Spot the Differential

In-form Tierney an appealing FPL differential for Blank Gameweek 18

******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

1,755 Comments Post a Comment
  1. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Clueless.

    Watkins or Laca?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Prefer Watkins

    2. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I think I might go Laca and then trade to Watkins post-Chelsea, that looks a lot nicer to me.

    3. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Both are trolls go with your gut

    4. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Watkins for me

  2. Rednev1983
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Sterling or De Bruyne?

    1. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      KDB

      1. Rednev1983
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Neither but if I had to pick one then maybe KDB

  3. Tonyawesome69
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bottomed on last page.

    Exact funds to do Pukki to Watkins for a hit. Do the move tonight or wait until tomorrow and lose Antonio instead?

    0FT 1.8TB
    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo
    Salah Jota Bernardo Foden
    Antonio* Pukki*
    (Foster* Gallagher* King* Livramento*)

    1. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I would risk it tonight.

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Do it

    3. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I would do it tonight

  4. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    DDG > Ramsdale
    Antonio > Watkins

    -4

    Means I can field 11?

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Do it

    2. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      worthy of a -4

  5. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who do people view as the best Villa defender asset?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cash - attacking stats under Gerrard have been decent

    2. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cash but im considering Martinez now with arsenal defender instead

    3. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Has to be Cash i'd say, it's the last position i'm still undecided on as a replacement for Livra, deciding between Tierney?Gabriel?Cash as replacement.

    4. _Ninja_
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Probably Cash but he's on 4 ycs so needs to avoid 1 yc in the next 2 games.. or just go Targett.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        That's a good point.
        Although, should all fixtures go ahead the following gameweek/all my players be available Cash would be my 12th, I wouldn't be fielding him against Chelsea.
        When is the point when the YCs reset?

        1. _Ninja_
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          After teams complete 19 games.

    5. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cash, or targett to save money

    6. The Reptile
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      I'm trying to decide as well - Konsa or Cash

    7. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Cash

  6. Hits from the Bong
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    A. Bilva+Steele to ESR+Ramsdale
    B. Bilva+Locadia to Ramsey+Watkins
    C. Reguilon+Steele to Ramsdale+C.Taylor
    D. Reguilon to Cash/Tierney

    Sanchez*
    TAA James Cancelo Reguilon*
    Salah Son Bilva* Foden Jota
    Antonio*

    Steele* Dennis* Livramento* Locadia*
    £0.3m itb, 2FTs

    1. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Keep Bilva. Pep said he is fine.

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        So C or D? That still doesn't 't mean he will play, and I already have Foden

        1. FPL Alaska
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Probably C

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Don't like losing a player that has a game this weekend

      1. Hits from the Bong
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        It's losing one who might, to gain two who should

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Pep said everyone is fine except Torres and Bernardo was in the training photos.

  7. FPL Alaska
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Please help!

    A) Antonio > Watkins (have exact cash)
    B) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Watkins + Foden (-4)

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      B

    2. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      b

  8. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    With the temptation to Captain Foden instaed of Salah, can totally understand that, but is there a chance even Salah gets rested this GW in your opinion?
    May be silly to ask really even when i do hope he plays, but any glaring reasons why he would?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Early sub in the last game. More likely Mane or Jota to not start the next game

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        This

      2. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Ahh yes i forgot about the early subbing, i should of looked at his minutes, good reasoning cheers!

    2. Fabreghastly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Can you imagine the conversation, Klopp telling Salah he's being dropped for the biggest goal fest of the season

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Haha!! It would certainly make a worthy GIF image

    3. FPL Alaska
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Seriously doubt he gets rested

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cool, i hope he doesn't like i say, suppose just asking out of jitters really haha.

    4. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Salah will play 99.99%

      1. Salah’s Sonnet
        • 12 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers MM

  9. MountainBeach
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Would you do Sanchez to Ramsdale to make it 11 playing players and a -8?

    Current movies are

    Lukaku to Watkins
    Gallagher to Foden
    Allan to Saka

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      For a -8, i jjust about would, but i like hits, even more so with how they're paying off of late, so that's just me haha

    2. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      its a -4 if they both get two points so yes for me

    3. DycheDycheBaby
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      No

  10. Norco
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Quick vote:

    1. Watkins + Saka +0.5
    2. Laca + ESR +0.1

    No one has Saka currently in ML
    No one has Laca currently in ML
    Can't afford Laca + Saka (0.1 short)

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1

  11. Simon69
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    De Gea, King, Ronaldo > Ramsdale, Lacazette, Watkins for a -4 look good long term?

    Current state of affairs...

    De Gea*

    TAA, Cancelo, James, Dier, Guehi*

    Salah, Jota, Foden, Gallagher*

    Ronaldo*

    Subs: McGovern, King*, Dennis*, Mendy

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Looking good indeed

  12. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Do I switch Antonio to
    A. Watkins
    B. Lacs
    C. Roll transfer

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Why u Roll ?
      Sure sell one who surly wouldn't play
      I got both for -4

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Cheers. Is Laca the better option?

