Spot the Differential
15 April 2022 563 comments
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Double Gameweek 33 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Leicester City and Newcastle United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

EMERSON ROYAL

Low-owned FPL pick Emerson Royal can thrive as a wing-back under Conte
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW33-37 fixtures: BHA | bre | LEI | liv + ARS | BUR

Despite an inconsistent start to life at Spurs following his summer move from Barcelona, Emerson Royal (£4.5m) now has the opportunity to finish the campaign strongly.

As a result of Matt Doherty’s (£4.9m) season-ending injury, the Brazilian stands a decent chance of retaining the right wing-back spot in Antonio Conte’s 3-4-2-1 formation, given the lack of natural competition in that position. Dejan Kulusevski (£6.4m) had previously been mentioned as an option by the Italian but it would seem unlikely that he would redeploy a now first-choice member of his front three.

Royal initially showed plenty of promise upon signing for the Lilywhites, but has been found wanting since Conte arrived in north London and implemented a new system with attacking wing-backs. However, despite several sub-par performances, his attacking numbers have largely remained good, as he ranks seventh among defenders for expected goal involvement (xGI) from Gameweek 11 onwards.

As for Spurs, favourable fixtures surround a tricky double-header in Gameweek 36 and there’s a top-four spot to play for, so rotation should be kept to a minimum. Given their forthcoming opponents, there is also potential for points at the other end of the pitch: since Conte took charge, only the top two have kept more clean sheets. Spurs are also the third-best side for fewest ‘big chances’ conceded in that time.

Royal’s Fantasy prospects will surely be handed a boost in light of Doherty’s injury, and with an FPL ownership of just 1.1%, is a tempting budget pick at the back.

JAMES JUSTIN

 1
  • FPL ownership: 0.6%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW33-37 fixtures: new + eve | AVL | tot | EVE + NOR | wat + che

After a difficult season, mainly due to injury, James Justin (£4.9m) has now completed 90 minutes in each of Leicester’s last three Premier League outings.

In that time, the 24-year-old has racked up four shots in the box – only Luke Ayling (£4.3m) and Marcos Alonso (£5.5m) have managed more among defenders – while his nine penalty box touches is another top three total.

The young English full-back – who can operate on either flank – provided an exciting glimpse of his potential upon his return in Gameweek 30. Performing an almost hybrid-like role which saw him spend most of the match in the final-third, Justin would often underlap and make darting runs into the penalty area.

At Old Trafford the following week he was impressive again, while in Gameweek 32, he was able to provide support and endeavour in attack, only lacking a little quality with his final ball.

The Foxes’ ‘double’ ranks them high up the Season Ticker, although they have two away games and both Newcastle and Everton have been much better and more defensively sound on home soil. Rotation risk is also a concern due to their continued involvement in Europe, but it does seem Ricardo Pereira (£5.2m) is being favoured in the Europa Conference League of late, with Justin featuring domestically.

Consecutive league starts in Gameweek 33 is far from certain, however, but Justin’s attacking upside suggests he might just be worth the risk.

BRUNO GUIMARAES

The best FPL midfielders for a Gameweek 33 Free Hit 2
  • FPL ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £4.9m
  • GW33-37 fixtures: LEI + CRY | nor | LIV | mci | ARS

Bruno Guimaraes (£4.9m) has taken no time at all to settle on Tyneside, and might just be worth a look if you’re in the market for a budget midfielder.

With Ryan Fraser (£5.3m) and Joe Willock’s (£5.6m) involvement perhaps in doubt, Guimaraes is about the best of the rest from the Magpies, and it’s the latter’s role he has taken up of late.

While regularly dropping deep, he’s also allowed plenty of freedom to carry to ball and get forward as a ‘number eight’, as evidenced by his seven shots in the box in just 407 minutes of action. In fact, his minutes-per-chance average (37) is better than any Newcastle regular this season.

The 24-year-old put in an excellent all-round display against Wolves in Gameweek 32 to pick up the man of the match award. He also went close to an assist and a goal, was heavily involved in the first-half Chris Wood (£6.7m) strike that was ruled out for offside and was well-positioned for a free shot in the build-up to Wood’s penalty award.

Guimaraes’ price reflects his points potential, and expectations should of course be realistic, but the Brazilian is one of the more appealing sub-£5.0m options in Double Gameweek 33 and will be facing two sides in important cup action three days before they head to Tyneside.

563 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. The Frenchie
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guys I’m lost and I can’t decide when use my last FH. It’s now or in DGW34 because I don’t need it for Gw36 & 37. Also my rival use both of his FH but has plenty of DG players for 33.

