Scout Reports

Can Leon Bailey live up to his potential and become a viable FPL asset at Villa?

We assess the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) credentials of new Aston Villa midfielder Leon Bailey (£6.5m) in our latest Scout Report.

The Villans struck a deal with Bayer Leverkusen moments after their friendly win over Bristol City on Saturday with the club announcing their new arrival earlier today.

The Jamaican winger’s capture follows the signings of Emiliano Buendía (£6.5m) and Ashley Young (£5.0m), although Jack Grealish (£8.0m) is seemingly heading out of Villa Park and bound for Manchester City.

Bailey scored 39 goals and supplied a further 26 assists during his time in Germany as well as playing in both the Champions League and Europa League. 

Villa head coach Dean Smith said: 

Leon is a hugely exciting young striker with great pace and creativity.  He has enjoyed a successful career at Leverkusen and we are now looking forward to watching him show his skills and talents for Aston Villa in the Premier League.

The addition of Bailey suggests it will be an exciting season at Villa Park, but what exactly will he bring to Dean Smith’s side and where does he fit in?

We’ll attempt to answer those questions and assess his potential FPL worth in the article below.

THE HISTORY

Bailey started out in Jamaica at footballing school Phoenix All-Star Academy before heading to Europe in search of a club.

Having tried his luck in Austria, Germany and the Netherlands, the youngster impressed during a trial at KRC Genk. However, the Belgian side were unable to offer him a contract due to FIFA restrictions on signing under-16 players.

Without a club, Bailey returned to the Caribbean, but his break arrived soon after when he signed for Austrian side FC Liefering and then Slovakian outfit AS Trenčín.

Such was his level of performance that he was then snapped up by Genk, where he swiftly became a fixture in the starting XI and went on to win the Belgian Young Footballer of the Year award in 2015/16, before Bayer Leverkusen paid €20m for his services in January 2017.

Having spent several months getting used to his new surroundings, he lit up the Bundesliga in his first full season in Germany, registering nine goals and six assists as he was named Newcomer of the Year by the VDV, Germany’s version of the PFA, and was also included in the Bundesliga Team of the Season.

Despite a slight dip in the two seasons that followed, Bailey rediscovered his best form in 2020/21, bagging 15 goals and setting up a further 11 in all competitions.

BAILEY’S BUNDESLIGA RECORD AT BAYER LEVERKUSEN:

StartsSub AppsGoalsAssists
2016/170800
2017/1825596
2018/1921851
2019/20121053
2020/2125598

Above stats from WhoScored

At international level, Bailey has had something of a rocky relationship with the Jamaican football association, but finally made his senior debut against Honduras in June 2019 and has since gone on to represent his country on 10 occasions.

THE PROSPECTS – AND WHERE DOES HE FIT IN AT VILLA?

“Leon, like all players at Phoenix academy, are developed to play at all three points of attack. He can play on both feet; cut in from the right and onto his left; cut in from the left onto his right. He can play on both sides of the pitch. His favourite position is right wing but he will do whatever’s in the best interest of the team. Leon is superb at free-kick, dead-ball and corner situations.” – Craig Butler, stepfather and agent

Bailey is an extremely quick and versatile attacker who is comfortable playing on either flank.

However, he predominantly featured on the right wing of a 4-3-3 formation at Leverkusen last season, where he was able to cut inside onto his stronger left foot.

Above: Bailey’s 2020/21 season heatmap, via Sofa Score

FURTHER READING

649 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Sgt Frank Drebin
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Does anyone know much about that Martinelli guy? I've seen him couple of time and he seems to be a great prospect. But more importantly he had great stats last season, that is 0.5 xg and 0.3 xA per 90 minutes (very small sample though!). If he somehow breaks through to the first team we could have the value of the season here.

    1. R.C
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Avoid - injury prone player

      1. Sgt Frank Drebin
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Well, if he gets injured can always transfer him out. -4 pts in a long term is not that much.

