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15 December 2020 1202 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Fantasy Premier League managers will already have one eye on the end of Gameweek 13 when Bruno Fernandes (£11.0m) visits Sheffield United.

Manchester United are not in action until Thursday evening when their midfield maestro shoulders the responsibility of 1.2 million captain armbands.

No asset comes into Gameweek 13 backed by that many, although among the top 10,000 managers, he plays a secondary, yet not insignificant, role.

As you can see, Fernandes was seen as the best alternative to Kevin De Bruyne (£11.9m) for the Gameweek 13 captaincy, backed by 28.1% at this level.

The strength of the Portuguese international’s following makes for a gap of just 4.2 percentage points compared to Manchester City’s number 17, who was chosen as skipper by 32.3% of the top 10k – and blanked in a favourable home matching against West Bromwich Albion.

Meanwhile, at least 20% of the top 10k are expecting goals at Anfield on Sunday, despite predictions of Jose Mourinho spoiling the occasion with his big-game conservative approach.

That’s because 11.0% of these managers have captained Harry Kane (£10.9m), FPL’s highest-scoring asset with just one blank since Gameweek 2.

Meanwhile, Mohamed Salah (£12.3m) has blanked just once at Anfield this season, convincing 9.1% of the top 10k to captain the Egyptian for Gameweek 13.

Jamie Vardy (£10.3m) completes the top-five continuing as a niche captain at this level with 5.4% backing for the armband ahead of facing Everton.

Incredibly, De Bruyne is still something of a differential among the top 10k.

Despite coming into Gameweek 13 as the most popular captain in this rank bracket, three more players can boast higher effective ownership.

As already alluded to, Fernandes is the most significant of these, sitting in 61.1% of top 10k squads and his captaincy backing taking him to effective ownership of 89.2%

Kane (81.2%) and Son Heung-min (78.5%) remain powerful effective ownership weapons, each one at least six percentage points better off than De Bruyne in this department.

This season best-performing Fantasy managers are slowly losing patience with the Chelsea defence.

Ben Chilwell (£6.2m) came into Gameweek 12 as the top 10k’s most-fashionable defender – sat in 56% of their squads at the last deadline.

However, James Justin (£4.9m) has overtaken him for Gameweek 13, edging past by 0.01 percentage points, although Chilwell has still suffered a decrease of 5.6 percentage points of his own.

Kurt Zouma (£5.7m) and Reece James (£5.3m) also suffered mild decreases in popularity at this level, owned by 30.1% and 24.3% respectively for Gameweek 12 and just 29.7% and 23.5% after Tuesday afternoon’s deadline.

For the second Gameweek in a row, the midfield is the area of biggest fluctuation, although the top-four players in this position have held onto their places in the template.

Diogo Jota‘s (£6.9m) injury sees him drop out of the top five while De Bruyne finally creeps in with 39.6% ownership.

Assessing how the top 10k made room for him in their squads is difficult considering that Salah’s ownership has stayed the same between Gameweeks 12 and 13, Son dipped from 79.9% to 77.3%, while Fernandes and Jack Grealish (£7.8m) have all increased their popularity at this level.

There has not been any sign of sacrificing funds up-front to facilitate changes in midfield either.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.9m) suffered only a minor ownership decrease (from 72.2% to 71.1%), Kane’s has remained virtually stable and Patrick Bamford (£6.3m) became more popular, rising from 54.4% top 10k ownership to 57.6%.

Wildcards continue to fall slowly among the top 10k as another 1.2% of them pulled the trigger on a new squad for Gameweek 13.

Unsurprisingly, interest in the Triple Captain and Free Hit chips was low indeed, although there was a smattering of Bench Boost deployments.

In fact, roughly as many made use of the enhanced bench as did Wildcards this time out – an interesting decision considering recent announcements about Double Gameweek 19.

Continuing the trend of top 10k managers finally taking notice of De Bruyne, we can see that he is the most popular midfielder on Wildcarders at this level for Gameweek 13.

Only Kane was chosen more often by such managers for the midweek deadline, the general theme of these Wildcard selections clearly involving templating-up among the forwards and securing the key premium midfielders plus Grealish.

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  1. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 2 months ago

    What’s the best strategy for people with WC for gw18/19?