    Current team:

    Pope (2)
    Robertson - Cancelo - James - Amartey (2)
    Salah - Mount - Kulusevski - Maddison (2) -
    Kane - Lacazette (2)

    Foster - Raphinha - Doherty - Gelhardt

    GW33 Potential FH team

    Dubravka (2)
    Telles (2) - Schar (2) - Gabriel (2)
    Salah - Fernandes (2) - Barnes (2) - Maddison (2)
    Kane - Ronaldo (2) - Wood (2)

    GW33 rival predict team:

    Ramsdale (2)
    TAA - White (2) - Livramento (2)
    Salah - Barnes (2) - Maddison (2) - Gordon
    Kane - Adams (2) - Lacazette (2)

    GW34 potential team if using FH on GW33

    In: TAA / Havertz / 4.5
    Out: Doherty / Raphinha / Lacazette

    Pope
    TAA - Robertson - Cancelo - James (2)
    Salah - Mount (2) - Havertz (2) Kulusevski - Maddison
    Kane

    Many thanks for your help

    1. RogDog_jimmy
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I say FH this week.
      Think the upside is there based on your team - you don't have great doublers at all.

      Your gw34 team is pretty good with the -8, but maybe you can skip on the TAA part of it - maybe try a cheap playing forward instead of the 4.5 (Toney?)

      1. The Frenchie
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks bro

  2. XX SMICER XX
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone considering Lookman?

    1. Coaly
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

  3. J to the T
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with Ryan Fraser when set up for a bench boost?

    Keep or sell?

    1. Jimmy Boy
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bench boosting this week? I'd probably keep him. He'll start at least one of the games presumably.

      1. J to the T
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yes BB this week is the plan.

        1. Jimmy Boy
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I've got Fraser too and no BB, but I'm benching him anyway. He's pretty much a single gameweek player this week but on a bench boost you could do far worse than him as one of your bench players. Not sure if that helps at all.

  4. Jimmy Boy
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench two from:

    A) Thiago Silva (ARS)
    B) Ben Davies (BHA)
    C) Robertson (MUN)
    D) Fraser (LEI/CRY but unlikely to play both)
    E) Weghorst (whu/SOU)

    1. subhojit123
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      D and E

    2. J to the T
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A and B for me I think.

    3. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A,D

  5. iL PiStOlErO
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Have TC and FH chip still left. Should I use FH this week? If not what ft would you do(can do -4)?

    Dubravka**
    TAA Cancelo White**
    Salah Saka** Martinelli** Maddison **Gordon
    Kane Adams**

    Mendy T.Silva Greenwod Kilman

    1ft, 1.4m itb

    1. De Gea is GOAT
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldnt tbh

  6. Malinwa
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Doherty+Raph > Schar+Barnes (-4) Already have Maddison.
    gtg??

  7. I Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed:

    Ramsdale
    TAA, Cancelo, Schar
    Salah, Son, Saka, Kulusevski
    Lacazette, Weghorst, Broja

    Foster; Digne, Coady, Raphinha.

    0 FT 2.3 ITB

    A) good to go
    B) Lacazette -> Wood -4
    C) Lacazette + Raphinha -> Ronaldo + Gordon -8

    1. subhojit123
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

  8. JY84
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hi.. For those who alr hv both Son n Kulu in ur team, wld u all still intend to get Kane into ur team in e long term or planning to just stick with Son n Kulu??? Really having a headache over tis!

    1. I Member
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd like to add Kane as well now that Doherty is out.

    2. subhojit123
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Two are enough IMO

  9. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hey. Scout picks tonight guys?

    1. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      They seem to get later and later these days

    2. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Might be due to some of the late pressers

  10. Coaly
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Chances Cedric plays both in DGW33?

    Should definitely play vs Soton at RB with Tomiyasu out.

    Then vs Chelsea Tomi could come in at RB as he starts full training next week and chance Xhaka plays LB as Arteta says he rates him there

    Thoughts?

  11. subhojit123
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Repost..
    Hi guys...looking for a Leicester defensive option. Schmeichel is the most nailed one. But apart from him, in defense any suggestions on the best asset...? I am leaning towards Castagne but not sure if he is gonna start both..what do u guys think?

    1. Chrispy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Been burned here already with Fofana. The entire back four will change across the two games. Only Schmeichel can be depended on. I still think Fofana is most nailed long term.

      1. subhojit123
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        What about Evans?

  12. Thinkering like a Boss
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rate my FH team

    Schmeichel
    Cancelo, Laporte, Justin/Soyuncu
    Sancho, Fernandes, Barnes, Martinelli
    Kane, Ronaldo, Che Adams

    1. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Would swap Justin for a Newcastle Def and Barnes for Maddison personally

      1. Chrispy
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Newcastle DEF in for Leics

      2. thepancakeman123
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I second this, and maybe Weghorst if you believe in Ben Mee's managerial ability hahaha

  13. tristanabc
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do:
    A) Doherty -> Telles/Justin (-4); or
    B) DCL -> ASM (-4)
    C) Play DCL

    1. Thinkering like a Boss
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

      1. tristanabc
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks mate.