  13. putana
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    predictions for city's front three on sunday?

    1. Norco
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Predictions and City do not go in the same sentence

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Grealish Foden Sterling

  14. SpaceCadet
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Got in tierney with the ft. Anything worth a hit or g2g?

    Ramsdale
    Taa cancelo rudiger alonso tierney
    Salah bilva Jota esr
    Watkins

    Foster king dennis bowen

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      You have 11 players....

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        Yes but no playing sub

        1. Tonyawesome69
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          There is 5 games scheduled to play and teams scrambling to get 11 players witb hits. I think you'll be fine

          1. SpaceCadet
            • 10 Years
            2 years, 4 months ago

            Cheers

  15. Kodap
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Who’s everyone captaining this week? I fancy a punt on Cancelo over Salah..

  16. RWB_1991
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Fairly to bring Lacazette in now or still chance of game being postponed?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Think I'm just going to do it now, Vardy isn't playing anyway + about to drop and Arsenal have Norwich next week.

      1. MagicMessi
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        What ls the situation with Auba ?

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      There is always a chance

    3. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      This .. i dont want any panic but i read somewhere that it was at risk .. not sure tho

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        whereabouts, out of interest?

      2. RWB_1991
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        It’s frustrating as I’d rather save 0.1m getting Lacazette in now, but seems more risky making the move now rather than like 1pm tomorrow in case of covid cases / postponement etc. Not sure whether to pull the trigger or not!

        1. Gabbiadini
          • 6 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          I'm just going to do it, Yolo.
          I don't want to lose 0.2.

  17. GRPunk
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    How long until price changes?

    1. Gabbiadini
      • 6 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      just under an hour.

    2. RogDog_jimmy
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      just under an hour

  18. tabby98
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What to do here guys?

    Guaita*, Foster*
    TAA, Cancelo, Rudiger, James, Tsimikas
    Salah, Raphinha, Bernardo, Bowen*, Sissoko
    Watkins, Dennis*, Antonio*

    1FT £3.9m ITB

    Currently have 8 players if Bernardo starts which moves to make?

    A) Guaita —> Ramsdale/Ederson
    B) Guaita + Sissoko —> Ramsdale + ESR/Saka (-4)
    C) Guaita + Tsimikas —> Ramsdale + Tierney/Tomiyasu (-4)
    D) Something else?

  19. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Team as it is. Only 7 playing!

    DDG*
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Jota Bilva Gallagher* Bowen*
    Gelhardt

    Steele / Ronaldo* King* Livramento*

    Been twisting with transfers.

    Gallagher/Bowen > Foden/Ramsey (-4)

    Could also do DDG>Ramsdale for another -4, or just stick.

    Over a week until the next fixture after today. Players could be back?

  20. Saxe-Gotha
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    I can only field 8 if I take a -8 and I'm 79 pts behind in my ML. Good week to use the FH? Rival has already used his.

    1. Hits from the Bong
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Probably won't help you catch him then. Hope for a low scoring week with 7 or 8 and save yours for a double?

  21. Hits from the Bong
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Best use of 2 FTs here? I can only get 9 players out if I sell Reguilon and Bilva plays. 0.3 itb

    Sanchez*
    TAA James Cancelo Reguilon*
    Salah Son Silva Foden Jota
    Antonio*

    Steele* Dennis* Livramento* Locadia*

  22. yanky
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    anything worth a hit? nothing in bank and 8 playing

    TAA Cancelo Dias James
    Salah Jota Gundo
    Watkings

    DDG, Dalot, Bowen, Gray, King, Antonio.

  23. Gabbiadini
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Thoughts on bringing in Laca and ESR for 2 weeks (Lee & Nor) and then trading them out for Bowen (Wat) and Watkins (Lee) in gw20?

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Seems like too much forward planning with crazy times.
      But the basic move has merit.

      1. Gabbiadini
        • 6 Years
        2 years, 4 months ago

        yes I mean Wolves (H) is not a bad hold in gw20, I'm just projecting a 'best-case' scenario.

  24. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Bring in Ramsey and I have enough bank to 1 FT in Kevin or Son someday.
    Bring in ESR, Saka, or Mount and I have 5 top mids now.

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Can't lose

  25. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    DDG*
    TAA Cancelo James Alonso
    Salah Jota Bilva Gallagher* Bowen*
    Gelhardt

    Steele / Ronaldo* King* Livramento*

    A) Bowen/Gallagher > Foden/Ramsey
    B) Bowen/Ronaldo > Foden/Watkins

    B let's me keep Ronaldo ahead of NEW & a potential double... If we don't break that is.

  26. RWB_1991
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Chance of Leeds v Arsenal going ahead tomorrow?

  27. MountainBeach
    • 12 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    ESR or Saka?

    1. The Knights Template
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Esr