Scout Betting
23 April 2021 184 comments
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The dust has barely settled on Double Gameweek 32 and we’re already looking ahead to Blank Gameweek 33, which gets underway at the Emirates on Friday evening.

We’ll be wagering a modest-sized bet on this match and other Premier League games in our weekly betting piece, with the odds provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

If you’re doing likewise, we urge you to gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

GUNNERS FIRING BLANKS?

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 24 Premier League home games against Everton, a run that has lasted 25 years.

The Gunners have also never lost in their nine previous Premier League games played on Friday.

So naturally, we’re backing the Toffees to prevail in north London.

There is some method behind the madness, with Everton much better on their travels than at Goodison Park: Carlo Ancelotti’s side have taken 11 more points from their away matches than they have at home, despite playing one game fewer on the road.

Arsenal have also been badly hit injury and illness just as Everton welcome a throng of players back, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Alexandre Lacazette out.

Mikel Arteta’s side would be forgiven for having one eye on next week’s Europa League semi-final, too, with that certainly looking like the case in the uninspiring 1-1 draw with Fulham.

The man who rescued a point in that match, Eddie Nketiah, could be set for his first start of 2021 tonight, and he’s 5/1 with bet365 to open the scoring against the Toffees.

But it’s the blue half of Merseyside that look the best value this evening.

Richarlison to score first at 13/2 catches the eye given how central he has played in recent weeks, while Everton to win at just under 3/1 is also tempting.

Bet 365 are also offering enhanced odds of 3.900 on a victory for Carlo Ancelotti’s troops.

Each Way First Goalscorers

Place an Each Way First Goalscorer bet on any Soccer match.

If your player scores at any time during the game in 90 minutes play, we will pay you out at 1/3 odds for unlimited places.

A DANGEROUS LEAD

West Ham United have made a recent habit of sailing into three-goal leads before letting their opposition back into the game.

A six-goal thriller with Arsenal preceded two nervy 3-2 wins over Wolves and Leicester, with the Hammers finding new ways to shoot themselves in the foot in Gameweek 32 when losing to Newcastle.

A game against Chelsea ought to be a tighter affair, which is why West Ham to score more than 2.5 goals is available at 10/1.

Such is the Hammers’ recent predilection for gifting opponents ways back into the game, there is perhaps more value to be had in the half-time/full-time market.

West Ham to be winning at half-time and the game to end in a draw is available at 16/1.

A Hammers advantage at the interval and a Chelsea win at full-time is priced up at 22/1.

And should you be backing David Moyes’s side in the full-time result market, there is at least the safety net of bet365’s below offer…

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer

Get your single bets paid out if the team you back goes 2 goals ahead – for multiple bets the selection will be marked as a winner.

Applies to pre-match bets on the standard Full Time Result market for selected competitions. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.

ONE-NIL TO THE NEWCASTLE

Quite remarkably, Liverpool have conceded the first goal in each of their last seven home league games.

The Reds at least came back to beat Aston Villa in Gameweek 32 despite allowing Ollie Watkins to net a deadlock-breaking strike.

A repeat performance of Liverpool to win from behind is 6/1 this Saturday.

Elsewhere, Operation ‘Back Against the Blades’ continues apace.

Brighton to win to nil at odds against (6/4) looks generous, while Adam Lallana to score the first goal at 11/1 is also eye-catching given that he has had more shots in the box than even Neal Maupay and Danny Welbeck in his last six matches.



Bore Draw Money Back

Refund for any Soccer game that finishes 0-0 at bet365.

Applies to losing pre-match bets on any Correct Score, Half-Time/Full-Time or Scorecast markets. Bet restrictions and T&Cs apply. New and eligible customers only.



For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad

184 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Stones replacement of..

    A) Shaw
    B) Castagne
    C) Rudiger

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      B

  2. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Greenwood or Salah captain? Between those in my team

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Salah

  3. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I even bottomed 🙂

    Genuinely stuck here with 2FTs! Always the case

    Annoyingly 0.1 off Mendy >> Martinez or Schmeichel

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Gundog >> ASM?