    A) FH in gw18, build WC for gw19, if you want bench boost it
    Or
    B) FH on gw19, build WC for gw18 with strong bench

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      A

  2. FourLokoLeipzig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 2 months ago

    Just asking again as I didn’t get any replies on the last page. Those of you that are good with the price change predictions, does Soucek look like rising in 15 mins? Seems borderline to me from the FPLStats site? Thanks for any opinions!

    1. lugs
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      no, but you never know

      1. NABIL - FPL otai
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        This. Better wait after whu vs cpl

    2. Pukki Blinders
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      Even if he does rise, you are better off waiting till the games are played

    3. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks for the replies. Would price me out of swapping Sterling and Brewster for Soucek and Kane. I really want to wait until the latter two have played though... so fingers crossed!..

  3. OPTA FPL
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 2 months ago

    Justice for Stone owners ffs, they have kept 6 CS in a row with Stones

  4. Clintymints
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 2 months ago

    Would you rather a permanent back 3 in a 352 of...

    Robertson James Dier

    Or

    Robertson James Lamptey/Lewis rotation

    Or

    Robertson James Taylor/Balbuena rotation

    A and C also have Brewster as the only other sub b has no Brewster

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      B easii

      1. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        Brought Lewis in and don don don

        Wickham. It was between him and Delap

        Wickham is currently red flagged but he would likely play more than young Delap

  5. Amartey Partey
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 2 months ago

    Kilman to Konsa before the price rise?

    1. Boomerang V
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      I just did Kilman to Taylor. If you don´t have Martinez like me in goal a Villa defender is nice. But I wouldn´t double up.

      1. Clintymints
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        This

      2. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        Yeah, good thinking. I was debating Taylor too. I think I will just hold for this GW and go ahead with my plan of Vardy to Kane with my one free.

    2. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 2 months ago

      Good move.

      I'll be doing Kilman to Taylor a bit later since I can afford a price drop.bought him at 4.2

      1. Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        Nice one. It's such a shame about Kilman being dropped. Looks a decent CB.

    3. Pinturicchio10
        5 years, 2 months ago

        I wouldn't buy a Villa defender now. Fine to keep, especially Martinez for those who have him, but the upcoming fixtures aren't great and they don't have a dgw while also having a poor fixture for the dgw.

        1. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          5 years, 2 months ago

          True. It is a bit of a risk. I was thinking of rotating him with Vestergaard when he has a tough fixture like city away, but probably better to go for someone cheaper like Taylor.

          1. Pinturicchio10
              5 years, 2 months ago

              I'd much prefer Taylor. I actually have Konsa and probably won't even field him next gwk.

              1. Amartey Partey
                • 6 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Yeah, Burnley defence is starting to look good again. I will make the transfer next GW and put my faith in Vestergaard at home to city.

      • Who are all Lukakus
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        Martinez 4.0m
        Robbo* Chilwell* Zouma* Dallas* 4.0m
        Salah* Bruno* KDB Grealish 4.5m
        Bamford* DCL Welbeck
        Currently I have 7 players for DGW19. From now to GW19 I have 5 FT, so that I can have up to 12 DGW players without hits (given no injuries covid etc...). That makes me think, is BB GW19 really worth it? With 12 DGW players, your BB give you only 5 extra matches, just one more compared to BB in normal GW (4 extra matches).

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 2 months ago

          Worth it. DCL Son Grealish can all do well in 19 despite 1 game

      • Gabbiadini
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 2 months ago

        West Ham has a seriously nice double in gameweek 19... Bowen.

        1. NABIL - FPL otai
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 2 months ago

          Soucek Coufal and Balb/bowen for me

        2. Pinturicchio10
            5 years, 2 months ago

            Yeah superb fixtures. It would be nice if Antonio was fit.

          • I Must Break You
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 2 months ago

            Fabianski should also be considered

        3. Boomerang V
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 2 months ago

          If you had Vardy, Bamford and Wilson, would you take a hit to upgrade Vardy to Kane?

          1. NABIL - FPL otai
            • 13 Years
            5 years, 2 months ago

            Yep

          2. Pinturicchio10
              5 years, 2 months ago

              No

            • Clintymints
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Prob not

            • Ini
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Not for a hit. imo they can score against anyone.

            • Amartey Partey
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              I have the exact same forward line and will be transferring Vardy out for Kane. I think it's a close one because Kane is at home and has the potential to get double figures against Leicester's dodgy defence, but then Vardy scores almost every game so he has a great chance of scoring a goal.

