Scout Notes
6 April 2022 373 comments
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Burnley v Everton brought Double Gameweek 31 to a close, with the six-pointer at Turf Moor serving up an unexpected five-goal thriller.

We recap the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) talking points from Lancashire.

GOALS, ASSISTS AND BONUS

FPL TALKING POINTS

WEGHORST’S WOES

“Fool me once, shame on you. Keep putting Wout Weghorst in the Scout Picks despite his dismal underlying statistics and just because he plays twice, shame on me.”

Einstein’s quote about repetition and insanity might also be applicable in this instance, and we certainly didn’t get different results from the towering Dutchman in Gameweek 31.

Wout Weghorst (£6.4m) ended his ‘double’ with just three points, his seventh blank in succession. Was it a hard-luck story? Nope – his expected goals (xG) tally was 0.02 across his two matches against Manchester City and Everton, which was bettered by seven of his teammates and 134 other Premier League players in Gameweek 31.

This isn’t a one-off, either, as Weghorst’s minutes-per-xG since his top-flight debut is 501.1, the worst average of any first-choice orthodox striker.

Above: Forwards sorted by minutes per xG in 2021/22. The players with a worse figure than Weghorst either play on the wing/in central midfield or have barely any game-time to their name.

It’s not for him to shoulder all of the criticism, of course. He’s only as good as the service he is provided with, and despite his 6’6″ frame, does not really seem suited to ‘hoofball’: he’s won only 36.8% of his headers this season (predecessor Chris Wood (£6.7m) is up at over 50% in 2021/22, along with the likes of Ivan Toney (£6.7m)). On a number of occasions on Wednesday evening, he had moved into some good positions around the six-yard box but simply wasn’t given the delivery he was begging for.

The remaining fixtures are favourable, at least, and you’d think his underlying numbers and perhaps his goal count would improve simply as a result of the quality of opposition declining. Six of Burnley’s nine remaining matches, indeed, are against bottom-half sides.

But then Everton at home was meant to be one of the easier tests, given that the Toffees have the division’s worst away record. With Jay Rodriguez (£5.2m), Maxwel Cornet (£5.9m) and substitute Matej Vydra (£5.2m) all among the goals at Turf Moor, might his game-time even be at risk soon?

The easing of fixture difficulty should also aid Burnley’s defence, who are on the division’s second-longest run without a clean sheet (six matches), although a more attacking set-up from Sean Dyche, the continued absence of Ben Mee (£4.7m) and a lack of protection from central midfield are ongoing concerns.

RICHARLISON ON PENS – AND ON THE LEFT

Another forward who had a torrid Gameweek 31 was Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£7.7m), whose blank was made all the more galling as Everton were awarded two penalties at Turf Moor – and he didn’t take either of them.

Calvert-Lewin had stepped up for all three of the previous spot-kicks that he had been on the field for this season although perhaps tellingly had missed his last effort in Gameweek 21.

On Wednesday evening, it was Richarlison (£7.5m) who was given the responsibility and he duly delivered with two coolly converted efforts from 12 yards.

Calvert-Lewin without penalties isn’t an attractive proposition at present, such has been his toiling up top since his comeback from injury, but things have really fallen Richarlison’s way over this Gameweek.

It’s not just the penalty-taking but the move to a left-wing role after months of playing through the middle. Remember the ‘is Richarlison better on the left or up top’ discussion of 2018/19? Well, here we are again, three and a half years on, reflecting on two promising if profligate displays from the Brazilian in a wider position.

He registered 26 penalty area touches, 11 shots in the box (he also hit the woodwork and almost scored with a bicycle kick against Burnley) and four chances created across two matches in Gameweek 31, eye-catching tallies after a period of unremarkable number-posting under Lampard, while all that extra work on and off the ball that playing on the flank requires (recoveries, tackling, dribbling etc) also can help boost bonus points potential.

Richarlison…GW24-30GW31
Appearances72
Penalty area touches1826
Shots in the box611
Chances created44

The immediate fixtures aren’t great, as we’ll discuss, and let’s not forget that he went nine games without a goal before midweek, but Richarlison’s improving stats are worth keeping tabs on for Double Gameweeks 36 and 37.

EVERTON IN TROUBLE

Everton are now one point off the drop and in deep trouble.

With some tricky matches to come (only two of their last nine are against sides in the bottom half), their 68-year stay in the top flight looks in some danger.

Away from home is where it has really been going wrong, with even Norwich getting more points on the road than the Toffees in 2021/22. That puts the favourable-looking ‘double’ in Gameweek 36 in some perspective and should whet the appetites of owners of Liverpool assets ahead of Gameweek 34’s Merseyside derby at Anfield.

