Spot the Differential
1 April 2022 477 comments
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Double Gameweek 31 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Manchester United, Liverpool and Everton, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

JADON SANCHO

Leeds’ defence, Sancho’s form, Barnes injury latest: FPL notes
  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £8.9m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: LEI | eve | NOR + liv | ars | BRE

Jadon Sancho (£8.9m) endured a slow start to his career at Manchester United following his summer move from Borussia Dortmund but has improved dramatically since the turn of the year.

In his last six matches, the winger has netted two goals and supplied three assists, blanking in just one of his five starts in that period. Notably, no midfielder has racked up more attacking returns, while he also leads the way amongst teammates for points, bonus points and points per start. His shot volume in that time isn’t significant (just nine have arrived in the box), but the quality of those attempts have been good, with three deemed ‘big chances’ by Opta.

Now, out of all cup competitions at home and abroad, United are one of three top-seven sides who are free to concentrate solely on league matches between now and the end of the season. They face struggling Everton and Norwich City soon, along with two clubs who have packed schedules over the coming two months, Leicester City and Liverpool.

Despite recent improvements, Gameweek 31 opponents Leicester have only managed one clean sheet on the road all season, while the advanced positioning of James Justin (£4.9m) and Timothy Castagne (£5.3m) last time out suggests Sancho could get some joy in behind.

As for United, at times they are still disjointed, but it’s worth noting that only Liverpool, Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur have recorded more big chances across their last six matches.

Sancho – who is fully rested after being omitted from Gareth Southgate’s England squad for the recent friendlies with Switzerland and Ivory Coast – is recreating the type of form he showed in the Bundesliga of late, and could be an effective midfield differential to capitalise on this kind run of fixtures.

JOEL MATIP

  • FPL ownership: 4.3%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: WAT | mci | MUN | EVE | new

Joel Matip (£5.0m) has been a real surprise package in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) since the turn of the year, averaging an impressive 7.3 points per start.

In his last six outings, the defender has racked up eight returns (one goal, two assists and five clean sheets) and 50 FPL points, more than any other team-mate bar Andrew Robertson (£7.3m), with who he is level with.

In an attacking sense, his threat is limited compared to others, but his marauding runs forward have become a regular occurrence this season and become a trademark of his playing style. It’s also worth noting that among colleagues, only Mohamed Salah (£13.3m), Sadio Mane (£11.7m) and Diogo Jota (£8.3m) have attempted more shots in the box than Matip in 2021/22.

The former Cameroon international is clearly in the form of his life and, as a result, has now completed 90 minutes in eight of Liverpool’s last nine Premier League encounters, a period which has seen the Reds keep seven clean sheets. Ibrahima Konate (£5.1m) could, of course, impact his minutes going forward, but the feeling is that Matip is first-choice, and with the title still up for grabs, he is surely in pole position to start most matches.

After back-to-back shut-outs against Brighton and Hove Albion and Arsenal in Double Gameweek 29, Liverpool are currently at their defensive best as they continue to challenge for the Premier League title. They have kept 17 sheets in 29 Premier League matches this season, and boast the division’s third-best backline, with their 20 goals conceded only marginally more than Manchester City and Chelsea.

This weekend’s opponents – Watford – are also in poor attacking form, scoring just three goals in six road trips under new boss Roy Hodgson.

Loading up on Liverpool assets is a no-brainer, but if your budget won’t stretch to the premium defenders, FPL bosses could do a lot worse than look at Matip.

DOMINIC CALVERT-LEWIN

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Calvert-Lewin, Wolves and his Gameweek 2 plans 6
  • FPL ownership: 3.4%
  • Price: £7.7m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: whu + bur | MUN | LEI | liv | CHE

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m) has been struggling for form in recent weeks, but given that Everton are one of only two sides who ‘double’ in Gameweek 31, he might just be worth considering.

The 25-year-old showed glimpses of his quality in Gameweek 29, as he produced an excellent assist for Alex Iwobi’s (£5.8m) late winner against Newcastle United.