          3. Ragabolly
            • 16 Years
            5 years, 2 months ago

            Risers: Mahrez (8.5) Mount (6.9) Konsa (4.8) Targett (4.6)

            Fallers: Aubameyang (11.4) Bale (9.3) Cavani (7.9) Fornals (6.3) Trossard (5.8) Doherty (5.7) Mitrović (5.5) Bellerín (5.1) Kebano (4.7) Choudhury (4.7) Hendrick (4.7) Noble (4.6) Manquillo (4.3) Kilman (4.2) Saliba (4.0) Struijk (3.9)

            1. NABIL - FPL otai
              • 13 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Cheers Raga. 0-1 but nothing to worry

              1. I Must Break You
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Thank god. We were all worried

                1. NABIL - FPL otai
                  • 13 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Awww you shouldn't have

            2. Bada Bing
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Saliba has to be one of the biggest epl flops of all time. 30 million transfer fee and he can't even make the bench in a dreadful Arsenal team.

              1. OPTA FPL
                • 14 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Haivertz

                1. Bada Bing
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  At least he's playing... 😉

              2. Capocannonieri
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Bournemouth is calling his name, he needs to play somewhere

            3. Capocannonieri
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Auba should be 6.5 by now, he’s scoring own goals

            4. Dreams
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Mahrez has to be the biggest troll of the year. Scores once in 10 gameweeks and lives on that performance till the next haul.

            5. JohnnyCroat
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              0-0 & feeling chill... 10 from 5 (14 & a hit), the rest of the guys can dig me out. Aguero is back and so long as City and WHU win out I'm taking the title...

          4. Pinturicchio10
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Sterling/Justin out for Son/TAA is what I have planned for next gwk. 13.6pt increase in the RMT tool 😆

            • baines is god
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              People angry at City and saying dump their assets are talking nonsense.

              City remain the best team in the league. That's not a statement of opinion, but of objective fact. They start games as the shortest price favourites, have the highest expected goals, and even though they're no longer slight favourites for the league, as they're 5 points behind, are still considered the strongest side by the objective betting markets.

              Tonight they were 1/10 against WBA with an expected goals return of over 3. The fact it didn't materialise and they only scored once and didn't win is largely irrelevant. You can't be results orientated in your conclusion. KDB was the correct captain for this gameweek objectively. Anybody who says or thinks otherwise is just wrong.

              Fantasy sports is not a gut instinct shot in the dark game. It's science. If you're ranked 3 million and you want a differential pick to give you the best chance of making a miracle run then go and captain a differential. But acknowledge it's a mathematically suboptimal decision.

              City remain the team with the best prospects for their players going forward.

              1. jia you
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                thank you for clearing that up God 😉

              2. FPL.team
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                If KDBs two assists on a plate are scored suddenly everyone talks so differently.

                It's sometimes fine margins, on another day he has a good score and everyone is talking about how obvious KDB was as a pick.

                1. jia you
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  KdB is def still one of the very best assets and captaincy options on the game...City are almost bound to come good in upcoming games...he won't leave my team in the foreseeable bar injury.

              3. Bushwhacker
                • 6 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                This is factually a bad take. I have City assets but that doesn’t take away from the fact they are failing to fire more often than not and currently sitting 6th, potentially 8th in the league when games in hand are counted. If you watched 90 mins today they were labored and ran out of ideas against arguably one of the weakest teams in the league. Is KDB suddenly a worthless asset - no, absolutely not, to your point they COULD hit five past their next opponents - but arguing they’re the best team in the league is 2018 talk.

                1. Bushwhacker
                  • 6 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  And I’m not angry, its a game of luck and City seemed like a solid bet tonight. Such is life.

              4. Cok3y5murf
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Stopped reading when you said fantasy sports was science.

                1. jia you
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  as a Scientist that made me lol

                  1. baines is god
                    • 14 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    but what else could it be?

                    Science is physicalism. Everything has laws, probabilities and likely outcomes. Sport is the same. Fantasy sports is the same. Or do you think that just because unlikely things happen, (unlikely meaning they do happen but just at a lower frequency than likely things) somehow the whole thing is just random.

                2. baines is god
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  in that sport, like everything else in the world, has rules, laws and probabilities.

                  Or do you really think sport is random? That it's totally incalculable, and betting prices are just wild numbers plucked out of thin air that bookmakers put on their site.

