Spot the Differential
10 September 2021 2203 comments
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Gameweek 4 is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more Fantasy Premier League (FPL) differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Arsenal, Chelsea and Wolverhampton Wanderers who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

PIERRE-EMERICK AUBAMEYANG

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £9.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: NOR | bur | TOT | bha | CRY

It feels strange to include a player like Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£9.9m) in this section of our coverage, but the Gabon international comes into Gameweek 4 sitting in just 1.7% of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) squads.

Having lost all three Premier League games so far, conceding nine in the process and failing to score a single goal themselves, there will understandably be reservations about investing in Arsenal assets, let alone a premium forward.

However, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have faced back-to-back matches against arguably the best two teams in Europe, and with key personnel – including Gabriel (£5.0m), Ben White (£4.4m) and Thomas Partey (£5.0m) – all set to be available for selection in Gameweek 4, Aubameyang should at least have a platform to rediscover his best form.

Encouragingly, there were glimpses of the ‘old’ Aubameyang against West Bromwich Albion in last month’s EFL Cup tie, albeit against lower-league opposition. The 32-year-old bagged a well-taken hat-trick, and will now hope to open his Premier League account for the season against the leakiest defence in the division – Norwich City – tomorrow afternoon. Aubameyang has an excellent recent record against the Canaries, too, scoring twice against them both home and away back in 2019/20.

The introduction of Martin Odegaard (£5.5m) could also be key. The Norwegian created a whopping 12 chances against Gibraltar during the international break, while last season’s performances also suggest that he can supply Mikel Arteta’s frontline with the type of service they crave.

Investing in Aubameyang is the ultimate differential punt in Gameweek 4, and while it does carry some risk, he might just be worth a look.

ANDREAS CHRISTENSEN

  • FPL ownership: 3.0%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: AVL | tot | MCI | SOU | bre

Chelsea defender Andreas Christensen (£5.0m) has been a crucial part of Thomas Tuchel’s defence this season, having started and completed 90 minutes in all three Premier League matches.

There is bound to be some rotation moving forward, but with 36 clean sheets in his last 48 appearances, he may well have edged ahead of Thiago Silva (£5.4m) in the pecking order, at least for now.

The 25-year-old academy graduate found himself on the periphery of the squad last season, but has caught the eye in the clean sheet wins over Crystal Palace and Arsenal, while stepping up to help the Blues keep Liverpool at bay despite going down to 10 men following Reece James’ (£5.6m) red card in Gameweek 3. 

Defensively, amongst team-mates, he ranks top for interceptions and clearances, and second for aerial duels won and recoveries, which does suggest that he should do well for bonus if they can keep a clean sheet in the coming matches.

Following his international run-outs against Scotland and Faroe Islands, the 25-year-old is expected to start against Aston Villa in Gameweek 4. Dean Smith’s side have managed just nine shots on target against Watford (a), Newcastle United (h) and Brentford (h) combined, while Chelsea’s fixture run between Gameweeks 7 and 11 is particularly appealing too.

Christensen hands FPL managers a cheap route into one of the best defences in Europe, and providing you have a playing bench who can sometimes step in, he looks like an excellent option for our backlines.

FRANCISCO TRINCAO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW4-8 fixtures: wat | BRE | sou | NEW | avl

Francisco Trincão (£5.9m) has enjoyed a promising start to life at Wolverhampton Wanderers, starting all three Premier League matches and bagging his first goal for the club in the 4-0 EFL Cup win over Nottingham Forest.

Encouragingly, the Portuguese international is improving with each game, and came close to opening his Premier League account against Manchester United in Gameweek 3, only to be denied by an excellent goal-line clearance by Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£5.5m). He later scuffed a shot wide when in a decent goalscoring position, too, which does suggest that he needs to work on his finishing, but the fact he is getting into these positions is of course a positive.

Despite losing three matches in a row, Wolves have faced tough opponents in Leicester City, Tottenham Hotspur and Man Utd, and for those eyeing up their attacking assets, the underlying numbers do point to a change of fortunes. 

Offensively, Wolves boast the third-highest expected goals (xG) from open-play tally (4.39), ahead of Chelsea and Liverpool, while their 57 goal attempts and 36 shots in the box also stand-out. 

