Spot the Differential
1 April 2022 477 comments
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Double Gameweek 31 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JADON SANCHO

Leeds’ defence, Sancho’s form, Barnes injury latest: FPL notes
  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: LEI | eve | NOR + liv | ars | BRE

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) endured a slow start to his career at Manchester United following his summer move from Borussia Dortmund but has improved dramatically since the turn of the year.

In his last six matches, the winger has netted two goals and supplied three assists, blanking in just one of his five starts in that period. Notably, no midfielder has racked up more attacking returns, while he also leads the way amongst teammates for points, bonus points and points per start. His shot volume in that time isn’t significant (just nine have arrived in the box), but the quality of those attempts have been good, with three deemed ‘big chances’ by Opta.

Now, out of all cup competitions at home and abroad, United are one of three top-seven sides who are free to concentrate solely on league matches between now and the end of the season. They face struggling Everton and Norwich City soon, along with two clubs who have packed schedules over the coming two months, Leicester City and Liverpool.

Despite recent improvements, Gameweek 31 opponents Leicester have only managed one clean sheet on the road all season, while the advanced positioning of James Justin (£4.9m) and Timothy Castagne (£5.3m) last time out suggests Sancho could get some joy in behind.

As for United, at times they are still disjointed, but it’s worth noting that only Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have recorded more big chances across their last six matches.

Sancho – who is fully rested after being omitted from Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the recent friendlies with Switzerland and Ivory Coast – is recreating the type of form he showed in the Bundesliga of late, and could be an effective midfield differential to capitalise on this kind run of fixtures.

JOEL MATIP

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: WAT | mci | MUN | EVE | new

Joel Matip (£5.0m) has been a real surprise package in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) since the turn of the year, averaging an impressive 7.3 points per start.

In his last six outings, the defender has racked up eight returns (one goal, two assists and five clean sheets) and 50 FPL points, more than any other team-mate bar Andrew Robertson (£7.3m), with who he is level with.

In an attacking sense, his threat is limited compared to others, but his marauding runs forward have become a regular occurrence this season and become a trademark of his playing style. It’s also worth noting that among colleagues, only Mohamed Salah (£13.3m), Sadio Mane (£11.7m) and Diogo Jota (£8.3m) have attempted more shots in the box than Matip in 2021/22.

The former Cameroon international is clearly in the form of his life and, as a result, has now completed 90 minutes in eight of Liverpool’s last nine Premier League encounters, a period which has seen the Reds keep seven clean sheets. Ibrahima Konate (£5.1m) could, of course, impact his minutes going forward, but the feeling is that Matip is first-choice, and with the title still up for grabs, he is surely in pole position to start most matches.

After back-to-back shut-outs against Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal in Double Gameweek 29, Liverpool are currently at their defensive best as they continue to challenge for the Premier League title. They have kept 17 sheets in 29 Premier League matches this season, and boast the division’s third-best backline, with their 20 goals conceded only marginally more than Manchester City and Chelsea.

This weekend’s opponents – Watford – are also in poor attacking form, scoring just three goals in six road trips under new boss Roy Hodgson.

Loading up on Liverpool assets is a no-brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to the premium defenders, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Matip.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £7.7m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: whu + bur | MUN | LEI | liv | CHE

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) has been struggling for form in recent weeks, but given that Everton are one of only two sides who ‘double’ in Gameweek 31, he might just be worth considering.

The 25-year-old showed glimpses of his quality in Gameweek 29, as he produced an excellent assist for Alex Iwobi’s (£5.8m) late winner against Newcastle United.

Now, the Blues’ number nine will be determined to show last season’s 21 goals in all competitions wasn’t just a flash in the pan, and will almost certainly have benefitted from some rigorous training sessions over the international break, something Frank Lampard touched on in Friday’s press conference.

“The break has been positive for Dominic (Calvert-Lewin). He was playing short of fitness. We’ve worked well with him over the last couple of weeks. Without putting undue pressure on him… he’s in a good place.” – Frank Lampard on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

However, there are wider issues that make this a risky punt: the Toffees have won fewer away points than any other side in the Premier League this season, while just one goal in their last six matches against Premier League opposition is also a concern.

On a more positive note, they do have two further fixtures still to be arranged, which should result in two further ‘doubles’ during the run-in.

Calvert-Lewin is quite simply the biggest scoring threat for Frank Lampard, and if they are to get back on track, there is a decent chance he will be central to it.

477 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Woyofthewovers66
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Would appreciate feedback/suggestions on my FH team for this week:

    Pope
    Cancelo TAA robbo James Laporte
    Kulu saka mahrez Salah
    Kane

    Pope Gordon broja geldhart

    Thanks!!

  2. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Second try

    Pope
    Robbo Doherty White
    Kulu Raphina Saka Martinelli Salah
    Kane Pukki

    Heaton Saiss Justin Jimenez

    A- Jimenez to Weghorst for - 4
    B- Save

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      I would save

      1. No Professionals
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 11 months ago

        you'd effectively be taking a hit for Weghorst v Everton, not worth it in my book. 2FT next week will feel nice.

  3. lewis274
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Start Trent or Hwang?

    and if hwang, any replacements? 2m itb.

    1. No Professionals
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      start trent, think a trent cameo is extremely unlikely if he doesn't start.

  4. AppleDunk
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Is this move mad?

    TAA+Coady -> James+Cancelo for free?

  5. shapply
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    1) Jimenez -> Weghorst / DCL / Richarlison
    2) Jimenez + Iheanacho -> Weghorst + DCL / Richarlison (-4)

  6. tissae
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Watkins + Raphinha -> Weghorst + Havertz for free ?