                  You don't know what you're talking about but it's ok, most people in this community seem to have no fundamental idea that probabilities, odds and statistics exist objectively in the sports betting world and live in blissful ignorance so you're not alone

                3. FPL.team
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  You read most of it then, well done you.

              5. FPL Laurenzo
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                I don't know what KDB being the correct captain objectively means? No one is wrong who says otherwise. He was factually the incorrect captain which in this game is the only thing that matters.

              6. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Good luck with keeping your City assets.

                I'm finding alternatives that can give the potential to score similar points, if not better

              7. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Your argument is flawed as it seems to be based on bookies odds being a clear measure of statistical probability - they aren't.

                Of course they are strongly tied but there is much more to running a book than simple probability.

                As an example if you bet on England to win the World Cup in England you would get worse odds than if you did it in a bookies in another country - the probability England will win the World Cup is obviously the same in either location just an English bookie will be taking more bets on that outcome and thus manage their liability accordingly.

                Even by your own flawed logic were true then you clearly contradict it by saying they are the best team in the league yet aren't favorites to win it - you can't have it both ways ........

                1. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Not that this means KDB was a bad captain choice who should instantly dumped.

                  In this I agree he wasn't although I think the fact Utd have 2 days more rest and importantly a day more than the Blades make Bruno a better one. He could of course miss a penalty and end up on 0 ........

                  It's your base premise I disagree with.

                2. panda07
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 13 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Well put

                3. baines is god
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  the vast majority of betting is now done online, with sites that offer services to people from dozens of countries including the UK. The prices are the same on England winning the World Cup on bet365 whether you're on the site in France, the UK, Russia or Japan.

                  Often in shop bookmakers in the Uk, will take a big cut on England, so England may be trading on the online exchanges at 10/1 to win the World Cup, but you'll only get 5/1 in William Hill.

                  But the online exchange price like a stock exchange is usually the most accurate indicator of probability there is

                4. George Sillett
                  • 10 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  It's simply volumes of punters cash which drive the market after the initial tissue.

              8. panda07
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                You could also objectively say that Liverpool are the best team in the league seeing as they won it by 20 points last season and are joint top this season. The bookies aren't always right and the odds they offer are influenced by how punters are betting.

                1. baines is god
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  there's no such thing as right. Bookies aren't a group of people. There are sports betting companies that offer odds (which they take from betting exchanges where people trade with each other).

                  You're right that on smaller markets, sometimes to limit their exposure bookies will move lines, however this isn't the case on a major market like the premier league outright market

                  1. Bram
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    "Bookies aren't a group of people. There are sports betting companies that offer odds (which they take from betting exchanges where people trade with each other)."

                    Actually whilst all bookies all generally usually use the same basic odds feed of vanilla odds it is exactly "a group of people" - (typically known as the sportsbook team) who then vary those odds from company to company which is why different bookies offer different odds on the same event ............

                    1. baines is god
                      • 14 Years
                      5 years, 2 months ago

                      in some cases yes. Some bookies use asian pricing system so literally tie their prices to exchanges like betfair exchange or matchbook, but you're right most UK bookmakers, w.hill, b.victor etc, do have teams of traders offering individual prices, although even this is very algorithmically done and traders often only intervene to move a price if the odds on an exchange change or if they have an overlay of money on one side and can't lay it off on an exchange i believe

                      1. George Sillett
                        • 10 Years
                        5 years, 2 months ago

                        The face of bookmaking changed forever when the exchanges arrived on the scene. Many of the original racecourse bookmakers were effectively gamblers themselves and would stand large bets. The days of Freddie Williams facing up to McManus are long since gone.

                        1. Bram
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 16 Years
                          5 years, 2 months ago

                          This is certainly true along with companies like Open Bet offering white label type solutions meaning there are so many more online companies.

                          Certainly the days of a major bookie being able to pick a race and essentially manipulate the odds are well and truly gone.

                      2. Bram
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 16 Years
                        5 years, 2 months ago

                        It's also worth noting that in setting the odds bookies will assume everyone starts and not worry about concepts such as Pep roulette which makes their use flawed.

                        This said it's not really relevant to this specific example as I was pretty sure KDB would start.

                        As I say I'm not arguing against the fact KDB was a good captain pick I think there was very little between him and Bruno. I'm just saying you can't use bookies odds to say;
                        "KDB was the correct captain for this gameweek objectively. Anybody who says or thinks otherwise is just wrong."

