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Wait & see for me, if he looks like a fantastic option then we may feast on his points

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    6. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I am pretty sure Cavani is in quarantine for 14 days so misses Newcastle game

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    7. Old Wulfrunian
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      thanks all

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  18. IRBOX ⚽
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Why are people using WC now? The ideal time would be GW8-10 when fixtures drastically shift negatively for Spurs and Wolves and turn amazing for City and Liverpool and to a lesser extent West Ham (Antonio and Soucek). The other option is to hold for the blanks and doubles around GW18

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    1. thegaffer82
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      We have transfers you know?

      Between GW's 8-10 you can bring in 3 or 4 of those players - and even more if you are willing to take hits.

      If you're team is a mess now, you should definitely WC to sort that out now. And, then use transfers to manage your team after that.

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      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Good luck getting rid of 2-3 Wolves and 2 Spurs in the blink of an eye for United and others.. each to their own

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        1. thegaffer82
          • 15 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          A blink of an eye?

          You yourself gave a 3 week period?

          Also, I think you are stuck in the past RE fixtures. Fixtures are becoming more and more meaningless.

          Wonder how many people removed ort benched Villa assets because they were playing Liverpool last week. In fact, someone in my mini-league benched Grealish.

          If you are playing fixtures this year. Good luck. You'll need it!

          Each to their own....

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          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            Fixtures dictate form.. always has, always will

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            1. thegaffer82
              • 15 Years
              6 years, 8 days ago

              I love how sure you are on everything.

              Whatever pal. I'll play the game based on what I'm seeing in front of my very eyes.

              You play it based on your dogmatic belief system.

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              1. IRBOX ⚽
                • 9 Years
                6 years, 8 days ago

                Excuse me? I’ve stated my thoughts and you’re in disagreement and henceforth became argumentative?

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                1. thegaffer82
                  • 15 Years
                  6 years, 8 days ago

                  Opinions usually start with something like "I think/I reckon"

                  You just state your opinions like they are indisputable

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                  1. IRBOX ⚽
                    • 9 Years
                    6 years, 8 days ago

                    Of course I think what I’m saying. Adding the obvious seems superfluous

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                    1. IRBOX ⚽
                      • 9 Years
                      6 years, 8 days ago

                      I really don’t care if you’ve spunked your WC, I just think there are much better periods to utilise

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        2. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Nobody in their right mind has 2 or 3 wolves players on a wc.

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          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            Quite a few would have run with Saiss, Podence and Jimenez

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            1. FC Hakkebøf
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 8 days ago

              Not on a gw5 wc

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              1. IRBOX ⚽
                • 9 Years
                6 years, 8 days ago

                Their next 3 are great to be fair

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    2. FPL Theorist
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      They have a 7 digit OR and are way behind in MLs. Which apparently trumps the logical thinking you lay out.

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      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        This guy gets differing view points, yet so many here feel so strongly with herd mentality that they cannot see varying possibilities of their decisions

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    3. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Irbox, please adjust your tone away from the tone of a borderline internet troll, which is what you currently sound like. You are employing the classic traits of a forum troll - stating things with certainty, causing arguments, then backtracking and saying yes it's only your opinion but you don't need to say that.

      The way you currently express yourself has a negative effect on the level of conversation on this forum.

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      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        I find it impossible to convey tone in text but well done if you can decipher that from semantics. You may not like my post style, however, that does not make me a troll so please do not comment as such. Cheers

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        1. Zimo
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Dude there's very clearly a problem here when there is an argument on almost all of your posts. He's just trying to help you.

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          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            So only sheep with identical opinions are entitled to operate on online forums now?

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            1. Zimo
              • 8 Years
              6 years, 8 days ago

              Why do you take offence to everything? You having a different opinion is not the problem which

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              1. IRBOX ⚽
                • 9 Years
                6 years, 8 days ago

                I haven’t taken offence to anything here!? I am however offering a differing view point which for some unbeknown reason gets shut down as ‘trolling’!!

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              2. Zimo
                • 8 Years
                6 years, 8 days ago

                Sorry hit sent without finishing.
                Which baines on toast clearly said. It's your way of saying it. It comes off as every other opinion is wrong except yours.

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            2. IRBOX ⚽
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 8 days ago

              I also don’t see any argument at all. I see discussion with different view points which is conducive to good content. If millennial snow flakes cannot see that then we have a very very sad world

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      2. IRBOX ⚽
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Furthermore is this not an open discussion of which I have posted my thoughts with well thought out and logical reasoning? Just because people disagree does yet again not infer trolling

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        1. Baines on Toast...
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          It's not about what you say, it's how you say it. You must know this on some level.