At home, things have at least been better: the Toffees have conceded on just three occasions at Goodison Park in the six home league and cup matches that Frank Lampard has overseen, with four goals scored against Brentford alone – and they meet the Bees again in Gameweek 37.

373 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. EmreCan Hustle
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Can I play the FH chip in consecutive GWs?
    Thinking 36&37

    1. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      No

      1. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers.

  2. MidTableFantasy
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Mateta at risk of rotating with Edouard? Seems like the better pick of the under 5.5 fwds if he keeps starting

  3. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Last Man Standing GW31 (179 teams)

    Safety score = 44
    Top score = 69 of course.
    LMS average = 50.55 (-1.43) = 49.12

    46 teams to be removed, 133 teams through to GW32.
    Up to 30% or minimum 40 out next GW
    Congrats to the final 132 & me 🙂

    https://www.livefpl.net/LMS

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      whoo hoo still in somehow

    2. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      What is the lowest ranked team left in the comp TM out of interest? I assume everyone must have pretty high ranks to have made it this far

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Not sure, you are probably in the bottom 10.
        https://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/131005/event/31 was the lowest in the bottom 20 odds qualifiers this GW.

        1. fish&chips
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Oh I got eliminated ages ago haha. Just wondering that's all.

    3. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I have been scrapping through! Feels like my elimination is the coming week!

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Same, matter of time.

    4. teneighty
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      My time has come. Good luck to the rest of you!

    5. Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      40 going from 133, don't fancy my chances!

  4. Saka White Rice
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Surely if youre going to WC on 34 then makes sense to get rid of Salah for Maddidon next two gameweeks?

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Leicester have 6 games in the next 17 days or so … which ones will Maddison play ?

  5. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Tonight was so painful as a DCL and Tarkowski owner

    1. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      At least you have a bucket to throw-up in!

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        So do you

        1. The Knights Template
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          That’s what the small holes are for!

          1. NorCal Villan
            • 3 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            That’s what she said

  6. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Does anyone know what the app is that allows you to look at who your squad faces in future game week?

    Would anyone recommend this? Thanks

    1. Bennerman
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Flynny'sdream.com

  7. pressdpm
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Thoughts deadzone?
    2FT's, 0.1 spare. Few weak links.
    (No FH, no WC)

    Sa
    Davies - TAA - Rudiger - White
    Kulusevski - Salah - Saka - Coutinho
    Kane - Watkins

    Martinelli - Broja - Kilman

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Does that mean still a BB?

      If so I'd probably roll.
      Nothing about this week is particularly exciting to me.
      Kilman > Schar maybe for long term.

  8. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Have WC and BB left (will WC in 34). Would you play this BB in 33 or wait for 36 or 37?

    Foster (BRE) Doherty (BRI) Livramento (ARS bur) plus a one week punt such as Che Adams or Iheanacho.

    Thanks..!

    1. klopptimusprime
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      same predicament, 33 is a good time to use, probably better than 36
      do you still have a FH?

      1. TeddiPonza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        No just BB and WC

  9. klopptimusprime
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is it worth taking a -8 across 32/33 to set up a bench boost 33? Otherwise I will BB36/37

    something like
    Jim to Kelechi
    Watkins to Adams
    Ramsey to Willock/Fred/Elanga
    Jonny to Dalot/White

    GW33 Team:
    Ramsdale*
    Robertson Cancelo James Doherty Dalot*
    Salah Saka Kulu
    Kane Adams*

    Pope* Willock* Brownhill* Iheanacho*

    Set for WC34 and still have a FH

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I was thinking about BB33, WC34, FH36. The moves make sense to me and it's making me even more inclined to FH33!

  10. Cheeto__Bandito
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah to Bruno even if it means no Salah for a few weeks?

    Big risk, big reward

  11. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is carrying transfer right thing to do here or any move you would suggest? 0.9 m in bank and 1 FH to play

    Ramsdale
    James Doherty Cancelo Robertson
    Salah Saka Kulusevski Havertz
    Kane (c) Lacazette

    Sá Digne Broja Gordon

  12. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    pope
    taa chalobah rudi (cancelo doc)
    kulu salah kdb bowen raph
    denis weg (broja)

    which?

    a) broja to cucho/mateta
    b) kulu to mount/ziyech/saka/esr/madds
    c) kdb/salah to bruno/sancho/mount/ziyech/havertz/saka/esr/madds
    d) WC this team
    E) a & c -4
    F) b & c -4

  13. GW31 Rough with the Smooth
    RedLightning
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Rough with the Smooth, Gameweek 31.