                        And as I say even if you could you couldn't then argue that City aren't favorites but they are the best team as this contradicts your own argument.

                  2. Harn1
                    • 11 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    "there's no such thing as right."

                    "KDB was the correct captain for this gameweek objectively. Anybody who says or thinks otherwise is just wrong."

                    Which one is it? You can't have both.

              9. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                This graphical season ticker may help you plan.
                https://twitter.com/BenCrellin/status/1338878442050363392/photo/1

                Currently my thinking is to build to a team I'll probably bench boost in gw19 and free hit in gw18.

                It won't be a 15 dgw side in gw19 though as I've failed following that strategy before going 15 dgw'ers and being outscored by sgw options - e.g. Spurs play the Blades gw19.

                1. Bram
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Wrong post

              10. Rosey Palmer
                • 12 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Just able to watch the City match recorded earlier...De Bruyne could have had 2 or 3 assists if his team mates could have finished a tad better. Keeper made some great saves...but really a matter of inches numerous times from a KDB monster haul. Beautiful crosses and passes on a plate...just no finishing today from City.

              11. Capocannonieri
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Science? That word is losing value every day. Probably game, yes, not science

                City had 5 players were very high odds to score, two did not start.

                The guy that did score had odds closest to the goalkeeper scoring.

                City are a challenging bet because they lack a talisman player. They swarm the other team but you can’t say who will score.

                KDB is on a terrible unlucky streak. He could have 90 points in the last 4 weeks. But he did not

                Good trade, not great overall outcomes

              12. themaindanger
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Can't say I agree. You cannot say City are the best team in the League with their current league position. The fact they couldn't beat WBA, who have the worst defensive record in the league speaks volumes. They do create a lot of chances, but they are wasteful. Their chance conversion is terrible. I only own KDB from City. I'm not transferring him out yet, but currently I don't own Salah. I was planning on major team surgery and a -8 to bring him in for GW15, but now considering swapping him for KDB and

            • sunzip14
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              I have DCL, Son, Mahrez, KDB, Grealish, Lamptey, Brewster* & Mitchell* who have fixtures in BGW18. Is building on this with 5 more transfers to ride out BGW18 and FH for DGW19 the logical thing to do? Or do teams playing GW18 have poor fixtures from GW20 onwards? Any help much appreciated!

              1. Congressman
                • 14 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Just take note that Liverpool, Chelsea, United and Leicester have blank GW20. If you do the above, then you will be without their players in GW20.

                1. Congressman
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Sorry, I meant blank GW18.

                2. sunzip14
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Really? Hearing it for the first time. If that is the case, it's Spurs vs Liverpool and the other 3 playing another 3 set of teams. How can only these 4 teams blank?

                  1. Congressman
                    • 14 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Just check the schedule in the FPL app. You'll see who's playing and who's not.

                    1. sunzip14
                      • 9 Years
                      5 years, 2 months ago

                      Thanks. I did and saw the fixtures for GW20. Hence my question above. I didn't see your correction before I replied.

              2. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Plenty will FH18 as GW20 with them isn't great with no Pool/United.

                1. sunzip14
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Thanks TM. GW 20 its Pool vs Spurs again. United has appealing fixture but maybe the FT for that week can target a Utd asset. Will have to spend some more time on planning, I guess.

                  1. NABIL - FPL otai
                    • 13 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Pool vs Spurs is not a big problem. The so called premium assets can score good points against anyone

                    1. sunzip14
                      • 9 Years
                      5 years, 2 months ago

                      This is pretty much well known to anyone playing this game but we still do justify our moves by citing the fixtures 😀

                      1. NABIL - FPL otai
                        • 13 Years
                        5 years, 2 months ago

                        Form over fixtures

                        This, too, is pretty much well known to anyone playing this game. Still they are easily blinded 😉

                  2. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Guess you can avoid Pool in GWs 18-20 then.

              3. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                "Do teams playing GW18 have poor fixtures from GW20 onwards?" This you have to figure out yourself. Many things can happen between now and then.

                Fwiw since I no longer have FH, I will ride out bgw18 and use bb or tc in 19. Will WC in 20 if necessary, or keep it for later use for better advantage

                1. sunzip14
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Can one have a decent side on 18 and use the same team to BB or TC in 19? How many DGWers from your team in 19 play 18?