The next step for Lage’s men is to turn convert those numbers into points, and handily for the Molineux outfit, they now have one of the best runs of fixtures in the division from Gameweek 4 onwards, stretching right the way through to Gameweek 14.

It was also noted by Stevie Eye Test FPL in his excellent Wolves analysis, due to Trincão’s ability in tighter spaces, these next matches against low-block terms may actually suit him more.

Despite Daniel Podence (£5.5m) pushing for a start, it seems likely that Trincão will get the nod again at Watford, and priced at just £5.9m, could be a nice differential option given his schedule.

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2,203 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Thanos
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Mexico have withdrawn their complaint to Fifa, so Raul Jiminez will be able to play for Wolves against Watford.

    Source: BBC

    1. Tomerick
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Hallelujaaaah

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Ah, the beginning. Reminds me of the European Super League. Just needs one to pull out to crumble.

  2. PlayPercentage
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Got to be Kane(C) this week.
    - 8% ownership
    - massive differential
    - nailed on starter
    - on penalties
    - a proven FPL points magnet
    - Palace are not as tight at the back as they were under Hodgson

  3. WHUFCSmith23
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Well we were all waiting for the United presser and are somehow now even less informed.

    I'm going to go back to watching those YouTube videos where that white fella shocks Chinese people by speaking perfect Chinese. Somebody please wake me up before the deadline so I can shoehorn a couple of badly thought out transfers in.

    1. Threat Level Midnight
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      LOL This is great

  4. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    The news we've all been dreading, Schlupp confirmed out. Now what will people do with their WC's?!

    1. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Get two girls.

      1. diabydoesgallas
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        😀

  5. mcpoop
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    What would you do with this team?

    Sanchez Steele
    TAA Shaw Dier Ayling Tsimikas
    Salah Bruno Son Benrahma Raphinha
    Antonio Perica Toney

    2FTs 0ITB

    Thinking of Toney Bruno Son to Ronaldo Torres Greenwood for -4. Could also take out Tsimikas for White and get Jota for -8.

    1. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Fix my bench by ridding myself of Perica and Tsimikas.

  6. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Wildcard done and dusted.

    Bachmann 4M
    Duffy Trent Christensen Coady Williams
    Jota Salah Sarr Greenwood Bissouma
    Dcl Antonio Ronaldo.

    Any thoughts?

    1. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      no lukaku ? start again

      1. Malkmus
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        This

    2. CrouchDown
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Looks good. Captain?

      1. DA Minnion (Former great)
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Salah I think. I love Leeds but they can't defend.

    3. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Jota and Greenwood are rotation risks. Would switch one to Mount.

  7. Return Of Chamakh
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Just pulled the trigger on this after pressers, good moves?

    Alonso, Son, Ronaldo > Christensen, Salah, Lukaku

    (on a wildcard, 0.3ITB after these moves)

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Ronaldo out, what?

      1. KingBLAZE1986
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        son was the only doubt. i would have kept alonso/ronaldo

      2. Return Of Chamakh
        • 13 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        'On the pitch at some point' suggests a possible sub appearance, lukaku is settled and trained and his injury seems fine and against Villa. I'm just looking for solid for now, fixing squad problems was the point of the WC so didn't want to risk more tbh!

        1. El Presidente
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          No way, he 100% starts

          1. MYNAMEISBigtopmark.sman
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 28 days ago

            I am 100% sure this comment is flawed

    2. Malkmus
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Ronaldo starts

    3. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Id rather shoot myself than taking a hit to bring out Ronaldo after i transferd him in for the same gw.

      1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Think he said he’s on wildcard.

        1. Skogen89
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          Mhm saw that. But more than 40k People has done that. Ronaldo in and out (no wc).

          1. Lieutenant Frank Columbo
            • 14 Years
            5 years, 28 days ago

            Well that IS crazy lol

      2. Skogen89
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        I see you are on a wc.. Anyway just stick with him, and downgrade to lukaku in gw 7 or 8..

        1. Return Of Chamakh
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          Means playing a possibly injured and flagged Son instead of Salah after Nuno comments. Not all about Ronaldo, it's the three players weighed up against each other...