Now, the Blues’ number nine will be determined to show last season’s 21 goals in all competitions wasn’t just a flash in the pan, and will almost certainly have benefitted from some rigorous training sessions over the international break, something Frank Lampard touched on in Friday’s press conference.

“The break has been positive for Dominic (Calvert-Lewin). He was playing short of fitness. We’ve worked well with him over the last couple of weeks. Without putting undue pressure on him… he’s in a good place.” – Frank Lampard on Dominic Calvert-Lewin

However, there are wider issues that make this a risky punt: the Toffees have won fewer away points than any other side in the Premier League this season, while just one goal in their last six matches against Premier League opposition is also a concern.

On a more positive note, they do have two further fixtures still to be arranged, which should result in two further ‘doubles’ during the run-in.

Calvert-Lewin is quite simply the biggest scoring threat for Frank Lampard, and if they are to get back on track, there is a decent chance he will be central to it.

477 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Pegboy
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Why is everyone ditching Doherty? Have I missed something?

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      People prioritise Liv / City / Che defenders

      1. Pegboy
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks. If that's all it is I can relax. It just seemed a very large number of sellers before a good fixture.

    2. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      People are after a combination of Pool, Man City and Chelsea with a cheapie, so Doherty is getting cut. Maybe people worried about Royal?

  2. Baron Penguin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    For 31 and 32 only, choose 1:

    1. Salah
    2. Kane
    3. Ronaldo
    4. Bruno

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      2134

    2. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      2

    3. beric
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      1

    4. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      2

  3. Philosopher's Stones
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed

    Coutinho replacement:

    A: Foden
    B: Havertz

    1. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

    2. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B-Seems to of nailed down the forward role

    3. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I want B but am worried about rotation

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        B.....would you do it for a hit?

        1. Philosopher's Stones
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          Would you do it for a free?

  4. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Been away recently but activating WC could people give me core players to most certainly include?
    Already have Salah Kane TAA Doherty Raph
    Cheers

  5. XX SMICER XX
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Bottomed

    Does anyone know Burnley’s starting back 4.
    Considering a full back but worried that Roberts / Taylor are not nailed

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Roberts seems to be nailed.Lowton out of favour.

      1. XX SMICER XX
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks. Would you?
        A. Kilman to Tarkowski
        B. Kilman to Roberts

        1. HashAttack
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 10 months ago

          I went Roberts as I think the extra money will be needed elsewhere - building for BB 33

  6. Traction Engine Foot
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Start one:
    A Lamptey
    B Antonio

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      B

  7. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Is there any consensus on TAA ?

    I'm between "he may be fit and play Wat as they want to win the league" and "he won't be fit/will be rested"...

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I think he starts if fully fit. Every game is must win

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Can't be sure but I reckon he starts. If tou have him start him and it doesn't matter

  8. GoonerGirl
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Hi, I have Ramsdale and Dubravka, both injured. Who should I remove and who for?

    A) Pope
    B) Ederson
    C) Pickford
    D) Alison

    Thanks

    1. Traction Engine Foot
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Dubravka is ok I think?

      1. GoonerGirl
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Oh ok, thanks hope so. I'm just going by FPL yellow flag.

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I own both and am keeping both.

      If I was to get rid of one it would be for Pope.

      1. GoonerGirl
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah, this was my other option, I was considering just keeping them both and saving a transfer so I have 2 FT for next week as both should be back next week game week.

  9. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Do you think that Palace will score vs Arsenal?

