Pro Pundits
20 May 2022 643 comments
Az Az
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Pro Pundits 29

It’s that time again.

It’s just a couple of days before what has to be my favourite day of the year, when all 20 teams play at the same time and our overall ranks and mini-leagues are ultimately decided in one frantic 90-minute period.

It’s been a good season for me personally, having joined Fantasy Football Scout as a permanent member of the team just before the start of the campaign and going on to have a finish that (hopefully!) will see me add a top 10k finish to my season history.

GAMEWEEK 38: GOALS, GOALS, GOALS?

I’m always fascinated by Gameweek 38, as medium-long term planning is no longer required and people look for ways of making one final push. Who are the one or two players that can salvage someone’s season? Is there a differential captain that can propel you up the rankings? Can we benefit from a hit that needs to be repaid instantly, or is this too big of a gamble? Add into the mix the unpredictability of Gameweek 38 that in previous seasons has seen Manchester City hit for eight by Middlesbrough, Liverpool stung by Stoke City and Tottenham Hotspur pounded by Newcastle United and you have a recipe for an explosive end.

In fact, looking at the fixtures, I think there is huge potential for some hauls. Norwich v Spurs, Chelsea v Watford, Leicester City v Southampton and Liverpool v Wolverhampton Wanderers all look like great games – and I can see big wins for the bookies’ favourites. In fact, I can see goals in every fixture, with players from Newcastle, Brentford and Crystal Palace perhaps going under the radar, despite good-looking games against Burnley, Leeds and Manchester United (!) respectively.

For me, you could fill two different squads with players and I wouldn’t be comfortable betting on which would score the points (see below). There are just so many options, but Son Heung-min (£11.2m) is the one that seems indispensable. It’s likely that if at this point you don’t have him, he will be priority number one, as he seeks to chase down Mohamed Salah (£13.1m) for the Golden Boot and faces statistically the worst defence in the league. Norwich have conceded an expected goal (xG) every 41.3 minutes and have shipped the highest number of goals in the league (79); is there a sofa big enough to hide behind if you don’t own the South Korean wizard?

POSSIBLE GAMEWEEK 38 FREE HIT SQUADS – AND TOP THREE PICKS

Az One half of the FPL BlackBox YouTube series with Mark Sutherns.Former Membership Strategy Manager for FFS  Follow them on Twitter

643 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ANGRY PERSON
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1st ?

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Union_Jacks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Nice one mate

    3. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Congrats

    4. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Something to tell the grandkids!

    5. NorCal Villan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Cut is the deepest

  2. Going Home
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Mount and Kane
    B) KDB and Jesus

    1. Big_Andy_GAWA
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Is Kane not "feeling unwell"?!

      1. Going Home
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He is. But he is playing Norwich and loves a final day…

    2. RomeluAndJuliet
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A all day

      1. Going Home
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Just realised my mistake.

        Mount is in both options. Kane comes with Bernardo Silva while Jesus comes with KDB

  3. Bobby_Baggio
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Afternoon all. 1FT and 0.3m ITB. I'm leading by 19 points. 2nd place has no Salah or KDB but does have Son, Kulu & Kane. Salah > Son right? Worth -4 like Cout > Eriksen?

    Schmeichel
    Cancelo - Robbo - Laporte - Matip
    Coutinho - Saka - Salah - Mount - KDB
    Nkeitah

    (Foster) - Pukki - Fofana - Mateta

    1. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Seems we both have the same back 5

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Strong back 4 for sure

        1. The Philosopher
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah. Brought Matip+Laporte in for my BB36. Served me well.

  4. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Repost

    How will you use the last FT of the season on this XI? 0.0 itb

    Schmeichel
    Matip Robbo Laporte Cancelo
    Kulu Saka Havertz Mount Foden
    Kane

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Havertz > Eriksen?

  5. Agbonlahorse
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need to make up 25 points in final gameweek.

    Narrowed down some low ownership and potentially big scorers down to:

    Vardy
    Diaz
    Mane
    Toney

    Anyone else we think could plausibly go wild this weekend?

    1. Stimps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Harvey Barnes possibly

    2. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      lukaku

    3. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Avoid Vardy imo. Can see him being rested after 168 mins this week

      1. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Rested for what? No way he gets rested imo

        1. Going Home
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Just my view. He’s old and hasn’t played a huge amount last month or so. Perhaps ‘rested’ wasn’t a great choice of word, but I doubt he’s got a decent run in him on Sunday

    4. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy
      Barnes
      Maddison

      Fancy Leic to put a 3+ past Soton

    5. Scots Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’ve gone for Mane (c) and Toney

  6. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Pick 2 from:

    Toney
    Eriksen
    James

    1. Gunners in Haaland
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      TJ

    2. DF
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      EJ

  7. Gunners in Haaland
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Coutinho/Richa ->> Mount/Toney (-4)
    B) Coutinho ->> Bowen

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bowen! Hes consistently good

      1. Gunners in Haaland
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. Same thoughts

  8. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start one -

    A Bavies
    B Richa

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C Toney (-4)

  9. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Capt mount or kdb?

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Kdb

  10. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Those having jota will u sell for mount for -4?

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Don't have him but I wouldnt

    2. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m not sure yet I’ve only one transfer and don’t want to take many hits. It’s unlikely tho he starts I guess so maybe him down to mount and possibly kulu to Maddison I’m chasing and need differential’s

  11. Stimps
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Worth a -8?

    Salah, Dennis, Dias -> Vardy, Diaz, Robertson?