    1. shapply
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      yes

  7. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    A Coutinho -> Havertz for free
    B Williams -> James for free

    Ta!

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      B

  8. grennans2
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Play Doherty or Adams?

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Adams

  9. gellinmagellan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Ramsdale* Dubravka*
    Kilman Dier Cash TAA* James*
    Saka Raph Kulu Ramsey Salah
    Kane Laca Broja

    2 FTs 0.5 ITB. I'm at 300k, chasing in all MLs so happy to go with some differentials and "bolder" moves. Losing Raph seems like an idea but for whom? A goalkeeper transfer but looks like Dubravka might feature...

    Would really appreciate some advice as I can't think of any moves myself :/

  10. Sergeant Slaughter
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one:
    A) Lacazette
    B) Tierney
    C) Barnes

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      C

  11. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Jimenez Raphina to Weghorst Mahrez for -8?

  12. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Pick one to start-

    A Davies
    B Broja

    1. Sergeant Slaughter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Broja

    2. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      B

  13. Trini Chelsea
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Hey team need some advice with this team

    DDG / Sanchez
    TAA, Rüdiger, Doherty, Coady (White)
    Salah, Son, Saka, Gordon (Ramsey)
    Kane, Adams (Toney)

    I have my WC and one FH

    Studying to FH GW 33 & WC 36

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      GTG and good plan

  14. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    If u have Kane would u
    Son & Jiménez > Salah & Cucho
    For -4 Pts
    Yaaaaay
    Nope

    1. Sergeant Slaughter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      No

  15. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Thinking Bench Broja and play kilman? Sound ok?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Is Kilman going to play?

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks Guess depends on Bolly so 50/50 but Broja might not play either!

    2. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Play Broja

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks

    3. Sergeant Slaughter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Start Broja

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  16. TheYogaDaddy
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Ramsdale* (Dubravka*)
    White Rudiger Kilman Doherty TAA*
    Barnes Raphinha Saka Salah (Ramsey)
    Kane (Broja) (Jimenez*)

    1 ft, 0.8 itb

    Suggestions here? Planning on 33 BB and 36 FH

  17. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Raphina to Mahrez for -4?

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Could go both ways, personally would not do it

    2. Sergeant Slaughter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      I wouldn’t

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      No, Southampton is a good fixture for this week

  18. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Ramsdale
    TAA Rudiger Tierney Doherty
    Salah(C) Coutinho Kulu Raphinha Saka
    Kane

    Foster Broja Kilman Gerhardt

    1ft 2.8itb
    A) Coutinho -> Mahrez
    B) Doherty/Tierney/Kilman -> Cancelo

  19. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Which one?

    1) Jimenez>Weghorst
    2) TAA>Holgate (Double) or Cedric & Jimenez>Kane (C)

    TAA doubtful this week and also has to play City & Man Utd after. Catch Tottenham's good fixtures now and get Robertson or Trent later?

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      1

    2. solenmike
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Do you have Son? I feel you need him or Kane. I would be loathe to let TAA go though.

      That's not a very helpful reply!

  20. Botman and Robben
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    1FT. 0.4 ITB. I may just roll FT.

    How does this look just for this GW?

    Sanchez
    Cancelo VVD Coady TAA*
    Salah Son Saka
    Laca Broja Maupay

    Ramsdale* Ramsey Bowen* Mee*

  21. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Is there any consensus on TAA?

    I'm between "he may be fit and play Wat as they want to win the league" and "he won't be fit/will be rested"...

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      He won't play

    2. CrouchDown
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      I think he plays. Klopp just didn't want to make it sound like he was obviously fit since he missed Internationals

  22. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Bench 1
    A Pukki (at Brighton)
    B Saiss (home vs Villa)
    C White (at Palace)

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      B

  23. Members only video - live NOW (16:30 Friday!)
    Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Tom and I are live for FFS Members Only Video Now!

    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/members-only-videos/

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Sounds saucy!

      It is a Friday...

  24. XABI 15
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Saiss to James or Cancelo worth a -4?

    1. Sergeant Slaughter
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Just did Saiss to James for -4
      So, yes

    2. solenmike
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Yes. I've done Kilman to James for the hit

  25. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    What to do? 1 FT, 0 ITB

    Ramsdale, TAA or Saiss out?

    Ramsdale*
    TAA*, Robbo, Cancelo, Rudiger, Saiss
    Salah(C), Son, Kulusevski, Raphinha
    Weghorst

    Foster, Broja, Ramsey, Jimenez*

    1. solenmike
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Ramsdale or roll the transfer.

  26. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    if i have 2FT saved and i play FH, will have had 2FT next GW?

    1. solenmike
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      No.

  27. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Current squad:

    Pope
    Doherty TAA Cancelo Bednarek Coady
    Salah(c) Son(vc) Kulu
    Weghorst Watkins

    Sanchez Ramsey Dennis Gallagher

    Leaves me with 2.1m itb and 1ft

    GTG or changes needed?

    Still have FH, WC and BB to play!

    Cheers

  28. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Play White or Broja?

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      White

  29. Mozumbus
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    A. Kilman to Roberts using FT. Kilman/Roberts on the bench covering for TAA
    B. Dennis to Wegerhost using FT and bench Broja
    C. Roll FT and play Broja. Kilman/Dennis/DLuiz on the bench covering for TAA or any other non starters

    1. solenmike
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      B

      1. Mozumbus
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks

  30. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 11 months ago

    Digne, Willock > Robertson, Kulu (-4). Yay or nay?

    1. Jock Grealish
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      yay

    2. solenmike
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Yay

    3. Silecro
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 11 months ago

      Done, cheers fellas!