    2. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C

  14. Mweene
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you still captain Son if you also own Kulu and Kane? Feels like overkill and the GW could be a disaster after the first game.

    Salah cap makes more sense?

    1. JabbaWookiee
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Or it could be a success after the first game. I’ve got all 3 and my armband is currently on Son. Trust him over Salah atm.

  15. J to the T
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2FTs left and I’m going to BB this week. How to improve this?

    Ramsdale* Sanchez*
    Robbo James Cancelo Livra* White*
    Salah Saka* Havertz Kulu Fraser*
    Kane Weg* Broja*

    1. J to the T
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Considering Salah and Fraser to Bruno (c) and Barnes.

  16. JabbaWookiee
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench boost - yay or nay?

    Pope
    Cancelo - Rudiger - Schar
    Son - Kulusevski - Salah - Saka - Dewsbury-Hall
    Kane - Broja
    + Foster - White - Robinson - Mateta

  17. donbagino
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guys, can we trust Broja? Broja --> Wood for a (-4)?

  18. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    (C) Maddison or Wood?

    1. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wood

    2. JoeTweaks
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I haven't seen much of Newcastle but hasn't wood been bad excluding the penalty he scored?

  19. Pukkipartyy
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sancho good punt? Cant get Bruno..only by selling Son and i dont like that...

    U recon Sancho has secure minutes?

    1. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Punty but yes

    2. JoeTweaks
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Secure minutes,yes,I think.

  20. thepancakeman123
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you do Salah/Son to Fernandes for a hit if Fernandes doubles twice?

    1. Dynamic Duos
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

    2. JoeTweaks
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes if he doubles twice

  21. JoeTweaks
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I somehow transferred in Luke Thomas instead of James Justin (still don't know how I made such mistake)..how likely is Thomas to play or should I just move him on immediately

    1. Chrispy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He'll play one game, as will probably every other Leics defender.

      1. JoeTweaks
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks, I'll keep then

  22. SallySlayer
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Two FHs and BB left. Thinking BB for 36 and one FH for 37.

    Other FH this week or end of season punts?

  23. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is there any Leicester press conference news? Haven’t seen anything, but think there was one at 3pm…

  24. Chrispy
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    To Start in FH team:

    A) Ronaldo & JWP
    B) Salah & Cornet

    1. SallySlayer
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      (B) but close call.

      1. Chrispy
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Dyche sacking pushing me towards A. Burnley are surely doomed now. Ronaldo doesn't have my trust however!

    2. JoeTweaks
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not having Salah is very brave...coming from a Man United fan

      1. Jock Grealish
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Salah has been amazing recently yeah...

  25. JONOOKII
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any suggestions to help turn things around, other than the obvious Doherty > Schar? 2 FT, 1.7 ITB, only BB & TC left:
    Ramsdale / Foster
    TAA / Rudiger / Doherty / Amartey / Tsimi
    Salah / Saka / Kulu / Øde / Gordon
    Kane / Broja / Dennis

    1. Chrispy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Could risk it for a biscuit and upgrade Dennis to ASM / Wood if thinking short-term. Toney if longer term. Or roll transfer and maybe get on Watkins if DGW 35 confirmed. Definitely do Schar for Doherty.

  26. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Help me out, friends. Which move would you do?

    1) Stick with this team
    2) Raph to Barnes, and bench James
    3) Doherty to Schar, and bench James
    4) FH

    Ramsdale*
    James Cancelo TAA White*
    Havertz Salah Saka* Maddison*
    Kane Toney

    Foster Doherty Raphinha Gelhardt

    * DGW

    1. Chrispy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      3)

  27. Drop Dead Tsimikas
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Brought in JWP, Wood and Foden for -4 this week after Laca’s yellow flag. Chalobah benched, others are blanking. This… This is going to be a disaster, isn’t it?

    1. Drop Dead Tsimikas
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Oh, and captaining Wood.

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I'm (C) Wood to

  28. JPSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If KDB’s injury is a cut rather than muscular according to Pep, he should be easily back for the PL fixture shouldn’t he!

    1. JPSpurs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ? not !

  29. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pick one for this gwk?

    A) Maddison
    B) Foden
    C) Mount

    1. Chrispy
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  30. footyjuana
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is the Brendan Rodger’s press club conference done? Any big news from it?

    1. footyjuana
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bump