        1. Sgt Frank Drebin
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Thanks for the info though.

      2. Camzy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Getting one bad injury doesn't make you injury prone. He's young still. Lots of time to develop.

    2. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Looking closer at the stats and seems to be that the sample is not very repesentative. For example most of the xA he accumulated in one game, apart from that he didn't create that many goalscoring oppurtunities. Nonetheless, an interesting player.

    3. quayle99
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Not a starter for the team at the moment. That could change down the line if Auba/Pepe/Saka maybe injured or suspended, if so is a great option when fit. Currently having a solid tournament at the olympics. Saka/ESR only 6.5 if youre after cheap arsenal attackers

  2. R.C
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which combo to start with?

    1. TAA + 4.0
    2. Chilwell + Stones

    Other defenders: White + Fofana + Veltman

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      1

    2. Stormbringer22
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      1.

      Having said that, Chilwell and Stones are my picks to do really well this season if they nail down their spot. Had you said TAA + Chilwell + Stones, I would have voted for that one in a heartbeat

  3. Pukkipartyy
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is there a case to go without Bruno and try to "cover" it with Greenwood? Im not planing to captain Bruno in first 6 matches.

    Team looks so good without Bruno, but we all know what he can do...

    1. quayle99
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I'm starting with Sancho and hoping he hits the ground running. the extra cash making that change has helped complete my team

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      No Bruno for me ; I'm a wait and see on United and how they line up . . lots of changes still to happen

  4. leo_messi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which team looks better :

    A)
    SANCHEZ (Foster)
    TAA - Shaw - Digne (White, COADY)
    Salah - Son - Mahrez - Greenwood - BOWEN
    Watkins - Toney (Obafemi)

    B)
    MARTINEZ (Foster)
    TAA - Shaw - Digne - CRESSWELL (White)
    Salah - Son - Mahrez - Greenwood (BROWNHILL)
    Watkins - Toney (Obafemi)

    1. DIMITRIS
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A

  5. Chandler Bing
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Which duo to start with?

    A. Mahrez and Toney
    B. Greenwood/Raphina and DCL (Have Bruno)

    1. amitmishr
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      2 with raphina

    2. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      A if no Grealish.

  6. Bruisers FC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Holding versus White? Seems like everyone is favoring white in RMTs. Looking for some clarification.

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Likely to be nailed, I think.

  7. Weeb Kakashi
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is someone like Chilwell/Cancelo better than Toney for a set and forget option?

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      May score more points over the season. Certainly both play for a better team.

  8. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Villa will be quids in tonight!

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      I do wonder whether this is a good career move for Grealish. Still absolutely perplexed by the price. No other bidders ; easily twice what he's worth.

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Does that put the kibosh on the move for Kane?

        1. Andy_Social
          • 11 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          Who knows? Word is a fee of 130M has secretly been agreed, but City need to offload players and Spuds find some on the sly before word can get out. It just takes one player to refuse to play ball for the whole shebang to fall through though.

        2. Bushwhacker
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          I don't think so ; City are going to have to offload players for sure. Kane to me seemed the only priority once Haaland was out of the question.

  9. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    I’m not going to lie.

    Grealish in a City shirt is tempting me.

    1. Bushwhacker
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 8 months ago

      Not nailed. Instantly a non-starter for me.

      1. Nomar
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        2 years, 8 months ago

        Just tempting to see him in your side in a City shirt.

        1. Bushwhacker
          • 4 Years
          2 years, 8 months ago

          And score 1 off the bench every other week!

  10. Old (Trafford) Dreamer
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Is it just me or has anyone else noticed that most articles can only be fully read if you are a member 🙁 I have always found comments posted to be very useful but If the main purpose of this site is now to make money then sadly I will have to start looking elsewhere which is a real shame.

  11. Qasim
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 8 months ago

    Stick with watkins?