  8. El Presidente
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    News on DCL?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Fit according to Benitez

      1. El Presidente
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Thanks!

        1. xHaTr
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          Not strictly true. Said he has been training with some pain but i do think he starts still

          1. El Presidente
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 28 days ago

            Ah, OK thats why he's still flagged

  9. Alisson WondHaaland
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Advantage non wildcarders

    1. El Presidente
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Why? You still gonna burn

    2. jack88
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      not really

    3. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      if you are referring to the relaxing of these restrictions, well that has actually pushed me towards a WC.
      so no.

      1. MYNAMEISBigtopmark.sman
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Advantage non wildcarders and wildcarders who didn't wait to press the button then

    4. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Yeah agreed.

  10. smoothtilt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    3 options for wildcard team have Antonio for WHU coverage. No other Wolves or Arsenal coverage. Thougts?

    A) White, Benrahama DCL
    B) Semedo. Traore, DCL
    C) Semedo, Benrahama, Jiminez

    Rest of the team

    Sanchez
    TAA, AC, Livra, Williams,
    Salah, Jota, F.Torres, 4.5 Gilmour
    CR, Antonio

    1. smoothtilt
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Should add i have money locked in on Benrahma

  11. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Love the Auba pick.

  12. Tomerick
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Son to Jota or Greenwood for -4?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I would

      1. BrockLanders
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Jota personally

    2. JammySprat
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Can't trust nuno presser, might start

      1. Tomerick
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        That’s my worry. Last time we thought Son was out he hauled big time.

      2. Gabbiadini
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        He stated there's an injury and he's not well.
        He didn't reveal was the specifics of the injury, you're slightly missing the point.

  13. BrockLanders
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Bruno & Ings to Ronnie (C) & Mahrez -4 or just Ings to DCL for free??

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Anyone???

      1. Beckham Benders
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Can you deal with Ronny price rise? If yes, then you can still delay Ronny this week and just do Ings to DCL.

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Not -4 with Mahrez involved.

    3. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Ings to DCL. See what happens at United and revisit next week.

  14. Beckham Benders
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Sanchez/Steelie
    Shaw TAA Semedo White Livramento
    Sarr Jota Rapinha Salah Sissoko
    Jimenez Antonio Ronaldo

    0.8 ITB, on WC

    Should I pursue with DCL in place of Jimenez?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I prefer DCL

    2. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I would, if we knew he would play. Currently debating the same issue.

      1. Beckham Benders
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        My thoughts are he is training with pain because Rafa wants him to play, else what could possibly be the reason for him to train under such circumstances?

        1. BrockLanders
          • 11 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          Be shocked if he doesn't start tbf

        2. Maddamotha
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 28 days ago

          True. I think he will start. I will probably transfer him in myself.

    3. Threat Level Midnight
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Exact same team except I have Torres instead of Raph. Very nice

  15. swobe
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Sat at 40k, trying to avoid hits like last year to preserve as many points as I can and just remove my worst asset every week. Wildcarding 6/7 to restructure around Chels and City. Moving Barnes out this week so have 7.3 to replace him.

    Initial thoughts were Gray. I know he is massively over-performing his own stats but Everton's expected goals have been impressive so far this season. Now looking between: Traoré, Torres, Trincão

    Thoughts?

    Team: Sanchez
    Trent, Shaw, Reguillon (Amartey, Livramento)
    Salah, Bruno, Benrahma, Jota, Barnes
    Ings, Antonio (Scarlett)

    1. FPL_Crisis
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      So you'll remove Barnes before Ings?
      I'm looking at both but can't decide on replacements
      Also if I held Ings i'd look to get Bamford next week

      1. swobe
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        100%, I like both Barnes and Ings, but I picked them because they can provide value. Ings is still providing more value than Barnes. Not to say that Barnes can't provide something against City.. Leicester have a nice little record against them.

        I'm with you there. Think I'll be moving for Bamford / DCL next week.

    2. Skogen89
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Barnes has to go first, he could be dropped for nacho. Has been wooful even vs Norwich. Even for a hitt.

      1. swobe
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Yeah Barnes will be going this week. No hit needed. Just unsure which out of Traore, Sarr and Torres are the best replacement.

  16. FPL_Crisis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    So best to not go for Ronaldo then since he's likely to get carded when he removes his shirt after scoring, which turns into a 3 point goal?

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Lol

    2. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      He will take off his shirt after 3 goals, so still worth it imo.

