Football Index
29 January 2021 654 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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The notion of ‘new manager bounce’ is readily applied to teams, but less so when it comes to individual players.

But one of the more interesting aspects of the arrival at Chelsea of Thomas Tuchel will be whether he can bring out the best in a number of under-performing players.

If he can, there should be a few moves to make on Football Index (FI).

If you’re new to ‘The Football Stockmarket’, it’s a real-money betting platform where you can buy and sell footballers.

On Football Index you buy shares in individual players whose value can rise or fall depending on their performance both on the field and in the media.

I’m actively using FI this season with more than a nod to FPL, seeing which aspects of each game marry up, and which don’t.

One of the more tragic sub-plots of the FPL season so far has been the form (or complete lack of it) of Chelsea striker Timo Werner.

The German started the season in around a third of all squads and, despite not scoring in the league since a Gameweek 8 mauling of Sheffield United in early November, he’s still in 11.6%.

And while not the only reason for the demise of coach Frank Lampard, he is that sorry story’s poster boy.

Lampard, after all, gave him 15 straight starts (and 1,393 minutes) to adapt to the Premier League and he responded with four goals and five assists.

Those struggles didn’t go unnoticed on FI, where Werner’s share price, which had peaked at £5.99 in early September, dropped to a chastening £1.36 late last week.

But that new manager bounce is presumably now kicking in, with the striker currently trading around the £1.80 mark.

Chelsea, like every club with a European string to their bow, have an insanely busy month ahead, with two games a week from now until the end of February.

If – and it’s big one – Tuchel can help Werner find some form, his value can only rise further, although that September high is a long, long way off.

Having said that, FI’s decision to ditch in-play dividends from early next month should encourage traders to return to the longer game that it originally was.

And further down the road is the European Championships – a competition that any number of Chelsea stars will be involved in. That should boost their attractiveness in FI in terms of share value and dividend output (both media and match day), so getting in early on key Blues assets looks sustainable.

Werner has produced a £0.93 dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Another recent signing, Hakim Ziyech (£1.26), is a lot further down the FI value chain and brought in a mere £0.12 in dividends over the past year.

But his price is also on the move upwards, as are most of the Chelsea squad’s valuations in recent days.

Lampard failed for a number of reasons, most notably for struggling to find the right team balance from a squad rich in attacking talent.

Tuchel will, of course, face the same challenge and it will be interesting to see how the younger players fit into his personal master plan considering his recent admission that he chose more experienced options to face Wolves as he felt them better-equipped to deal with a new manager.

What doesn’t seem in doubt, however, is that there is a lot of FI value waiting to be tapped into at Chelsea.

Their domestic fixtures are generally favourable until the middle of March, with Champions League action to further sweeten the deal.

Timing, as ever, will be vital for FI traders, but sooner looks wiser than later.


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654 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Bench 1

    A Raphinha
    B Bamford

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Why such a difficult 1st question, lol?

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        A. Very close.

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A has been looking more lively. B has pens. Tough call. A, just.

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Im in same boat mate. Reluctantly probably play Bamford due to pens and he surly due a goal soon.

    4. built_this_city
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B cos of ownership

  2. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Either of these worth a -4?
    Lowton >> Cancelo will be my FT.

    A. Raph/Soucek >> Son
    B. Raph/Soucek >> Barnes

    Johnstone
    Robbo, Dias, Cancelo
    Salah, Bruno, Gündo, Raphina
    DCL, Bamford, Antonio
    (McCarthy, Soucek, Dallas, Lowton)

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A.

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. Both Son and Barnes interest me. Barnes with the fixtures perhaps

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I think team looks good but Barnes could do well v Leeds then Fulham but not sure worth hit

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah just read the hot topic. Raphina to Barnes could be nice

  3. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Better option this gw?

    A. Play zouma
    B. Play Dallas
    C. Zouma > digne -4

  4. Tango74
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Can someone advise me why DCL price is locked on FPL

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Injury flag previously i was told.