                  1. NABIL - FPL otai
                    • 13 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Maybe it won't look decent on paper but imo as long as you can field 6-7 players, all hope is not lost. I see many are already planning 3 City, 3 $purs n a few Villa n Wolves in the team for 18, but even that doesn't guarantee you can survive 18. Last night games were perfect example.

                    My Spurs n Villa players and even DCL who will play in 18 could also feature in 19. Probably gonna bench Mo and Bruno that week.

              4. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                This graphical season ticker may help you plan.
                https://twitter.com/BenCrellin/status/1338878442050363392/photo/1

                Currently my thinking is to build to a team I'll probably bench boost in gw19 and free hit in gw18.

                It won't be a 15 dgw side in gw19 though as I've failed following that strategy before going 15 dgw'ers and being outscored by sgw options - e.g. Spurs play the Blades gw19.

                1. sunzip14
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Thank you very much!

            • Goodricke
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Well, Salah to KDB for -4 and (C) was an astounding success.

              1. sunzip14
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Break even with Salah blank and KDB plays BGW 18, so maybe a win 😛

            • TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Anyone else only change their captain to KDB in the last 30 minutes?

              1. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Ouch

                1. TorresMagic™
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Would be a miracle for Bruno to blank away.

                  1. NABIL - FPL otai
                    • 13 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Won't happen 😉

              2. Holmes
                • 12 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                I didn't even consider anyone else for captaincy 😮

              3. WE GO FOR IT
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Almost did. But had terrible experiences while changing captain at the last moment previously, so stuck with Bruno.

              4. Mile Plankton
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                I had it on KDB the whole time and switched to Bruno 2 minutes before deadline.

                1. sunzip14
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  So, you mean we KDB cappers still have hope? 😀

              5. Rosey Palmer
                • 12 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Yeah, was on Penandes all week. I still think it was the right call to make up ground....that o.g. was super unlucky and KDB could have had 3 assists on another day. I guess we shall see on Thursday how much the choice will hurt us.

              6. MagicMessi
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                I changed to Sterling

            • Holmes
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Why did Cancelo and Dias start! I was looking forward to Lookman points 😀

              1. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Why did you play roulette in the first place 😉

            • TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              LMS EO's top 5 left

              Bruno 109, Salah 75, Grealish 74, Bamford 73, DCL 70

              1. Albrightondknight
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Owning the top 4 probably doesn’t help after KDB C fail.
                It could be worse if Spurs were playing someone else there would be the Kane and Son EO to deal with.

                1. TorresMagic™
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Son 48, Kane 34.
                  Top 4 is still a nice blocker if you have a decent gap from the current safety score of 3. A DCL haul would probably knock me out.

                  1. Albrightondknight
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 10 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    I am talking in general. I am well gone from LMS.

              2. sunzip14
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                In that case, I might need Lamptey, Taylor and Justin to keep me going in the LMS 😀

              3. WE GO FOR IT
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Have Top 4 and Kane.
                Bruno (c) as well. Hopefully, I stay on for another week unless DCL and other differentials go berserk.

                1. TorresMagic™
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Bruno(c) will probably be enough.

                  1. WE GO FOR IT
                    • 10 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Let's hope so!

              4. Caleb's Kitties
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Chances of survival without bruno with 13 pts? Got the other 4 though. Kdb(c) played.

                1. TorresMagic™
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • Has Moderation Rights
                  • 16 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  You'll have a good idea in 24 hours 🙂
                  Would want a nice gap then.

            • Albrightondknight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              So is it probable we will have the usual blank and double gameweeks from GW31 onwards.
              If so I will try to go without a FH in GW18.

              1. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Very decent approach

              2. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                GW26 possible blank
                GW29 blank
                GW32 possible blank

                GW26 possible DGW
                GW32 possible DGW
                GW37 DGW (LMS final GW)

                1. NABIL - FPL otai
                  • 13 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Sweet..think I'm keeping my WC for the later stages

              3. Albrightondknight
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Thanks guys if I look at my planned transfers again for the next few weeks I can probably get 7-8 out in GW 18 and can hold the FH for later in the season.

            • Jrot94
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Am I crazy?