  17. Miami Monkey
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Sanchez (Foster)
    TAA Shaw White (Livramento Amartey)
    Salah Bruno Greenwood Benrahma (Brownhill)
    DCL Antonio Toney

    1.4m ITB, 1 FT.

    A) Save FT
    B) Toney/Bruno --> CR7/Torres (-4)
    C) Toney/Bruno/Shaw --> CR7/Jota/Christensen (-8)
    D) Only Bruno --> Jota to catch price rise, take -4 next week for Ronaldo and taking out Shaw or Greenwood to afford

    Am I crazy for wanting to just save the transfer to learn more info after this GW??

    1. iL PiStOlErO
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I support saving ft, have same thinking myself. Wait and see and the have 2ft for next gw

    2. madeon
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I'm saving my transfer for next week as well.. I have a feeling that Ronaldo will come in around 60-70 min, not worth the hit imo, but who knows 😀

  18. jason_ni
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    So we are really getting close to the gw start, and still none wiser if the ban will be upheld.

    1. JUNITED
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Both Klopp and Ole had commented on it in press conference though.

      1. jason_ni
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Commented to say that they still don't know if they can play them or not!

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      And the mexicans can play

  19. JUNITED
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    On my WC, which ones the best options?

    A) DCL - Jota/Greenwood - Torres

    OR

    B) Bamford - Jota - Greenwood

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      A

    2. iL PiStOlErO
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      A

  20. cravencottage
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Bottomed last page

    A) Ronaldo, Christiansen, Sanchez
    B) Lukaku , James, Sa ( have White to cover James this week)

  21. bruuuno
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Guess Son > Jota -4 is worth it? Otherwise Ayling will come in

  22. Union_Jacks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Assume no news is good news regarding DCL?

    1. JUNITED
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      https://twitter.com/Everton/status/1435954844121059332

      They posted DCL training pictures yesterday.

  23. FPL_Pugster
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Is it me or was every press conference an absolute FPL trolling from the managers. Deffo got a managers Wassap FPL group those lads!

  24. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Ings to?? :
    A) DCL
    B) Jimenez

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      DCL

    2. Diro
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I was asking the same. I'm hesitating too..

    3. iL PiStOlErO
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Go Calvert

    4. Maddamotha
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Really want DCL, but if he doesnt play my bench is wack...Thanks yall

  25. Sausage™️
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    SON > Jota or Mount??

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Is Son out ?

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Jota

    3. coriswrasse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Mount for the long term.

    4. Catastrophe
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      Jot

  26. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Advice greatly appreciated! A, B, C or D chaps?

    A) DCL, Jota, Greenwood, Gray, Coady (Sissoko, Williams)

    B) Jota, Greenwood, Raphinha/Benrahma, Traore, Semedo (Dennis, Ayling)

    C) Lukaku, Jota, Gray, Sissoko, Coady (Gilmour, Williams)

    D) Lukaku, Sarr, Traore, Gray, Coady (Gilmour, Williams)

    Cheers!

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      D, any possibility of Traore to Raphinha (should he be all ok)?

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        if you can find the 0.5 then i think it is definitely worth it.

  27. TheDragon
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Ronaldo vs Fernandes

    Doesn’t it all come down to which one has penalties? Particularly as Ronaldo classed as a forward and Bruno a mid (points difference per goal).

    Anyone got strong views on who gets penalties?

    1. drughi
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      ronaldo 100%

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      cr7 for me.

  28. El Presidente
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    If DCL is fit why is he flagged?

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I’m not sure Benitez comments were that clear. Said he is in pain but still training / trying hard

      1. El Presidente
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Yes, thank you

  29. Liberate HK - antichinazi
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    Benitez on DCL: "He was not fully fit, he was making an effort to be on the pitch, he has been training with pain, so I'm really happy to see him trying in the training sessions even when he's not fully fit. And that is why I'm expecting even more [from him].

    1. BrockLanders
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      I've a headache after reading that. Ha

    2. xHaTr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 28 days ago

      This is what actually was said.

      Not sure why people are going with the rhetoric that he is 100% fit on last few pages

      1. El Presidente
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 28 days ago

        Correct, but he does sound he's expecting him to be available...

  30. Our Tiny Windows
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 28 days ago

    a) F Torres, Marçal, B Williams
    or
    b) Traore, Laporte, Livramento