  5. EWH2020
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Start Bamford or Soucek?

    *I have missed all of Soucek's points

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Soucek against a depleted Liverpool defence. WH love a cross and so do Antonio/Soucek.

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Bamford. Why buck the trend?

  6. Dion D's Solo Shower
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play here, chaps?

    A) Mitchell
    B) Shaw
    C) Swap in either Digne or Chilwell for a -4?

  7. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Digne or TAA?

    1. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Digne

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      D

    3. Dion D's Solo Shower
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Digne, easy

  8. Champions League Varane
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Kane and Soucek -> DCL and Son? -4.

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Well Kane anyway.

  9. Pukki Party
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    For next few

    A) Gundogan, Holding, Adams
    B) Stones, Soucek, Richarlison

    1. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. Dion D's Solo Shower
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        B

    2. Jimjam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B - but why Richarlison over DCL?

      1. Pukki Party
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        Double up

        1. Jimjam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          I don't think I would double up - I think I would look at a cheaper 3rd striker (e.g. Antonio, Watkins if you don't already have them), and use the leftover to upgrade Soucek to Gundogan

          1. Pukki Party
            • 8 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            Plan is to have Richarlison next two and then move to Antonio. I can get Gundogan this week for Anguissa, but as in the question that would mean playing Holding and probably keeping Adams.

  10. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Play one of these please:

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Soucek

      1. Fulchester's New Centr…
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        This

    2. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Tough choice

  11. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Martinez (Steer)
    Stones, Shaw, Dier (KWP**, Coufal)
    Salah, Fernandes, Son, Gundogan (Stephens)
    Kane**, Vardy**, Bamford

    (A.) Kane & Vardy ---> DCL & Watkins (3-4-3)

    (B.) Vardy & Stephens ---> DCL & Grealish (3-5-2, hold Kane)

  12. xtina
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A) Kane -> DCL -4
    B) Play Anguissa (WBA), no hit
    C) Play Holding (MUN), no hit

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. xtina
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        cheers!

    2. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

  13. Dybala10
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Assume Kane will not drop in price tonight considering KDB was allowed over 1m sales without affect....

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      ballsy 😉

  14. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    GK pick this week:

    A) Areola (wba)
    B) Martinez (sot)

    1. Dybala10
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Jimjam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    4. J âš’ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B - better keeper, better defence, better team based a Southampton side not exactly firing on all cylinders.

  15. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A
    or
    B

    One free transfer, 4.7 itb 🙂

    1. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Easy A

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A for me

  16. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Best move here? Planning to WC25.

    A) Mitchell -> Digne
    B) Wilson -> DCL
    C) Save FT
    D) Something else

    DDG
    Cancelo, Bellerin, Mitchell
    Sterling, Bruno, Son, Gundogan
    Bamford, Watkins, Wilson

    Forster, Targett, Coufal, Martinelli
    Bank 6.8m, 1FT

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A & B

  17. Pukki Blinders
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    What to do

    A. Start Bamford
    B. Bring in Gundo (-4)

    1. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A safer, but BamBam has looked rubbish and Gundo great and he has a plum fixture. I think I’d gamble with the -4

  18. Erez Avni
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Would love to get some help here...

    martinez
    chilwell robo Justin cancelo
    son salah bruno soucek
    antonio bamford

    steer coufal adams poveda

    A. Gündogan for Poveda and playing 451 (benching bamford)
    B. Gündogan, Grealish & Stones for Soucek, Poveda & Robo (-8)
    C. Gündogan & DCL for Adams & Soucek (-4) and playing 442

    1. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A > C > B

    2. Gross Blank Point
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      what funds?

      1. Erez Avni
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        2.4 ITB 1 FT

        1. Gross Blank Point
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 1 month ago

          A all day long. That's a good move, the other one's could be great but you're losing hits and they might not work.
          Have a plan in your mind of how the team should look in a few weeks and work to it

          1. Erez Avni
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 1 month ago

            great advice man thanks!!
            if I may ask you another question - would you start Justin or Bamford?