      Mendy
      TAA. Shaw. Coady. Rudiger
      Salah. Bruno. Jota. Lingard
      DCL. Iheanacho
      (Forster, Holding, Kane*, Gundog*)

      1. Ch0udini
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        What about Kane->Vardy this week, and reverse in the other? I guess Mendy is safe to start.

      2. Karan_G14
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I would Kane ➡️ Vardy ➡️ Kane if possible over the next 2.

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 10 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          It is possible yeah. Do it?

  4. AppleDunk
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Siggy a good differential?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yep

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Wouldn’t put my trust in Everton tbh

  5. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Kane to Vardy anyone?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      You’ll just want Kane back next week. No point

      1. Wee Jinky
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I think they will play Kane through the pain barrier for the cup final, then rest him against Sheff Utd. Also, Vardy has DGW 35 so over the next 3 GWs Vardy will play 4 games to Kane's 1 or 2 games. No brainer!

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I’ll lose my transfer if I don’t though?

    2. LLoris
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      ahh if u do it i will

    3. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Considering for sure

      Trying to upgrade Cavani though

      1. JIMMY TUGGINS
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I think Cavani is a good pick this week.

    4. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      issue is if Kane is declared fit for SHU. as long as you're happy to immediately buy back.

      1. Ch0udini
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Next 3:

        Kane: - SHU lee
        Vardy: CRY sou NEW

        It's a gamble, but I can see Vardy outscoring Kane in those.

    5. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'll definitely do it if Kane is ruled out for GW34.

      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        wont know before deadline

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Would you do it with 2FTs? And nothing else to fix?

    6. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I would (and probably will with enough cash to get back if I want to) as we don't know how Kane's ankle will stand up to cup final and Vardy looked back in form with one of the worst defences next. I also may be tempted with Bale Son double up next week and leaves that option open

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        I have 2FTs and nothing else to fix so it’s either burn it or sell Kane to Vardy?

  6. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    How are the fixture difficulty ratings on the official FPL site calculated? Based on the position in the table? I'm asking because Liverpool away is now a grey fixture. Strange.

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Have you seen Liverpool’s recent home form?

  7. it lies in the proles
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Watkins or Bamford until end of the season? (or another striker apart from Kane and Ibenacho)

  8. Sid07
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Chances of starting
    1) vydra
    2) Mendy
    3) Forster

    1. Wee Jinky
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      1) 75%
      2) 98%
      3) 10%

    2. Party time
      5 years, 4 months ago

      67
      50
      0

    3. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Forster hasn't got a game so...

  9. Party time
    5 years, 4 months ago

    This season is the most interesting I’ve played in fpl even though my rank is sht

  10. LLoris
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Best Jota replacement??

    1. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Wait for confirmation. Greenwood

      1. LLoris
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        When will that be

        1. Bury94
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Presser at half 1

    2. Karan_G14
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Greenwood
      Lingard
      Maddison

  11. Erez Avni
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    play Dallas or Bamford?

  12. Bubbles1985
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Squad for this week:

    Schmeichel (Forster)
    TAA Rudiger Coady (Masuaku Mitchell)
    Bruno Lingard Mount Jota Son*
    Vardy Kane* (Davis)

    I have 0.2itb and 2ft
    Am thinking a 1 week oke-cokey punt of

    Son > Salah
    Kane > Cavani

    Or just Kane to Cavani and pray Salah does nothing?!

    Cheers!

  13. PascalCygan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I thought bringing in Welbeck this week would be a differential of sorts - disappointed to see him in the Scout Picks!

  14. Karan_G14
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Martinez
    Shaw Rudiger Phillips Dias!
    Salah Bruno Jota Lingard
    DCL Nacho

    (Fabri Kane! Son! Struijk)

    If Jota is fit which option looks better?

    A) Dias, Phillips & Son ➡️ TAA, Veltman & Greenwood -8
    B) Son & Dias ➡️ Greenwood & Saiss/Fofana -4
    C) Son ➡️ Greenwood
    D) Dias ➡️ Saiss/Fofana

    1. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I'd probably just do B
      Depends how much you want TAA

  15. Dirty Harry
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Quick vote: 2FT

    Dias + Jota > Castagne + Greenwood

    1. Ja
    2. Nein

    1. Biggsy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Thinking of doing similar

  16. Tosa86
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    my actual team:

    martinez
    shaw - taa - dallas - struijk
    fernandes - salah (C) - jota - lingard
    ineacho (Vc) bamford

    forster - cresswell - kane - smith rowe

    1) jota is fit?
    2) captain salah?
    3) i replaced son with salah.