    1. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yes

    2. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      No Olise or Zaha

    3. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yes - Worried about Mateta 3rd on my bench

  10. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Hi...which option looks best here with 2fts? Thanks

    A.....laca and saiss to weghorst and cancelo

    B.....laca saiss and vvd to cucho cancelo robbo - 4

    C....laca saiss and Coutinho to cucho cancelo and havertz - 4

    Sa (Dubravka)
    Taa vvd rudiger doherty (saiss)
    Salah Coutinho kulusevski saka (ramsey)
    Kane laca (broja)

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Sharkytect
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I think just do a and save the countinho transfer. I know wolves defence is tough but he could do ok - doesn’t seem worth the hit

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks

  11. Sharkytect
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Feeling the urge to share my wildcard team but I’ve gone the entire season without posting RMTs or “choose a or b” so I’m gonna try and make it all the way through - owning my own decisions.

    …or, I could scowl through all the posts on here looking for people who have posted a similar WC draft team to me and see what people’s response to those are. That’s not the same is it?

    A) yeah do it
    B) just post your own RMT and stop wasting our time

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      lets see it

  12. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    In a very annoying situation where I’ve got 2 FTs and clueless as to what to do.

    Ramsdale
    Robertson - Rudiger - White
    Son - Salah (c) - Raphinha - Saka - Kulusevski
    Kane - Broja
    SUBS: Foster - Saiss - Hwang - Schar

    Could just straight swap Ramsdale for Pope and roll 1 for next week. But that would mean going without Havertz or James at home to Brentford.

    Any suggestions guys?

    1. XX SMICER XX
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Saiss to Tarko?

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Don’t really wanna do that. Then I’d feel compelled to keep him for the next 3 GWs for Burnley’s doubles at least, blocking a TAA, Cancelo or James move if I can make it work.

    2. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah, Ramadale to Pope I think

      1. JabbaWookiee
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah feeling this I think.

  13. checkit_j
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Save FT?

    Sa
    Taa*, Cancelo, Doherty
    Raph, Salah, Barnes, Saka
    Kane, Laca, Broja

    (Dub, Ramsey, Digne, Livra)

    1FT 1FH WC 0.7itb - Planning on FH33 WC 34

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah

  14. Paqueta Rice
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Save ft here? Play Ramsey or Jonny? Nacho to Weghorst? Pereira to Matip or Chalobah?

    Sanchez
    Robertson, Cancelo, Reguillon, Jonny
    Salah, Son, Raphina, Kulusevski
    Laca, Rodrigo

    Sa, Ramsey, Nacho, Pereira 1ft .1 itb

  15. grennans2
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Play Broja or Doherty?

    1. Paqueta Rice
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Doherty

    2. Dwotle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Broja

  16. Sterling Malory
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Digne/Jimi > Robbo/Cucho, for free

    Then for a (-4)
    Ramsdale > Pope

    Would leave the following
    Pope
    TAA Robbo Cancelo
    Coutinho Salah (c) Saka Kulu Raph
    Kane Broja
    Foster White AitNouri Cucho

    1. Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah take the hit. Nice team.
      Just need to address some of Coutinho Raph and AitNouri by 33.

  17. Albrightondknight
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Thoughts on this FH only 0.1 ITB
    Concerns are
    Poor bench
    Guaita in goal
    No Che defence
    Does Stones start?

    Guaita

    Robertson Matip Cancelo Stones

    Salah(C) KDB Havertz Mount Benrahma

    Kane (VC)

    Begovic Cedric 4.5 4.5

    1. Better off with a pin and a…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Dias is injured isn't he, which probably increases Stones chances? Could do Robbo->James and upgrade Guaita to Pope maybe. Seems a shame to FH and have no DGW players at all, but it's not the most exciting!

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah Stones had some injury issue too but is back in training. I would have James all day except for his injury doubt.

        Double GW players don’t seem worth it too me even if that sounds boring I want the best guys from the best teams with the fixtures this week.

  18. popey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    to the end of the season, Which double up is preferable,

    a) Cancelo, Laporte
    b) James, Rudiger

    Chelsea one extra game but more worry on rotation with CL

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. A-L
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      MCI play Liverpool as well so I'd rather B. Both teams will have rotation risk from cup games

  19. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    So Ramsdale is doubtful and Recce is available for GW31. Which of the 3 options should I do?