            1. Gross Blank Point
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 1 month ago

              That's a difficult one, going on form Justin has a chance of an attacking return in the game so that gives him a slight advantage
              Bookmakers think both teams will score so I would grudgingly start Bamford in a 3-5-2 and hope he's involved.
              Could well be neither of them get points though
              Just my opinion, go with what you first thought when you set your team out

              1. Erez Avni
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 1 month ago

                thanks man very interesting stuff! I will go with Justin and hope for the best

  19. Pukki Party
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on when Jota will be back?

  20. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Fail post before, play one of these please:

  21. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A) Bamford to DCL
    B) Dallas to Digne
    C) Both for a hit

    If B I will play him over Mitchell next week and Coufal / Dallas the next few

  22. G Banger
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    And again WTF, play one of these please

    a) Dallas
    b) Coufal
    c) Holding

    1. Dion D's Solo Shower
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A, in the hope of an attacking return

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I have to play A and B unless I take a hit.

  23. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    A - Bamford to Watkins
    B - Raphinha to Grealish?

    Prefer Grealish but also prefer Raph over Bamford so tough decision!

    Appreciate a few votes to help!

    1. King of Kings.
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I'd go Grealish. Barkley coming back will bring out the best in him. Nice fixtures too.

      I've owned Watkins for a long time and he can very very frustrating. I've got him as my 12th man now and I'm fine with that.

      1. Rinseboy
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        cheers mate

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      I would rather keep Raphinha as all Leeds attacks seems to go through him so Watkins

  24. King of Kings.
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Who's everyone's pick for the captaincy this week?

    I was dead cert on Son until Kanes injury made me rethink. Now I can decide between DCL and Salah. What's everyone thinking?

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Gundogan.

      1. King of Kings.
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 1 month ago

        I dont have Gundo. Took Foden as a DGW punt and giving him one more week before bringing Gundo in next week.

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      GunDog

    3. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Everyone is thinking Soucek.

  25. La Roja
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Cancelo has more captaincy vote than Salah this GW

    1. Pukki Blinders
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A week too late

  26. Kaptenen
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Who should I sell for City defensive double up?

    Coufal or Holding?

    1. niaz1982
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Holding

  27. niaz1982
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    NEED HELP!

    Current team:

    Martinez
    Shaw Dias Cresswell
    Salah Son Barnes Fernandes
    Bamford Watkins Martial

    Subs: McCarthy Dallas Justin Soucek

    1FT £0.7 ITB - any suggestions apart from my thoughts below?
    A. Bamford & Martial > Antonio & DCL = -4pts
    B. Bamford > Antonio
    C. Something else

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Martial to antonio?

  28. Pickle juice
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Which 3 to start

    A. Dallas
    B.bellerin
    C.justin
    D.coufal
    E.konsa

    Thanks

    1. niaz1982
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      C,D,E

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      BEC

  29. jb1985
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Any news on Kane, Like an idiot I rage transferred Cavani out when i saw he wasn't in starting 11 vs Sheffield Utd and brought Kane.

    I have bench cover but if its going to be a long time might as well sell now if he is going to drop and try to make up the -4pts hit.

    Martinez,
    Stones, Dias, Justin
    Gundogan, Grealish, Fernandes, Salah
    Antonio, Kane* Watkins

    Johnstone, Shaw, Soucek, Coufal

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Rage is bad for you.

    2. Gross Blank Point
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Both ankles so it may just be a case of too uncomfortable to play rather than serious injury. Give it a few days, I've a feeling he'll miss one game, if that!

  30. merin
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 1 month ago

    Who to captain this week?
    A) Gundogan (100% he start, Pep confirmed, but SHU have tightened up their defence a bit lately)
    B) Salah (out of form and WHU have a strong defence)

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 1 month ago

      Is Salah that out of form? Scored a goal that was ruled out last game and a brace before that. Against big teams too.