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          1. IRBOX ⚽
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            Conviction in opinion is something I strive for. What’s the point of fence sitting? I offer my opinion here that is all.. I may be incorrect at certain times, however, all I’m doing is offering an opinion

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            1. Baines on Toast...
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              6 years, 8 days ago

              Fair enough. I will leave it there.

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  19. thegaffer82
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Brewster owners....

    Is this the game week where we unleash him on our team? Or are we worried about a possible cameo and 1pter?

    I'm very tempted to play him over Podence this week before benching him for the following three tough games after that.

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    1. IRBOX ⚽
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Not sure why anyone would own Brewster with the plethora of amazing forward options but good luck with whichever choice you make

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      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Best enabler in a 4-4-2 or 3-5-2, but definetely with you on that one

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      2. thegaffer82
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        There's loads of Mid's to choose from too?

        So I could say why do you have Bissouma/Anguissa etc... when there's so many amazing mids?

        Fact of the matter is, I want to have a 4.5 8th attacker. Brewster looks BY FAR the best option (if you can say that without him having played a minute's football)

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        1. IRBOX ⚽
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Because you won’t play the 5th mid ever. I would bet any amount of money on 3 forwards outperforming 4-5 mids when factoring price and points

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          1. thegaffer82
            • 15 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            I will play Brewster though, if he has some good form and an appealing fixture. Why not?

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            1. IRBOX ⚽
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 8 days ago

              Because Sheffield cannot score goals and are going to get relegated!?

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      3. El Presidente
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        I get what you say and I have heard it before. But what you guys FAIL to see is this:

        1. He is a great option to rotate with a 5-6million 5th mid and thus enabling different tactical approaches interchanging between a 3-4-3 & 3-5-2 for example.

        2. On top of point 1, owning Brewster is a great route to own a premium striker (Kane, Aguero) and at the same time keeping your midfield heavy hitters.

        It's a strategy and like any other, results will determine it's accuracy.

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    2. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Its still Sheff......they dont create a million chances

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    3. Zrinkec
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      SHU literally have worst attacking game in league with FUlham, avoid.

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  20. FC Hakkebøf
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    3 Yearsjust now
    How is she looking? (wc)

    Martinez
    TAA Chilwell Ayling
    Salah Son Pulisic Rodriguez
    Kane DCL Maupay
    ____
    Steer Marcal Stephens 3.9

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    1. Party time
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Happy Birthday buddy. It looks good to go

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      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Haha! Douche 😛

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        1. Party time
          6 years, 8 days ago

          😆

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    2. IRBOX ⚽
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      No City is concerning

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      1. FC Hakkebøf
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Easily fixed on 2 FT later on

        A) Sterling, Robbo and Lamptey
        B) Kane, TAA and Pulisic

        Who fo you reckon score more points?

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        1. IRBOX ⚽
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          KDB and Trossard will easily beat Kane and Pulisic

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          1. FC Hakkebøf
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            Ha, no way 🙂

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        2. FC Hakkebøf
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Chilwell not Pulisic

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  21. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Who would you look to captain gw5?

    A....son v hammers

    B.....kdb v arsenal

    C....salah at everton

    Thanks

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    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Prolly A or C.

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    2. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I'm gonna put the armband on KDB personally, but who knows in this crazy season

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    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      A or B - leaning towards Kevin

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    4. Party time
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Salah

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    5. El Presidente
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      d) Someone else

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    6. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I am going with Son who will be well rested after 2 weeks just in training and no games to play

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      1. Flynny
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Going to be a split

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    7. drughi
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      KDB and feeling confident about it

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  22. Andrew
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Am I on the right track with this WC team?

    Martinez (Button)
    Reguillon Chilwell Justin (Mitchell Dallas)
    Salah KDB Son Hamez (Bissouma)
    DCL Watkins Ings

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    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Ings is too expensive imo. Get a liverpool defender and downgrade to Maupay

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    2. balint84
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      fine

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  23. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Bruno and Podence to Son(c) and Grealish?

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    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Yes

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      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Sorry it is a -4

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    2. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I would not sell any of those for a hit tbh.

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      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Abit sideways isn't it ?

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        1. IRBOX ⚽
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Points chasing.