  17. Bubbles1985
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Is Jota injured?

  18. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Moura to greenwood the sensible move here?
    Would you do alonso to dallas as well for a hit?

    Mendy
    TAA shaw alonso veltman
    Salah Bruno jota lingard
    Nacho vydra
    (forster holding moura Kane)

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      No.

    2. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      alonso 0 has a decent chance of outscoring Dallas for a hit

  19. Ninjaa
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Who are the teams that are rumoured to have a dgw in gw35 ??

  20. Wee Jinky
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    2FT's

    Vardy for Kane and Maddison for Jota?

  21. mr messi
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Pick 3 to play

    A. Rüdiger
    B. Shaw
    C. Coady
    D. Phillips

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      BCD

  22. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    If Jota is out i have 9 players, would you do this -8 to field 11?

    Stones & Jota > Castagne & Greenwood

    or would you just do a -4 to field 10?

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      can't find anything concrete other than missing from training pics

    2. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      ‘If’.... why don’t you wait a bit for Pressers n more info? But -4 n field ten if you’re doing it

      1. OneDennisBergkamp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        i will of course, just being prepared as dont have much time to think about it later

        1. PompeyUpNorth!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          5 years, 4 months ago

          Yep fair point..tbh it’s looking likely but I’m keeping as I’ll have Dallas coming in if he’s out. In your position just do -4 I think

  23. Erez Avni
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    my team got so many issues and I dont know even where to begin....

    willing to take a -12 hit for bringing Salah, Greenwood, Vardy & Castagne
    instead of Dias, Jota, Son & Kane... too crazy?

    Martinez

    Shaw Burn Dallas Cresswell Dias
    Bruno Jota Son Lingard Gundo
    Kane Bamford Nacho

  24. No Professionals
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Afternoon all, what a beautiful day, time to let FF spoil it.

    Martinez
    Digne Shaw Dallas Burn
    Salah Fernandes Jota Lingard
    Iheanacho Watkins

    Areola Kane Moura Stones
    0.4m 1ft

    a) stones to Dunk
    b) Moura to Trossard
    c) Moura and Digne to Saka and Trent (-4)

  25. Bury94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Comparing the stats of Iheanacho and Salah over the last 4 games, it's not even close, plus Palace's bad defense. Iheanacho captain locked in

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      yeah, he should have had at least 2 yesterday. still fancy salah personally.

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      I wonder if he will have more than 100% ownership. Probably yes. Not a long time for him beeing a differential...

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Btw. aren't Salah stats better actually? Now I'm taking a look at stats here at FFS it seems that Iheanacho's xGI was only 1.81, which seems quite low. On understat it is over 5. Strange.

  26. JONALDINHO
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Dawson and White red cards have come at the worst time possible. Jota injury making things worse

    1. No Professionals
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      is Jota injured?

      1. No Professionals
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 4 months ago

        Klopp has said he is the opposite of injured.

        outjured, according to him.

  27. SpaceCadet
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    For one gw only - vardy or Watkins?

    1. SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Also have Nacho

    2. PompeyUpNorth!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Vardy n Captain is what I’m doing

    3. Bury94
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Vardy

    4. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Vardy easily

  28. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Has anyone ever measured how good predictor is the ICT index on the official FPL page? I wonder how they calculate it. Would be funny if it turned out to be better than all those xG or massive data models

    1. JIMMY TUGGINS
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      It was one of the reasons I went Dallas over Ayling on WC earlier in the season.

  29. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    I think this is it, my wc team:

    Martinez, Guaita
    TAA, Veltman, Konsa, Dallas, Castagne
    Greenwood, Salah, Jota, Maddison, Lingard
    Kane, DCL, Nacho

  30. Jimmy Boy
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 4 months ago

    Mane, Salah and TAA triple up on a free hit this GW - yes or no?

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 4 months ago

      Yee