    How did your Gameweek go?

    You can share your tales of joy and woe here.

    1. Onz
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      WC 57 and a small green arrow but wrong Captain choice, should have gone Son over Kane but hey ho. My WC not looking so great but I should be able to resist taking a hit to change it before DGW33

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Smooth - Salah fail
      Rough - Kane getting me one point more as Capt. Dropped out of the top 10K

    3. Doug McCasual
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      50pts, modest green arrow

      smooth: sonny and doherty

      rough: not having the stones to cap sonny over salah, when it made perfect sense to me given probable limited game time..tripple arse flop

    4. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Rough: Salah(c) Pope Weghorst, Saka

      Smooth: 74 points (no hits/chips) with goals by Doherty, Rudiger, JWP and Son

    5. ringwraith
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      ROUGH: Dropped Rudiger=6 to bring in Reece=0, 38 pts, 2 red arrows= 118k to 184k, when everyone captained salah I took a chance on Kane who was not in the goals of a 5-1 win and got YC.

      1. ringwraith
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        SMOOTH: Burnley finally won. I guess the smooth outweighs the rough!

    6. Wirtzel Gummidge
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      49.
      Smooth: midfielders
      Rough: defence, forwards, losing the double Wolves clean sheet late on.

    7. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Good week 63(-4)

      Smooth: having no internet for most of the Spurs match and finding my three players fighting over the bonus points towards the end of the match. Rudi/ Pukki for Saiss/Jimi just paid off

      Rough: Arsenal players and picking Pukki over Mateta, even though I know I would’ve put the latter on the bench

    8. Brimble82
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Smooth - 57. Green. KDB. Into top 70k.
      Rough - Salah capt. Broja/Dennis autosubs.

      We go again.

      1. Brimble82
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Oh yeah - triple Arsenal!

  14. flippetyflop
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Good morning people!
    For those with one FH, WC and BB left is there a consensus for which strategy is best?

    1. Bruno Commando
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I think the template strategy is FH33, WC34, BB36. I might switch to BB33, WC34, FH36. Would like to see more FH33 templates before deciding!

  15. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah to kdb or foden?

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Or salah to bruno?

      1. :
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I posted earlier that Bruno might be the one. Two absolutely enticing games await him and then it's time to decide whether to reverse the transfer or move on to KDB.

  16. Scots Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Blackbox has made be chicken out of Salah -> KDB. He’ll explode as soon as I remove him

    1. Zimo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      And KDB won't?

      1. Scots Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Possibly he will. But KDB isn’t known to be as explosive. He’s never banging in a hattrick, but Salah has that in his locker.

        Not completely decided, I’m chasing in a ML and want to take some risks, but the fear of him exploding when still massively owned makes me weary.

  17. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Salah & Willock >
    Bruno & Maddison
    For -4 pts ?
    Yaaay
    Nope

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Europe tonight.

  18. fedolefan
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Do we think Dalot starts the next three? That’s all I need him for.

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'm also interested to know this... anyone?

  19. :
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Wout Wegdonkey must surely be under serious consideration to be a Fantasy Football Hall Of Shame inductee even after playing only 11 games? It all started so well for his owners when he recovered from what potentially looked like a serious injury against Liverpool in GW25 and somehow managed to blunder his way to 12 points in the first of his two games in DGW 26. Since then it's been an absolute disaster. No returns and two bookings (both in his subsequent DGWs) have seen his status plummet from "Essential" to "Chocolate Watch".

    Legend.

    1. NorCal Villan
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Todger Strunk-level legend…and that takes some doin’ 😎

      1. :
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Ah, there's Todger Strunk again! That reminds me to mention that Cameron Smith has a very decent chance of winning the Masters this week. I played Fantasy Golf for a while and actually done reasonably well but the stats were so mind boggling that I gave up last year. Anyway, if we were all playing Fantasy Golf this week, Cameron would probably be top of the Captains Poll because of those aforementioned stats.

        1. NorCal Villan
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Cameron Smith winning The Masters? I need to mullet over

    2. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Don't think so. I got him in early doors, bug haul and quickly sold after (for Broja... but still).

      At the end of the day he is a striker for Burnley, one of the lowest scoring teams in the division.

      There's also nothing about his underlying statistics bar the first week or so that suggests he is due to haul.

      People still sitting on him are doing so with blind faith.