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        2. 2OLEgend
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          A bit sideways yeah. I think that Grealish could be a good long term move. Was thinking about doing Podence to Grealish myself, but I want to stick with Podence's good fixtures for some more GWs. I also think Bruno is going to deliver big points this season, despite ManU looking like shite atm. Any other way of getting in Son? He looks like the value-pick so far this season

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          1. El Presidente
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 8 days ago

            He already has 3 returns in 2.5 matches with ManU playing like shite, imagine when engine is firing...

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    3. Party time
      6 years, 8 days ago

      No brainer

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    4. Seanigula
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Maybe just Bruno to Son...Son looks as likely to score as anyone in the game

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  24. Vazza
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Which combo is better

    A. Wilson, Branthwaite

    B. Watkins, Jamal Lewis

    Note that I currently have 3 playing defenders and Nathan Ferguson..

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    1. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B

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    2. balint84
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I trust B more

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  25. balint84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Lamptey or Zouma? Who nailed more?

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    1. Studs Up
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Lamptey

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    2. Seanigula
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I think Zouma...but could Rüdiger staying effect that? He seemed to be their best CB over the last few seasons, but I don’t know why they’ve lost faith in him.

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      1. Seanigula
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Christensen is also an issue, though he seems awful to me....find the money for Chilwell

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      2. CostaCoffee
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Rudiger is 5th choice cb

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  26. Mitos77
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Is Regulion and Zouma nailed?

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    1. balint84
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Regulion is in rotation with Davies.

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      1. IRBOX ⚽
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        No he’s not. Mou doesn’t rotate. Davies will be consigned to the Europa League

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    2. 2OLEgend
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Pretty sure Regu is nailed on, yes

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  27. Shawcus
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Is episode 6 of Mark and Az's Black box out yet, and if so, is there a link please?

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    1. Joey Tribbiani
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      http://letmegooglethat.com/?q=fpl+blackbox

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  28. Fit_to_drop
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Views on this WC?

    Martinez
    Saiss Robbo Chilwell
    Son Grealish Hamez KDB
    DCL Kane Antonio

    Forster ASM Mitchell Kilman

    If I want Salah in, I have to downgrade Robbo and 1/2 others to turn Hamez into Salah

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    1. Zimo
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      I'd downgrade ASM to have money itb for upgrading KDB to Salah just in case

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      1. 2OLEgend
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Agreed. ASM -> Bissouma

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      2. Fit_to_drop
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Sorry, forgot to say. I have .7 ITB in the bank with the above squad.

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        1. 2OLEgend
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 8 days ago

          Anyways, I think Biss is gonna get equal points to ASM. Might as well save the extra cash if he's mainly on your bench

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    2. IRBOX ⚽
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Going without Salah is a recipe for disaster mate. Lose one of Son or Kane

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      1. Fit_to_drop
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 8 days ago

        Im gambling on the fact that those 2 (Kane and Son) both haul at various stages in the weeks ahead. I need to make up a bit of ground (like everyone else). Can get Salah in, in other ways though and have kept money back for it.

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    3. Hint
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 7 days ago

      Its good - though I've done as you suggest - see below

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  29. skodaole2
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    Bench one of
    a) Martinez
    b) McCarthy

    and one of
    1) Dier
    2) Castagne
    3) Justin
    4) Reece J.

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    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      b
      1

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    2. FC Hakkebøf
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      B 4 (latter will prolly be benched)

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  30. Camzy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 8 days ago

    I'm seeing some debate come up about fixtures vs form again. We have this debate every year. Inevitably someone defies the fixtures and goes on a hot streak and then everyone says fixtures don't matter any more.

    I don't think that's the case. I think what is the case, is that we are not evaluating the fixtures correctly.

    Home and away advantage is much diminished this year, so I would amend the fixture ticker to give the home team a much slimmer advantage. A team's absolute strength is now a bigger determining factor.

    Everton, Villa and West Ham off the back of their strong results should be given upgrades in terms of fixture difficulty, Sheffield United, Fulham, West Brom and Burnley given feeder status. The latter 4 are particularly good to target for defensive returns.

    More trends will show, but once we can actually know who the good and bad teams are, we can work on our fixture tickers and target the bad ones.

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    1. FPL Theorist
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 8 days ago

      Excellent post. Time-honoured FPL tactics don't suddenly go out the window just because of a short period of unusual results. With new information, you should adjust your beliefs by a proportionate amount, not by a disproportionate amount, and try to see how the new information fits with existing theory -- which says fixtures are quite important.

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