    1. Stimps
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dammit, should be Mount instead of Diaz

    2. Going Home
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dennis to Jesus
      Dias to TAA

  12. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need to secure ML win - Salah to Son (c)?

    Ederson
    TAA/Robo/Cancelo/Alonso
    Salah/KDB/Mount/Saka/Kulu
    Pukki

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think so, hes going for golden boot

    2. sulldaddy
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, assuming secure means your leading

  13. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    39 points behind ML leader and have same players in CAPS.

    He will likely do Salah -> KDB/Son.

    Best move Salah -> Mane(c) (he doesn’t have) and bench the CAPS given the 39 point gap?

    Ramsdale
    JAMES, Laporte, ROBBO
    SALAH, Mount, Kdb, Kulu, Martinelli
    Pukki, Nketiah

    Foster, CANCELO, ALONSO, Broja
    Bank 0.0m, 1FT

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would bench Pukki

  14. fantasist
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lasagne gate part 2

  15. simong1
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bring in Mount or Diaz?

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      How much will Diaz play? Mount if choosing out the 2

      1. Going Home
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Had Tuesday off. Next game isn’t for a week and, at least in theory, the title is still on the line. He starts

  16. Slitherene
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Willing to take the last hit(s) of the season!

    Raya ¦ Foster
    Dias* Alonso Matip
    Salah Son Bernardo Zaha*
    Kane Pukki* Nketiah
    ¦ Amartey Gordon Cash

    1.5 ITB

    Guess I need a new DF, MF & a FW?

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dias -> James/TAA

    2. Slitherene
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Dias, Zaha, Pukki -> Laporte, Mount, Toney?

  17. tjostolv
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Why is Az and consensus more enthusiastic about Son as opposed to KDB?

    1. fantasist
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think both are essential

  18. GE
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Only 5 points in front in my ML!

    1) Matip -> Robbie (he has Robbie)
    2) Matip -> James
    3) Zaha -> Diaz
    4) Zaha -> Maddison
    5) Other?

    (1FT, 2.2 itb)

    Schmeichel
    TAA/Cancelo/Laporte/Alonso/Matip
    KDB/Son/Mount/Zaha
    Nkietah

    Bench: Foster, Richarlison, Gordon, Dennis*

    1. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Schmeichel to Lloris

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Good call

        1. circusmonkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I mean your team is good, you have the exact back 5 that I am eyeing, it is the surest upgrade.

          1. jason_ni
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Seems like a waste of final ft to me.

            Whats your upside? At best maybe 4 points, 6vs2.

            Id prefer to get James, much higher ceiling.

    2. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      2

    3. sulldaddy
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Richarlison to Toney and bench Zaha?

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Interesting

  19. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Was anything said about Sessegnon today? Saw a random comment on Twitter that sounded like he might be a doubt but can't see any quotes anywhere

  20. ididnt
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do we think Kulu plays v NOR?

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. No Kane No Gain
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. DF
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sure. Good pick too

  21. No Kane No Gain
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do we think Werner starts against Watford or should I chop for Toney -4?!

    Alternative is play Myko or cash…

    1. ididnt
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      go for Toney and (c). Live a little

  22. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Guys one point away from gng outside top 10k. For the second time back to back this is happening to me. Last season i finished 12k from a similar position. No idea what to do here. Suggestions will be helpful. 1ft 0.0itb

    Ram
    Taa davies rudi cancelo
    Son maddy saka zaha
    Kane nketiah
    Dub Watkins Gordon cash

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good

  23. Big_Andy_GAWA
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Kane or Mount for the armband now that Kane is said to be ill?

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hmm, sounds like he will be ok. Like the Mount pick though

  24. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Which do you prefer?
    A) Salah to Mané/Diaz
    B) Salah to KDB
    C) Salah and Broja to Kane and Barnes/Mbeumo (-4)

    Sanchez Foster
    TAA Cancelo James Laporte Tavares
    Salah Son Mount Saka KDH
    Rich Nketiah Broja

    1. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you are captaining Kane then probably C.

      1. waltzingmatildas
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        No, probably still Son captain....

    2. Skorr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would be looking at C with Barnes.
      It depends a little on who the player would be that heads to the bench though.

  25. Meechoo115
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Dias / Salah to

    A. James. Mane
    B. James. Kdb

    Team would then be

    Sanchez
    James. Robbo. Trent. Bavies. Cancelo
    Mane/kdb. Mount. Son. Foden
    Nketiah

    Foster. Martinelli. Pukki. Ferguson

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  26. mdm
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Who to captain - Son or Kane?

    1. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Son

  27. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I'm going to probably to do Salah to Son/Mane, is it really worth a hit to move either Harvertz/Saka to Maddison or Mount?

    1. Meechoo115
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think the hit is also worth it

    2. waltzingmatildas
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hits are such a lottery over one week. Does Havertz play?

      1. Pep's Money Laundry
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        If only I knew the answer to that question. I'm guessing as Harvertz didn't start and got some minutes yesterday that he'll play longer come Sunday

  28. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Team set. Good luck everyone. I'm almost in the top 100K, I'm ok with that. Won my ML at least 🙂

    Ederson
    Alonso TAA Cancelo Matip
    De Bruyne (v) Mount Son (C) Kulusevski
    Richarlison Nketiah

    Bench: Pickford, Watkins, Holgate, Dewsbury-Hall

  29. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone getting Grealish?

    1. circusmonkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No, that's a real differential!

    2. sulldaddy
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Not even on radar

  30. Meechoo115
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Captain

    A. Son
    B. Mane
    C. James

    Bench

    1. Bavies
    2. Foden
    3. Martinelli