Football Index
11 December 2020 129 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Comparison is the thief of joy, apparently, at least it is according to former US president Theodore Roosevelt.

All well and good, Teddy, but you clearly never saved hundreds of pounds on your car insurance using a certain type of website.

And you didn’t use Football Index either.

Football Index is a kind of stock market where people use real money to bet on football.

You buy shares in individual players whose value can rise or fall depending on their performance both on and off the field.

I’m actively using FI this season with more than a nod to FPL, seeing which aspects of each game marry up, and which don’t.

So at the risk of stealing even more joy, it’s time to compare how the top scorers in FPL are doing in FI.

Top of the FPL shop is Son Heung-min, with 100 points.

Just behind him is team-mate and assist stooge Harry Kane (98pts), while FPL’s major star of recent years, Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah, is third on 87 points.

We’ve gone into plenty of detail about the fourth-placed star, Bruno Fernandes (80pts), so we’ll move on from him with just a parting mention that FI share prices are volatile at the moment.

As a result, while the Man United midfielder is still the most expensive player in the market, his £7.52 value is over a pound down from the last time this column was published a week ago.

That brings us to number five in the FPL charts, and the game’s most popular asset (61.7% ownership), Everton striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who is on 78 points.

So how are this quartet faring in FI?

Starting at the top, with Son, the answer is… differently.

Over the last three months, which neatly matches the start of the 2020/21 Premier League season, the Spurs star’s price has yo-yoed, peaking at just over £3 and dipping well below £1.

It’s now up 5% overall at £1.98, which is excellent in the grand scheme of things, while he’s also brought in £0.44 per share in dividends, all of which have come from his fine match day performances rather than any extra from media coverage.

A lot of that is down to him producing a striker-like output from a midfield berth, which has also helped him massively in FPL.

Harry Kane (£4.78) has out-performed his team-mate on the dividend front.

The striker has brought in £0.62 per share, with a fairly even split between match day (£0.28) and media (£0.34) pay-outs.

But his price has dropped, down 20% over three months; now may not be a bad time to consider a bet on the England international, perhaps.

Salah (£2.20) has lost even more share value (-29%) than Kane, has produced nothing in media dividends and just £0.16 in match day extras.

The Liverpool icon has been fantastically consistent in FPL this season, producing decent returns in seven of his 10 league starts.

But Gameweek 11’s double-digit haul against Wolves was only his third such score this campaign – and the others came in the first four games.

That lack of truly explosive performances has harmed his media prospects. As has his generally stable footballing life, devoid of transfer rumours and what have you. In fact, the biggest Salah news this season was his Covid-19 positive test following his brother’s wedding.

As for Calvert-Lewin (£1.32), he’s managed only £0.02 in media dividends and nothing at all from the match day pot, while his price is down 27%.

It’s worth mentioning, however, that the Everton striker’s share value across the year is up 55%.

And there’s something else to factor in with all these players – performance dividends that are paid out across the first 30 days of ownership.

Much like FPL, goals and assists are rewarded – with money rather than points – throughout that 30-day ‘honeymoon period’ after you buy into a player.

So Salah’s Gameweek 1 hat-trick against Leeds, for instance, would have earned his shareholders an excellent pay-out. What it might not have done was earn them a match day dividend as well because that relates to performances in all of Europe’s top leagues, so the best Premier League player on a certain day won’t always be the star turn across the entire continent.

I mentioned that we wouldn’t be going big on Bruno this week.

I lied.

He’s out-performed everyone else in FPL’s top five, with £0.94 in dividends thanks to six media pay-outs and two match-day number one placings (and six in the top five overall).

Even then, his share price is down 25% on its mid-July peak of around £11.60, but Fernandes has been providing consistent returns for his owners (in both FI and FPL) for the best part of a year now.

The takeaway from all that? Much like FPL, buying into a player at the start of a good run of fixtures could earn you excellent rewards.

But chasing value is a trickier prospect in FI as share prices are more changeable than FPL’s transfer market, with a long-term view also important in many cases.


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129 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Party time
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Par(ty)ers Unite!!!

  2. Miniboss
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Hello everyone

    My wildcard team below, currently still undecided if I should go with Bruno or Son. What do you think?

    A) stick
    B) Bruno & Balbuena -> Son & Chilwell/Reguilon

    McCarthy Button
    Robbo James Dallas Targett Balbuena
    Salah KdB Grealish Bruno Soucek
    DCL Bamford Davis(fodder)

    0.3 itb

    1. Party time
      5 years, 7 months ago

      A

    2. Warby84
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      A

  3. tommo123
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Captain this week

    KDB
    Fernandes
    Son
    Vardy
    DCL

    Pick one

    1. King Kun Ta
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Son for me

    2. KGFC
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Son

    3. Party time
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Vardyyyyyyyyyyyyy

    4. Warby84
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Vardy or De Bruyne

  4. KGFC
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Will Matip keep his place for now? Looking for Pool defence cover over next few GWs.

    1. Firmino
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Yes but could be rotated for Palace game

    2. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Think Matip is a waste of money. At 5.5+, you'd want a defender that can get attacking returns. Their defence aren't even solid as well.

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      They’ll want to keep him fit so likely to miss the odd game.

  5. Jamb0
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    What to do here guys? I have 0.0itb and 2FT's:

    McCarthy
    Chilwell Robbo Dallas
    Salah KDB Grealish Jota
    Vardy DCL Bamford

    Forster Lewis Bissouma 3.9

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Maybe DCL out for ings

    2. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Vardy to Wilson, Jota to Son. Can easily see the latter outscore the former.

    3. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Doesnt really need anything, shame to waste a transfer but with 0 ITB it a bit of a challenge to do anything too.

    4. Salan
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      You may consider to remove DCL out... by Wilson/Watkins...

    5. nadman89
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      jota to raphinha

  6. ralfb
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Triple captain salah vs Fulham?

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      I'm captaining him but I wouldn't go TC when it's not a DGW, there's a chance he doesn't start or get short minutes.

      1. ralfb
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Quite often my tc in dgw in recent years only played one match and was rested the other

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      No way.

  7. George James
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Mo Salah or No Salah?...

    Martinez
    James • Robertson • Chilwell
    Grealish • KDB • Son • Podence
    Werner • DCL • Vardy

    Steer / Lamptey / Coufal / Bissouma

    A) Werner + Grealish >> Brewster + Salah -4

    B) Werner + Son >> Bamford + Salah -4

    C) NO SALAH and roll FT

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure any of the players you want to remove are worth removing for a hit. C.

      1. George James
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 7 months ago

        Yes it’s tough thanks. Only other way is KDB for a hit and bring straight back. Not ideal

  8. Bielsa Murderball
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Play one:
    A) Dallas
    B) KWP

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. ivantys
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. George James
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      A.

      Thoughts on my post above mate?

  9. tinear
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Captain who?

    Salah
    Son
    Kane
    DCL
    Grealish
    Bamford
    Fernandes

    1. Flair
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Salah

  10. New Post
  11. trimpos
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 7 months ago

    Who to bench?

    Bamford
    Grealish
    Walcott

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      Walcott.

    2. Warby84
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 7 months ago

      100% Walcott