    1) Ramsdale to Pope, else I will have to play Foster against Liverpool
    2) Digne to Recce
    3) Both moves for -4

    Ramsdale
    Cancelo Tierney Digne Doherty
    (S)alah Saka Raphinha Havertz Coutinho
    Kane

    Foster TAA Toney Gelhardt

    1. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      3) - and would start TAA over Tierney

      1. Bruno Commando
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks! Yes starting TAA is a good idea!

  20. thevikings
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    This is actually not a april-fool:

    Im currently top 10k, but my team includes this:
    Steele, McArthur, Watkins AND Antonio...

    1. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Wildcard still in hand presumably?

      1. thevikings
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yesss, WC, FH and BB

  21. ajk1211
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    What to do here? Jimi surely has to go but for who?

    Mendy (Ramsdale)
    TAA Cancelo Doherty Liv Targett
    Mo Son Mount Raph Gallagher
    Weg Broja Jimi

    1FT 0.2itb

  22. mcsteely
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which move this week? Will do the other next week:

    A: Livramento to James
    B: Coutinho to Havertz
    C: Both for a -4

  23. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Saiss or Kilman for Roberts (Burnley)

    1. Dwotle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Kilman.

  24. Dwotle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Instead of bringing Salah in this week, considering de Bruyne (C) then Fernandes in 33 to hopefully make up some ground. Madness?

    1. BobbyDoesNotLook
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Salah and Watford.

    2. mcsteely
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      No, not madness, but its a low percentage that it will pay off IMO. If chasing and you fancy it go for it

    3. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Check out Salah's points in the reverse fixtures of the next 4 - 13,13,24,15 .... Do you feel lucky?

  25. BobbyDoesNotLook
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Any Broja XI guesses from Saints fans?

  26. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    On WC
    Bowen - Sancho worth it?
    Who best to replace ASM with?

  27. orangepeel
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Wc & 2 FH left.

    Feel its a good week to free hit. Anyone else doing it? My teams a bit of a mess at the moment. Going round in circles here!

    1. popey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      FH 33 looks good as can target teams that you only really want for that week (Burnley, leicester, Newcastle, Utd) and some appealing SGW fixtures, so could WC now and get in City, Chelsea etc?

      1. orangepeel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 10 months ago

        Yeah thanks. Mulling over city now. Prob bring in Foden and want Havertz too.

    2. orangepeel
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      Ramsdale, Foster
      Livra, Kilman, White, Cancelo, Amarty
      Salah, kulu, Son, Saka, Cout
      Kane, Pukki, Hwang

    3. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      I'm building to BB in gw33 and then play FH WC FH in quick succession - Doesn't FH this week just leave you in no-man's land going forwards

  28. dshv
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Ddg foster
    Taa rudiger cancelo white cash
    Salah son saka kuku jwp
    Lacazette weghorst jimenez

    How to continue the game with WC BB FH

  29. 2OLEgend
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    For the first time this season I'm totally stucked with my 2FT. 0ITB. FH 33 and BB 36.
    Any help appriciated.

    Ramsdale
    Robbo, TAA, Cancelo, Doherty
    Salah, Son, Martinelli, Raphinha
    Kane, Broja
    (Foster, Tierney, Ramsey, Hwang)

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      That’s tough, as there’s not much I’d want to change with that team.

      Maybe Hwang to Cucho? Has good fixtures from next week and you’ll still have 2FT for next week.

    2. Davew88
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 10 months ago

      You’re in a very similar boat to me… it’s very hard to change anything and feels wrong to burn a transfer with only 8 GWs to go!

  30. ebb2sparky
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 10 months ago

    Which option is best out of the following
    A - buy Sancho and bench Toney
    B - buy Fernandes and bench Gelhardt for -4
    C - buy KDB and bench Gelhardt for -4
    D - keep coutinho, bench Toney and roll a transfer
    Still got WC left and will play in either 34 or 35