  20. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Tierney replacement :
    A. Gabriel
    B. White
    C. Justin
    D. Castagne

    Plan to FH at gw33

    1. fish&chips
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tricky one. Who are your other defenders? If probably try to upgrade him to a premium or downgrade him to a 4.4 and spread the cash. Don't really like any of those options. Leicester are highly at risk of rotation. Arsenal fixtures aren't the best from a defensive POV and are missing key personnel.

      I am thinking of downgrading him to Taylor and mostly benching him. Fixtures are good so not the worst bench option

      1. Taegugk Warrior
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        TAA Cancelo James Kilman are the other def. plan to bench either TAA or Cancelo this week & BB at GW36

    2. Glasner Ball
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      E. Andersen (most in form defender points wise)

  21. Ragabolly
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Risers: None

    Fallers: Daka (7.0) Henderson (4.9) Ait Nouri (4.3)

  22. Cruyff's Eleven
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    If I own a 13M dollar asset, but I'm not even close to considering him as captain, am I doing myself a disservice?

    Discuss.

    1. Mauricios Cappuccino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      what's a dollar

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Sorry - 13 million dollar.

        1. Cruyff's Eleven
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Or pounds, or Euro's

      2. Sharkytect
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I've just noticed it's no longer regered to as millions of pounds on FPL. just singular pounds.

        So matt Doherty, for instance, costs £4.90

    2. Crossologist
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I believe so, yes. That being said is it the accumulated value that is making people hesitant to remove?
      Sales value is also lower than value to rebuy and in 2 GW's you will want Salah back

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I believe it's the fact he's highly owned. We're all looking at each other, waiting for the other guy to make the first move.

        Classic prisoners dilemma.

        I'm free hitting in 33, I have 11 DGW players for 36. I'm not convinced I'll want Salah back.

        1. Crossologist
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I WC'd this last GW and the plan was always Salah to Bruno this week so I'm waiting for the press conferences and then doing it.
          I wanted to give Salah Watford at least

        2. fish&chips
          • 15 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          I agree that if you don't plan to captain him then it makes sense to him him. But I still view him as the best captaincy option in 34, 35, 36 and maybe even 38 TBH so I'll be keeping him. Not worth the transfers to sub in and sub out

          1. Cruyff's Eleven
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Maybe not, but if the likes of Bruno and KDB are scoring freely while Mo is relying on Jota and Mané to get Pool over the line, I'm not keeping, or getting back.

            1. Firmino
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 8 months ago

              Bruno scoring freely? One assist in the last 4 GWs

              1. Cruyff's Eleven
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 8 months ago

                Yeah, a little bit of artistic freedom there.... 😉

              2. Cruyff's Eleven
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 8 months ago

                He's due

  23. L'Aeroplanino
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A. Salah + Doherty
    B. Son + 7.5 Def (3 Spurs and 3 Liv already)

    1. harvard
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Son and cancelo

  24. spurstrophyroom
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    thoughts on
    A Foden
    B Salah
    C Jota
    D Bowen

  25. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Select two cheap forwards till the end of season.
    (Third forward is Gelhardt (third on bench). BB used, one FH left.)

    There are so many options: Cucho, Dennis, Pukki, Broja, Mateta, Rodrigo, Jay Rodriguez, Toney, ASM, Wood, Maupay, Hwang, etc.

    I am considering Cucho and Toney, because they look the most in form, and have nice fixtures.

    1. chocolove
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Cucho mateta.

  26. No Salah
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Can’t believe I was planning to bench Robertson ( vs city ) and play Weghorst ( vs Nor ) next game! Thanks for the eye opener Weggy!

  27. Trovsmash
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Who would you transfer Tierney to? .1 itb

    Own Trent, James, Doherty

    x5DGWers in 33, BB 36, FH 37.

  28. Ruinenlust
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Keep or sell Weggy

    1. Philosopher's Stones
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Gotta give him the Norwich game atleast

      1. Ruinenlust
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        On track to have 8 DGW players for 33 but many of them are out of form (Weggy, Broja, Willock, etc)

        Would you FH instead?

        Still have WC

    2. The Knights Template
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      The Weghorst is off today, try something else.

  29. spurstrophyroom
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    should i remove salah to put on foden, bowen or jota?

  30. Vasshin
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Planning to fh33 bw36 and fh37

    I have 2ft and 0.3 in bank

    My team atm
    Ramsdale
    Taa robertson white doherty
    Madison Salah kulu saka raphinha
    Kane
    Bench dubraka richarlison broja kilman

    Should i do
    Dubraka, broja —> foster pukki

    Or any other transfer to prepare for bb36

    Thanks