              Don’t love BB on week 19 because it means using transfers (and money) to upgrade non playing keeper and last two bench spots. Means For weeks after week 19 I’d have a lot of money tied up on bench...feels short sighted

              I’m leaning FH in 18, TC in 19 (salah? Bruno?) and buying assets I want long term with a DW in 19. Use BB later in season

              1. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                You can WC in 20 to dispose them, or easing them out one by one.. no worries

                1. Jrot94
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 12 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Not worth WC in 20, rather use to set up next batch of blanks/ doubles. And I think it’s a Loooooot of transfers to sell bench players and then spend the money

                  1. NABIL - FPL otai
                    • 13 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    We'll see. City United Villa are among teams still to have DGW after 19, so might not be that bad idea

                2. Sanchit
                  • 10 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  So you use all your chips? What will you do when the other matches are rescheduled?
                  City United newcastle Villa will definitely have another DGW

                  1. NABIL - FPL otai
                    • 13 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    If I WC 20, I'll be having just TC for next DGW. Will try to keep both

              2. themaindanger
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Plenty of good defenders and GK options around 4.5. A couple of transfers to revert back to a 4.0 GK and defender and you are good to go from GW20

            • Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Why do pool chelsea United and Leicester blank in gw20? Nothing shown on the fixture list?

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Scroll up, he meant GW18

              2. sunzip14
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                They don't. It was a mistake from a guy who replied to my post, which he corrected.

              3. Salah’s Sonnet
                • 14 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Ahhh ok cheers guys, was a bit lost then.

            • NABIL - FPL otai
              • 13 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Guess you can avoid City in GWs 14-19, based on last night's performance

              1. NABIL - FPL otai
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                *I

              2. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Chelsea too.

                1. NABIL - FPL otai
                  • 13 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Chilwell to Dier in 16. 3 Spurs in 19 😉

            • Caleb's Kitties
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Just noticed 48 hrs apart between gw15 and 16 fixtures for MCI making me think KDB could be rested for gw15 vs NEW. Followed by chelsea in gw17. I'm selling KDB for Bruno.

              1. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                DCL rested vs Sheffield and saved for Man City then too?

                1. Caleb's Kitties
                  • 10 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  DCL looks a better bet than KDB to play both games

                  1. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Carlo already said DCL will get a rest.

                    1. Caleb's Kitties
                      • 10 Years
                      5 years, 2 months ago

                      Oh damn

            • Von Lipwig
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Current back line:
              Chilwell Cresswell Zouma KWP Kilman

              Zouma to...

              A) Dias
              B) Cancelo
              C) Dier
              D) Other?

              Thanks for any advice 🙂

              1. Holmes
                • 12 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                C

              2. Sanchit
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Why transfer out Zouma?

                1. Von Lipwig
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Can't keep double Chelsea on current form

              3. WE GO FOR IT
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Dier

              4. themaindanger
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                C

            • SpaceCadet
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Kilman drop means I can’t afford Balbuena now. Any suggestions for a nailed defender for 4.4m? Thanks.

              1. Holmes
                • 12 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Taylor

                1. SpaceCadet
                  • 12 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Cheers

            • Live Lad
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              as we load up on DGW 19'ers, what do we do with possible DGW before for early season blanks which might call for a DGW before 19?

              1. Sanchit
                • 10 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                From what I've read. Those fixtures will be scheduled later.
                So no DGW before 19, but some after 19 for sure

              2. Salah’s Sonnet
                • 14 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                I’m a bit lost there

                1. Live Lad
                  • 11 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  me too. if there is no DGW before 19, we can build our team without the use of WC to field a good BB team. We already have many of them anyway. Just need two playing keepers etc.

              3. TorresMagic™
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                No space really.

                1. Live Lad
                  • 11 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Easy if that is the case. Ben said otherwise. We already have many of the DGW 19 players and just need to do slowly to get a good BB team get a playing no. 2 keeper.

                  1. TorresMagic™
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • Has Moderation Rights
                    • 16 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Who's your GK?

                    1. Live Lad
                      • 11 Years
                      5 years, 2 months ago

                      McCarthy

                    2. Live Lad
                      • 11 Years
                      5 years, 2 months ago

                      Please help me TM. I am eyeing to burn a FT. Might as well get DGW 19 players. The problem is there is no cash itb. Need to downgrade. Grealish to Bowen but insane to do with their fixtures this week. Can't touch Wilson before Fulham. Can do him to Che to upgrade the GK. Ideally I want Meslier too for the DGW. I can do Wilson to Joelinton from Wilson to get the Leeds keeper. Please suggest TM. Thanks a lot.

                      McCarthy
                      Chillwell, James, Targett
                      Son, Salah, Grealish, Bruno(c), KDB
                      Bamford, Wilson

                      Subs: Forster, Dallas, Brewster, Dunne
                      0 itb, 2 FT.

                      1. Live Lad
                        • 11 Years
                        5 years, 2 months ago

                        Meant Wilson to Joelinton obviously.

                      2. TorresMagic™
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • Has Moderation Rights
                        • 16 Years
                        5 years, 2 months ago

                        Let the games play.
                        I might lose Wilson if he blanks again.

            • Live Lad
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              I need to burn a transfer.

              McCarthy
              Chillwell, James, Targett
              Son, Salah, Grealish, Bruno(c), KDB
              Bamford, Wilson

              Subs: Forster, Dallas, Brewster, Dunne
              0 itb, 2 FT.

              (1) I can do Grealish to Bowen (in prep for 19) but their fixture difficulties are opposite. Grealish might get an early DGW according to Ben.
              (2) McCarthy to Meslier (both have tough fixtures this week but in the coming weeks Leeds have easier fixtures) and I can get back McCarthy just before 19 by downgrading someone. to have both of them for BB.
              (3) Wilson to Che Adams (again opposite fixture difficulties)

              (4) Chillwell to Coufal but not good for this week.
              (5) any suggestion?
              (6) Just be helpless and hope the coming week is a good week.

            • Salah’s Sonnet
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              What would be the best approach going into these blanks and doubles without the FH chip? Foolishly played it out of desperation, and still could use another 5 of them haha, but how best would you approach it all with no FH?

              Thinking just to squeeze as many DGW’ers in into GW 19 and then sort everything out with the 2nd WC GW 20?

              Completely forego GW18? 🙁

              1. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Probably focus on teams that play in gw18 and have a decent sgw fixture gw19 - e.g. Spurs & City

                1. Salah’s Sonnet
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Cool, so you mean just go into GW 19 not really having that many DGW’ers and then WC in GW 20? Sorry just a bit confused.

                  1. Bram
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    5 years, 2 months ago

                    Well I wouldn't necessarily wc in 20 as you may well want that for the later dgw but yeah you can get a decent gw18 side - maybe accept fielding 9 or so with good fixtures gw19. A lot of the dgw are a bit meh - you'd fancy Spurs option v Sheff Utd would outscore many dgw options.

                    West Ham probably the main out stands out as a nice dgw with no game gw18 along with maybe Salah with 2 at home.

                    This may help;
                    https://twitter.com/BenCrellin/status/1338878442050363392/photo/1

            • The Polymath
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Working towards DGW 19 may mean you end up losing team value to the point you can't afford a decent team from GW20 onwards. Is this a factor to consider?

              1. Capocannonieri
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Yes- that’s why a free hit might be due.

                I think 8 marquee players is enough firepower to still have an ok week

                7 is borderline

                6 is too few

            • lilmessipran
              • 13 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              For next gw, bench one

              A lamptey
              B Bowen
              C Bamford

              Home to Shu, really tempted to start lamptey

              1. Capocannonieri
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Bowen and Bamford are playing vs so-so defenses

                Why bench them?

            • FantasyHero
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              What would you do in this team
              Martinez steer
              Lamptey chilly coufal Dallas Mitchell
              Son kdb Bruno grealish bissouma
              Vardy bam dcl

              2FT 0.7itb

              Vardy to kane good or something else?

              1. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Vardy to Kane seems reasonable - Kane has a crazy good record v Leicester

                1. FantasyHero
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Cheers

              2. themaindanger
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                I'm moving Vardy to Kane. As mentioned, Kane's record against Leicester is good.

                1. FantasyHero
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Cheers
                  Gluck to us

            • Chelsea91
              • 7 Years
              5 years, 2 months ago

              Mendy
              Robbo,Dier,Chilwell
              Zaha,Salah,JWP,Grealish
              Kane(c),Dcl,Wilson

              Button Raphinha,Dallas,Douglas

              0FT and 0 itb

              GTG for GW14?

              1. Bram
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                5 years, 2 months ago

                Looks solid

                1. Chelsea91
                  • 7 Years
                  5 years, 2 months ago

                  Thanks